Comments by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
... researchers) examining the ECS, each lowering the best estimate and tightening the error distribution about that estimate. Instead, the IWG wrote in its 2013 report: “It does not revisit other interagency modeling decisions (e.g., with regard to the discount rate, reference case socioeconomic and em ...
... researchers) examining the ECS, each lowering the best estimate and tightening the error distribution about that estimate. Instead, the IWG wrote in its 2013 report: “It does not revisit other interagency modeling decisions (e.g., with regard to the discount rate, reference case socioeconomic and em ...
April - Smithers Web Page
... first time in 18 years and as tens of thousands of farm workers marched through the Central Valley to protest federal and state cuts in irrigation water for the current growing season. Though Los Angeles is recommending a cut in water use of 15 percent – and surcharges for those who miss the mark – ...
... first time in 18 years and as tens of thousands of farm workers marched through the Central Valley to protest federal and state cuts in irrigation water for the current growing season. Though Los Angeles is recommending a cut in water use of 15 percent – and surcharges for those who miss the mark – ...
Increasing bioenergy production on arable land - CLM
... daily mean temperature range in future climates. Whereas, Douville et al. [2000] pointed out that high uncertainties exist on regional scale as expressed in the high sensitivity of the climate in European summertime. Li and Mölders [2008] found opposing responses to land cover change and climate war ...
... daily mean temperature range in future climates. Whereas, Douville et al. [2000] pointed out that high uncertainties exist on regional scale as expressed in the high sensitivity of the climate in European summertime. Li and Mölders [2008] found opposing responses to land cover change and climate war ...
A C P˚C Data and Information directions
... – the imperative of building bridges between development and environment more systematically – widening decision making process at various levels ...
... – the imperative of building bridges between development and environment more systematically – widening decision making process at various levels ...
ST 2011 02
... longwave (infrared) radiation, convection, land surface processes, albedo, hydrology, cloud cover, and sea ice dynamics (Rupp et al., 2009). Many global climate models (GCMs) have been developed and evaluated around the world. These models have come to many fairly consistent conclusions. In general, ...
... longwave (infrared) radiation, convection, land surface processes, albedo, hydrology, cloud cover, and sea ice dynamics (Rupp et al., 2009). Many global climate models (GCMs) have been developed and evaluated around the world. These models have come to many fairly consistent conclusions. In general, ...
1AC – BIT – “Tear down that wall” edition
... emissions, which are causing massive health problems because of the smog they generate as well as social discontent. In June, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang submitted a carbon-curbing plan to the UN, pledging to cut China’s greenhouse gas emissions per unit of gross domestic product by 60-65 percent fro ...
... emissions, which are causing massive health problems because of the smog they generate as well as social discontent. In June, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang submitted a carbon-curbing plan to the UN, pledging to cut China’s greenhouse gas emissions per unit of gross domestic product by 60-65 percent fro ...
In Search of Refuge: Pacific Islands, Climate - East
... in concert. The coincidence of all of these factors militates for a rapid and comprehensive global response. With their relative lack of responsibility for climate change and their relative poverty, Pacific climate migrants and their home states have a special moral, and perhaps legal, claim on weal ...
... in concert. The coincidence of all of these factors militates for a rapid and comprehensive global response. With their relative lack of responsibility for climate change and their relative poverty, Pacific climate migrants and their home states have a special moral, and perhaps legal, claim on weal ...
a pdf
... More intense rainfall events and more storms could cause damage to buildings, roads, rails, crops and drainage systems through flooding and storm damage. By the 2020s a flooding event similar to the one experienced in Autumn 2000 could cost West Midlands agriculture £20 million. The damage to househ ...
... More intense rainfall events and more storms could cause damage to buildings, roads, rails, crops and drainage systems through flooding and storm damage. By the 2020s a flooding event similar to the one experienced in Autumn 2000 could cost West Midlands agriculture £20 million. The damage to househ ...
pdf - The Paleoindian Database of the Americas
... Warm Period, a time of slightly warmer than average Holocene temperature that occurred from ca. AD 800 to 1200 (ca. 1200–800 cal yr BP) (e.g., Broecker, 2001). Current projections for global climate around ca. AD 2100, based on a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, foresee average global surface ...
... Warm Period, a time of slightly warmer than average Holocene temperature that occurred from ca. AD 800 to 1200 (ca. 1200–800 cal yr BP) (e.g., Broecker, 2001). Current projections for global climate around ca. AD 2100, based on a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, foresee average global surface ...
climate change risks
... An extended period of hot days may affect staffing levels in the workplace due to heat related illnesses, affect public transport and transport systems in general as well as the possibility of interruption of electricity supply. With an increasing population, this will also compound the use of avail ...
... An extended period of hot days may affect staffing levels in the workplace due to heat related illnesses, affect public transport and transport systems in general as well as the possibility of interruption of electricity supply. With an increasing population, this will also compound the use of avail ...
A large ozone-circulation feedback and its implications for global
... representations of stratospheric ozone has focused on regional effects, such as the ...
... representations of stratospheric ozone has focused on regional effects, such as the ...
Fantasy, Oil Addiction, and the Politics of Global Warming
... Loose’s conception of the addict adds to our understanding of the society of enjoyment a different relationship between the imaginary and the symbolic, one where entering the symbolic does not have to mean a renunciation of unlimited enjoyment, or having to consider others in relation to one’s own p ...
... Loose’s conception of the addict adds to our understanding of the society of enjoyment a different relationship between the imaginary and the symbolic, one where entering the symbolic does not have to mean a renunciation of unlimited enjoyment, or having to consider others in relation to one’s own p ...
Climate change, threat multiplier and internal conflicts in Northeast
... Climate security/climate conflict in public debate In August this year, the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told a Global Environment Forum in Korea (at the same time that governments were meeting in Bonn for five days of informal climate negotiations) that failure to act quickly on climate change ...
... Climate security/climate conflict in public debate In August this year, the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told a Global Environment Forum in Korea (at the same time that governments were meeting in Bonn for five days of informal climate negotiations) that failure to act quickly on climate change ...
Climate Change or Land Use Dynamics: Do We Know Miguel Clavero *
... the specific consequences of climate change through biodiversity indicators. Here, we analyze whether climate change indicators can be affected by land use dynamics that are not directly determined by climate change. To this aim, we analyzed three community-level indicators of climate change impacts ...
... the specific consequences of climate change through biodiversity indicators. Here, we analyze whether climate change indicators can be affected by land use dynamics that are not directly determined by climate change. To this aim, we analyzed three community-level indicators of climate change impacts ...
The Positive Feedback Loop between the Impacts of Climate
... agriculture, while boreal regions (Canada and Russia) will possibly see an improvement. There is agreement that low-income countries will be worse hit than high-income countries. Changes in precipitation and temperature can have both positive and negative effects. The elevated CO2 concentration is e ...
... agriculture, while boreal regions (Canada and Russia) will possibly see an improvement. There is agreement that low-income countries will be worse hit than high-income countries. Changes in precipitation and temperature can have both positive and negative effects. The elevated CO2 concentration is e ...
8. Human Health
... monthly precipitation. The MARA/ARMA decision rules were developed using fuzzy logic to resolve the uncertainty in defining distinct boundaries to divide malarious from non-malarious regions. Temperature is a major factor determining the distribution and incidence of malaria. Temperature affects bot ...
... monthly precipitation. The MARA/ARMA decision rules were developed using fuzzy logic to resolve the uncertainty in defining distinct boundaries to divide malarious from non-malarious regions. Temperature is a major factor determining the distribution and incidence of malaria. Temperature affects bot ...
Probabilistic projections of climate change over China - HAL-Insu
... proposed with the purpose of producing probabilistic results of climate change over China for the middle and end of the twenty-first century under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B (SRES A1B) emission scenario. Data from 28 coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) are ...
... proposed with the purpose of producing probabilistic results of climate change over China for the middle and end of the twenty-first century under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B (SRES A1B) emission scenario. Data from 28 coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) are ...
Eos
... the atmosphere, ocean, biosphere, and cryosphere are predicted [e.g., Solomon et al., 2007]. Other than terrain, all other components of the climate system are calculated by the model except for human forcings, including greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, which are prescribed. Type 4 dynamic downsc ...
... the atmosphere, ocean, biosphere, and cryosphere are predicted [e.g., Solomon et al., 2007]. Other than terrain, all other components of the climate system are calculated by the model except for human forcings, including greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, which are prescribed. Type 4 dynamic downsc ...
The Local Coastal Program Update Workshop #2: Adapting to a
... future land use and development. The two plans overlap in their consideration of sea level rise vulnerability and adaptation and resiliency strategies for new construction. The Land Use Plan portion of the LCP, which contains the goals and policies, is estimated to be completed and adopted by Summer ...
... future land use and development. The two plans overlap in their consideration of sea level rise vulnerability and adaptation and resiliency strategies for new construction. The Land Use Plan portion of the LCP, which contains the goals and policies, is estimated to be completed and adopted by Summer ...
KNOWLEDGE OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND CAUSES OF CLIMATE
... Cycle 4 (January 2010) - New variable Cycle 6* (September 2010) - Variable name changed from a1 to cc_knowledge1 Cycle 19 (January 2015) – Interviewer prompt changed from “By climate change we mean a change in the average weather that a given region experiences” to “Only if asked, by climate change ...
... Cycle 4 (January 2010) - New variable Cycle 6* (September 2010) - Variable name changed from a1 to cc_knowledge1 Cycle 19 (January 2015) – Interviewer prompt changed from “By climate change we mean a change in the average weather that a given region experiences” to “Only if asked, by climate change ...
the journal Nature Climate Change
... Precipitation. Whereas surface temperatures rise everywhere in future projections, precipitation change is highly variable spatially in sign and amplitude, with a relatively small global mean change (Fig. 1). The fundamentally regional character of forced precipitation change highlights the challeng ...
... Precipitation. Whereas surface temperatures rise everywhere in future projections, precipitation change is highly variable spatially in sign and amplitude, with a relatively small global mean change (Fig. 1). The fundamentally regional character of forced precipitation change highlights the challeng ...
Sulfate aerosols in the troposphere and lower stratosphere
... latitudes cause warming in Northern Hemisphere winters (Oman et al., 2006). The seasonal temperature changes are due to changes in atmospheric circulation. Sulphate aerosols have the potential to cause global changes in precipitation, temperature and water vapor, even if released from a singular loc ...
... latitudes cause warming in Northern Hemisphere winters (Oman et al., 2006). The seasonal temperature changes are due to changes in atmospheric circulation. Sulphate aerosols have the potential to cause global changes in precipitation, temperature and water vapor, even if released from a singular loc ...
Potential Climatic Deterioration in Semiarid Subtropical
... shift away from these properties, although it was found that annual temperature averages were rising nearly every year at the century’s end. Climate models were used at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO, to simulate how the regional climate might change during the present c ...
... shift away from these properties, although it was found that annual temperature averages were rising nearly every year at the century’s end. Climate models were used at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO, to simulate how the regional climate might change during the present c ...
Environment, Politics and Development Working Paper Series
... and they don’t get paid for it – demonstrates a ‘productive democracy’ at work: a social resource which is marginalised to everyone’s loss. 26 There is much, we might say, to be gained from bringing together the more productive aspects of these two accounts – i.e. of bringing the potential of indivi ...
... and they don’t get paid for it – demonstrates a ‘productive democracy’ at work: a social resource which is marginalised to everyone’s loss. 26 There is much, we might say, to be gained from bringing together the more productive aspects of these two accounts – i.e. of bringing the potential of indivi ...
Effects of global warming
The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.