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Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming
Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming

... conditioned on a different set of assumptions (only some of which are usually made explicit) and founded on different underlying observational and/or model data. It is important to note, however, that S is being used as a proxy for λ which represents the feedbacks relevant at some point in time and ...
06_PRUDENCE_OBC_Poznan
06_PRUDENCE_OBC_Poznan

... Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met Office, Bracknell, UK Climate Research ETH (Eidsgenössische Technische Hochschule), Zürich, CH GKSS Research Center (Institute for Coastal Research), Geesthacht, GER ...
01_02 Chavez
01_02 Chavez

... El Niño Modoki •! Past 400-500 years – Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age, the present – very different than ENSO •! THE Ice ages •! Global warming – which of the above is the most likely analog? ...
Botswana`s NDC
Botswana`s NDC

... BOTSWANA is pleased to communicate its intended nationally determined contribution, as per decisions 1/CP.19 and 1/CP.20. Botswana intends to achieve an overall emissions reduction of 15% by 2030, taking 2010 as the base year. Base year emission estimation is 8307 Gg of CO2 equivalent. The targeted ...
Climate Change Law Seminar - IUCN Academy of Environmental Law
Climate Change Law Seminar - IUCN Academy of Environmental Law

... -West, Selected Environmental Law Statutes (or on-line statutory resources) -There will also be supplementary materials posted on TWEN. Overview Climate change is perhaps the most important environmental and public policy issue of our time. As greenhouse gas emissions increase, temperatures rise, an ...
Forests as mitigation tools in Hungary (, 2403 kB)
Forests as mitigation tools in Hungary (, 2403 kB)

... Tuczno, Poland 26-29 April ...
Climate Change - Ev-K2-CNR
Climate Change - Ev-K2-CNR

... into Indus delta due to sea-level rise. ...
The AIACC Project (Opening) - global change SysTem for Analysis
The AIACC Project (Opening) - global change SysTem for Analysis

... – Through participation in studies, workshops, “discuss aiacc” listserve, and web-based database and information network ...
In-Class: Climate Change Packet - Liberty Union High School District
In-Class: Climate Change Packet - Liberty Union High School District

... Weather is a specific event or condition that happens over a period of hours or days. Climate refers to the average weather conditions in a certain place over many years. The average climate around the world is called global climate. When scientists talk about global climate change, they're talking ...
Ice Storm - City of Ottawa
Ice Storm - City of Ottawa

... We are not the first to worry about climate change ...
Testing the hypothesis of dangerous human
Testing the hypothesis of dangerous human

... TEST 1 asks whether dangerous warming is actually occurring. Temperature measurements using groundbased thermometers, balloon-mounted radiosondes and satellite-mounted microwave sensing units all agree that no warming has occurred since 1998; indeed, once account is taken of the urban heat island ef ...
The Physics of Climate and Climate Change
The Physics of Climate and Climate Change

... A radiative-convective model is only a first step in understanding climate change, as we must now allow the climate system to respond. This involves ‘simple’ dynamics, plus feedbacks. Feedbacks can be positive, enhancing any initial warming (or cooling), or negative, damping out any initial climatic ...
THE CLIMATE SEVERITY INDEX FOR CANADA
THE CLIMATE SEVERITY INDEX FOR CANADA

... – AIRG provides project direction and support staff – CICS & Ouranos provide support staff ...
English A: Language and Literature - Year 12/13 IB English Lang-Lit
English A: Language and Literature - Year 12/13 IB English Lang-Lit

... been balanced out by GHGs that are naturally absorbed. As a result, GHG concentrations and temperature have been fairly stable. This stability has allowed human civilization to develop within a consistent climate. Occasionally, other factors briefly influence global temperatures. Volcanic eruptions, ...
Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium
Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium

... using revised forcings for solar activity, volcanic activity, anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols. The agreement between model and data was reduced before 1400, which seemed to be related to uncertainties in the solar forcing. After 1850 the EBM temperatures were systematically higher than t ...
The Economics of Climate Change. Chris Taylor
The Economics of Climate Change. Chris Taylor

... “Greenhouse” gases absorb heat acting as a  blanket around earth. Without them the surface  temperature would be 33°C cooler.  (water vapour) carbon dioxide, methane,… Fourier (1827) Tyndall (1861) Fourier (1827), Tyndall (1861) ...
Professor Zsolt Harnos academician
Professor Zsolt Harnos academician

... plant and animal species assessed so far are likely to be at increased risk of extinction if increases in global average temperature exceed 1.5 – 2.5°C. • Food: Climate change is expected to increase the risk of famine; the additional number of people at risk could rise to several hundred millions. ...
Transcript (in Word format)
Transcript (in Word format)

... benefits – from increased energy security to lower tax bills and cleaner air. These state initiatives are encouraging. They are achieving real reductions. Actions in one state are being replicated in others. And while state action alone will not be enough, it will help move us where we need to go. I ...
Probabilistic forecasts of temperature and precipitation change
Probabilistic forecasts of temperature and precipitation change

The impacts of climate change on terrestrial Earth surface systems
The impacts of climate change on terrestrial Earth surface systems

... where the physics is not well known. As such, although biogeochemical climate feedbacks can be parameterized within GCMs21, there are few field data on other feedbacks that are available at scales appropriate for model calibration. This remains the case despite the fact that changes in biome structu ...
Making the Connection: Population Dynamics and Compatible
Making the Connection: Population Dynamics and Compatible

... the world would result in fewer unintended pregnancies, improve the health and well-being of women and their families, and slow population growth—all benefits to climate compatible development. We recommend including improved access to family planning among the comprehensive and synergistic efforts ...
current conditions
current conditions

... agriculture to estimate the impact of future GDP and population scenarios on crop production and staple consumption, which can be used to derive commodity prices, agricultural trade patterns, food prices, calorie consumption, and child malnutrition. Three GDP-per-capita scenarios were used—an optimi ...
Climate change and its impact on vector
Climate change and its impact on vector

... increased incidence of communicable diseases including vector-borne diseases.[5] Current evidence suggests that inter-annual and inter-decadal climate variability have a direct influence on the epidemiology of vector-borne diseases. By 2100, it is estimated that average global temperatures will have ...
- EdShare - University of Southampton
- EdShare - University of Southampton

... (1) Climate as a system – maths! (2) The atmosphere and the Earth's energy balance (3) The role of the ocean in climate (4) A conceptual understanding of climate and the Earth system, using a model hierarchy (a) conceptual "box" models (b) Earth system models of intermediate complexity ...
Climate Change & Adaptation in Indian Cities
Climate Change & Adaptation in Indian Cities

... • Green cover Cooling effect Carbon sink • Building codes Climate proofing Reduced energy • Sanitation No water-logging Reduced emissions ...
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Climate sensitivity

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