Snow and Ice on Planet Earth
... concentrations occurr in Alaska, the Arctic and central Asia (Fig. 2), which consequently show the largest contributions to sea level. An example of a strongly retreating glacier in Patagonia is shown in Fig. 3. In Fig. 4 the global glacier mass balance data series shows a strongly negative trend, p ...
... concentrations occurr in Alaska, the Arctic and central Asia (Fig. 2), which consequently show the largest contributions to sea level. An example of a strongly retreating glacier in Patagonia is shown in Fig. 3. In Fig. 4 the global glacier mass balance data series shows a strongly negative trend, p ...
Sea-Level Rise Estimates for New Brunswick Municipalities
... level and the anticipated tides) reveals that a significant number of recorded extreme storm surge events fall within range of the upper 95% confidence limit. This is particularly the case with the Escuminac and Shediac residual graphs. In the case of Shediac, the surveyed record level of 3.62 m (CD ...
... level and the anticipated tides) reveals that a significant number of recorded extreme storm surge events fall within range of the upper 95% confidence limit. This is particularly the case with the Escuminac and Shediac residual graphs. In the case of Shediac, the surveyed record level of 3.62 m (CD ...
El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global - adv
... of the scientific literature, the IPCC (2001) concluded “an increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system” and that “most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.” The IPCC (2001) found ...
... of the scientific literature, the IPCC (2001) concluded “an increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system” and that “most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.” The IPCC (2001) found ...
Final-Coastal-Resources-2012-07-12
... Research since AR4 has suggested that dynamic processes, particularly the loss of shelf ice that buttresses outlet glaciers, can lead to more rapid loss of ice than melting of the top surface ice alone. There is growing consensus in the science community that sea-level rise at the upper end of t ...
... Research since AR4 has suggested that dynamic processes, particularly the loss of shelf ice that buttresses outlet glaciers, can lead to more rapid loss of ice than melting of the top surface ice alone. There is growing consensus in the science community that sea-level rise at the upper end of t ...
Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate
... than 1.5 ◦ C, and values substantially higher than 4.5 ◦ C cannot be excluded. These values seem now to be rather robust estimates as they have not changed much for almost two decades (Table 1) and more recent studies have supported these estimates13–15 . The concluding statements of the IPCC AR4 sy ...
... than 1.5 ◦ C, and values substantially higher than 4.5 ◦ C cannot be excluded. These values seem now to be rather robust estimates as they have not changed much for almost two decades (Table 1) and more recent studies have supported these estimates13–15 . The concluding statements of the IPCC AR4 sy ...
Form A
... atmosphere reacts with the land surface, rivers carry eroded materials to the ocean, and deposited ocean sediments ultimately become new mountains – completing just one of many biogeochemical cycles that have been operating since the beginning of time. The Earth's climate system reflects millions of ...
... atmosphere reacts with the land surface, rivers carry eroded materials to the ocean, and deposited ocean sediments ultimately become new mountains – completing just one of many biogeochemical cycles that have been operating since the beginning of time. The Earth's climate system reflects millions of ...
Climate change and Sea-level rise
... indisputably proven, only inferred or correlated, a compelling case has been made by researchers that greenhouse gas emissions are an important factor driving the rise in temperature. This does not exclude the possibility of a natural component to climate change, but the most likely scenario is one ...
... indisputably proven, only inferred or correlated, a compelling case has been made by researchers that greenhouse gas emissions are an important factor driving the rise in temperature. This does not exclude the possibility of a natural component to climate change, but the most likely scenario is one ...
Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the
... we note that the 56-year penguin observation period includes 10 warm events, for a frequency of w! o " 10/56 " 0.18 (dotted line of Fig. 2B). Thus, for each climate model, we calculated the SIE threshold that produced a frequency of w! o " 0.18 over the observation period; these thresholds range fro ...
... we note that the 56-year penguin observation period includes 10 warm events, for a frequency of w! o " 10/56 " 0.18 (dotted line of Fig. 2B). Thus, for each climate model, we calculated the SIE threshold that produced a frequency of w! o " 0.18 over the observation period; these thresholds range fro ...
it`s not the heat, it`s the tepidity
... elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment (GHCN-v3 1880-01/2015 + SST: ERSST 1880-01/2015). There are many variants of this graph, some using land measurements only, some using different adjustment methodologies, some averaging differently. We picked this one because it seems the most popul ...
... elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment (GHCN-v3 1880-01/2015 + SST: ERSST 1880-01/2015). There are many variants of this graph, some using land measurements only, some using different adjustment methodologies, some averaging differently. We picked this one because it seems the most popul ...
Future climate change projections for the Latin American region
... been detected over the Peruvian Andes by Lavado et al. (2012). For the Amazon basin, Marengo (2004) and Satyamurty et al. (2010) concluded that no systematic unidirectional long-term trends towards drier or wetter conditions in both the northern and southern Amazon have been identified since the 192 ...
... been detected over the Peruvian Andes by Lavado et al. (2012). For the Amazon basin, Marengo (2004) and Satyamurty et al. (2010) concluded that no systematic unidirectional long-term trends towards drier or wetter conditions in both the northern and southern Amazon have been identified since the 192 ...
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate
... 2005). Hence, frameworks other than the IPCC may lead to different results. However, in this paper, we take the position and procedures of the IPCC as an intermediary between science and policy as a given, and do not discuss alternative ways of communicating scientific climate change research and as ...
... 2005). Hence, frameworks other than the IPCC may lead to different results. However, in this paper, we take the position and procedures of the IPCC as an intermediary between science and policy as a given, and do not discuss alternative ways of communicating scientific climate change research and as ...
document Robock Presentation
... Lead Author, WG I, Chapter 8 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 5 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 7 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 11 Contributing Author, WG II, Chapter 19 Reviewer, many drafts of WG I, II, and III Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences ...
... Lead Author, WG I, Chapter 8 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 5 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 7 Contributing Author, WG I, Chapter 11 Contributing Author, WG II, Chapter 19 Reviewer, many drafts of WG I, II, and III Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences ...
Slide 1
... Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007 IPCC Report Started 2004 Completed February 2007 152 Authors ~450 contributors ~600 expert reviewers 30,000+ review comments Contents Summary for Policymakers Technical Summary 11 Chapters Frequently Asked Questions ~5000 literatu ...
... Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007 IPCC Report Started 2004 Completed February 2007 152 Authors ~450 contributors ~600 expert reviewers 30,000+ review comments Contents Summary for Policymakers Technical Summary 11 Chapters Frequently Asked Questions ~5000 literatu ...
Canada`s Marine Coasts in a Changing Climate – Chapter 1
... For example, scenarios presented in the most recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2013b) include a range of plausible futures where mean global surface temperature is likely to increase by 0.3–4.8°C for the period 2081–2100 (relative to the 1985–2005 mean), with asso ...
... For example, scenarios presented in the most recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2013b) include a range of plausible futures where mean global surface temperature is likely to increase by 0.3–4.8°C for the period 2081–2100 (relative to the 1985–2005 mean), with asso ...
Smith et al (2009
... atmosphere at a level that ‘‘would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system.’’ In an effort to provide some insight into impacts of climate change that might be considered DAI, authors of the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Ch ...
... atmosphere at a level that ‘‘would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system.’’ In an effort to provide some insight into impacts of climate change that might be considered DAI, authors of the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Ch ...
DrieD up, DrowneD out - TILZ
... agenda and formed writing groups in which we argued loud and long about all the data and what it meant. Our work was refereed by other scientists and by governments, and our final summaries were agreed, sentence by sentence, at very tough intergovernmental meetings. The scientific evidence as presen ...
... agenda and formed writing groups in which we argued loud and long about all the data and what it meant. Our work was refereed by other scientists and by governments, and our final summaries were agreed, sentence by sentence, at very tough intergovernmental meetings. The scientific evidence as presen ...
National Geographic rising sea level prophecy
... seas will extend the ruinous reach of storm surges. The threat will never go away; it will only worsen. By the end of the century a hundred-year storm surge like Sandy’s might occur every decade or less.” “…carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will reach around a thousand parts per million by the end of ...
... seas will extend the ruinous reach of storm surges. The threat will never go away; it will only worsen. By the end of the century a hundred-year storm surge like Sandy’s might occur every decade or less.” “…carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will reach around a thousand parts per million by the end of ...
Greenhouse Gases and Global Warming Potential Values
... during the past 20 million years. The rate of increase over the past century is unprecedented, at least during the past 20,000 years.” The IPCC definitively states that “the present atmospheric CO2 increase is caused by anthropogenic emissions of CO2 ” (IPCC 2001). Forest clearing, other biomass bur ...
... during the past 20 million years. The rate of increase over the past century is unprecedented, at least during the past 20,000 years.” The IPCC definitively states that “the present atmospheric CO2 increase is caused by anthropogenic emissions of CO2 ” (IPCC 2001). Forest clearing, other biomass bur ...
Environmental Degradation, Social Sin, and the Common Good
... the centuries by eminent theologians who are revered in the Catholic tradition, l documents issued by the church magisterium, a growing array of theological reflections informed by scientific findings, and discussions of ethical imperatives pertaining to the natural environment. When read through an ...
... the centuries by eminent theologians who are revered in the Catholic tradition, l documents issued by the church magisterium, a growing array of theological reflections informed by scientific findings, and discussions of ethical imperatives pertaining to the natural environment. When read through an ...
(SPARC) (Thomas Peter, ETH Zurich)
... gives the wrong sign to politicians, it has unbearable political/social/ legal consequences (winners/losers), it can’t be done “right” anyway. ...
... gives the wrong sign to politicians, it has unbearable political/social/ legal consequences (winners/losers), it can’t be done “right” anyway. ...
McCarl, B.A., J. Chen, and A. Thayer, "Climate change and food
... Draft chapter for Food Security in an Uncertain World : An International Perspective edited by Andy Schmitz The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2013, 2014b) indicates climate change and its drivers have increased temperatures, changed precipitation, reduced snow and ice, raised sea ...
... Draft chapter for Food Security in an Uncertain World : An International Perspective edited by Andy Schmitz The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2013, 2014b) indicates climate change and its drivers have increased temperatures, changed precipitation, reduced snow and ice, raised sea ...
Impact and Response Scenarios for Coastal Flooding in Barbados and
... being funded by the Disaster Preparedness Programme of the European Commission (ECHO) the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Response Agency (CDERA) has retained the services of the CARICOM Adapting to Climate Change in the Caribbean project to develop/flood assessment methodology for coastal flooding whi ...
... being funded by the Disaster Preparedness Programme of the European Commission (ECHO) the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Response Agency (CDERA) has retained the services of the CARICOM Adapting to Climate Change in the Caribbean project to develop/flood assessment methodology for coastal flooding whi ...
The 2°C target - Climate Emergency Institute
... to occur, or to which the world would be committed as the global mean temperature approaches 2oC above pre-industrial temperatures, as well as those that are expected to occur if the global temperature increases beyond this level. The EU’s global temperature target of 2°C above pre-industrial was fi ...
... to occur, or to which the world would be committed as the global mean temperature approaches 2oC above pre-industrial temperatures, as well as those that are expected to occur if the global temperature increases beyond this level. The EU’s global temperature target of 2°C above pre-industrial was fi ...
Sea Level Change - Imperial College London
... How can ice sheets contribute to sea level? The ice sheets of West and East Antarctica and Greenland are distinct, and react to climate warming differently. For Greenland, much of the potential ice loss comes from direct climate warming, leading to surface melting and run-off of water to the ocean ( ...
... How can ice sheets contribute to sea level? The ice sheets of West and East Antarctica and Greenland are distinct, and react to climate warming differently. For Greenland, much of the potential ice loss comes from direct climate warming, leading to surface melting and run-off of water to the ocean ( ...