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Geo XXXX Earth Systems: Geosphere
Geo XXXX Earth Systems: Geosphere

... the last 2.6 million years, includes the rise of human civilizations, and extends to the present day. Climatically, the defining characteristics of the Quaternary are 1) regular cycles between glacial and interglacial periods and 2) abrupt shifts in the state of the climate system. Understanding the ...
Urban Climate
Urban Climate

... 6. Relocalization of precipitation • Global precipitation increased by 20% in last ...
The Future of Climate Change
The Future of Climate Change

...  Scientists run the model using past data  If it accurately reproduces past data it will likely give good predictions of the future ...
Module 1 - Science - Global Climate Change Alliance
Module 1 - Science - Global Climate Change Alliance

... o Greatest risk of increased flooding from the sea and in some mega deltas, flooding from the rivers o Endemic morbidity and mortality due to diarrhoeal disease primarily associated with floods and droughts o Pressure on natural resources and the environment associated with rapid urbanisation, indus ...
Wild weather: the new normal?
Wild weather: the new normal?

... the last 150 years, carbon dioxide concentrations have increased by nearly 40 percent and, this May, surpassed 400 ppm for the first time in human history.x The Fourth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change attributes 90 percent of global warming to human activity ...
The Ocean is Planet Earth`s Life Support System
The Ocean is Planet Earth`s Life Support System

... heat, water and greenhouse gases (such as carbon dioxide). By absorbing heat as well as large amounts of carbon dioxide, the ocean lessens the effects of climate change* experienced on land. However, this comes at a cost to ocean health and therefore human health. We can reduce the stress we put on ...
Climate Change PowerPoint
Climate Change PowerPoint

... • Their conclusions: “If carbon dioxide continues to increase the study group finds no reason to doubt that climate changes will result and no reason to believe these changes will be negligible. For a doubling of carbon dioxide from pre-industrial levels, the likely global temperature rise will be b ...
Creating a weather-smart nation
Creating a weather-smart nation

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1998 – 1999 – 2000
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EPP hearing on "Key Issues in Post

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The American College & University Presidents Climate Commitment
The American College & University Presidents Climate Commitment

... •Establish an institutional structure to oversee the development and implementation of the schools’ program to comply with the ACUPCC; ...
In a region already characterized by high variability in the current
In a region already characterized by high variability in the current

... represents an additional stress for society, economic sectors and natural environments. This changing risk profile will have an effect on the outcome of a wide range of decisions affecting individual, societal and economic well-being. In order to plan effectively for the future, decision-makers must ...
Dual Impact Of Climate Change Intensifying vulnerability Achala Gupta
Dual Impact Of Climate Change Intensifying vulnerability Achala Gupta

... disasters have become extremely commonplace all over the world on the other hand as its potent after effect. Every year 250 million people are affected by natural disasters. Since 1992 the international community has spent some $2.7 billion (1.9 billion Euros) to help mitigate the impact of hurrican ...
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Q&A with UNFCCC Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres: The UNFCCC
Q&A with UNFCCC Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres: The UNFCCC

... What is the UN hoping to get out of the UN Climate Change Conference in Durban? There are two main tasks that the conference can accomplish. One relates to building the institutions that will help support the developing country response to climate change. At the UN Climate Change Conference in Cancu ...
Preferences for Energy Efficiency vs. Renewables: How Much Does
Preferences for Energy Efficiency vs. Renewables: How Much Does

... the costs and benefits of mitigating greenhouse gas emissions. This paper seeks to estimate the benefits of climate change mitigation, as measured by the public’s willingness to pay for such policies. We investigate the preferences of Italian and Czech households towards climate change mitigation po ...
Climate Change and Human Health
Climate Change and Human Health

... measure and control confounders; describe the geographical area from which the health data are derived; use appropriate observed meteorological data for population of interest (the use of reanalysis data may give spurious results for studies of local effects); have plausible biological explanation f ...
Effect of Global Warming and Climate Changes on Sugarcane
Effect of Global Warming and Climate Changes on Sugarcane

... atmosphere (dry wood is about 50 percent carbon). • The result is that humans are adding ever-increasing amounts of extra carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Because of this, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are higher today than they have been over the last halfmillion years or longer. • a ...
Climate Change in New York
Climate Change in New York

... • Heavy rainfall events are becoming more frequent across the Northeast • Under both emissions scenarios – rainfall is expected to become more intense. – periods of heavy rainfall are expected to become more frequent. ...
UNEP Background Guide - Universidad la Salle Cancún
UNEP Background Guide - Universidad la Salle Cancún

... average temperature is stable over long periods of time. Furthermore, small changes in temperature lead to enormous changes in the environment. For example, at the end of the last ice age, when the Northeast United States was covered by more than 3,000 feet of ice, average temperatures were only 5 t ...
Letter to Representative Smith 8 July 2014 (opens in new window)
Letter to Representative Smith 8 July 2014 (opens in new window)

... of economic sectors and depend on a large number of assumptions, many of which are disputable, and many estimates do not account for catastrophic changes, tipping points, and many other factors. With these recognized limitations, the incomplete estimates of global annual economic losses for addition ...
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Butterflies and Climate - The North American Butterfly Monitoring
Butterflies and Climate - The North American Butterfly Monitoring

... Continuing efforts towards a research program dedicated to understanding global change • One of our most important long-term goals is to make climate change’s impacts on insects more predictable. We will do this by determining the extent to which physiological constraints measured in the lab or fie ...
Do now! - MrSimonPorter
Do now! - MrSimonPorter

... greenhouse gases from human activity. Ice core records from the past 650,000 years show that temperature increases have preceded—not resulted from—increases in CO2 by hundreds of years, suggesting that the warming of the oceans is an important source of the rise in atmospheric CO2. As the dominant g ...
Climate Change and Georgia - Conservation in a Changing Climate
Climate Change and Georgia - Conservation in a Changing Climate

... General circulation models are complex computer simulations that describe the circulation of air and ocean currents and how energy is transported within the climate system. While uncertainties remain, these models are a powerful tool for studying climate. Scientists are reasonably confident about th ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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