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Chapter 6 - UCLA: Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Chapter 6 - UCLA: Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences

... of changes in top of atm radiative balance • In simple model, increase of greenhouse gas, corresponds to increase in absorptivity Dea (trapping more upgoing IR in atm) • Before any temp change occurs there will be a deficit G in the outgoing IR  imbalance at top of atm G (in Wm-2) good measure of t ...
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... Deciduous forests, which shed their leaves in autumn, were the original tree cover of the temperate zones. Although they have been cleared for cities and farms over the years, some large forested areas still remain. These can be found in North America, Europe, Japan and New Zealand. Within the fores ...
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... evidence to show that developed countries, w hich comprise 15 per cent o f the total com plem ent o f countries, account for alm ost h alf o f the w orld’s CO2 em issions7. These countries have the financial resources to im plem ent deep cuts in emissions w hereas poor and developing countries tread ...
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Assessing adaptation and mitigation options at multiple scales in the

... • Which are the robust options that may offer benefits at different levels under a range of different plausible futures? • What are the limits to adaptation: when/how do stressors become so great as to induce transformative change? • Importance of assessing synergies, trade-offs (making sure we have ...
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PRACTICE TOWARD A DEEPER ENGAGEMENT OF THE U.S.

... of those worrying “a great deal” and “a fair amount” (65% in 2007) was only 2% higher than when the measure was first taken in 1989 (Nisbet and Myers 2007: 455456). ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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