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Estimation of Climate Change Impacts (Pece Ristevski
Estimation of Climate Change Impacts (Pece Ristevski

... decrease of 3.4-4.4% in the period 2075-2100 compared to the period 1961-1990. The changes of climate and its fluctuations and variations imply some changes in many sectors, such as: agriculture, forestry, water resources, health care, fishery and ecosystems, as well as urban planning and socio-econ ...
The Coordination and Vertical Integration of Climate Actions AH SM
The Coordination and Vertical Integration of Climate Actions AH SM

... particular to local climate actions by NSAs. For example, as described above, it can improve monitoring and verification, boosting the accuracy, consistency and utility of data sets or markets. However, another important issue highlighted by increased NSA participation in global climate discussions ...
Climate Change and Human Security
Climate Change and Human Security

... 1. Introduction: Springtime for whom? This spring at the Earth’s higher latitudes sees the UN Security Council about to break new ground by taking up the issue of climate change. How will changing climate patterns affect both inter-state relations and international and national security in a narrow, ...
The influence of climate change on Western Australian agriculture
The influence of climate change on Western Australian agriculture

... The annual mean temperature averaged over all of WA has increased by a little over 0.8°C since 1910. Since 1950 there has been an average rate of warming of 0.14°C per decade, with the maxima increasing by almost as much as the minima. Winter and spring have experienced the most warming and summer t ...
Keith Brander
Keith Brander

... about the actual response of cod to temperature changes is incomplete and a number of other factors need to be considered. One is that the seasonal pattern and variability of temperature will have a profound effect; growth will be faster if the temperature stays close to the optimum level throughout ...
Why Analyze Mental Models of Local Climate Change?
Why Analyze Mental Models of Local Climate Change?

... climate events and changes. These mental models offer critical insight into locally important factors that trigger responses to new climate conditions and can be used to ground-truth regional climate models. In this paper, the authors explore mental models of changes to local climate patterns and cl ...
the journal Nature Climate Change
the journal Nature Climate Change

... feedback is the dominant source of model spread5. Such feedbacks are strongly related to regional phenomena, so that the global mean is determined by integrated regional-scale effects (for example, ice albedo feedback). At continental scales, robust features of change in surface air temperature have ...
Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave
Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave

... a particular pattern of latitudinal variation in zonal-mean surface and lower tropospheric temperatures3. Recent work has reported a clustering of resonance events since 2000 during the satellite reanalysis era (1979-present) that coincides with rapid warming of Arctic surface temperatures, which is ...
UNFCCC Workshop on the preparation of national communications
UNFCCC Workshop on the preparation of national communications

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First comprehensive review of the state of Antarctica`s climate
First comprehensive review of the state of Antarctica`s climate

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Submission on New Zealand`s climate change target
Submission on New Zealand`s climate change target

... ARPHS supports basing targets on mitigation pathways that will avoid global average surface temperature increases of 2oC as outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report This corresponds to emission reductions in the range of 40-70% by 2030. ...
Microsoft PowerPoint - poster_discontinuit
Microsoft PowerPoint - poster_discontinuit

... Each breakpoint splits the time-series in homogeneous sub-series whose trends must be analysed separately. Some methods for discontinuity analysis are discussed in this work. A specific advantage of the discontinuity analyses is to focus on the climatic and non-climatic origin of the breakpoints (e. ...
Future climate change projections for the Latin American region
Future climate change projections for the Latin American region

... A brief indication of how the science of climate modeling may develop in the next five years that could increase knowledge of changes in climate and climate variability in LAC in the decades leading up to the middle of the century. Of particular interest would be aspects that are salient for agricul ...
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... crisis humans have faced. Climate change scientists are in agreement that climate change is increasing, and human activity is pushing it to dangerous levels. Cuts in carbon emission of between 50-80% are needed by 2050 if we are to stabilise climate change. Politicians and businesses are slowly catc ...
The Strategic Threat of Inevitable Climate Change
The Strategic Threat of Inevitable Climate Change

... interglacial periods.”16 Previous global warming in conjunction with ice ages occurred over much greater period of time, generally around 5000 years.17 In contrast, on its current trajectory global temperatures are predicted to increase between 1.1 and 6.4 ...
To identify key issues and drivers of global change in which the
To identify key issues and drivers of global change in which the

... Global Terrestrial Observing System (GTOS). This is the first of potentially 3 workshops to accomplish that goal. The focus will be on identifying the individual components of the coastal observing system. ...
Climate Change. A Global Threat to Cardiopulmonary Health
Climate Change. A Global Threat to Cardiopulmonary Health

... and total and cardiovascular mortality (7). Household air pollution, consisting of black carbon smoke from indoor cooking particularly in the developing world, has been ranked as the third largest contributor to the global burden of disease, largely because of its associations with childhood respira ...
CLIMATE CHANGE - Canadian Public Health Association
CLIMATE CHANGE - Canadian Public Health Association

... atmosphere traps the heat from the sun. Without this natural greenhouse effect, our planet would be covered with ice. The concern is that the gases we have added to the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution have created too much of a good thing. The widespread use of gasoline-powered vehicles h ...
climate change, ocean acidification and marine ecotoxicology: how to
climate change, ocean acidification and marine ecotoxicology: how to

... highest level, then I would propose that part of the answer to the question posed above is as follows. ...
Have the Tropical Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions
Have the Tropical Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions

... Milankovitch changes in the solar insolation. The calculation demonstrated that the amplitude and frequency of El Niño or La Niña varied in response to a precessional cycle (calculated NINO3 in Fig. 2). This finding suggests that the tropical Pacific can drive globally synchronous climate change on ...
GCSE Scheme of Work - Edexcel
GCSE Scheme of Work - Edexcel

... greenhouse gases. To analyse the growth of greenhouse gases and what contributes to it. Be able to explain the enhanced greenhouse effect (as well as the natural greenhouse effect). ...
Public understanding of science is critical for a society increasingly
Public understanding of science is critical for a society increasingly

... to the mitigation of climate change pushed the issue of global warming to prominence in the United States and United Kingdom in the late 1980s and 1990s. Political campaigns focused on the need to reduce chlorofluorocarbons and the hole in the ozone, with media publicizing the detrimental and scary ...
2. Climate Change
2. Climate Change

... The seas surrounding the South West peninsula are the warmest of the UK with a mean annual temperature of between 11°C and 12°C. The South West prevailing winds travel over the sea before coming ashore which helps maintain onshore air temperatures in coastal areas. Inland, the mean temperature decre ...
Climate Science Overview pdf
Climate Science Overview pdf

... the  Earth  system.  So  changes  in  the  parts  cause  the  climate  to  change,  and  that  changing   climate  then  affects  the  parts  and  cause  further  changes  in  the  climate.  These  kinds  of  loops   of  change  are ...
PALIMMN in the classroom Lesson Plan Author: Marie
PALIMMN in the classroom Lesson Plan Author: Marie

... space. The other part is absorbed and re-emitted by the Earth, then trapped in the atmosphere by greenhouse gases (such as water vapor, carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane) , causing the Earth to heat up. Without the greenhouse gases, the Earth would be much colder (approximately 60°F colder) ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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