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The scientific consensus on climate change: How do we know we`re
The scientific consensus on climate change: How do we know we`re

... “Scientific evidence strongly indicates that natural influences cannot explain the rapid increase in global near-surface temperatures observed during the second half of the 20th century.”8 Likewise the American Association for the Advancement of Science: “The world is warming up. Average temperature ...
ICLEI Milestone 2 Report Climate Changes and Impacts for the City
ICLEI Milestone 2 Report Climate Changes and Impacts for the City

... Local response to sea level rise As a complicating factor, for a given rise in global mean sea level the relative local response can be very different from one location to another. Local sea level rise is determined by regional ocean temperatures and circulation, atmospheric pressure and wind speeds ...
Lecture 22
Lecture 22

... Phys Phys150 150 Lecture Lecture22 ...
Rapid Climate Change Science Plan
Rapid Climate Change Science Plan

... involve all the direct measurements in the Nordic Seas, including the mixing processes discussed below, and the model-data synthesis efforts (see 4 below). The programme will also support studies of mixing processes such as convective and non-convective vertical mixing, interaction with topography ( ...
Contact information of the Chairs/Coordinators of regional
Contact information of the Chairs/Coordinators of regional

... Contact Information for the Chairs and Coordinators of Regional Groups and other Constituencies as of 1 February 2013 ...
ClimateChange11 - Stand
ClimateChange11 - Stand

... p1: Two stories are going to dominate the 21st century. p2-3: Story #1: Poverty reduction p2-3: One story is development and poverty reduction; this is going to be great news, and it’s all going to happen on its own (invisible hand). p4-5: Story #2: Environmental impact p4-5: The other story is the ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... • To keep temperature increase to 2.0C, GHG concentration should be kept below 450ppm • This could require up to a 50% emissions reduction below 1990 levels by 2050 ...
Slide 1 - climateknowledge.org
Slide 1 - climateknowledge.org

... • Recent changes in both T and CO2 are unprecedented in the past several hundred thousands of years. – And the last 10,000 years, which is when humans have thrived in the way that we have thrived. ...
European Temperate, Humid Continental Climate Building
European Temperate, Humid Continental Climate Building

... much rarer. Still they are of high importance, since regional effects of climate change with no doubt will differ significantly from the worldwide predictions. For example alpine regions are expected to undergo a much stronger warming process than lower or even coastal influenced regions. In Austria ...
Extended Abstract
Extended Abstract

... region. This data was used to calibrate a ski season simulation model that included a snowmaking module with climatic thresholds and operational decision rules based on interviews with ski area managers. A complete record of daily temperature (maximum, minimum and mean), precipitation (rain and snow ...
Assessing the impact of late Pleistocene megafaunal extinctions on
Assessing the impact of late Pleistocene megafaunal extinctions on



... earlier than they did in Henry David Thoreau’s time. arrives earlier today than it did then—a barometer of global warming. (He also checked photographs of leaf-out going back to the 1800s; those photos’ dates also indicate that spring came later in horse-and-buggy days.) To corroborate his work, Pri ...
Global climate change and non
Global climate change and non

... system is warming due to increased concentrations of GHGs; (2) most of the increase in GHGs over the past century or more is due to human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels and secondarily deforestation; (3) natural causes always have a role in changing the earth’s climate, but now p ...
Biomes Individual and Collaborative Project
Biomes Individual and Collaborative Project

... compare biomes in different regions of the world • 3.2 relate the characteristics of two major biomes (i.e., grassland, desert, tundra, taiga, deciduous and rain forest) to net radiant energy, climatic factors (temperature, moisture, sunlight and wind) and topography (mountain ranges, large bodies o ...
Climate Adapted Cities - Solutions from Copenhagen
Climate Adapted Cities - Solutions from Copenhagen

... everyday rain as well as cloudbursts. The challenge is that the area is situated in a densely populated part of the city and cannot deal with rain from a cloudburst with its present design. One of the solutions to the cloudburst problem is to increase the area’s drainage capacity by integrating the ...
Global climate change: climates of the future, choices for the present
Global climate change: climates of the future, choices for the present

... with warming and observed increases of atmospheric water vapour. On the other hand,  decreases in precipitation have been observed in the Sahel, the Mediterranean, southern  Africa, and parts of southern Asia, which together with increased temperatures since the  1970s, have resulted in more intense ...
ASSESSING THE COASTAL POPULATION AT RISK TO SEA LEVEL
ASSESSING THE COASTAL POPULATION AT RISK TO SEA LEVEL

... We have demonstrated that through the use of GIS and a number of published data sets, crude estimates of population who would most likely be impacted by sea-level rise can be obtained. The same methodology can be applied to compute population estimates for the world. As in many studies, however, the ...
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the

... Since the industrial revolution and expansion of agriculture around 200 years ago, we have been releasing additional carbon dioxide gas into the atmosphere. Today, the concentration of this gas is approximately 30 per cent greater than in the 18th century. Levels of other greenhouse gases have also ...
Aerosols and Climate Change
Aerosols and Climate Change

... mechanism. In this report radiative forcing values are for changes relative to preindustrial conditions defined at 1750 and are expressed in Watts per square meter (W/m2)” • Anthropogenic: rise in human emissions, land-use change • Natural: changes in solar flux, volcanic emissions Does NOT include ...
Forests and Climate Change
Forests and Climate Change

... The current generation of models has capability beyond hydrometeorology and incorporates ecological advances in biogeochemical and biogeographical modeling (10). Many models simulate the carbon cycle (Fig. 2C) and vegetation dynamics (Fig. 2D). In these models, the biosphere and atmosphere form a co ...
Comment by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

... climate changes averted). This seemed a strange omission since the reason for the new regulations was to mitigate climate change. In light of these draft CEQ guidelines, the reason for this omission is illuminated—it is the preferred Administrative strategy to deflect attention away from a quantific ...
To this scientific item, click here
To this scientific item, click here

... 4  BEURIER (J.-P.), Kiss (A.†) : Droit international de l’environnement, Paris, éd. Pédone, coll. Etudes internationales, 2010, p. 265. 5  Also, Parties States to the UNFCCC have a shared responsibility to preserve the climate system in the interest of present and future generations, on the basis of ...
El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global - adv
El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global - adv

... around the 2–8 year frequency band (IPCC, 2001). It is accompanied with a teleconnection pattern that extends out of the Pacific region (e.g. see, Timmermann et al., 1999; Changnon, 1999; Stern et al., 1999; IPCC, 2001 for detailed assessments of the impacts of the 1997–1998 El Niño event globally ...
Diploma Program: Integrated Community Based Adaptation, DRR
Diploma Program: Integrated Community Based Adaptation, DRR

... CSDi is announcing the May launch of a diploma program of online field courses integrating community-based adaptation to climate change, disaster risk reduction, and rural development. These courses begin by introducing basic climate change concepts, participatory disaster preparedness, and mainstre ...
Assignment 1 – Key Knowledge Resource
Assignment 1 – Key Knowledge Resource

... This refers to periods of cooler weather and La Nino has more of a stronger effect then El Nino. This impacts the temperatures making them cooler but can also increase the rainfall at a particular time (Bureau of Meteorology, 2005). Finally, post human impact has seen significant changes to the weat ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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