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Global Climate Change
Global Climate Change

... • Climate = an area’s long-term atmospheric conditions - Temperature, moisture content, wind, precipitation, etc. • Weather = conditions at localized sites over hours or days • Global climate change = describes trends and variations in Earth’s climate - Temperature, precipitation, storm frequency • ...
Modeling climate mitigation and adaptation policies to predict their effectiveness: The limits of randomized controlled trials: Working Paper 120 (327 kB) (opens in new window)
Modeling climate mitigation and adaptation policies to predict their effectiveness: The limits of randomized controlled trials: Working Paper 120 (327 kB) (opens in new window)

... A policy must have been implemented for its effects to be measured. These IEs have two main functions: First, when an IE establishes that the policy had the effect it was designed to have, it thereby provides a post hoc justification for the decision to fund and implement the policy. Second, the res ...
Chile`s Third National Communication on Climate
Chile`s Third National Communication on Climate

... set of plans has allowed the different ministries organizing to work systematically and jointly to improve the country’s climate adaptation. Currently Chile has also a Forestry Policy 2015-2035 and a new Energy Policy (Energy 2050), both published this year in which climate change is a part of their ...
Integrating Community and Ecosystem
Integrating Community and Ecosystem

... assets and to affect the rights of vulnerable people, especially those that are dependent on biodiversity and ecosystem services for food, water and shelter, and particularly in times of need or to meet contingencies. Climate change is also having a negative impact on traditional coping mechanisms a ...
studies
studies

... 2012). Several Non-Annex I countries also submitted Copenhagen pledges which – under the name of nationally appropriate mitigation actions (NAMAs) – are of voluntary nature.2 The Durban conference in 2011 established the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action as a new track for negotiating an internat ...
Indigenous and Traditional Peoples and Climate
Indigenous and Traditional Peoples and Climate

... Chapter three provides maps that superimpose the location of indigenous and traditional peoples (ethno-linguistic groups) over climate change projections on temperature, precipitation and sea level change from the IPCC (2007). The resulting maps show areas of high concentration of indigenous and tr ...
BSR Creating an Action Agenda for Private
BSR Creating an Action Agenda for Private

... savings and helping to produce high-quality jobs. But despite this progress, there is much more work to be done. This year provides an opportunity to capitalize on the existing momentum and create a catalyst for further ambition and action on climate change. In December 2015 in Paris, representative ...
Validation of Downscaled Climate Change Scenarios of
Validation of Downscaled Climate Change Scenarios of

... jumps in the time series have resulted in some stations not being used in the analyses or used only for the period after the discontinuity. Once quality control and homogeneity testing have been accomplished, the calculation of the analysis commences. A description of models and in particular their ...
Dis full and final - University of Otago
Dis full and final - University of Otago

... New Zealand Minister of Immigration, Michael Woodhouse has stated that at present, the New Zealand Government’s focus is on climate mitigation rather than “building an ambulance at the bottom of the cliff”.11 While Woodhouse has stated that the Government does not have specific climate related immig ...
A Practitioner`s Guide to Climate Change Adaptation
A Practitioner`s Guide to Climate Change Adaptation

... The average annual global temperature warmed by about 0.76oC over the last century (IPCC, 2007a), but average warming across Canada was more than double the world average (Environment Canada, 2011). In the last 63 years, the average temperature in Canada has increased about 1.6oC, although there hav ...
NO. EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION, Plaintiff, v. CLAUDE EARL
NO. EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION, Plaintiff, v. CLAUDE EARL

An Overview of the International Regime Addressing Climate Change
An Overview of the International Regime Addressing Climate Change

... in 1997. The Protocol outlined emission limits for the Convention’s Annex I Parties. However, many key details about the Protocol were not resolved and negotiations continued. During this period, the United States government negotiated under a cloud of uncertainty as the U.S. Senate passed in 1997 a ...
A Practitioner`s Guide to Climate Change Adaptation
A Practitioner`s Guide to Climate Change Adaptation

... The average annual global temperature warmed by about 0.76oC over the last century (IPCC, 2007a), but average warming across Canada was more than double the world average (Environment Canada, 2011). In the last 63 years, the average temperature in Canada has increased about 1.6oC, although there hav ...
decoding intended nationally determined contributions (indcs)
decoding intended nationally determined contributions (indcs)

... Countries may explain fairness through multiple criteria, such as emissions responsibility (such as historical, current or projected future emissions per capita or total emissions), economic capacity and development indicators (such as GDP per capita), and relative costs and benefits of action in l ...
Adaptation benefits and costs – measurement and
Adaptation benefits and costs – measurement and

... the global benefits of emissions reductions, then two important first-order conditions that flow from this are: 1) the sum of the marginal damages avoided in each region (i.e., global damages)should be equal in all regions that undertake mitigation and 2) the marginal cost of mitigation in these reg ...
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change

... IPCC, AR5, WG III, Figure 7.14 Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report ...
CBDAMPIC
CBDAMPIC

... (GEF). It has also contributed to the increase in the awareness level of policy makers in other Pacific Island governments on the need to integrate climate change into mainstream government planning and development. The project has also developed and successfully demonstrated a framework of action t ...
Global Climate Projections
Global Climate Projections

... scenario. The greater uncertainty at higher values results in part from uncertainties in the carbon cycle feedbacks. The multimodel mean SAT warming and associated uncertainty ranges for 2090 to 2099 relative to 1980 to 1999 are B1: +1.8°C (1.1°C to 2.9°C), B2: +2.4°C (1.4°C to 3.8°C), A1B: +2.8°C ( ...
Climate Change Threats and Effects: Challenges for Agriculture and
Climate Change Threats and Effects: Challenges for Agriculture and

... of agriculture and the poverty complex, involving several millions of poor people, The majority of these rural poor rely and indeed survive because of the reliance on agriculture. An estimated 60% of the working population and generating 25% of the region’s GDP are involved with agriculture. ESCAP ( ...
ACT Climate Change Adaptation Strategy
ACT Climate Change Adaptation Strategy

... human intervention to reduce the sources or enhance the sinks of greenhouse gases1 and adaptation as the process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects.1 ACT-specific climate projections indicate there is significant risk that extreme weather events will become more frequent and ...
ACT Climate Change Adaptation Strategy
ACT Climate Change Adaptation Strategy

... human intervention to reduce the sources or enhance the sinks of greenhouse gases1 and adaptation as the process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects.1 ACT-specific climate projections indicate there is significant risk that extreme weather events will become more frequent and ...
Working Paper No.7 - Climate Learning and Knowledge
Working Paper No.7 - Climate Learning and Knowledge

... landslides  in  highland  areas,  and  heat  waves  over  the  past  several  decades.  Such  instances  have   caused   various   stresses   to   the   populace   including   reduced   agricultural   yields,   destruction   of   property,   in ...
Importance of carbon dioxide physiological forcing to future climate
Importance of carbon dioxide physiological forcing to future climate

... change in which the calculations of plant physiology used a CO2 value of 800 ppm, but the calculations of radiative transfer used the control concentration of 400 ppm. Similarly, the effect of CO2 -radiative forcing is represented by simulated climate change in which the calculations of radiative tr ...
Regional temperature change over the HuangHuaiHai Plain of
Regional temperature change over the HuangHuaiHai Plain of

... ABSTRACT: Irrigation and urbanization, two widely occurring land-use/land-cover changes, have important influences on regional climate, especially on temperature. The effect of irrigation and urbanization on temperature is separately documented in several studies. However, there are few studies anal ...
Post-fire changes in net shortwave radiation along a latitudinal
Post-fire changes in net shortwave radiation along a latitudinal

... whereas the summer (June, July, and August) contribution decreased from 36% to 26%. Fall and winter together (September through February) contributed only approximately 28% to annual pre-fire Sout in the southern zone and 22% in the northern zone. Increases in the snow season length from south to no ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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