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Multiple Effects of Changes in Arctic Snow Cover
Multiple Effects of Changes in Arctic Snow Cover

... equivalent (SWE) but decreases in snow cover duration (SCD) by about 10–20% are projected over much of the Arctic (Callaghan et al. 2011a, b [this issue] and references therein). Snow cover plays a major role in climate, hydrology and ecological systems through its influence on the surface energy ba ...
A Global Response to HFCs through Fair and
A Global Response to HFCs through Fair and

... The ozone and climate regimes: relationships and responsibilities One argument against the introduction of HFC control schedules into the Montreal Protocol has been that HFCs are already included under the climate regime. This ignores the distinction of production and consumption controls under Mont ...
The Poverty and Welfare Impacts of Climate Change
The Poverty and Welfare Impacts of Climate Change

Great Lakes Restoration and the Threat of Global Warming
Great Lakes Restoration and the Threat of Global Warming

... he Great Lakes are subject to a variety of environmental, economic, social and ecological threats, as this report discusses in later pages. To deal with these challenges, interested parties in the Great Lakes region, including federal, state, local and tribal government officials and private sector ...
Understanding and responding to climate change in the
Understanding and responding to climate change in the

... developments are likely to affect nearly every part of the seafood industry (from production to consumption). Such developments may be negative, but could also be positive. Observations suggest current rates of change far greater than in recent history. As such industry stakeholders will need to: • ...
DRAFT  P W
DRAFT P W

... The changes in deliveries from CVP and SWP South of the Delta are shown in Figures 1 and 26. These figures show deliveries for the historic condition, climate change condition under GFDLA2, and deliveries for the climate change condition plus the three levee failure scenarios. As expected, the resul ...
Linking Adaptation Research and Practice
Linking Adaptation Research and Practice

... change. By this we mean that it is difficult to identify which adaptations are taking place as a response to weather related (rather than risk factors) and of these, which are in response to expected future climate change. There are two clear difficulties. The first relates to the difficulty of iden ...
lights out for the reef
lights out for the reef

... speckled with green jewels, stretching far into the horizon. Coral cays stud crystal clear waters dusted with fringing reefs and sandy beaches. Under water, the reef teams with life. Reef fish dart through bright coral canyons. Coming face-to face with this underwater rainforest leaves one with a li ...
Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I
Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I

... particularly with respect to their resilience and the potential for alternative stable regimes to arise. Insufficient data are currently available to make comprehensive species-specific vulnerability assessments (including the concepts of exposure, sensitivity, potential for impact, and adaptive cap ...
A 1000 year history of atmospheric sulfate concentrations in
A 1000 year history of atmospheric sulfate concentrations in

... and absorbing radiation, as well as through indirect effects that alter cloud cover and cloud albedo [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2001]. It has been suggested that their effects might be sufficient to moderate the positive forcing by anthropogenic greenhouse gases on regional s ...
Climate Change and Food Security FAO Framework
Climate Change and Food Security FAO Framework

... The way forward In the food and agriculture sector, adaptation and mitigation often go hand in hand, so adopting an integrated strategic approach represents the best way forward. Several funds within the United Nations system finance specific activities aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and ...
Fisheries-dependent indicators of climate change in Western Australia
Fisheries-dependent indicators of climate change in Western Australia

... The use of fishery-dependent data may be a cost-effective way of assessing whether there have been any changes in the distribution and relative abundance of species. Such indicators are part of an ongoing data gathering system and the costs are relatively low compared to those of a fishery-independe ...
a chapter for the Handbook of Macroeconomics
a chapter for the Handbook of Macroeconomics

... with resource scarcity alone—such as an economy with a limited amount of oil. How will markets then price the resource, and how will it be used up over time? Thus, in this section we touch on the broader area of “sustainability,” whereby the question is how the economy manages a set of depletable re ...
Climate Change and Food Security
Climate Change and Food Security

... The way forward In the food and agriculture sector, adaptation and mitigation often go hand in hand, so adopting an integrated strategic approach represents the best way forward. Several funds within the United Nations system finance specific activities aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and ...
Preparing for coastal change - Ministry for the Environment
Preparing for coastal change - Ministry for the Environment

How Might Climate Change Affect Economic Growth in Developing
How Might Climate Change Affect Economic Growth in Developing

... country growth trajectories relative to the case without climate change, possibly even more so than if mitigation measures were adopted. Even when coping behaviors are factored in (‘reactive adaptation’), the remaining damages of climate change (i.e., technically or economically irreversible consequ ...
Possible impacts on climate change on biocontrol systems in New
Possible impacts on climate change on biocontrol systems in New

... estimated that 92 species of natural enemies found in fruit crops in 1998 had established accidentally, compared with 24 through classical biocontrol introductions (Charles 1998). The BCANZ (Biological Control Agents introduced to New Zealand) database (Ferguson et al. 2007) contains information on ...
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Plan
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Plan

... Figure 22: Classification of key berry species by the type of soil in which they grow .................................................................. 46 Figure 23: Iron Ore Mine Pit on Mesabi Range ................................................................................................. ...
more
more

... This document is part of the publication series of FAO’s Forest and Climate Change Programme. The programme works to strengthen countries’ capacities to mitigate and adapt to climate change through actions consistent with sustainable forest management and to promote regional cooperation and internat ...
Icebreakers Neg.Paper
Icebreakers Neg.Paper

... Quebec City, says there's a need to quickly put international border and sovereignty agreements into place because development of the region is already taking place. And, he says, it's accelerating. "Right at this moment, the Arctic is experiencing unprecedented transformation as a result of not onl ...
Bunker Fuels and the Kyoto Protocol How ICAO and the IMO Failed
Bunker Fuels and the Kyoto Protocol How ICAO and the IMO Failed

... Fuel taxes and ICAO Fuel taxes are one of the principal market based options and an extremely powerful and ‘first best’ tool for reducing energy consumption, oil dependence and thus GHG. However they occupy a special position in international aviation. The Chicago Convention, which established ICAO ...
Climate change scenario simulations of wind, sea level, and
Climate change scenario simulations of wind, sea level, and

... 1872 at 2.77 m above mean sea level (Baerens and Hupfer, 1999). Even higher water levels were reported for February 1625, but documented measurements are not available. Hupfer et al. (2003) summarized observations of other extreme storm surges at the German Baltic Sea coast. Thus, even in the semi-e ...
What is causing rapid change in the Arctic at the moment?
What is causing rapid change in the Arctic at the moment?

... hence deposited on snow and ice, could decrease albedo and speed up melting. A study led by researchers at the University of Leeds brought together Arctic shipping inventories for 2004, projected inventories for 2050 and a global aerosol model and found that 2050 emissions will contribute less than ...
Fragile Connections
Fragile Connections

... The snow leopard’s natural prey – such as blue sheep, markhor and ibex – are already under pressure from habitat loss and hunting. Climate change could contribute to further reductions in these species due to the colonisation of grasslands by less nutritious grasses, climate-driven diseases and comp ...
Approaches to Climate Change Adaptation
Approaches to Climate Change Adaptation

... 1.2 Objectives, audience, scope of this report........................................................................... 2 2. Approaches and concepts of adaptation 2.1 Framework for adaptation .................................................................................................... 3 2.2 ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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