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Climate change and human health RISKS AND  RESPONSES Editors
Climate change and human health RISKS AND RESPONSES Editors

... warmest since instrumental records began in the nineteenth century, and contained 9 of the 10 warmest years ever recorded. The causes of this change are increasingly well understood. The Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, published in 2001, goes further than it ...
PDF
PDF

... resources. Natural resources include all the materials and forces that are supplied by nature. Those that are most essential for food crop production are land, water, sunshine, air, temperature and soil conditions. Man-made resources (include labour, capital or entrepreneurship) are supplied and inf ...
(2013) Evidence of multiple carbon sources and prey communities
(2013) Evidence of multiple carbon sources and prey communities

... 25. Wolf, N., Ely, C., Rogers, M. and Welker, J. M. Tundra swan migration ecology: Use of stable isotopes (15N & D), satellite trackers and N American isoscapes. Canadian J of Zoology. 26. Lupascu, M., Welker, J. M., Xu, X. and Czimczik, C. I. Winter snow depth affects the sources and ages of CO2 ...
Mechanism of Interdecadal Thermohaline Circulation Variability in a
Mechanism of Interdecadal Thermohaline Circulation Variability in a

... NAO-related wind stress curl and heat flux anomalies; and 2) by direct forcing of the region of active deep convection, also through wind stress curl and heat flux anomalies. The latter is not closely related to the NAO. The mechanism for phase reversal has many similarities to that found in a previ ...
Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration
Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration

... sume the equivalent of over half of our emissions, a feature that might be safely and cost-effectively enhanced or augmented as explored in the first volume. In contrast, albedo modification approaches show some evidence of being effective at temporarily cooling the planet, but at a currently unknow ...
Treeline advance – driving processes and adverse factors
Treeline advance – driving processes and adverse factors

... Forest advance upwards and northwards primarily depends on successful regeneration and survival of young growth rather than on increasing growth rates of mature trees. Every assessment of treeline response to future climate change must consider the effects of local site conditions and feedbacks of i ...
Climate Intervention: Carbon Dioxide Removal and
Climate Intervention: Carbon Dioxide Removal and

... sume the equivalent of over half of our emissions, a feature that might be safely and cost-effectively enhanced or augmented as explored in the first volume. In contrast, albedo modification approaches show some evidence of being effective at temporarily cooling the planet, but at a currently unknow ...
Contribution of soil moisture feedback to hydroclimatic variability
Contribution of soil moisture feedback to hydroclimatic variability

... feedback in numerical models has been to evaluate the variability of evaporation, precipitation, and temperature in runs where soil moisture is prescribed as compared to runs where soil moisture is allowed to vary (e.g. Schlosser and Milly, 2002; Koster et al., 2002, 2004; Conil et al., 2007). The t ...
Paper`s structure - College of Engineering, Mathematics and
Paper`s structure - College of Engineering, Mathematics and

... potential resources available to individuals based on their own production, assets or reciprocal arrangements. ...
the transcript of the APS climate change statement review workshop
the transcript of the APS climate change statement review workshop

... space, which is part of NYU’s Center for ...
The Secret History of Fossil Fuels
The Secret History of Fossil Fuels

... in the long run, and we should focus our efforts on dramatically reducing it as soon as humanly possible. So when the girl at the Greenpeace booth implied that I had sold my soul, I didn’t get offended. I simply explained that, no, I wasn’t being paid off; I had just concluded, based on my research, ...
http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/i2146e/i2146e.pdf
http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/i2146e/i2146e.pdf

... Relative changes in precipitation for the period 2090–2099, relative to 1980–1999 .................. 22 Precipitation changes over Africa from the multimodel datasets, A1B simulations ................... 23 Schematic showing the effect on extreme temperatures when the mean temperature increases, for ...
An Evidence Base Review of Public Attitudes to Climate Change
An Evidence Base Review of Public Attitudes to Climate Change

... Rather, more fundamental behavioural changes are required which alter people’s aspirations, motivations and ultimately their travel and lifestyle choices. With more or less coercive policies such as national road pricing being, at best, a long way off, there is an urgent need to understand and deliv ...
Different characteristics of cold day and cold surge frequency over
Different characteristics of cold day and cold surge frequency over

Tripura - Ministry of Environment and Forests
Tripura - Ministry of Environment and Forests

... aspired for and promoted low carbon inclusive growth in consonance with the philosophy of “Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam”, the universe as a family. The state is always committed towards protecting its natural resources which acts as an insurance cover against the catastrophic disruption of life due to the ...
organic agriculture and climate change mitigation
organic agriculture and climate change mitigation

... During the next decades, billions of people, particularly those in developing countries, will face changes in climate patterns that will contribute to severe water shortages or flooding, and rising temperatures that will cause shifts in crop growing seasons. This will increase food shortages and dis ...
Effects of climate on occurrence and size of large - Archipel
Effects of climate on occurrence and size of large - Archipel

... because the northern hardwoods of western Quebec are transitional between the regions where a decrease and an increase in fire frequency is forecasted (Flannigan et al. 2001). Moreover, there exists an equivocal balance of evidence regarding climate change effects in this area. Contrary to the slight ...
Assessing the Consequences of Climate Change for Alaska and the
Assessing the Consequences of Climate Change for Alaska and the

... Marine fisheries are very vulnerable to climate change. Most of the research to date on the relationship between climate change and fisheries focuses specifically on how climate change may affect marine ecosystems and in turn abundance and harvests of specific marine species. This paper focuses on t ...
PDF
PDF

... The Challenge of Cities and Climate Change Climate change is among the most pressing challenges that the world faces today. Given current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs), the world is already committed to significant warming. This is a serious challenge, given the wide range of ...
Interaction of impacts of doubling CO2 and changing regional land
Interaction of impacts of doubling CO2 and changing regional land

... A further set of simulations assumes 710 ppm CO2 conditions without and with these land-cover changes. Impacts of (1) doubled CO2 , (2) changed land-cover, and (3) the interaction between doubled CO2 and changed land-cover on the four regional water cycles are elucidated using analysis of variance p ...
Scoping study: Modelling the interaction between mitigation and adaptation
Scoping study: Modelling the interaction between mitigation and adaptation

... the risk of tipping of major climatic subsystems is significant especially for high warming scenarios, though they are still at significant probability even for a moderate temperature increase within this century. Many of these events could exceed the limits of adaptation, or adaptation would be pos ...
Licence 1
Licence 1

... passed and they are ....................... seriously by Parliament - which is good. The Big Ask, a 3% cut thing in carbon emissions, to me is like ...yes, that was the ....................... piece of sense that I'd read about the whole thing for ages. There is no longer this sense of powerlessness ...
Global Climate Change - kelleymarine
Global Climate Change - kelleymarine

... 15ºC in 100-1000 years = 1.5º- 15ºC per Century Current warming is at about 0.5ºC over the last century The IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) estimate for the Climate Sensitivity is 1.5 to 4.5 °C; and the average surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8 Celsius degrees over the ...
National Water Program Strategy Response to Climate Change
National Water Program Strategy Response to Climate Change

... on climate change impacts on water resources and water programs. Strategic Issue: EPA water program staff in national and Regional offices need to better understand the anticipated impacts of climate change on water to manage programs effectively. Given the range of impacts of climate change around ...
Spatial and Temporal Variability of Rainfall in
Spatial and Temporal Variability of Rainfall in

... analyzed. We found that the post-monsoon, pre-monsoon and winter rainfalls are decreasing significantly in most of the zones but monsoon rainfall is increasing throughout the basin. In the hill region, the annual rainfall is increasing but the rainy days do not show any trend. There is a tendency to ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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