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A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States
A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States

... climate may create some new opportunities, the pace and magnitude of these changes will make historical planning and management practices insufficient to protect people and property. Building codes and landscaping provisions will need to be updated not only for energy efficiency, but also to protect ...
Protecting People Crossing Borders in the Context of
Protecting People Crossing Borders in the Context of

... where affected persons were already vulnerable before the storm and their capacity to cope was particularly low at the same time. In such situations, the occurrence of large-scale displacement will be more likely than in a situation where the resilience of people and their capacity to withstand the ...
Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management
Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management

... Each year there are climatic events that represent risks to people and organisations. These risks arise from ‘normal’ day-to-day, seasonal, and year-to-year variability in climate as well as regional climate differences. Most organisations have practices and strategies in place to deal with this rou ...
Lecture 1 - Department of Meteorology and Climate Science
Lecture 1 - Department of Meteorology and Climate Science

... http://sa.sjsu.edu/judicial_affairs/index.html ...
Permafrost_breakout
Permafrost_breakout

... equivalent calculated assuming 2.7% of total emissions is methane (Schuur et al. 2011) and a global warming potential of 33 (Shindell et al. 2009) b calculated from emission rates in the paper c not available ...
gcos regional action plan for south america
gcos regional action plan for south america

... cycle. Consequently, Article 2 of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) states that the ultimate objective of the Convention is to achieve the stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interfere ...
ARTICLE Potential climate change impacts on temperate forest ecosystem processes
ARTICLE Potential climate change impacts on temperate forest ecosystem processes

... complex and antagonistic interactions between multiple and simultaneously changing environmental factors (Frelich and Reich 2010; Fisichelli et al. 2012). For example, increases in productivity under elevated CO2 can be partially offset by reductions in productivity from warming-induced drought stre ...
Vulnerability of Fraser River Sockeye salmon to climate change
Vulnerability of Fraser River Sockeye salmon to climate change

... The Fraser River (as well as several other BC salmon systems) has experienced an average increase in peak summer water temperature of >1.5°C over the past 40 yrs. Eight of the past 10 summers have been the warmest on record and climate models predict even warmer peak temperatures in the near future, ...
coming decades, climate change is expected to exacerbate the risks... disasters, not only from more frequent and intense hazard events,...
coming decades, climate change is expected to exacerbate the risks... disasters, not only from more frequent and intense hazard events,...

... Based partly on the notion that weather-related disasters have increased—and will continue to increase—because of global warming, Kofi Annan, erstwhile UN secretary-general and now president of Global Humanitarian Forum, declared: Climate change is a silent human crisis. Yet it is the greatest emerg ...
Tipping Points, Thresholds and the Keystone Role of Physiology in
Tipping Points, Thresholds and the Keystone Role of Physiology in

... of cross-disciplinary research when exploring the ecological impacts of climate change (Wiens and Graham, 2005; Stenseth, 2007; Chown and Gaston, 2008; Denny and Helmuth, 2009; Hofmann et al., 2010), in many ways such collaborations have yet to be fully realized. To a large extent, environmental dat ...
Friending Planet Earth - Catholic Climate Covenant
Friending Planet Earth - Catholic Climate Covenant

... without which complex life could not have evolved on this planet—seems like common sense. Yet a broad consensus of modern science is that human activity is [is altering] the earth's atmospheric characteristics in serious, perhaps profound ways. For the past century, researchers have been gathering a ...
Climate and carbon cycle dynamics in a CESM simulation from 850
Climate and carbon cycle dynamics in a CESM simulation from 850

... a prognostic fire module, which is governed by near-surface soil moisture conditions and fuel availability. The ocean component is the Parallel Ocean Program version 2 (POP2; Smith et al., 2010; Danabasoglu et al., 2012) with an nominal 1◦ horizontal resolution and 60 depth levels. The horizontal re ...
Canadian Earth System Model CanESM2
Canadian Earth System Model CanESM2

... polar regions are not necessarily manifested in the global mean climate. If the Arctic warms and Antarctica cools (Chylek et al., 2010) the global mean can stay unchanged while changes in polar region may become significant. Since the Arctic region is expected to experience adverse impacts of climat ...
The roles of public and private actors in the governance of adaptation
The roles of public and private actors in the governance of adaptation

climate change influences on antarctic bird populations
climate change influences on antarctic bird populations

... the decrease in Adélie and chinstrap penguins observed there. Gentoo penguins because of their more flexible diet are not as strongly dependent on krill. Their population increase in the Antarctic Peninsula region can be caused by reduced sea ice and better conditions for this non-migratory species w ...
No Additionality, New Conditionality
No Additionality, New Conditionality

... activities. The stated objective of the funds is ‘to provide concessional finance for policy reforms and investments that achieve development goals through a transition to a low carbon development path and climate resilient economy’ (World Bank, 2008a). These funds are the latest efforts on the part ...
Climate change, species distribution models, and physiological performance metrics: predicting when
Climate change, species distribution models, and physiological performance metrics: predicting when

... are exposed to conditions of negative SFG much less than lethal temperatures. Those living in the more variable environment B often enter TEM space due to the greater environmental variance (Fig. 1B). Those living in the most variable environment (“C”, described by the more platykurtic curve), pass ...
Wally Was Right: Predictive Ability of the North Atlantic “Conveyor Belt” Hypothesis
Wally Was Right: Predictive Ability of the North Atlantic “Conveyor Belt” Hypothesis

... 10–100 years) was followed by slow cooling, rapid cooling, and then little change or slow warming. Spacing between successive warmings was variable, but a value near 1500 years is most common (Alley et al. 2001). Broecker dubbed the warm intervals Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events for the pioneering w ...
The Effects of Global Change upon United States Air Quality
The Effects of Global Change upon United States Air Quality

... concentrations of pollutants in the troposphere, such as ozone (O3) and particulate matter ...
Public pressure versus lobbying – how do Environmental NGOs matter most in climate negotiations? - Working Paper 70 (472 kB) (opens in new window)
Public pressure versus lobbying – how do Environmental NGOs matter most in climate negotiations? - Working Paper 70 (472 kB) (opens in new window)

... 3. Impacts of, and adaptation to, climate change, and its effects on development 4. Governance of climate change 5. Management of forests and ecosystems More information about the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment can be found at: http://www.lse.ac.uk/grantham. ...
Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat
Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat

... Impacts for major wheat-producing countries To understand how the different methods project such similar temperature impacts on global wheat yields, we disaggregated the temperature impacts to the national scale. Point-based and gridbased simulations were compared for 97 countries (Fig. 2a). General ...
(2012), Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide
(2012), Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide

... stack had reached interglacial levels while nearly one-third of the excess global ice still remained, although we note that any ice-driven warming would have been partly offset by decreasing greenhouse gas forcing (Fig. 3c and Supplementary Fig. 29a). The apparently small influence of ice-sheet forc ...
Hosted by: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and the Program
Hosted by: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and the Program

... undertaking research on climate and global change in an array of disciplines, including the atmospheric, biological, earth and ocean sciences. The format of the conference is designed to encourage new climate scientists to become acquainted with the details of diverse areas of climate research and t ...
Climate Change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayas - HimalDoc
Climate Change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayas - HimalDoc

... system in the world has as significant a role in the livelihoods of as many people as the Hindu Kush-Himalayas. In recent years, the countries of the region have made efforts to undertake climate vulnerability assessments. These assessments have been useful in pointing out shortcomings and in indica ...
Protecting People and the Environment by the Stroke of a
Protecting People and the Environment by the Stroke of a

... largest and most destructive storms on record to affect the East Coast. While particular weather events cannot be clearly attributed to global warming, there is scientific consensus that climate change increases the likelihood or intensity of such events—a connection that is not lost on members of t ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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