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Argentinean soy based biodiesel - Tyndall°Centre for Climate
Argentinean soy based biodiesel - Tyndall°Centre for Climate

... production  in  the  tropics.    Biofuels  therefore  have  potential  to  provide  opportunities  for  economic  development  and  improved  energy  access  for  developing  countries.    However,  the  negative  impacts  of  increased  global  demand  for  biofuels  are  of  increasing  concern  a ...
carbOn in the bank: OntariO`s Greenbelt and its rOle in MitiGatinG
carbOn in the bank: OntariO`s Greenbelt and its rOle in MitiGatinG

... the Greenbelt has the potential to act as a long-term safeguard for the valuable stock of natural capital within the Greenbelt, whose ecosystems offer a broad set of benefits including the provision of clean drinking water, improved air quality, and vital natural habitat. In a time of growing urgenc ...
Lightning Applications in Weather and Climate Research
Lightning Applications in Weather and Climate Research

... 2007, Williams 2009). These studies show that, on different temporal and spatial scales, small changes in surface temperature result in large changes in thunderstorm and lightning activity (a nonlinear link) (Williams 2005; 2009). But what about the future? Can we use diurnal, seasonal, or interannu ...
Government Coastal Planning Responses to Rising Sea
Government Coastal Planning Responses to Rising Sea

... in coastal planning may constitute grounds for a legal challenge, as demonstrated by recent case law. † In Australia, most coastal planning and management decisions are made by local governments within the jurisdiction of a state/territory. Accordingly, local governments require clear policy directi ...
Mirrored at GFMC Archive - The Global Fire Monitoring Center
Mirrored at GFMC Archive - The Global Fire Monitoring Center

... GRF Davos Planet@Risk, Volume 3, Number 1, Special Issue on the 5th IDRC Davos 2014, March 2015 tinents, but also over temperate and boreal zones (Andreae and Merlet, 2001). Smoke aerosols perturb regional and global radiation budgets through their lightscaering effects and influences on cloud micro ...
English
English

... tremendous stress on physical infrastructure but also lead to migration of people. Major impacts of climate change in the OSCE area will be observed on food security and sectors like water, agriculture and energy, often intensifying existing social, economic, physical and environmental vulnerabiliti ...
Manteca Draft Climate Action Plan
Manteca Draft Climate Action Plan

... included in the inventory. For trips that begin in the City but end in a different jurisdiction, half the emissions are included in the inventory. Conversely, for trips that begin outside the City but end within the City, half the emissions are included in the inventory. The inventories include esti ...
Global Climate Change and Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef
Global Climate Change and Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef

... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2001) foreshadows a gloomy future for the Earth’s coral reefs, including those of the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area. By 2025, the IPCC projects that global temperatures will warm by 0.4 to 1.1oC, sea level will rise by 3 – 14 cm and that t ...
5. Analysis of effects of the megatrends - Eionet Forum
5. Analysis of effects of the megatrends - Eionet Forum

... The megatrends shaping the world’s future will affect the global environment, and they will ultimately have both direct and indirect consequences for Europe. However, those consequences may not necessarily arise directly from the drivers and megatrends, but also indirectly as the effects of megatren ...
standing tall - National Wildlife Federation
standing tall - National Wildlife Federation

... is better able to weather severe storms, and is more resistant to beetle infestations likely to be exacerbated by warmer and drier conditions. Longleaf pine restoration is a promising global warming adaptation strategy for southeastern forests. We need to invest in conservation strategies that are ...
STEENBERGEN et al ny Spate Irrigation
STEENBERGEN et al ny Spate Irrigation

... several poor countries, especially in Africa, the reservoir capacity per capita is low. Yet in spate irrigation moisture is stored in the soil profile and in shallow aquifers. This can be done at a much lower cost than storing water in a surface reservoir. Even though spate irrigation is inherently ...
Economic Modeling of Effects of Climate Change on the Forest
Economic Modeling of Effects of Climate Change on the Forest

... to range from 1.8 to 4.0 degrees Celsius (IPCC 2007, Pew Center 2007). In North America, average temperature increases are projected to be 1 to 3 degrees Celsius by 2040, increasing to 2 to 3 degrees Celsius late in the century (Field et al. 2007). For land areas, warming is anticipated to be greate ...
Full-Text
Full-Text

... housing) or securing structures (water regulation). However, case studies suggest that climate-smart solutions related to soil, water, nutrient and yield maintenance could be effective and implemented relatively easily by employing system understanding and agroecological knowledge and developing in- ...
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record

... probability of heavy precipitation over the world using all available daily data. Easterling et al. (2000c) summarized these efforts. Thereafter, a number of regional studies have now become available (e.g., Stone et al. 2000; Zhang et al. 2001; Frei and Schär 2001; Alpert et al. 2002; Frich et al. ...
Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the
Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the

... nsidc.org/]. Surface areas included clear ice and total areas (a combination of clear ice and debris‐covered parts of glaciers). In the 2000s, investigations of area changes of small samples of glaciers were conducted in the Russian Altai [e.g. Narozhny and Nikitin, 2003; Pattyn et al., 2003; Suraza ...
Basic physical mechanisms for monsoon failure in past and future
Basic physical mechanisms for monsoon failure in past and future

... the climatic consequences of the Representative Concentration Pathways, a set of recently developed GHG concentration scenarios for use in the forthcoming assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). I find that average monsoon rainfall in South Asia, East Asia and Africa incr ...
biodiversity focal area strategy for gef-5
biodiversity focal area strategy for gef-5

... findings3. The GEF-3 strategy incorporated principles to achieve lasting biodiversity conservation and sustainable use and thereby: a) placed greater emphasis on sustainability of results and the potential for replication; b) moved beyond a projectsbased emphasis to strategic approaches that strengt ...
Vulnerability of reef-building corals on the Great Barrier Reef to
Vulnerability of reef-building corals on the Great Barrier Reef to

... insight into the evolutionary limits of reef-building corals, which is important in understanding how corals might, or might not, be able to cope with the major environmental changes projected to occur over this century. This is particularly relevant to problems associated with the acidification of ...
• Foreward (Mike Depledge)
• Foreward (Mike Depledge)

... The recognition of the importance of long-term time series has been a fairly recent development. In 2002, the Inter-Agency Committee on Marine Science and Technology (IACMST) identified an urgent need for the continuation, restoration and enhancement of marine observations around the UK and, in resp ...
CV: Sara C. Pryor Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
CV: Sara C. Pryor Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

... workshops. Trieste, Italy, Oct 2013 and Buenos Aires, Argentina, July 2014. National Climate Assessment and Development Committee (NCADAC), convened by U.S. Department of Commerce's National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration Convening Lead Author: Midwest Region for the National Climate Assessmen ...
AAR-Ch11 - Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme
AAR-Ch11 - Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme

... Present models of the Arctic climate system suggest that positive feedbacks in high-latitude systems amplify anthropogenically-induced atmospheric changes and that disturbances in the circumpolar Arctic climate may substantially influence global climate (IPCC 1990a, 1992a, 1996a). The extreme sensit ...
The First Decade of Long-Lead U.S. Seasonal Forecasts
The First Decade of Long-Lead U.S. Seasonal Forecasts

... have a maximum difference of slightly more than 0.10. None of these lead-to-lead differences are statistically significant, but there is a suggestive seasonality to those that are at least noticeable. This subtle characteristic (alluded to in the previous paragraph) will be discussed later. Regardle ...
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... as   role   models   for   their   surrounding   communities   and   in   educating   the   people   who   will   develop   the   social,   economic,   and   technological   solutions   to   address   global   warming   and   help   create   a ...
Pius Yanda
Pius Yanda

... The committee consists of 18 scientists selected by mutual agreement between the three sponsoring organizations and representing climate-related disciplines in atmospheric, oceanic, hydrological and cryospheric sciences. These committee provides scientific guidance for the World Climate Research Pro ...
Lee County Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment
Lee County Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

... provided for informational and discussion purposes only. This document is not intended, nor can it be relied upon, to create any rights enforceable by any party in litigation with the United States. Reference herein to any specific commercial products, non-profit organization, process, or service by ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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