Housing and the Great Recession: A VAR Accounting Exercise
... December 2007–February 2010; growth at its average post-1982 rate would have meant an increase of 3.6 percent over the same interval. Comparisons to some past episodes, presented in Figure 1, are useful for evaluating the severity of the current one. The decline in real GDP in 2008 and 2009 is large ...
... December 2007–February 2010; growth at its average post-1982 rate would have meant an increase of 3.6 percent over the same interval. Comparisons to some past episodes, presented in Figure 1, are useful for evaluating the severity of the current one. The decline in real GDP in 2008 and 2009 is large ...
Janusz J. Tomidajewicz: Privatization issues in Central Europen
... increasing the scope of the private sector in the economy was a basic condition and at the same time expression of going to the market economy. In view of the fact that chances of the coming into existence of the strong private sector on the founding road are very little they recognized that a priva ...
... increasing the scope of the private sector in the economy was a basic condition and at the same time expression of going to the market economy. In view of the fact that chances of the coming into existence of the strong private sector on the founding road are very little they recognized that a priva ...
17 (MACRO) plus extra stuff - Cameron School of Business
... Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy ...
... Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy ...
Forecasting the economy - Office for Budget Responsibility
... the Government’s fiscal mandate targets a cyclically-adjusted measure of the current budget balance – in other words, an estimate of what the balance would be if output in the economy was equal to the level consistent with stable inflation (i.e. the ‘output gap’ was zero). This again makes the forec ...
... the Government’s fiscal mandate targets a cyclically-adjusted measure of the current budget balance – in other words, an estimate of what the balance would be if output in the economy was equal to the level consistent with stable inflation (i.e. the ‘output gap’ was zero). This again makes the forec ...
Missing Growth from Creative Destruction
... In the second part of the paper we use two alternative approaches to estimate the magnitude of missing growth for the overall economy based on our model. For both approaches we use micro data from the U.S. Census on employment at all private nonfarm businesses to assess the magnitude of missing grow ...
... In the second part of the paper we use two alternative approaches to estimate the magnitude of missing growth for the overall economy based on our model. For both approaches we use micro data from the U.S. Census on employment at all private nonfarm businesses to assess the magnitude of missing grow ...
Wage-led versus profit-led demand regimes:
... diagram with the former on the vertical axis and the latter on the horizontal axis), based on empirical evidence for the US economy. ...
... diagram with the former on the vertical axis and the latter on the horizontal axis), based on empirical evidence for the US economy. ...
poorer than their parents? flat or falling incomes in
... poor, those with insufficient income to provide for their basic needs, often calculated as a percentage of the median income. Our research looks at a third aspect, which has not been as widely studied or documented: the very rapid growth in the proportion of income segments in advanced economies wh ...
... poor, those with insufficient income to provide for their basic needs, often calculated as a percentage of the median income. Our research looks at a third aspect, which has not been as widely studied or documented: the very rapid growth in the proportion of income segments in advanced economies wh ...
Growth, inequality, and simulated poverty paths for Tanzania, 1992
... The poverty statistics calculated for this paper differ slightly from those in the official published report, Household Budget Survey 2000/01 (United Republic of Tanzania, National Bureau of Statistics, 2002). These are reproduced in Appendix Table 1. While the headcount rate figures are identical ...
... The poverty statistics calculated for this paper differ slightly from those in the official published report, Household Budget Survey 2000/01 (United Republic of Tanzania, National Bureau of Statistics, 2002). These are reproduced in Appendix Table 1. While the headcount rate figures are identical ...
AVOIDING THE HIGH DEBT – LOW GROWTH TRAP: LESSONS
... underpinned by several other empirical studies (see below and in the Textbox). Kumar and Woo (2010) found an inverse relationship between initial public debt and subsequent economic growth: according to their findings, on average a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is ass ...
... underpinned by several other empirical studies (see below and in the Textbox). Kumar and Woo (2010) found an inverse relationship between initial public debt and subsequent economic growth: according to their findings, on average a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is ass ...
iv. major sectors
... The Special Technical Assistance Fund is an initiative aimed at improving international competitiveness and stimulating growth in the local manufacturing sector. The Industrial Investment and Employment Fund is a facility which allows for the recapitalization and retooling of manufacturing entities. ...
... The Special Technical Assistance Fund is an initiative aimed at improving international competitiveness and stimulating growth in the local manufacturing sector. The Industrial Investment and Employment Fund is a facility which allows for the recapitalization and retooling of manufacturing entities. ...
Presentation at Diamond Privilege Investment
... Nigeria is a low-taxed economy, the second lowest in Africa and the fourth lowest in the world. Excluding oil and gas revenues, tax receipts are estimated at just 3% of GDP. If these could be increased to the Sub-Saharan African economies’ average of 18% of GDP, Nigeria could potentially raise its ...
... Nigeria is a low-taxed economy, the second lowest in Africa and the fourth lowest in the world. Excluding oil and gas revenues, tax receipts are estimated at just 3% of GDP. If these could be increased to the Sub-Saharan African economies’ average of 18% of GDP, Nigeria could potentially raise its ...
Transformation in economics
Transformation in economics refers to a long-term change in dominant economic activity in terms of prevailing relative engagement or employment of able individuals.Human economic systems undergo a number of deviations and departures from the ""normal"" state, trend or development. Among them are Disturbance (short-term disruption, temporary disorder), Perturbation (persistent or repeated divergence, predicament, decline or crisis), Deformation (damage, regime change, loss of self-sustainability, distortion), Transformation (long-term change, restructuring, conversion, new “normal”) and Renewal (rebirth, transmutation, corso-ricorso, renaissance, new beginning).Transformation is a unidirectional and irreversible change in dominant human economic activity (economic sector). Such change is driven by slower or faster continuous improvement in sector productivity growth rate. Productivity growth itself is fueled by advances in technology, inflow of useful innovations, accumulated practical knowledge and experience, levels of education, viability of institutions, quality of decision making and organized human effort. Individual sector transformations are the outcomes of human socio-economic evolution.Human economic activity has so far undergone at least four fundamental transformations:From nomadic hunting and gathering (H/G) to localized agricultureFrom localized agriculture (A) to internationalized industryFrom international industry (I) to global servicesFrom global services (S) to public sector (including government, welfare and unemployment, GWU)This evolution naturally proceeds from securing necessary food, through producing useful things, to providing helpful services, both private and public (See H/G→A→I→S→GWU sequence in Fig. 1). Accelerating productivity growth rates speed up the transformations, from millennia, through centuries, to decades of the recent era. It is this acceleration which makes transformation relevant economic category of today, more fundamental in its impact than any recession, crisis or depression. The evolution of four forms of capital (Indicated in Fig. 1) accompanies all economic transformations.Transformation is quite different from accompanying cyclical recessions and crises, despite the similarity of manifested phenomena (unemployment, technology shifts, socio-political discontent, bankruptcies, etc.). However, the tools and interventions used to combat crisis are clearly ineffective for coping with non-cyclical transformations. The problem is whether we face a mere crisis or a fundamental transformation (globalization→relocalization).