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Recurrence vs Transience: An introduction to random walks
Recurrence vs Transience: An introduction to random walks

... From the previous subsection the reader might imagine that the theory of random walks is already too vast to be covered in three lectures. Hence, we concentrate on a single question: Recurrence vs Transience. That is we strive to answer the following: Question 1. On which infinite graphs is the simp ...
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... estimate.  In the interest of brevity, statisticians have  invented a one‐word substitute for “the process that  generated  the  point  estimate”—estimator—but  we  should not confuse an estimator with an estimate.  A  rate  ratio  of  1.47  from  the  streptokinase  trial  is  an  estimate,  wherea ...
Measure Theory and Probability Theory
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Towards a Universal Theory of Artificial Intelligence based on
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... • We have reduced the AI problem to pure computational questions. • A formal theory of something, even if not computable, is often a great step toward solving a problem and also has merits in its own. • All other systems seem to make more assumptions about the environment, or it is far from clear th ...
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john maynard keynes and ludwig von mises on probability

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Jan 22, 2004 - Angelo State University

... 5. A job consists of three different tasks. Task one can be done in any one of four ways. Task two can be done in any one of three ways , and Task three can be done in any one of five ways. If all three tasks are to be completed, then how many different ways are there for the job to be done. ...
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... of outcomes of a stochastic action and their corresponding probabilities may vary according to the state where the action occurs. As far as we know, in all of the probabilistic planning frameworks mentioned above, the possible set of outcomes and their probabilities are fixed and context independent ...
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... the base compositions of the exon, intron, and splice site states. The transition probabilities (on the bottom), denote the probability of moving from one state (e.g., exon) to another state (e.g., 5’ SS). For instance, because an intron always follows the 5’ splice site (gesture to the transition p ...
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... give a direct analysis of the primal linear program. (This also answers an open question of Feldman et al. regarding whether a primal-only analysis is possible.) At its heart, the proof relies on the fact that the LP relaxation is tight for trees. We use this to show that an LP solution can be decom ...
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Ars Conjectandi



Ars Conjectandi (Latin for The Art of Conjecturing) is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jakob Bernoulli and published in 1713, eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus Bernoulli. The seminal work consolidated, apart from many combinatorial topics, many central ideas in probability theory, such as the very first version of the law of large numbers: indeed, it is widely regarded as the founding work of that subject. It also addressed problems that today are classified in the twelvefold way, and added to the subjects; consequently, it has been dubbed an important historical landmark in not only probability but all combinatorics by a plethora of mathematical historians. The importance of this early work had a large impact on both contemporary and later mathematicians; for example, Abraham de Moivre.Bernoulli wrote the text between 1684 and 1689, including the work of mathematicians such as Christiaan Huygens, Gerolamo Cardano, Pierre de Fermat, and Blaise Pascal. He incorporated fundamental combinatorial topics such as his theory of permutations and combinations—the aforementioned problems from the twelvefold way—as well as those more distantly connected to the burgeoning subject: the derivation and properties of the eponymous Bernoulli numbers, for instance. Core topics from probability, such as expected value, were also a significant portion of this important work.
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