Brains - Minnesota Futurists
... Kurzweil, it refers to the idea that accelerating
technology will lead to artificial intelligence that
will exceed human intelligence about
the year 2030.
As superhuman AI permeates civilization by
about 2045, The results on the other side of
the "event horizon" will become unpredictable.
... Give students a realistic overview of AI by examining the successes and failures of AI research over the past
fifty years and the challenges still facing the field. Kurzweil describes many current projects of interest, and discusses at length several important AI paradigms such as
neural networks, g ...
III. Symbolic AI as a Degenerating Research Program
... philosophy, the pioneers in CS had learned a lot, directly and indirectly from the philosophers. They
had taken over Hobbes’ claim that reasoning was calculating, Descartes’ idea that the mind manipulated
mental representations, Leibniz’s idea of a “universal characteristic”—a set of primitives feat ...
Future of Computing and Society - final
... determined by the speed at which neurons fire (200 Hz),
communicate information (100 m/sec), and physical size.
Computers on the other hand already operate at GHz and
communicate information at the speed of light, and there is no
limit on size. This has the potential to increase the speed at
which m ...
Food for Thought II - Singularity - Computer Science and Engineering
... “First let us postulate that the computer scientists succeed in developing intelligent machines that
can do all things better than human beings can do them. In that case presumably all work will be
done by vast, highly organized systems of machines and no human effort will be necessary. Either
of tw ...
... Technological Singularity has been studied in discussed in academia for centuries.
Countless mathematicians and engineers has seriously discussed the coming singularity.
Moore’s law, which was created by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, predicted the rapid rise
in the power of technology that we s ...
Micro-Futures - Vic Callaghan
... Era", which contained the much quoted statement "Within thirty years, we will have the
technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era
will be ended.”  Vinge’s article built on two earlier Sci-Fi novels he wrote which are
also noteworthy as they might be interp ...
September 11, 2012 - University of Alberta
... humanitarian, religious, in art, warfare, etc.
Much of our society is driven by the fact that we highly value
If virtual life is/becomes cheap, these drives will ultimately vanish and be
replaced by other goals.
If AIs can be easily created, the value of an intelligent indiv ...
The singularity and the Methuselarity: similarities and differences
... not like this: they have no asymptote. If the force of gravity exerted by a particular body were
exponential (though still increasing with decreasing distance from the body), the relation between
distance from that body and gravity exerted by it would be defined in terms of distance from the point
Will machines outsmart man
... century in which to work, creates a gap which human predictions cannot cross. We haven't
learned this lesson with respect to genuine improvements in intelligence because the last genuine
improvement to intelligence was a hundred thousand years ago. But the rise of modern humanity
created a gap enorm ...
Eliezer Yudkowsky Singularity Institute for AI
... "I have often used this edict with groups I have led particularly when they face a very tough problem,
which is when group members are most apt to
propose solutions immediately."
-- Robyn Dawes
(Dawes, R.M. 1988. Rational Choice in an Uncertain World.
San Diego, CA: Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich.)
The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions
... Predictions about the future development of artificial intelligence (AI1 ) are as
confident as they are diverse. Starting with Turing’s initial estimation of a
30% pass rate on Turing test by the year 2000 [Tur50], computer scientists,
philosophers and journalists have never been shy to offer their ...
Synthetic Super Intelligence and the Transmutation of
... I would like to thank a number of people who have assisted me in
different ways while I’ve been researching and writing this book.
First, I want to thank my family for the love and patience they have
showed me when I spent these early morning hours, and sometimes many
hours on the weekends, research ...
The Singularity Is Near
The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology is a 2005 non-fiction book about artificial intelligence and the future of humanity by inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil.The book builds on the ideas introduced in Kurzweil's previous books, The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990) and The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999). This time, however, Kurzweil embraces the term the Singularity, which was popularized by Vernor Vinge in his 1993 essay ""The Coming Technological Singularity"" more than a decade earlier. The first known use of the term in this context was made in 1958 by the Hungarian born mathematician and physicist John von Neumann.Kurzweil describes his law of accelerating returns which predicts an exponential increase in technologies like computers, genetics, nanotechnology, robotics and artificial intelligence. He says this will lead to a technological singularity in the year 2045, a point where progress is so rapid it outstrips humans' ability to comprehend it.Kurzweil predicts the technological advances will irreversibly transform people as they augment their minds and bodies with genetic alterations, nanotechnology, and artificial intelligence. Once the Singularity has been reached, Kurzweil says that machine intelligence will be infinitely more powerful than all human intelligence combined. Afterwards he predicts intelligence will radiate outward from the planet until it saturates the universe.