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Trends of Agro-industry • Economic Development KYRGYZ REPUBLIC Kyrgyzstan is a landlocked and low income country with GNI per capita as of US$ 870 in 2009. Total number of population is 5.3 million inhabitants, of which 64 percent live in rural area, and the annual population growth is 0.82 percent. The socio-political crises of April and June 2010 hampered the recovery of the Kyrgyz economy from the global economic crisis and affected agriculture, trade, construction and banking system. Real GDP grew by 2.3 percent in 2009, down from 8.4 percent in 2008. The economy was, and remains highly dependent on gold mining and agriculture. The agricultural sector contributed with 22 percent of value added in GDP and employed around 39 percent of the total labour force in 2008 compared to 38 percent of GDP share in 2004. Manufacturing industry generated about 13 percent of GDP with a decline of annual growth by 8 percent in 2009 after a sharp growth by 23 percent in 2008. Steadily small and medium businesses share are increasing and sharing 44% in GDP producing 27% of manufacturing output. Farmers (households) own 50% of agricultural output sharing 93% in total agricultural production. Investments into agriculture decreased almost twice in 2009 since 2005 and shared only 2% in total investments and it has been increasing in manufacturing and shared 11% in 2009. • Food and Beverages Demand The government’s priority is to develop the clusters approach in agro-industry by regions as well as to increase production of meat, dairy, sugar and oil products in order to exclude import dependence from some products, especially vegetable oil and sugar, and to increase production of export-oriented products like dairy. The highest share in food consumption refers to bakery & macaroni and dairy products, but fish consumption is at very low level presenting only 0.2 percent in domestic retail value. Since 2006 organic food production began to be developed sharing 0.11% of total agricultural land in 2009. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Regional Office for Europe and Central Asia Agro-industry Outlook The food, beverages & tobacco industry forms a large part of the economy, generating KGS15.3 billion (US$ 0.34 bln), that represents about 19 percent of manufacturing output and employing 20.4 thousand people (or 12 percent of manufacturing labor force) in 2009. There are 412 enterprises (or about 25 percent of total number of manufacturing enterprises) operating, 65 percent of which are private small or medium-scale enterprises employing 14 percent of people involved in F&B production. There is an increase of production by 10.6 percent in 2009 in spite of the decline by 7.8 percent in overall manufacturing production. Labour productivity is growing over time but the number of employees has declined by 20 percent in 2009 to the level of 2005. Investments in R&D represent about 19 percent of total F&B output. Important subsectors include dairy and beverages. The F&B industry performance is stable since 2003 after a sharp decline and it has not reach the level of 2002 yet. The number of enterprises has been decreasing over time. Domestic retail market is underdeveloped and fragmented across the country and it has been slowly emerging mainly in the capital. Retail trade of food products generated KGS69bn (US$1.5bn) in 2009 sharing 53 percent of the total retail turnover, where flower and bakery products generated 26%, meat products – 15% and alcoholic products – 14%. Chart 1: Food and Beverages Industry Performance Chart 2: Products Output Share, 2007 Key Economic Indicators 2009 2011 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 2009 GDP, US$ billion 4.58 Output, % of manufacturing 18.9 Manufacturing VA, % of GDP 14.2 Value Added, % of manufacturing n/a Agriculture VA, % of GDP 22.1 Enterprises, % of manufacturing 24.8 Employment in Agric., % of total 38.5 Employment, % of manufacturing 12.02 Gross Fixed Capital F., % of GDP 21.2 Investments, % of manufacturing n/a FDI net inflows, % of GDP 4.14 FDI inflows, % of inflow in indust. 4.2 R&D, % of GDP 0.23 R&D, % of Output Merchandise Trade, % of GDP 97.8 Net Trade, US$ billion Merchandise Exports, US$ billion 1.44 Exports, %of merchandise exp 5.28 Merchandise Imports, US$ billion 3.04 Imports, % of merchandise imp 10.6 Global Merchandise Exports rank 138 Exports annual growth, % 18.9 -0.25 -16.9 Agro-industry National Policy Framework National Development Programme. The key documents setting out the Government policies for the country, agriculture, rural and agro-industry development include: (i) the Country Development Strategy for 2009-2011 that provides a complex solution for social and economic problems; (ii) the Resolution of the Government on Plan of Activities “Economy and Security” for 2011 in order to stabilize social and economic situation in Kyrgyzstan and enable environment for entrepreneurial development due to the crisis in the governmental politics and ethnic conflicts in the South part of the country in 2010; (iii) the Food Security Programme of Kyrgyzstan for 2009-2015 that includes measures to increase the volume of agricultural and food products and diminish the importdependence of the country in foodstuff by 2015; (iv) the Programme of Fisheries development in Kyrgyzstan for 2008-2012; (v) the Programme for Scientific Support development for Agro-industrial Complex in Kyrgyzstan; (vi) National Strategy on Integrated Rural Development. Legal Framework. Kyrgyzstan adopted a number of laws to encourage a growth of agriculture and agro-industry and rural development, passing the land (2000) and tax (2008) codes, the Presidential Decree on “Development and Support of Enterprises involved in harvesting, processing and marketing of agricultural products” (2000); the law on Food Security (2008); the law on Agriculture development (2009), the law on Cooperatives (2005); the Resolution on establishment of the open joint stock company “Kyrgyz Agro Food Corporation” (2009) that will be transformed from the State Enterprise Center of sales and marketing under the Ministry of Agriculture and will ensure stable functioning of the food market in the interests of producers and meeting public demand for food. The recent amendments to the Tax Code in 2009 are providing for exemption of VAT of technological equipment, imported as a contribution to share capital as well as for exemption of profit tax for three years for agro-processing enterprises (except processing of excisable products) based on the annually approved list of agro-enterprises by the nominated commission under the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade. The Government adopted the law On State regulation of manufacturing and trade of ethyl alcohol, liquors and spirits in 2007. A number of relevant laws were drafted for further approval, namely: a law on Competition, a law on Consumer’s Protection and a Presidential decree "On state regulation of prices for certain goods”. Tr ad e L i be r al i z at i o n , W TO A c c e ssi o n an d Tr ad e Per fo r m anc e Foreign Direct Investments F o od S afe t y , C e r t i fi c at i o n & Qu al i t y C on t ro l Regulation. Attracting FDI is a priority of Trade Regulation. Kyrgyzstan has the most liberal trade regime among countries in the region since acceding to the WTO in 1998. The adopted Custom Code (2004) with the law On Custom Duties (2006) comply with most international standards and takes into account the regulations of the Kyoto Convention on Simplification and Harmonization of Customs Procedures. The Government made major liberalizing commitments, such as binding tariffs at relatively low ceiling levels, other import charges and agricultural export subsidies at zero; eliminating discriminatory excise taxes; and applying the customs valuation provisions. Kyrgyzstan has trade relations with 123 countries and has signed free-trade agreements with 10 countries. The impact of the new Custom Union established among three countries Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia in 2009 could be considerable on Kyrgyzstan’s trade flows. In case of accession of the CU Kyrgyzstan will have to adopt the common external tariff, the average rate of which amounts to 10.6% in the CU, whereas the average rate of Kyrgyzstan’s custom duties for 2009 was 5.1 %. Due to growing prices for important foodstuffs like flower, oil, sugar, rice and buckwheat the Government is planning to eliminate import tariffs and to increase export tariffs for such groups of products. WTO accession. Kyrgyzstan, the first of CIS countries, has been a member of WTO since Dec 1998 and an observer to the Agreement of Government Procurement (GPA) accession with 0.15 percent of contribution to WTO budget in 2011. Simple average of imports duties for agricultural goods applied in 2009 were 7.7 percent. The latest Trade Policy review by the WTO was in Oct 2006. Trade Performance. Exports of merchandise goods accounted for around 26 percent of Kyrgyzstan’s GDP, but imports made up 65 percent of GDP in 2009. In 2009 Kyrgyzstan had a negative trade balance of F&B as of US$0.24bn that has been steadily increasing over time. Processed F&B products accounted 9.5 percent of total merchandise imports and 4 percent of total merchandise exports in 2009 with an average annual export growth as of -21 percent in 2009 after an exports growth by 26 and 5 percent in 2007 and 2008, respectively. Kyrgyzstan is an import-dependent country in F&B products, except dairy products that represent about half of the total exports and tomato products, especially tomato paste. The major imports are of sugar (21%), vegetable oil (17%), beverages (16%) and cocoa and its preparations (15.5%). Top destinations for F&B products: Kazakhstan (80%), Tajikistan (9%) and Russia (5.4%) in 2009; Top origins for F&B products: Russia (38%), Kazakhstan (21%), Ukraine (16%) and Belarus (11%) in 2009 Chart 3: Food and Beverages Trade Performance over time Kyrgyzstan. As a practical step the Law on Investments (2003) was adopted and the Advisory Council for Foreign Investment was established for identification of key areas, eliminate administrative barriers and strengthening the marketing policy. FDI inflows. In 2009 Kyrgyzstan’s FDI inflows accounted 4.1 percent of GDP that was almost twice less to the levels of in 2004 and 2008 when the FDI were highest. The vast majority of FDI is directed to trade, transport and communication as well as manufacturing. FDI in manufacturing have decreased almost twice in 2009 to the level 2005 and shared 25% of total country FDI as the second after investments in financial institutions. Manufacturing employed 38% of total labor force and counted 520 enterprises in 2009 that is in 1.4 times more than was registered in 2005. Major country-investors of total FDI are Kazakhstan (32%), U.K.(17%), Canada (12%), China (8%), Russia (7%) and Turkey (6%). The F&B&T industry counted 99 enterprises with foreign investments making more than third of the total manufacturing output and employing 5’228 people. It produces mainly wheat flower, macaroni, packed tea, mineral water, non-alcoholic beverages and tobacco products (Reemtsma company). Chart 4: Share of Exported Product Groups of F&B in total exports, in 2009 Food Safety regulation. Kyrgyzstan is a member of the Codex Alimentarius Commission and a correspondent member of the International Organisation of Standardization (ISO). Issues of protection of human health in general and in particular from food-borne risks, which come under the SPS Agreement, are dealt with by the Law on Sanitaryepidemiological Safety of Population (2003) and the Law On Veterinary. The country’s existing system for regulating the safety of foods and related production processes is not in a full compliance with internationally accepted regulations and WTO requirements yet. A draft of a law On Requirements for the safety of food products and processes of their manufacturing, storage, transportation, marketing and utilization” was elaborated by the Ministry of Health. A number of projects of international organizations (WB, ITC, GTZ) were conducted in order to streamline the compulsory standards requirements for business, develop systems to enhance product quality and safety and to support Kyrgyzstan becoming a member of the International Laboratory Accreditation Cooperation and establishing a national information body and national reference centers on technical barriers to trade and sanitary and phytosanitary measures within the WTO framework. Certification. In accordance with the Laws On the Fundamentals of Technical Regulation (2004) certification is only required for products that can potentially endanger consumer health (like alcohol, tobacco products, equipment etc.) that reduced obligatory standards coverage from 70 to 22 percent. Other goods can be certified on a voluntary basis, but only to confirm product quality. There are 172 Kyrgyz state standards as well as over 1’500 CIS intergovernmental standards for foodstuffs. ISO standards have begun to be adopted. The Government’s resolution (2006) on procedures for the importation of products subject to mandatory conformity certification regulates the standards for imports. Business Environment and Competitiveness Business Environment. According to the Doing Business Report 2011 Kyrgyzstan is considered as one of the top 10 economies that made the largest strides in making their regulatory environment more favorable to business by implementing more than a dozen reforms over the 5 years, and being ranked (out of 183 economies) as 44 in 2011 (up 3 points to 2010). Trading across the borders is ranked as of 156, paying taxes – 150 (up 6), protecting investors – 12, getting credit – 15, and starting business - 14. However, closing business and registering property were made more difficult. Taxation Relieving. The tax burden on companies was eased by reducing a number of payments and lowering the corporate income tax from 20 to 10 percent and abolishing social security contribution (2006). The new Tax Code (2009) has flattened personal income tax to 10% and VAT from 20 to 12%. Kyrgyzstan is also a party to 30 double tax treaties as of 2011. Agriculture is exempt from VAT. Certain goods that are imported temporarily are fully or partially exempt from payment of customs duties and taxes. Excise taxes are imposed on locally produced and imported goods: alcohol, beer, tobacco, wines, coffee and cacao, raw materials for wines. Competitiveness. According to the Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011 Kyrgyzstan is at the first stage of development, it got 121 overall Global Competitiveness Index among 139 countries, having the most five problematic factors of doing business as follows: corruption, policy instability, government instability/coups, access to financing and tax regulation. Agr o- indu str y Br ief