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Chapter 12: Labor Markets, Poverty, and Income Distribution ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 1 Learning Objectives 1. Understand the relationship between wages and the marginal productivity of workers 2. Analyze how wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets 3. Compare and contrast the various hypotheses economists have proposed to explain earnings differences 4. Discuss recent trends in income inequality and philosophical justifications for income redistribution 5. Describe and analyze some of the methods used to reduce poverty ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 2 Story Winning a gold medal at the Olympics can bring fame and fortune to many athletes Nawal Al Moutawakil, a Moroccan gold medalist in the 400-meter hurdles at the Los Angeles Summer Olympic Games in 1984 Since her 1984 win, she gained her fortune from: Product endorsements / TV appearances / Earning several international awards / Serving as a member of the International Olympic Committee / Her appointment as the Minister of Youth and Sports in Morocco ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 3 Story However, a silver or bronze medalist, despite potentially being within a hairbreadth to winning can drop completely from view The silver medalist from 1984 has dropped completely from view Judi Brown, an American athlete, and although potentially just as talented as Al Moutawakil, wealth and international recognition were not to be hers Individual income vary widely Comparable skills seem to earn different incomes ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 4 Story Many physicians in Arab countries such as Egypt are likewise every bit as talented and hardworking as physicians in the West However, American physicians earn an average annual income of almost $200,000 Egyptian physicians earn as little as $63 a month that most of them (about 89%) supplement their incomes by holding multiple jobs Why do some people earn so much more than others? No other single question in economics has stimulated nearly as much interest and discussion ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 5 The Economic Value of Work In some respects, the sale of human labor is profoundly different from the sale of other goods and services For example, although someone may legally relinquish all future rights to the use of her television set by selling it, the law does not permit people to sell themselves into slavery The law does, however, permit employers to “rent” our services In many ways the rental market for labor services functions much like the market for most other goods and services ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 6 The Market for Labor Economics analysis applies to labor markets Equilibrium wage and quantity are determined by supply of and demand for a each category of labor Labor categories include unskilled, skilled, managers, and so on Changes in supply and demand will change the equilibrium wage and quantity ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 7 Khazaf Works Pottery uses free clay and labor Selling price is $1.10 per piece Handling costs are $0.10 per piece Net price is $1.00 per piece Rafiq and Lina each work full time at potting Rafiq 120 delivers 100 pots per week and Lina delivers • If the labor market for potters is perfectly competitive, how much will each be paid? - Assume that the values of the pots that Rafiq and Lina deliver are $100 and $120 respectively ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 8 Khazaf Pottery Works Rafiq earns $100 and Lina earns $120 per week One reason for different earnings is differences in output per person If Khazaf paid Rafiq only $90 per week, the company would then enjoy an economic profit of $10 per week as a result of hiring him Seeing this cash on the table, a rival firm could then offer Rafiq $91, thus earning an additional economic profit of $9 per week by bidding him away from Khazaf Khazaf will have difficulty keeping Rafiq if it pays him less than $100 per week That will be his competitive equilibrium wage ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 9 The Labor Market Marginal product of labor (MP) The additional output a firm gets by employing one additional unit of labor 100 pots for Rafiq 120 pots for Lina Value of marginal product of labor (VMP) MP * (Net P) = VMP The dollar value of the additional output a firm gets by employing one additional unit of labor ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 10 The Labor Market General rule in a competitive labor market is: A worker’s pay in long-run equilibrium will be equal to his or her VMP—the net contribution he or she makes to the employer’s revenue wage = VMP Employers would be delighted to pay workers less than their respective VMPs But if labor markets are truly competitive, they cannot get away with doing so for long ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 11 Potters' Production To summarize: Value of Marginal Product Marginal product of labor multiplied times the net price of each unit sold ($1) • Rafiq’s VMP is $100 and Lina’s VMP is $120 In a competitive market each worker is paid the value of his marginal product Each worker’s VMP is independent of the number of other workers employed by the firm In such cases, we cannot predict how many workers a firm will hire ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 12 Ouzai Woodworking Company Makes cutting boards from free scrap wood Price of a cutting board is $20 Going wage is $350 per week # of Workers Output 0 0 1 30 2 55 3 76 4 94 5 108 MP VMP 30 $600 25 500 21 420 18 360 14 280 ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 13 Ouzai Woodworking Company The company will hire workers until the value of the marginal product of the last worker is equal to the wage Cost-Benefit Principle Workers earn $350 per week # of Workers VMP 1 $600 2 500 3 420 4 360 5 280 Hire four workers The fifth worker costs more ($350) than the benefits he delivers ($280) ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 14 Firm’s Decision to Hire Note the similarity between the perfectly competitive firm’s decision about how many workers to hire and the perfectly competitive firm’s output decision When labor is the only variable factor of production, the two decisions are essentially the same There are three important factors: The number of boards cut The price of cutting boards The wage rate An increase in product price will lead employers to hire more workers Employers also will increase hiring when the wage rate falls ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 15 The Equilibrium Wage and Employment Levels The equilibrium price and quantity in any competitive market occur at the intersection of the relevant supply and demand curves The same is true in competitive markets for labor Demand curve for labor employer Supply curve for labor employee ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 16 Demand for Labor employer An employer’s reservation price for a worker is the most the employer could pay without suffering a decline in profit The reservation price for the employer in a perfectly competitive labor market is simply the value of the worker’s marginal product (VMP) Because of the law of diminishing returns, the VMP declines in the short run as the quantity of labor rises DL = VMP ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 17 Firm 1 12 D1 = VMP1 12 D = VMP1 + VMP2 6 100 150 Wage ($/hour) Market 12 Firm 2 Wage ($/hour) Wage ($/hour) Demand for Labor 6 D2 = VMP2 6 150 250 Total Employment 50 100 Work hours/day ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 18 Supply for Labor employee Individuals trade-off income and leisure More work hours means more income AND less leisure Suppose the wage increases Substitution effect: work more Leisure is more expensive Income Income Effect effect: work less Substitution Effect Purchasing power increases for a given work schedule A higher wage may increase or decrease the quantity of labor supplied by the individual ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 19 Labor Supply of Programmers Higher wages attract workers from other careers An increase in wages from W1 to W2 increases quantity of labor supplied from L1 to L2 S Wage ($/hour) Labor supply for a single profession has a positive slope W2 W1 L1 L2 Employment of programmers (work-hours/year) Movement along the labor supply curve ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 20 Market Shift: Increase in the Demand for Programmers W3 S Wage ($/hour) Demand for programmers increases from D1 to D2 Initial impact is a shortage of programmers at W1 In the short-run, wages are bid up to W3 In the long run Movement up the supply curve and down the demand curve Quantity of labor supplied increases from L1 to L2 Wages settle at W2 W2 W1 D2 D1 L1 L2 Employment of programmers (work-hours/year) ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 21 Market Shift: Increase in the Demand for Programmers Labor markets are often relatively slow to adjust When the demand for workers in a given profession increases, shortages may remain for months or even years It all depends on how long it takes people to acquire the skills and training needed to enter the profession (or to change profession to the one in demand) ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 22 Explaining Differences in Earnings When labor markets are competitive, differences in wages are determined by differences in VMP Lina earned 20% more than Rafiq because she made 20% more pots each week than he did This difference in productivity may have resulted from an underlying difference in talent or training, or perhaps Lina simply worked harder than Rafiq Yet often we see large salary differences even among people who appear equally talented and hardworking ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 23 Explaining Differences in Earnings Why, for instance, do lawyers earn so much more than those plumbers who are just as smart as they are and work just as hard? And why do surgeons earn so much more than general practitioners? No-Cash-on-the-Table Principle says that only differences in talent, luck, or hard work can account for long-run differences in earnings If plumbers could earn more by becoming lawyers, why don’t they just switch occupations? Answer to that is Human Capital Theory ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 24 Human Capital and Differences in Earnings Human capital theory holds that an individual’s VMP (or wage) is proportional to his or her stock of human capital Human capital stock is a mixture of factors such as Factors Affecting Differences in Earnings Education Experience Training Intelligence Energy Work Habits Trustworthiness Individuals capital Initiative Political Skills make decisions about acquiring human ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 25 Human Capital and Differences in Earnings Some jobs require more human capital For example, a general practitioner could become a surgeon, but only by extending her formal education by several more years An even larger investment in additional education is required for a plumber to become a lawyer These jobs usually pay more Demand for specific kinds of human capital also cause earnings differences ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 26 Labor Unions and Differences in Earnings In general, two workers with the same amount of human capital may earn different wages if one of them belongs to a labor union and the other does not A labor union is a group of workers who bargain collectively with employers for better wages and working conditions entry to the union is restricted Unions restrict the supply of labor and raise wages Similar to a cartel Unions increase the supply of labor to the non-union companies Wages in non-union companies go down ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 27 Market 1 D1 = VMP1 S0 D = VMP1 + VMP2 9 125 Wage ($/hour) Total Market Market 2 D2 = VMP2 Wage ($/hour) Wage ($/hour) Market Equilibrium Without Unions 9 9 75 Employment ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 200 Total employment (workers/day) 28 Market 1 D1 = VMP1 12 9 100 Wage ($/hour) Workers in market 1 unionize Negotiate a wage of $12 25 workers out of work In market 2, labor increases by 25 workers from market 1 Wage decreases to $6 Employment increases to 100 Net welfare loss to society Move workers from low VMP to high VMP will increase total surplus Wage ($/hour) Market 1 Is Unionized 125 Market 2 D2 = VMP2 9 6 ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 75 100 Employment 29 Size of the Union Wage Advantage Our analysis of two markets resulted in union workers earning twice the non-union wage Suggest unionized firms have a cost disadvantage Unionized firms remain competitive Unions Union workers are more skilled and experienced Wage gap is ±10% for comparable human capital Unions attract most productive workers increase productivity Improved communications and motivation Lower labor turnover means lower costs ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 30 Compensating Wage Differentials If people are paid the value of what they produce, why do chefs earn more than lifeguards? Preparing food is important, to be sure, but is it more valuable than saving the life of a drowning child? Similarly, why plumbers may get paid more than teachers? Is replacing faucet washers really more valuable than educating children? The wage for a particular job depends not only on the value of what workers produce, but also on how attractive they find its working conditions ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 31 Compensating Wage Differentials Compensating wage differentials describe the difference in wage rates from differences in working conditions Wages depend on VMP and also on working conditions Workers have preferences about their work schedule, environment and other conditions Working in less desirable conditions increases wage Safety and work schedule are conditions that matter to workers ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 32 Discrimination in the Labor Market Wage differentials not based on differences in VMP leave cash on the table On average, women and minorities receive lower wages than white males Pattern holds even if we compare people with similar human capital levels One way to explain differential is that some human capital differences are not measured Another view attributes the differential to discrimination ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 33 Employer Discrimination Employer discrimination is an arbitrary preference by an employer for one group of workers over another Assumptions Productivity is distributed the same for men and women Average productivity is the same One employer prefers to hire male employees ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 34 Employer Discrimination Discriminating firm has higher costs than non-discriminator Discriminating employers earn lower profits Non-discriminator has higher profits Expands business Eventually supply of women is exhausted Bid up female wages No Cash on the Table Principle results in equal wages between discriminator and non-discriminator ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 35 Discrimination by Others If employer discrimination is not the primary explanation of the wage gap, what is? Customer discrimination causes buyers to pay more for goods produced by favored group for the same product Attorneys: Some groups more credible with juries and clients than others Reduces incentives for non-favored groups to enter the profession Socialization within the family can affect individual's career choices and therefore the supply of labor Traditional female roles: nurses, teachers, secretaries ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 36 Other Sources of the Wage Gap Basis for compensating wage differentials Willingness Coal mining, entrepreneurs, construction, farming Quality to accept risk versus quantity of education Difficult to measure Courses taken and degrees (humanities versus sciences) pursued by sex and race Wage gaps remain across industries and occupations If one group disproportionately pursues higher-paid occupations, wage gap will persist ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 37 Winner-Take-All Markets Winner-take-all markets are ones in which small differences in human capital translate into large differences in pay Technology plays a role Some participants earn high salaries Many more do not Examples Entertainment Law Consulting Medicine Investment Banking CEOs Publishing Design, Fashion Academia ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 38 Trends in Inequality An attractive feature of the free-market system is that it rewards initiative, effort, and risk taking The harder, longer, and more effectively a person works, the more he or she will be paid Yet relying on the marketplace to distribute income also entails an important drawback: Those who do well often end up with vastly more money than they can spend Those who fail often cannot afford even basic goods and services. ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 39 Trends in Inequality Market outcomes produce disparities in income Median Income by Quintile for US (2005 dollars) Quintile Bottom 20% Second 20% 1980 $14,386 31,316 1990 $14,241 33,217 2000 $16,008 36,602 Middle 20% Fourth 20% Top 20% 47,308 65,634 110,507 51,157 73,569 136,725 57,525 84,781 177,879 Top 5% 157,094 214,527 315,205 ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 40 US Median Income by Quintile $350,000 $300,000 Growing inequality $200,000 $100,000 Bottom 20% Second 20% 1980 Middle 20% 1990 Fourth 20% Top 20% Top 5% 2000 ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 41 Recent Trends in Inequality From WWII to the 1970s income growth was ± 3% per year for all groups Between 1980 and 2000, growth rates increase from bottom quintile to top Does not show mobility between groups Median income is not a measure of individual welfare In 1980, CEOs earned 42 times salary of average worker By 2000, this multiple increased to more than 500 times Median Income Growth 1980 - 2000 Bottom 20% 11% Second 20% 17% Middle 20% 22% Fourth 20% 29% Top 20% 61% Top 5% 101% ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 42 Is Income Inequality a Moral Problem? The "right" income distribution is a normative matter Rawls proposed a "fair" income distribution is one that people would accept before they know their position in the distribution Equality of distribution is favored by the strongly risk averse Since an unequal income distribution would involve not only a chance of doing well but a chance of doing poorly, most people would prefer to eliminate the risk by choosing an equal distribution ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 43 Acceptable Income Distributions If income is distributed equally, total output is smaller than in a country with earnings incentives Rawls argued that inequality would be acceptable if it increases total output by "enough" Rawls also argued that the market system produces more inequality than acceptable Fear of being disadvantaged beats hope of being rich Fairness requires some attempt to reduce income inequality produced by the market ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 44 The Challenge of Income Redistribution Raising incomes of the needy reduce incentives to work Difficulty distinguishing between needy and others Risk takers may appear "needy" People who prefer not to work are ineligible Hurricane victims No perfect solution Choose among imperfect alternatives ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 45 Welfare Payments and In-kind Transfers In-kind transfers are direct transfers of goods or services Food subsidies, subsidized public housing, subsidized school meals, free education, and health care ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 46 Welfare Programs in Egypt One of the most important welfare programs in Egypt comes in the form of food subsidies, which cover sugar, cooking oil, tea, and rice The green card targets low-income households and provides a higher rate of subsidy The red card targets higher-income households and provides a lower rate of subsidy Critics of this program charge that ambiguous selection criterion and weak monitoring have rendered the subsidies ineffective Green cards: held by 61 percent of households in the three richest quintiles, which receive 62 percent of total benefits. Red cards: held by 10 percent of households in the poorest two quintiles (in lieu of green cards). ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 47 Means-Tested Benefit Programs A means-tested program means that the more income a family has, the smaller are the benefits it receives under these programs Intends to avoid paying benefits to those who can support themselves Administrative structure discourages work If benefits are reduced by $1 for each $2 earned, participants in multiple programs may lose more benefits than the income they earn Administrative costs are high Simplify the program and distribute the cost savings to the needy ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 48 The Negative Income Tax (NIT) No Taxes After-Tax Income ($000s) Negative income tax is a tax credit for each person financed by tax on earned income With no taxes, pre-tax income equals after-tax income With NIT, low income families receive a cash transfer while high income families pay tax Family with no income would receive the federal poverty threshold 20 tax 16 15 14 NIT 10 transfer ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 10 15 20 Pre-Tax Income ($000s) 49 Negative Income Tax Advantages Incentive to work is greater than with welfare Lower administrative cost Disadvantages Creates and incentive not to work The political cost is high NIT guarantees income to all who do not work Would need to be at least as large as the government’s official poverty threshold, if sole means of insulating people against poverty ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 50 Negative Income Tax and Poverty ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 51 Negative Income Tax and Poverty According to the World Bank, the poverty threshold is $1.25 per day, which represents about $450 per year. In the U.S. it is $21,756 for a family of four. Couldn’t eight families in the U.S. live nicely with $144,000 per year (from pooling their negative tax payments) after moving to a home in the mountains? Two practical difficulties: More people living at the government’s expense would make the program prohibitively costly The program is likely to be quickly abandoned by political supporters ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 52 Minimum Wage Legislation Loss Wmin Wage ($/hour) Minimum wage above equilibrium creates unemployment Unemployment S W in total surplus L1 workers earn more L1 L0 (L0 – L1) are unemployed Employment Change in total earning depends on the elasticity of demand for labor D Studies show little effect of minimum wage on employment Loss in total surplus may be small ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 53 Minimum Wages and Total Surplus No Minimum Wage Minimum Wage ($7) 10 S 5 Worker surplus $12.5K 0 10 W ($/hour) W ($/hour) Employer surplus $12.5K 5,000 Employer surplus ($4.5K) S 7 Total surplus lost ($4K) 5 3 Worker D surplus ($16.5K) D 0 L (work-hours/day) ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 3,000 5,000 L (work-hours/day) 54 Public Employment for the Poor Government could employ the poor If wages are the same as the private sector, some workers will prefer government jobs Increases the cost of the program Make-work programs are not productive Increases size of government Acting alone, government-sponsored jobs for the poor or the negative income tax cannot solve the income-transfer problem But a combination of these programs might do so ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 55 A Combination of Methods Use a NIT with payment set below the poverty threshold Set the public service wage below the minimum wage Privatize the management of the public service employment program Public Job Poverty threshold NIT + Public Job NIT + Private Job NIT ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 56