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Importance of Ecological Connectivity and Opportunities Along the European Green Belt Dr. Andrew J. Gregory Ast. Prof. Spatial Ecology, Bowling Green State University & Director of the Genetic Research in Applied Spatial Ecology Lab EU Greenbelt Connecting Landscapes; Connecting People Central European Green Belt Borders separate – Nature unites • The European Green Belt has the vision to create the backbone of an ecological network, running from the Barents to the Black Sea, that is a global symbol for trans-boundary cooperation in nature conservation and sustainable development. 2006 IUCN Report on the Green Belt While working to connect landscapes, I have had the opportunity to connect with people in >30 countries A History of Connecting Landscapes A History of Connecting Landscapes The island dilemma: Lessons of modern biogeographic studies for the design of natural reserves. Biological Conservation Volume 7, Issue 2, February 1975, Pages 129–146. Jared M. Diamond Thus, the original context of the term conservation corridor IUCN Connectivity Types Today the Concept of a Corridor has Expanded & Four Classes Seem to Exist 1. Temporary dispersal habitat (fence lines, hedgerows, etc.) 2. Linear connectivity structures (original intent) 3. Regional conservation organizational entities 4. Trans-boundary conservation cooperatives Temporary Dispersal Habitat (IUCN: Biological, Ecological, or Conservation Corridor) Linear Connectivity (IUCN: Biological, Ecological, or Conservation Corridor) Regional Conservation Organization (IUCN: Conservation or Sustainable Development Corridor) Trans-boundary Cooperatives (IUCN: Conservation or Sustainable Development Corridor) Large-scale restoration through connectivity: the whole is greater than the sum of its parts Ecologically what the whole (connected landscape) has that its parts (otherwise isolated patches) lack: • (For wide ranging species), individual movement to access resources in home range. • Dispersal movements between patches, which • prevent local extinction (demographic rescue) & • permit recolonization after local extinction • Seasonal migration for species that cannot fly Ecologically what the whole (connected landscape) has that its parts (otherwise isolated patches) lack: • Interpatch gene flow (adaptation, vigor, & evolution) • Area-sensitive ecological processes such as disturbance regimes and predator-prey interactions • Ability for species to move in response to climate change The 2 most-frequently recommended strategies for adaptation to climate change (CC): 1. Expand protected areas 2. Increase connectivity between protected areas Heller & Zavaleta 2009, Mawdsley et al 2009, 100 other papers & 4 recent books on corridors 2006 2006 2006 2010 The Dominant Paradigms for Climate Change • The climate space for species will shift upslope and towards the poles. Several ways to provide connectivity • Conserve intact natural landscapes. Best, most natural • Manage the entire matrix for permeability. • Conserve or restore corridors. • Conserve or restore steppingstones (for species that can fly over or move through non-habitat). • Build crossing structures under highways & canals. ‘Getting the animal across the road’ is often only part of the solution. Least comprehensive • Capture animals in one wildland block and carry them to the other wildland block. But will such corridors work? A corridor is an hypothesis: it’s a prediction that a long swath of natural land will support gene flow between two reserve areas, even when the rest of the landscape is not compatible with wildlife use. Why Do We Not Know? Conservation corridor Typical corridor study • length ½ to 100 km • width > 1 km • matrix: cities, farms • desired response: longterm occupancy & gene flow • length < 150 m • width < 384 m • matrix: natural land cover • measured response: animal movement What Do We Not Know? Connected patches Isolated patches Samples in intact area CP1 7 km …Measure gene flow between connected patches, isolated patches and sites within an intact landscape Genetic distance How Can We Evaluate Successful Connectivity Interventions? IP1 SL1 Non-native pasture CP2 IP2 SL2 Calculate Corridor Success Index for each species-corridor: CSI = (GS-GS)/(GS-GS) Genetic similarity 1 = success CSI Connected patches Samples in intact area 0 = failure Isolated patches Use mixed Generalized Additive Models to evaluate the influence of landscape covariates, species covariates and some of their interactions on CSI. Gregory and Beier (2014) Metrics for assessing conservation corridor success. Journal of Conservation Biology. Why Use Gene Flow? Why Use Gene Flow? Opportunities Abound Along the EU Greenbelt to Test the Corridor Hypothesis Thank You Very Much!!