Download Superintelligence

Information Systems in
Organizations
6.0 Artificial Intelligence
Administrivia
• Learn IT #5 is due tonight
• Final Exam – 50 minute exam
• Wednesday 5/4 - 5:45-6:45
• No dice on changing the time
• Student Feedback Forms
• Please do fill them out, they are important
• They also help us restructure the course
• Next week’s class
Where are We?
Agenda
• Today we’re going to talk about AI
Build Your Own Study Guide
The AI Revolution: The Road to
Superintelligence
• What are 3 key points from this reading?
• What are 3 important details from this reading?
Students will be called upon at random
Build Your Own Study Guide
Bill Gates Says You Should Worry
About Artificial Intelligence
• What are 3 key points from this reading?
• What are 3 important details from this reading?
Students will be called upon at random
What is AI?
• Elon Musk:
http://money.cnn.com/video/technology/2015/09/
10/elon-musk-artificial-intelligence.cnnmoney/
• School of Life:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TRv0cXUVQ
w
Superintelligence
The future of humanity in
the age of
superintelligent machines
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Three types or calibers of AI:
• Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI)
• Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)
• Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)
ANI: Chess Program
AGI: Human Level Intelligence
ASI: Superintelligence
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
ANI is everywhere:
• Google maps
• Autonomous cars
• Spam filters
• Google translate
• Travel bookings
• Manufacturing
• Facebook suggestions
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
2010 Flash Crash:
• ANI caused stock
market to
plummet
• $1 trillion decline
in value
• Quick recovery
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
• AGI is imminent
• AGI is extremely complex
and difficult
• Requires enormous
computational power
(remember Moore’s Law?)
• Companies are spending
billions of dollars
• Google
• IBM
• Cross domain optimization
Wait But Why: The AI Revolution
Computers still have a hard time with tests like these, but for how long?
Blue Brain Project
^ Click image to watch video
AGI Tests
• The Turing Test
• The Coffee Test
• The College Student Test
• The Employment Test
Build Your Own Study Guide
Turing test
• What are 3 key points from this reading?
• What are 3 important details from this reading?
Students will be called upon at random
Alan Turing (1912-1954)
• Father of AI and computer science
• Cryptanalyst during WWII
• Cracked code that enabled Allies victory
• Contributions to physical sciences (see
Belousov–Zhabotinsky reaction)
• Died of cyanide poisoning
• Receives public apology in 2009 and royal
pardon in 2013
Turing’s Test
The other Tests
• The Coffee Test (Ben Goertzel)
• A machine is given the task of going into an average American
home and figuring out how to make coffee. It has to find the
coffee machine, find the coffee, add water, find a mug, and
brew the coffee by pushing the proper buttons.
• The Robot College Student Test (Ben Goertzel)
• A machine is given the task of enrolling in a university, taking
and passing the same classes that humans would, and
obtaining a degree.
• The Employment Test (Nils John Nilsson)
• A machine is given the task of working an economically
important job, and must perform as well or better than the
level that humans perform at in the same job.
Would you pass a Turing Test
From AGI to ASI
Build Your Own Study Guide
What is Watson?
• What are 3 key points from this reading?
• What are 3 important details from this reading?
Students will be called upon at random
IBM Watson
• Analyzes unstructured
data
• Understands complex
questions
• Learns human
constructs like language,
culture, and context
IBM Watson
^ Click image to watch video
On Machine Learning
• This is about pattern recognition
• Lots of examples you’ve dealt with
•
•
•
•
Spam Filters
OCR
Google search optimization
On demand advertising
How does it work? Many Ways
• Decision trees – Predictive modeling
• Association Rule Learning - Stats
• Deep learning – Mimicking human decision making
• Clustering – KNN approach
• Bayesian inference – Start with a series of priors,
which are refined systematically
• Way more
WBW: From AGI to ASI
Discussion Questions?
• What do you think about the premise that human
consciousness is a function of computational
power?
• What is the role of free will?
• What do you think the future holds?
• What happens when you google laser cats?
In Class Activity
• Mitsuku and the Turing Test
http://www.mitsuku.com/