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Statistics Test Individual Solutions February Regional 1. D: The function factors to (π₯ β 1)(π₯ β 2)2 and the sum of the distinct roots is 3, therefore A=.3 and B=.35. The mean of the distribution using a variety of methods is 3.5. 2. B: A and B were found in the above solution. The standard deviation of the distribution is β235 10 3. A: πππ(π₯) = πΈ(π₯ 2 ) β [πΈ(π₯)]2 therefore 15 = 25 β [πΈ(π₯)]2 and [πΈ(π₯)]2 = ππ. 4. D: (10β1)! 2!β3!β3! = ππππ 5. A: Since the mode is greater than 2, the distribution has a tail on the left side. This makes it left-skewed. 6. A: Definition of systematic sampling. 7. C: The situation present is a geometric distribution and the standard deviation of 1βπ 1β.75 π a geometric distribution is β π2 . Thus β .752 = π. π(1βπ) 8. C: ππΈ = π§ β β π . Since there is no previous information on proportions a p- value of .5 will be used. The π§ β for a 95% confidence interval is 1.96 and since the required width is .1 the margin in .05. Solving for n and rounding up results in 385. 9. C: πΈ(π + π) = 5 + 6 = 11. π(π β π) = 3 + 2 β (2 β .8 β β3 β β2) = 1.08. 11 + 1.08 = ππ. ππ. 10. B: There are 57 combinations with at least two girls and there are 31 ππ combinations with a girl being first, thus the probability is ππ. 11. E: Since the sum of the residuals is 0 (π΄π΅)0 = π 1 1 12. A: The probabilities follow the following geometric sequence ππ {1 + 10 + 100 β¦ } 9 which has to sum up to 1. This means that ππ = 10 and the probability he makes 9 9 9 more than 2 errors is 1 β [10 + 100 + 1000] =. πππ 13. D: Calculate the raw score by solving: 1.645 = πππ€β670 25 β154 , πππ€ = 673.3. Next calculate the z-score using the raw score and the alternative hypothesis; 673.3β676 β1.34. the proportion of the normal curve greater than this score is 0.909. 25 β154 = Statistics Test Individual Solutions February Regional 14-16. Consider a Venn diagram with variables x, y, z, and c. Let x represent the region of only A, y represent the overlap between A and B, z represent the region of only B, and c representing the region out side of both A and B. We know that π₯ + π¦ + π¦ π§ + π = 1. From the first probability given we know that π¦+π§ = .25, from the second π₯ we know π = .1, and from the third probability we know that π₯+π¦ = .3. We now have four simultaneous equations that can be solved to determine x, y, z, and c. π₯+π¦+π§+π =1 . 75π¦ β .25π§ = 0 π = .1 { . 7π₯ β .3π¦ = 0 27 63 189 1 Solving results in π₯ = 310 ; π¦ = 310 ; π§ = 310 ; π = 10 27 63 90 9 14. A: 310 + 310 = 310 = 31 63 15. B: 310 16. D: 63 310 27 63 + 310 310 63 7 = 90 = 10 17. D: The first six triangular numbers are {1,3,6,10,15,21}, there are four odd numbers and the set of odd Pythagorean numbers are {3,15,21}, therefore the π probability is π. 18. E: Probability that you reject a false null hypothesis = 1 β ππ¦ππ πΌ πΈππππ = 1 β .05 = . ππ 19. B: The sample size from the information given is 4. If the sum of the mean and standard deviation is 60, then the standard deviation of the distribution must be 5. π π The standard deviation of a distribution is π β 2 = 5 β π = ππ β 20. C: πππ(π₯) = πΈ(π₯ 2 ) β [πΈ(π₯)]2 and the distribution is binomial. Therefore 1 1 1 2 πΈ(π 2 ) = ππ(1 β π) + (ππ)2 = 32 β 2 β 2 + (32 β 2) = πππ. 21. D: I: The correlation could be positive or negative, so the statement is false. II: A geometric distribution is never approximately normal, so the statement is false. III: To increase power the alternative and null should be farther away from each other, so the statement is false. 1 22. B: π΄ = 3 because it is simply the probability of guessing the door correctly initially. To calculate B, consider that there is a 2/3 chance that the car is behind one of the two doors you did not initially choose. Once the host opens one of the doors and shows that it is a camel that door now has a probability of 0 to contain the car. Statistics Test Individual Solutions February Regional Now the entire 2/3 chance transfers to the remaining door. This means that you 2 π have a 2/3 chance of winning a car if you switch doors. π΅ = 3. π¨ β π© = β π. 23. E: The only value that always has to be positive is sample size; all other values can be negative or 0. 24. C: The P(X=7) is 0 and the π(π < 8|π > 6)= 1/2. 1/2 + 0= 2/5. 25. A: The probability of a full house is 13 4 12 4 ( )( )( )( ) 1 3 1 2 52 ( ) 5 =. 001 26. A: I is a true statement. II is false the mean is simply k, the degrees of freedom. III is false the probability is 0 or 1 since the value of e is determined and fixed. 27. B: The probability of the scenario occurring using conditional probability formulas is π₯ 5 β π₯+6 10 6 4 π₯ 5 β + β π₯+6 10 π₯+6 10 5 = 13, solving for x results in a value of 3. 28. D: The probability Megan eventually wins is the following geometric sequence: 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 1 2 + (3 β 4 β 3) + (3 β 4 β 3 β 4 β 3) + β― = 3. The probability that he wins before the 3 4th overall throw is equal to the probability he wins on his first or third throw which 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 equals 3 + (3 β 4 β 3) = 2. 2 3 π =π 29. C: The information given results in two simultaneous equations: 36βπ π 24βπ π = .5 and = 2 solving the equations results in π = 20 πππ π = 8, π 20+8 = 1 30. B: There is a 364/365 probability that a person doesnβt have a birthday on August 26. Using complementary probability the equation that needs to be solved is 364 π 364 π 1 β (365) > .5 β .5 > (365) β ln(.5) ln( 364 ) 365 > π β π = πππ