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MAINE HEALTH WORKFORCE SUMMIT Understanding the Dental Workforce: What Does The Data Tell Us About Maine’s Needs? October 18, 2011 Judith A. Feinstein, MSPH Director, Oral Health Program Maine CDC 1 OBJECTIVES Provide an overview of Maine’s dental workforce and describe the data sources Discuss the conclusions can be drawn and what questions are raised by the data Review how workforce data can be used to inform strategies for addressing Maine’s dental workforce development needs Discuss how to address Maine’s data needs Examine recommended actions/steps that are being or could/should be taken by all interested parties 2 CAVEATS Remember… “Without data, you are just an opinion.” “You can’t fix with statistics what you bungled by design.” -- and - “If you torture the data long enough, it will confess.” – OR – The answer you get depends on the question you ask Source of quotes: unnamed but not to be forgotten CDC evaluators 3 FEDERALLY DESIGNATED DENTAL HEALTH PROFESSIONAL SHORTAGE AREAS - 2011 4 DENTIST TO POPULATION RATIO ME Dept of Labor, Workforce Analysis of Maine’s Health Services Sector, issued April 2010 5 DENTAL HYGIENISTS – POPULATION RATIO ME Dept of Labor, Workforce Analysis of Maine’s Health Services Sector, issued April 2010 6 NEED FOR MORE PRACTITIONERS? ME Dept of Labor, Workforce Analysis of Maine’s Health Services Sector, issued April 2010 7 A CLOSER LOOK AT THE DATA ... 8 … and the questions we ask to get it DATA SOURCES Licensure data – Maine Board of Dental Examiners Maine Cooperative Health Manpower Resource Inventory surveys Dentist Resource Inventory Registered Dental Hygienist Resource Inventory National Sources, e.g., HRSA 9 DATA AND ITS LIMITATIONS Issues - Survey construction and administration (methods) Voluntary or mandatory Questions (wording) Response rates Interpretations Statistical analyses Biases Numerator Denominator 10 NUMBER OF LICENSED DENTISTS AND HYGIENISTS AS REPORTED BY THE STATE BOARD OF DENTAL EXAMINERS * Year Dentists Licensed (Inactive) Maine Address 2011 835 (7) 665 (3) 2010 800 (8) 653 (3) 2009 833 (8) 671 (2) 2008 818 2007 2006 Hygienists Licensed (Inactive) Maine Address 1290 (36) 1341 (50) 1301 (54) 1194 (36) 1179 (36) 1175 (34) 662 1238 1130 831 648 1335 1146 n/a 604 n/a 1082 IPDHs Licensed Maine Address 33 31 18 16 11 11 * Point in time data: Numbers obtained annually in January or February in response to a query from the ME Oral Health Program to answer a survey – not an official report. 11 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 Most dentists practicing in Maine are white males over the age of 50. The typical dentist in Maine has been practicing for 24.4 years. Only 15% of those surveyed have been working for 10 years or less. As dentists get older, they cut back on hours and are more likely to work part-time. Female dentists work fewer hours and weeks/year than male dentists. There is no statistically significant difference in hours between dentists working in urban and rural settings. 12 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 If reaching age 65 was the only determinant of retirement-related turnover, 25% of dentists currently working will retire within 5 years, 44% within 10 years and 62% within 15 years. If rural areas are not able to recruit younger dentists the gap between retirement-related turnover in rural and urban areas becomes more severe as time passes. Intent to leave within 5 years is correlated with job satisfaction and attachment. No statistically significant differences in reported plans to leave and rural versus urban region were found. 13 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 Age (N = 613) Mean (min, max, st dev) 51.5 (27 to 85, st dev = 10.7) > 35 years 10. 3 % 36 – 50 33.1 51 – 64 47.5 65 + 9.1 14 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 Geographic Location (Labor Market) Residence Work Aroostook and Washington 5.6% 5.6% Piscataquis, Penobscot and Hancock 15.9% 16.0 Somerset, Franklin, Oxford, Kennebec and Androscoggin 21.6 24.8 56.8 53.6 Urban (Cumb, Sag, York, Andro, Penob) 66.6 66.1 Rural (Aroostook, Franklin, Kennebec, Knox, Piscat, Somerset, Waldo, Wash, Hancock, Oxford, Lincoln) 33.4 33.9 Waldo, Knox, Lincoln, Sagadahoc, Cumberland and York Urban vs. Rural (County) 15 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 Type of Practice Setting Self-employed (solo or group practice) 80.9 % Solo practice 63.8 Group practice 36.2 Private practice 83.0 Clinic, hospital, group plan facility 11.1 Military, VA, public health, Indian Health facility 2.9 Medical Research Institute or Establishment 0.5 16 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – DENTISTS, 2008 Weeks/Year and Hours/Week Mean # of weeks worked/last year in Maine (range, std dev) (N=589) Worked 35 weeks or less 47.4 (0-52, 9.4) 7.4% Mean # hrs/wk, direct patient care (N= 596) 33.4 % (0-129) Mean # hrs/wk, non-clinical tasks (N=596) 2.3 % (0-40, 4.9) Mean # total hours/week (N=596) 35.8 (0-139, 13) Working full-time (40 hrs +/week) (N=596) 40.3% (n=240) Working part-time (less than 30 hrs) (N=596) 21.3% (n=127) 17 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – HYGIENISTS, 2008 Most Maine hygienists are white women between 35 and 54 years of age; mean age = 43.1 The typical hygienist in Maine has practiced for 18.9 years. About 26% of those surveyed had been working for 10 years or less; about 20% had been working for 30 years or more. The average number of hours worked per week is 28.1; 41% worked fewer than 30 hours weekly. As hygienists get older, they tend to work fewer hours per week. Where hygienists work is distributed fairly equally among urban core areas, suburban areas, large town areas and “small town and isolated rural areas” (27.9, 29.7, 27.6, 28.7%). 18 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – HYGIENISTS, 2008 Older dental hygienists were most likely to say they did not plan to still be working in their field in ME in 5 years. 82% yes, 5% no, 13% maybe (regardless of age) Largest proportions “no”: Sagadahoc & Franklin Counties; largest number: Cumberland Some differences in plans among urban core areas (14%), suburban areas (8%), large town areas (8%) and “small town and isolated rural areas” (16%). Hygienists who worked less than 30 hours/week were somewhat less likely than those working 30+ hours/week to say they would be still working in 5 years. 19 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – HYGIENISTS, 2008 Active Dental Hygienists by Age Group (among those who responded to the survey)* Age Number Percent 21 – 24 24 3% 25 – 34 147 19 35 – 44 226 29 45 – 54 225 29 55 – 64 117 15 65 – 74 13 2 2 <1 25 3 75+ Unknown * Only responders to the survey included, N = 779; in early 2008, there were 1130 licensed hygienists with ME addresses. 20 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – HYGIENISTS, 2008 County/area Aroostook and Washington Surveyed Employed Workplace 32 27 32 136 124 130 Somerset, Franklin, Oxford, Kennebec & Androscoggin 146 139 138 Waldo, Lincoln, Knox, Sagadahoc, Cumberland & York 312 280 344 Urban Core 229 207 310 Suburban 119 110 49 Large Town 106 101 119 Small town/rural 172 152 65 Out of state or unknown 153 131 58 Piscataquis, Penobscot & Hancock 21 COOPERATIVE HEALTH MANPOWER RESOURCE INVENTORY – HYGIENISTS, 2008 Primary type of Practice # of hygienists Percent 525 79 Periodontal practice 32 5 Public health 30 5 Clinic 27 4 Pediatric practice 15 2 Educational institution/clinic 13 2 Orthodontic practice 5 1 Prosthodontic practice 4 2 General dental practice 22 WHAT DOES THE DATA TELL US? Our dental professionals are getting older. Our dental professionals live and work where most of us do. Compared to the national average, there are ~ 70% fewer dentists per capita in Maine’s six rural counties, and ~40% fewer hygienists. The characteristics and distribution of our dental professionals impact access. Our dental professionals don’t like to answer surveys. 23 WHAT DO WE NEED FROM THE DATA? HOW CAN WE USE IT? Do we have enough dentists and hygienists? Where do they live? What do they do (focus of practice)? How much do they work (FTE)? What would the impact of a “new” practitioner be? ??? 24 RECOMMENDED ACTIONS/STEPS Require more information on licensure applications Need for meaningful questions Need to standardize questions Encourage participation in voluntary surveys by licensed practitioners ????? 25 RECOMMENDED ACTIONS/STEPS Find a home for health manpower surveys; include dental professions at same interval as medical Support the Board of Dental Examiners in data collection efforts Agree on standards for collection and reporting ??? 26 UNDERSTANDING THE DENTAL WORKFORCE Questions? Comments? Judith A. Feinstein, MSPH Director, Oral Health Program [email protected] 207/287-3267 27