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Climate change discussion in Europe:
Light at the end of the
alarmist tunnel?
Dr Sebastian Lüning
„The Neglected Sun“ reminded IPCC scientists of the
important role of natural climate drivers
> Publication dates:
German: 2012
English: 2013
> Authors:
– Prof Fritz Vahrenholt: former CEO Renewable Energy Company
– Dr Sebastian Lüning: Geologist
Fritz Vahrenholt
Sebastian Lüning
Reaction of the Climate Establishment
Prof Mojib Latif (University of Kiel):
“When reading the book as a scientist, my hair stands on
end. This is a pseudo-scientific treatise.”
Prof Hartmut Graßl (formerly Director of the World Climate Research
Programme (WCRP) of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO)
in Geneva):
“Well, you know, I don‘t really want to comment on this
rubbish.“
Prof Jochem Marotzke (Director of the Max-Planck-Institute for
Meteorology in Hamburg):
“The book authors have read a lot but understood very
little.“
Presentation by Mojib Latif at internationalen conference ‘AMOC
Variability: Dynamics and Impacts’ in Baltimore on 17 July 2013
Latif‘s Conclusions on slide 30:
http://www.usclivar.org/sites/default/files/amoc/Latif.pdf
Climate Skepticism in the European Parliament
On 3 July 2012, the European
Parliament invited Fritz Vahrenholt
and Sebastian Lüning to Strasbourg
(France) to present to
parliamentarians their nonalarmistic climate view,
emphasizing the significant role of
natural climate drivers.
Music Professor of University of Graz calls
for death penalty for climate skeptics
• In a document on a university server, music
professor Prof. Richard Parncutt of Graz University
(Austria) called in December 2012 for the death
penalty for climate skeptic
• The university subsequently forced Parncutt to
delete the files and take them offline.
• Parncutt still works at the University to this date.
http://www.uni-graz.at/richard.parncutt/
Hans von Storch in Interview with newspaper
„Wirtschaftswoche“ in April 2013
WIRTSCHAFTSWOCHE: How long
does the warming pause have to
continue before you start haveing
second thoughts about the validity of
current climate models?
VON STORCH: In case the warming
pause was to continue for another 10
years, I would question the model, that
greenhouse gases are the main reason
for global warming. It was a mistake that
climate scientists forgot to mention the
possibility that such warming pauses
could happen.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research:
One of the world’s most active climate alarm factories
Friedrich-Wilhelm Gerstengarbe
Stefan Rahmstorf
Photo sources: Building: H. Raab (uploaded to Wikipedia by User:Vesta), Rahmstorf (left): Frédéric Batier - PIK
Hans-Joachim
Schellnhuber
Germany’s Energy Transition: Chaos
Development of price for electricity in
Germany 1998-2014
• Gas: Powerplants not
commercial
• Coal: Plan was to
reduce. I reality coal use
has increased
Electricity price
Energy generation
Dues
VAT
• Nuclear power: phased
out
Other taxes
• Renewable energies:
highly subsidized,
electricity prices have
doubled in last 12 years
http://www.schlautipp.de/sites/default/files/strompreisentwicklung-1998-bis-2014-pronose.jpg
Germany‘s EPA („Umweltbundesamt“)
blacklists climate skeptics
•
In May 2013 Germany‘s version of the Environmental
Protection Agency („Umweltbundesamt“, UBA) issued a
colourful climate brochure which warned of an upcoming
climate catastrophe
•
The booklet also included a „black list“ of skeptical
scientists which in the opinion of the UBS should not be
listened to.
•
Some of the accused scientists and journalists said they
might sue UBA.
•
Initially no authors in UBA-booklet mentioned. Only later
names were added – however, none of the alleged auhtors
are climate scientists.
•
In an unusal wave of solidarity, politicians and media (incl.
ZDF) criticized the UBA for its mobbying attempt.
Skeptic Views on Austrian TV
• Discussion round on Austrian TV ORF2 about documentary „Climate
Crimes“ which addresses destruction of nature in the name of „Green
Policies”.
• Filmmaker Ulrich Eichelmann and his team visited the Mesopotamian
Marshes in Iraq, the rainforests of the Amazon and Indonesia, Turkey’s
Southeast, as well as protected sites in Germany. All of them could be
destroyed within the next decades due to hydropower plants, palm oil
plantations and maize fields used to produce biofuel and biogas.
Skeptic Views on Euronews
Discussion round on Euronews TV in early November 2013 in context of
Conference of Parties (COP) 19 in Warszaw, Poland.
Participants:
• Bas Eickhout (Member of European Parliament, Green Party
• Christiana Figueres (Executive Secretary of the UN Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Bonn, Germany
• Sebastian Lüning (Geologist)
Dutch advice to IPCC: limiting the scope to human induced
climate change is undesirable
http://www.staatvanhetklimaat.nl/2013/07/05/dutch-advise-to-ipcc-limiting-the-scope-to-human-induced-climate-change-is-undesirable/
IPCC report 2014: Author withdraws
http://ingeniouspursuits.blogspot.pt/2014/06/consensus-in-science-revisited.html
The Research Council of Norway assumes a strongly reduced
warming effect of CO2
Press release 24th January 2013:
“Uncertainties about the overall results of feedback
mechanisms make it very difficult to predict just how
much of the rise in Earth’s mean surface temperature is
due to manmade emissions. According to the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
the climate sensitivity to doubled atmospheric CO2
levels is probably between 2°C and 4.5°C, with the
most probable being 3°C of warming. In the Norwegian
project, however, researchers have arrived at an
estimate of 1.9°C as the most likely level of warming.”
http://www.forskningsradet.no/en/Newsarticle/Global_warming_less_extreme_than_feared/1253983344535
Austrian Central Institution for Meteorology and
Geodynamics suggest lower CO2 climate sensitivity
• Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie
und Geodynamik (ZAMG)
complains on its website that
climate models react too strongly
to greenhouse gases
• ZMAG shows this temperature
graph on their website (colours:
models, back: reality)
• Webpage is still active as of
7 July 2014
http://www.kaltesonne.de/?p=14580
Sea Level Rise: Faster than ever?
http://www.latinamericanpost.com/latampost/index.php/global-issues/7408-report-links-climate-change-to-the-uprise-in-terrorism
Sea level cycles in the southern North Sea during
the last 7500 years
•
From Behre (2004)
Natural millennial climate cycles
strengthened or weakened the
long-term rate of rise via glacial ice
gain or ice loss.
No accelerated sea level rise for the last 50 years
European Research Consortium:
Sea level rise less severe than previously assumed
Whenever a theory appears to
you as the only possible one,
take this as a sign that you have
neither understood the theory
nor the problem which it was
intended to solve.
Karl Popper
Austrian-British Philosopher, 1902-1994
http://www.afilosofia.com.br/post/karl-popper-e-falseabilidade/349
Thank You