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STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK: EXTERNAL OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Professor Stefan Markowski WYŻSZA SZKOŁA INFORMATYKI I ZARZĄDZANIA z siedzibą w Rzeszowie Conceptual Framework: External Operating Environment CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK: BUSINESS OPERATING ENVIRONMENT • INDUSTRIES AND MARKETS • SWOT ANALYSIS: OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS Conceptual Framework: External Operating Environment Content Business (External) Operating Environment • Technology • Socio-economic and Institutional Factors • Market Structures • Natural Environment • SWOT: Opportunities and Threats • Segmentation and strategic group analysis Business (External) Operating Environment Business Operating Environment The Natural Environment Technology Input Markets Inputs Input-output Transformation Outputs Socio-economic and Institutional Factors Market Conditions Output Markets Business (External) Operating Environment How industry structure and its environment influence firms’ behavior and determine industry performance? Determinants of firm’s profit Value of product to customers Intensity of competition Bargaining power of producers relative to their suppliers Industry structure and environment drive competition, which in turn determines industry profitability and performance Business (External) Operating Environment Key dimensions of business operating environment: technology socio-economic and institutional framework market structures the natural environment The key dimensions of the business environment are those that impact on the firm’s ability to produce, source its inputs, and sell its outputs Technology Technology concepts process and/or product focus invention vs innovation technology (industry) life cycle: start up, growth, maturity and decline Technological change incremental/ evolving/ frame bending radical/ fundamental/ frame breaking adaptive vs innovative Technology appraisal determines the choice of products to make and production processes Technology Output capability and capacity: capability (potential max. output, in part unknown) capacity (max. quantity of a particular output) new capability formation (investment) capacity utilisation (a key cost driver) Service x t Capacity utilisation (approaching Capability frontier (x,y,z) at time New capability formation (shifting the frontier) Good y the frontier) Good z logy Technology Sources of technological intelligence (forecasts and surveys as well as own R&D activities/learning by doing): Expert opinion Delphi exercises (consensus expert view) Competitor monitoring R&D monitoring Demonstrator/concept products and technologies (own R&D) Collaborative research Technology Example: British Technology Foresight Project (www.foresight.gov.uk) (government-business initiative to enhance future competitiveness of the UK economy) Key questions (terms of reference): What are the likely social, economic, environmental and market trends over the next 10-20 years? Which areas of R&D and underpinning science, engineering and technology best address those future trends? How best can public funds be used to sustain an innovative science base to support future national prosperity and quality of life? To what extent should regulation, skills, educational facilities and other factors be taken into account? Technology Sectoral coverage (Sector Panels): agriculture, natural resources and environment chemicals communications construction defence and aerospace energy financial services food and drink health and life sciences IT and electronics leisure and learning manufacturing, production and business processes marine materials retail and distribution transport Technology Implementation: Steering Committee held a series of awareness seminars to push the concept, seek views on program structure and determine sectoral panel membership Sectoral Technology Foresight Panels (15) performed analysis, consultation and network building. They were assisted by subject groups and working parties Delphi Study involving 10,000 respondents, coordinated by mail, responding to the panel findings Regional workshops (60), conferences, etc. to fine-tune and disseminate findings Another foresight exercise For the past 40+ years, the Japanese Science and Technology Agency has conducted technology foresight-type exercises every 5 years Socio-economic and institutional factors Socio-economic domain: economic trends (growth, macroeconomic, international, microeconomic/sectoral) social and demographic trends (census of population, household surveys, census Institutional and political domain: laws and the legal system (corporate governance, contracting, taxation) political institutions (stability, corruptibility) government policies (electoral trends, special interest groups) Socio-economic appraisal is critical for activity location Socio-economic and institutional factors Sources of socio-economic intelligence: economic outlook publications economic forecasts census of population demographic forecasts consumer surveys and market studies investment (market) sentiment studies opinion polls country profiles international competitiveness studies Internet, social media Socio-economic and institutional factors Sources of institutional and political intelligence: constitution and legislation major court determinations expert opinion published country profiles published sovereign risk assessments opinion polls lobbyists government inside sources Socio-economic and institutional factors Example - WEF Global Competitiveness Report (www.weforum.org) (produced by a private Swiss group organising the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland) Coverage: Over 50 countries ‘Hard’ (quantitative) and ‘soft ’(3000 people executive survey) data the assembled data is converted into nearly 300 performance indices with the latter aggregated into 8 factors of competitiveness final country ranking in terms of weighted competitiveness factors Socio-economic and institutional factors IMD Factors of Competitiveness openness to foreign trade and investment government - the role of the state in the economy finance - the efficiency of financial intermediation infrastructure - the quality of physical infrastructure technology - the diffusion of new technologies and R&D management - the quality of commercial management labour - the competitiveness of domestic labour market institutions - the quality of legal institutions, the extent of corruption and criminality, the degree of business competition Weights (eg, competitiveness quantitative data 75% and survey data 25%) Market structures Focus on the firm’s ability to market its products and source its inputs (market power) Market power depends on: market concentration (competitor numbers) barriers to entry and exit (latent competition or contestability) product differentiation (availability of substitutes and complements) information (availability and cost of market intelligence) Understanding of market structures is a key determinant of competitive strategy Market structures Structural Features Market Structures Competition Oligopoly Oligopsony many a few one Entry & exit barriers none significant high Product differentiation none some possible Information available Concentration (no. of firms) Monopoly Monopsony restricted Market structures Porter’s Five Forces Model Supplier Power Threat of Entry/Exit Other forces: Globalisation Digitisation Deregulation Interindustry Rivalry Buyer Power Complementary products increase dependence Threat of Substitutes Market structures Porter’s Five Force Model Horizontal competition Rivalry among existing firms Threat of new entrants Threat of substitutes Vertical competition Bargaining power of suppliers Bargaining power of buyers Bargaining power of buyers/ suppliers Buyer’s price sensitivity Relative bargaining power Market structures Threat of entry (entry barriers) Capital requirement Economies of scale Absolute cost advantage Product differentiation Access to channels of distribution Government and legal barriers Retaliation Rivalry between established competitors Concentration Diversity of competitors Product differentiation Excess capacity and exit barriers Cost conditions: Scale economies and ratio of fixed to variable costs Market structures Industry boundary defined by group of companies that compete to serve the same market A market’s boundary is defined by substitutability Demand side Supply side Key success factors of a firm What do customer want? What does the firm need to do to survive competition? Market structures Critique of Porter’s Model Complementary relationships? Impact of technology on rate of change Competition as dynamic, personalized process Levels of competition Porter’s Model of Predicting competitors’ behavior Competitors'’ current strategy Competitors’ objectives Competitors’ assumptions about the industry Competitors’ resources and capabilities Market structures • ‘Industry’ is the focal structure for Porter’s Five Forces Approach – general presumption that an entry into a strong ‘industry’ provides a platform for successful performance • But ‘Industry’ as a focus of external analysis is – too narrow; and – too autoregressive • Alternative approach: Kenichi Ohmae’s Strategic Triangle approach Market structures Ohmae’s Strategic Triangle Value Customers Customers Customer Focal Firm Cost Value Competitors Competitors Competitor Market structures • In the Strategic Triangle Model, focal company and its rivals compete on cost of production (process) and value for customers (product) • Customer demands are heterogeneous and fragmented • Four strategies for competitive advantage: – intensifying functional differentiation (by identifying Key Success Factors and investing in business functions that matter most) – building on relative product superiority, where appropriate – pursuing aggressive initiatives – defining and exploiting strategic degrees of freedom (exploring technological synergies and customer functional requirements) Market structures Sources of market intelligence: price and quantity movements direct competitor/market monitoring interpretation of competitor behaviour monitoring of cross-product competition (potential substitutes and complements) supply chain analysis customer surreys (purchasing power, tastes) competition laws and their interpretation direct government intervention (eg, changes in tariffs, subsidies, marketing arrangements) market analysis (demand/supply studies) Natural environment Understanding of natural environment is important for the assessment of availability of and access to natural resources positive and negative externalities (external costs and benefits) barriers to entry/exit product differentiation (eg, environmentfriendly products) Natural environment is another critical factor determining the choice of location and production technology Natural environment Sources of ecological and (natural) environmental intelligence environmental impact studies and statements legislation and court determinations literature government policies international agreements and cases customer surreys (environmental preferences and tastes, contingent valuation of environmental amenities) competitor monitoring SWOT: Opportunities and threats SWOT: Opportunities and Threats relevant environment immediate, operating, distant industry, market, sectoral/strategic group, main competitor(-s) key environmental characteristics (attractiveness factors) competitor/contestant analysis (competitor objectives, capabilities, resources, strategies, responses) key success (failure) factors (modes and criticality of success/failure) environmental score card (opportunities and threats) Segmentation and strategic group analyses Segmentation analysis (stages) Identify key segment variables (partition the markets most distinctly) Construct a segment matrix Analyze segment attractiveness (apply Five Forces Model) Identify segment’s key success factors Select segment groups (specialist vs generalist) Strategic groups (similar broad strategies, but may not compete) CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK: EXTERNAL OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Readings Grant, chs. 3-4 Pearce & Robinson, chs. 3 and 5 Questions for review and discussion • Describe the business environment of the firm and outline how to analyse it. • What do you understand by the term “competitive environment of the business firm” and how should we analyse it? • Explain Porter’s “five forces” model. Describe briefly each force. What other factors should be considered in this framework? • Explain how the competitive position of the firm depends on: – the impact of suppliers and customers? – the entry of new competitors? – intrasectoral competition? – the availability of substitute and complementary products?