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Journal of the American College of Cardiology © 2011 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation Published by Elsevier Inc. EDITORIAL COMMENT Botero’s Fat Figures and the Risk of Heart Failure* Eileen Hsich, MD Cleveland, Ohio Is there such a thing as a “healthy fat” person? Can obesity be less risky than maintaining normal weight? The answer is yes, if the normal-weight individual has the metabolic syndrome (MetS). With cardiovascular disease, this has been referred to as the “obesity paradox” (1). As we further understand the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and cardiovascular risk, we realize that the excess cardiovascular deaths observed in obese patients compared with normal-weight patients (2) may be due to other factors including a higher prevalence of MetS among obese patients (2). In fact, the paper by Voulgari et al. (3) in this issue of the Journal nicely demonstrates that MetS better correlates with development of heart failure (HF) than BMI. See page 1343 The association of obesity with HF has been known since at least the 1950s when a 43-year-old “monstrously” obese man died of biventricular heart failure, and the autopsy revealed a heart weighing 600 g with dilated and hypertrophied ventricles (right ⬎ left) (4). Since that case report, epidemiological studies have shown a higher risk of the development of left ventricular hypertrophy (5), left ventricular dilation (6), diastolic dysfunction (7), and clinical HF (8 –12) among obese individuals compared with those of normal weight. In the Framingham Heart Study involving 5,881 participants who were followed for a mean of 14 years, there was a 5% increased risk of HF in men and a 7% increased risk of HF in women for every 1-U increase in BMI after adjusting for known risk factors, such as hypertension and diabetes mellitus (9). The risk of HF was present whether obesity was defined by BMI (8 –12), waist circumference (8,10,13), or waist– hip ratio (8,10). In studies that separated the cohort by sex (8 –10,14) and/or race (8), this association was still present. The obesity paradox in HF refers to the lower risk of urgent transplantation and/or death observed among obese HF pa- *Editorials publication in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology reflect the views of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of JACC or the American College of Cardiology. From the Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. Dr. Hsich has reported that she has no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose. Vol. 58, No. 13, 2011 ISSN 0735-1097/$36.00 doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2011.06.030 tients compared with those of low or normal weight. In acute decompensated HF based on ADHERE (Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry), which had 108,927 patients, there was a 10% lower risk-adjusted mortality (95% confidence interval: 0.88 to 0.93, p ⬍ 0.0001) for every 5-unit increase in BMI (15). In chronic HF based on the CHARM (Candesartan in Heart failure: Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and morbidity) cohort (N ⫽ 7,599), obese patients with reduced and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) had a lower mortality rate than lean and overweight patients (16). Most of the studies noting this obesity paradox have defined obesity by BMI (15–20) except for 1 study that observed the “paradox” when obesity was defined by waist circumference (WC) (21) and another that used percentage of body fat (defined by the skinfold technique) and total body fat (22). These last 2 studies have challenged the argument that the obesity paradox is predominantly due to the limitations of BMI, which are dependent on the percentage of body fat and can vary based on age, sex, and race (23–25). However, additional studies are needed to verify these results because the studies involved small cohorts (WC study: N ⫽ 344; body fat study: N ⫽ 201), few clinical events (WC study: 68 events; body fat study: 28 events), and a limited patient population (systolic HF only). The Voulgari et al. (3) study did not demonstrate an association between obesity defined by BMI and HF in the subgroup of patients without MetS. Their study differs from the other epidemiologic studies evaluating risk factors for HF due to exclusion of patients with diabetes mellitus and macrovascular disease, separation of patients into those with and without metabolic syndrome, and few cardiac events (HF developed in 185 patients), limiting the power of the analysis. The strength of their analysis was the use of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III) criteria for MetS, cardiac catheterization in about 83% of the cohorts to rule out subclinical coronary artery disease, and few patients lost to follow-up. It was also a prospective study with echocardiograms obtained for all patients. Although it was relatively small, the study did demonstrate that MetS better correlated with the development of HF than just BMI. Their findings give credence to the existence of a “metabolically healthy population” and raises concern about those with MetS. The metabolic syndrome is defined by abdominal obesity, hypertension, high triglyceride level, and low levels of highdensity lipoprotein cholesterol, and insulin resistance. Different definitions have been proposed by many organizations over the years, and the one currently adopted is the NCEP-ATP III criteria (2,26), which was used in the Voulgari et al. (3) study. The metabolic syndrome, such as obesity, is considered a risk factor for the development of left ventricular hypertrophy (27), left ventricular dilation (27), myocardial dysfunction (27,28), and clinical HF (29 –32). In the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, people with MetS had almost twice the risk of the development of 1352 Hsich Obesity, Metabolic Syndrome, and Heart Failure Risk HF than those without MetS (31). Given the fact that the components of MetS are known risk factors for HF (2), it is not surprising that MetS is a stronger predictor of HF than simply 1 variable such as the presence of obesity. How should we incorporate this information into our daily medical practices, especially given data showing that MetS is a better predictor of cardiovascular outcome than obesity defined by BMI (33)? We currently record patients’ weight and vital signs and assess for cardiovascular risk factors such as diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidemia when they come to our office. Do we really need a scale or simply a measuring tape? How should we advise obese patients without MetS given the lower incidence of HF in the Voulgari et al. (3) study and a lower risk of cardiovascular events in the ULSAM (Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men) (33)? Do we tell them that they are among the “metabolically healthy obese” population and suggest that eating cheeseburgers and French fries is okay as long as they do not meet NCEP-ATP III criteria for MetS? The answer lies in Fernando Botero’s paintings. He is a neofigurative Columbian artist who paints healthy-appearing young and middle-age obese people dancing, wrestling, and enjoying life. What is missing in his paintings and in our clinics is healthy elderly obese women and men. At an older age, they probably are no longer healthy. Reprint requests and correspondence: Dr. Eileen Hsich, Kaufman Center for Heart Failure, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, J3-4, 9500 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, Ohio 44195. E-mail: [email protected]. REFERENCES 1. Despres JP. Excess visceral adipose tissue/ectopic fat the missing link in the obesity paradox? J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:1887–9. 2. Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2011 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association. Available at: http://circ.ahajournals.org/ content/123/4/e18.full.pdf. Accessed July 7, 2011. 3. Voulgari C, Tentolouris N, Dilaveris P, Tousoulis D, Katsilambros N, Stefanadis C. Increased heart failure risk in normal-weight people with metabolic syndrome compared with metabolically healthy obese individuals. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;58:1343–50. 4. Seide MJ. Heart failure due to extreme obesity; report of a case, with autopsy findings. N Engl J Med 1957;257:1227–30. 5. Lauer MS, Anderson KM, Kannel WB, Levy D. The impact of obesity on left ventricular mass and geometry. The Framingham Heart Study. JAMA 1991;266:231– 6. 6. Bazzano LA, Belame SN, Patel DA, et al. Obesity and left ventricular dilatation in young adulthood: the Bogalusa Heart Study. Clin Cardiol 2011;34:153–9. 7. Russo C, Jin Z, Homma S, et al. Effect of obesity and overweight on left ventricular diastolic function: a community-based study in an elderly cohort. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:1368 –74. 8. Loehr LR, Rosamond WD, Poole C, et al. Association of multiple anthropometrics of overweight and obesity with incident heart failure: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Circ Heart Fail 2009;2:18–24. 9. Kenchaiah S, Evans JC, Levy D, et al. Obesity and the risk of heart failure. N Engl J Med 2002;347:305–13. 10. Hu G, Jousilahti P, Antikainen R, Katzmarzyk PT, Tuomilehto J. Joint effects of physical activity, body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio on the risk of heart failure. 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An obesity paradox in acute heart failure: analysis of body mass index and inhospital mortality for 108,927 patients in the Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry. Am Heart J 2007;153:74–81. 16. Kenchaiah S, Pocock SJ, Wang D, et al. Body mass index and prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure: insights from the Candesartan in Heart failure: Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and morbidity (CHARM) program. Circulation 2007;116:627–36. 17. Curtis JP, Selter JG, Wang Y, et al. The obesity paradox: body mass index and outcomes in patients with heart failure. Arch Intern Med 2005;165:55– 61. 18. Gastelurrutia P, Pascual-Figal D, Vazquez R et al. Obesity paradox and risk of sudden death in heart failure results from the MUerte Subita en Insuficiencia cardiaca (MUSIC) study. Am Heart J 2011;161:158–64. 19. Kapoor JR, Heidenreich PA. Obesity and survival in patients with heart failure and preserved systolic function: a U-shaped relationship. 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The metabolic syndrome predicts incident congestive heart failure: a 20-year follow-up study of elderly Finns. Atherosclerosis 2010;210:237– 42. 31. Li C, Ford ES, McGuire LC, Mokdad AH. Association of metabolic syndrome and insulin resistance with congestive heart failure: findings from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. J Epidemiol Community Health 2007;61:67–73. 32. Suzuki T, Katz R, Jenny NS, et al. Metabolic syndrome, inflammation, and incident heart failure in the elderly: the cardiovascular health study. Circ Heart Fail 2008;1:242– 8. 33. Arnlov J, Ingelsson E, Sundstrom J, Lind L. Impact of body mass index and the metabolic syndrome on the risk of cardiovascular disease and death in middle-aged men. Circulation 2010;121:230 – 6. Key Words: heart failure y inflammation y lifestyle y metabolic syndrome y obesity.