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AP Economics: Phillips Curve Review FRQs May 2016 Phillips Curve FRQs 1. a) Draw a correctly labeled graph showing the short-run and long-run Phillips Curve for Country X. Correct labels; downward sloping SRPC; vertical LRPC b) Identify how each of the following effects inflation, unemployment and the short run Phillips Curve: i) a decrease in government spending Decrease in G causes decrease in AD, causing decrease in price level and Real GDP (increasing unemployment). There is no shift in SRPC. ii) a drop in inflationary expectations Decrease in inflationary expectations causes decrease in inflation and UR (same Nominal GDP + decrease in inflation leads to increase in Real GDP). SRPC curve shifts downward (left). c) Identify the effect of decreased unemployment-insurance benefits on the long-run Phillips Curve. Decrease in workers choosing unemployment. Shift LRPC to the left (decrease). Question does not address LRAS, which would shift to the right whenever LRPC shifts left. 2. Assume a country’s economy is in equilibrium. a) Using a correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph, show how an increase in the price of oil, an important natural resource, will affect the following in the short-run: i) real output ii) price level Correct labels; downward sloping AD curve; upward sloping SRAS curve; SRAS shifts to left; real output decreases and price level increases b) Using a correctly labeled graph, show how the increase in the price of oil affects the short-run Phillips Curve. Correct labels; downward sloping SRPC shifts to the right c) Assume that the central bank of the country responds to the higher price of oil by increasing the money supply. i) Explain the process by which the increase in the money supply will affect the aggregate demand in the short run. Increase in MS intersects downward sloping DM curve at lower nominal interest rate, causing increase in I (or C), causing increase in AD in short run. ii) Indicate how the increase in the money supply will affect real output and the price level. The increase in AD intersects upward sloping SRAS curve at new equilibrium with increased output and price level in the short run. d) Now assume that instead of using monetary policy in response to the oil price increase, the government reduces business taxes, which results in lower production costs. Using a correctly labeled graph, show the effect of the reduction in business taxes on the following: i) real output ii) price level Correct labels; downward sloping AD curve; upward sloping SRAS curve; decrease in tax causes SRAS to shift to right, causing increase in output and decrease in price level