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Russia: The Impact -- and Lack Thereof -- of Foreign Direct Investment Foreign direct investment (FDI) has certainly played a constructive role in helping Russia modernize. Foreign money brings with it technology, managerial skills and other sorts of expertise that the Russians simply have not developed at home. Many feel that so long as Russian needs this investment -- or more specifically, the benefits that are often attached to it -Moscow will be loath to break from the West in its foreign policy in any substantial way. By this argument, the current Georgian crisis should be resolved relatively quickly. But the reality is that while FDI reached an estimated $28 billion in 2007, most interested parties have overstated its effects. Most "foreign" direct investment into Russia is not actually foreign at all. Less than a quarter of that $28 billion -- roughly $6 billion -- is what can be considered true investment originating at foreign firms. Nearly all of this is European money. More than a third -- nearly $10 billion -- is flat out from haven states such as the British Virgin Islands, Luxembourg or Cyprus and represents Russian money that has fled the country to evade taxes and is now being funneled back into Russia by the same people and firms (often via shell companies) that smuggled it out in the first place. The remaining investment is from states -- mostly the United Kingdom and the Netherlands -which, while sources of true foreign investment themselves, also often serve as financial intermediaries that serve a similar role to that of the haven states. All in all probably only about one-third of the total FDI is truly foreign. Which means that instead of $28 billion of foreign money and assorted goodies binding the Russians to the West's way of doing things, there is probably only about $9 billion. For the roughly $1 trillion Russian economy -- flush with somewhere around $750 billion in surplus petroleum income stashed away in its currency reserves and rainy day funds -- $9 billion is literally a drop in the bucket. Russia is not nearly as fettered in its actions as its business partners in the West might like to believe. If anything, Moscow feels even more freedom to act than the FDI suggests. Russia supplies Europe with roughly a quarter of its natural gas, oil and uranium -- to say nothing of the other raw materials of which it is a major exporter. If there is any economic leverage to be had between the Russians and the West, it is the Russians holding the long end of the stick.