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MONTHLY NEWS SCAN Tinjauan Berita Bulanan Compiled by IDS Vol. 15 Issue 2 • • • • • • (For internal circulation only) HIGHLIGHTS FOKUS Exclusive: U.S. business investment continues to drop Global crisis leads I.M.F. experts to rethink long-held ideas OECD letak Malaysia dalam ‘senarai putih’ Marked increase in investor confidence in Malaysia Mukhriz RM100 mln to give more housing for poor this year KKIP can expect RM5.4bil foreign investment: Musa INTERNATIONAL ANTARABANGSA Exclusive: U.S. business investment continues to drop: U.S. businesses continued to postpone financing new investments in their operations in January, but delinquencies among existing borrowers stabilized and outright defaults fell, according to a trade group for lenders that finance half the capital equipment investment in the United States. The Equipment Leasing and Finance Association told Reuters that the overall volume of financings used to fund equipment acquisitions fell to $3.4 billion in January, down 24.4 percent from last January and down 52 percent from the previous month. (23 February, Reuters) Global crisis leads I.M.F. experts to rethink long-held ideas: The International Monetary Fund has long preached the virtues of keeping inflation low and allowing money to flow freely across international boundaries. But two recent research papers by economists at the fund have questioned the soundness of that advice, arguing that slightly higher inflation and restrictions on capital flows can sometimes help buffer countries from financial turmoil. One paper has received particular attention for suggesting that central banks should set their target inflation rate much higher — at 4 percent, rather than the 2 percent that is the most widely held standard. (21 February, New York Times) 1 – 28 February 2010 1 – 28 February 2010 IDS Online http://www.ids.org.my Economy and job worries hit stock markets and oil: Concerns about the US economy and the potential spread of debt problems in Europe led to large stock market falls. On Wall Street, shares suffered their worst losses in nine months. Key European markets lost more than 2% Spain and Portugal fell about 5%. In the US, worse-than-expected levels of unemployment benefit claims added to worries about the pace of recovery. Analysts said the negative sentiment was largely behind the price of US crude oil falling sharply. Brent crude fell by $3.83 to $73.14 a barrel in New York having gone as low as $71.47. In London, Brent crude slipped by $3.79 to $72.13 a barrel. (4 February, BBC News) Japan economic growth exceeds expectations: Japan’s economy grew by a better-than-expected 1.1% in the final quarter of last year, according to official figures. This is the equivalent of an annualised increase of 4.6%. However, despite the growth in October to December, the economy contracted by 5% over the whole of 2009. China now rivals Japan for the rank of the world’s second-biggest economy, and is on course to overtake Japan. China’s economy expanded by 8.7% in 2009. “The Japanese population has become quite sober about themselves and relatively pessimistic about the country’s outlook,” said Takuji Okubo, chief economist at Societe Generale in Tokyo. (15 February, BBC News) German investor confidence falls for a fifth month: German investor confidence declined for a fifth month in February as the economic recovery lost momentum and the Greek fiscal crisis threatened to spill over into other euro-area nations. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict developments six months ahead, slipped to 45.1 from 47.2 in January. Economists forecast a bigger drop to 41, according to the median of 38 estimates in a Bloomberg survey. (16 February, Bloomberg) G7 talk on Greece will not soothe global investors: Investors are skeptical of assurances European finance ministers gave to their Group of Seven counterparts this weekend that the euro zone’s debt crisis is under control. The 16-country currency bloc is facing its biggest ever test after concerns about Greece’s huge public debt and deficits spread to several other euro zone countries, pushing the euro to a near nine-month low against the dollar. A sell-off of Greek, Portuguese and Spanish debt last week, which hurt global stock markets, pushed Greece’s debt woes onto the agenda of the meeting of Group of Seven rich nations’ finance ministers and central bankers in Canada’s remote north. (7 February, Reuters) Inflation rises above target in Britain: Inflation in Britain rose above the Bank of England’s comfort zone in January, official data showed Tuesday. But the country’s top central banker attributed most of the increase to higher sales taxes and fuel prices, and said the effect would likely be temporary. The consumer prices index rose by 3.5 percent compared to January 2009, accelerating from the 2.9 percent rate in December, the Office for National Statistics said, in line with market expectations. (16 February, New York Times) Australian business investment rose 5.5% last quarter: Australian business investment rebounded in the fourth quarter, a sign the economy is strengthening enough for the central bank to raise interest rates next week for the fourth time in six months. Capital spending advanced 5.5 percent from the previous quarter, when it fell a revised 5.2 percent, the Bureau of Statistics said in Sydney today. The median estimate of 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 2 percent gain. Rising Chinese demand for Australia’s iron ore, coal and gas is stoking what central bank Deputy Governor Ric Battellino this week described as a record boom in mining investment that will fuel economic growth. (25 February, Bloomberg) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 1 NATIONAL NASIONAL OECD letak Malaysia dalam ‘senarai putih’: Pertubuhan Kerjasama dan Pembangunan Ekonomi (OECD) menyenaraikan Malaysia dalam ‘Senarai Putih’, senarai pelaksanaan standard OECD secara meluas untuk ketelusan dan pertukaran maklumat antara negara. Menteri Kewangan Kedua, Datuk Seri Ahmad Husni Hanadzlah berkata, Malaysia komited terhadap piawaian dan amalan antarabangsa yang mentadbir perkhidmatan dan transaksi kewangan antarabangsa yang dipersetujui yang terbukti menerusi senarai putih itu. (23 Februari, Utusan Malaysia) Marked increase in investor confidence in Malaysia - Mukhriz: There has been a marked increase in investor confidence among local and foreign investors to invest in various economic sectors in Malaysia since early this year, says Deputy Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Mukhriz Mahathir. The investors’ keen interest was a positive development, signifying that the country’s economy was well on the recovery path, he said, but did not disclose the number of investors who have expressed interest to invest or made enquiries. (28 February, Bernama Online) Bank Negara likely to raise key rate next week: Malaysia’s strong economic recovery in the fourth quarter will likely mean that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) would raise the key interest rate as early as next week. This in turn means that the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers would rise as the central bank seeks a return to normal conditions for the economy. Malaysia, like other countries around the world, has been trying to revive its economy by raising government spending and slashing interest rates to a record low. However, keeping rates too low for too long would have negative implications on the economy, such as share prices that are too high, and BNM has hinted that this is likely to end soon. Malaysia’s economy grew by 4.5 per cent in the fourth quarter, much better than the 2.7 per cent gain that economists expected. (25 February, Business Times) 1 – 28 February 2010 Malaysian Jan inflation up 1.3pc, may grow further: Malaysia’s consumer price index (CPI), a measure of inflation, rose by 1.3 per cent in January, its second consecutive monthly increase. It rose 1.1 per cent year-on-year in December last year. The Statistics Department said yesterday that the CPI for January increased to 113.2 from 111.7 in January last year. It came below average expectations of a Business Times economists poll, which had expected the index to grow by 1.44 percent. They said the CPI growth is likely to continue as the government decides to cut subsidies further. When compared with the previous month, the CPI rose by 0.2 percent. (25 February, Business Times) Malaysia mahu dijadikan rakan dagang 10 terbaik: Amerika Syarikat (AS) mahu menjadikan Malaysia sebagai rakan perdagangan sepuluh terbaiknya pada masa hadapan, kata Timbalan Wakil Perdagangan AS, Demetrios Marantis. Katanya, ia dapat dilakukan dalam beberapa langkah termasuk melalui Perjanjian Kerjasama Trans-Pacific (TPP). “Malaysia sebelum ini merupakan rakan dagangan kesepuluh terbesar untuk AS pada 2006 tetapi pada masa ini, ia berada di kedudukan ke-17,” kata beliau pada taklimat media sempena kunjungannya di Malaysia, disini hari ini. “Kami ingin mengukuhkan hubungan AS dengan Malaysia. TPP akan menjadi kenderaan untuk berbuat demikian,” katanya. (5 Februari, Utusan Malaysia) December IPI up 8.9% on recovery in exports: Malaysia’s December industrial production index (IPI) registered the highest year-on-year rise in 22 months as a recovery in exports boosted orders for manufactured goods. The IPI in December increased 8.9% compared with the same month last year, following a revised 0.8% year-onyear decline in November. Month-onmonth, the IPI increased 4.6%, the Statistics Department said in a statement yesterday. (11 February, The Star) Mukhriz: New economic model will give due consideration to bumiputras: The new economic model to be unveiled by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak next month will give due consideration to bumiputras. Deputy International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Mukhriz Mahathir said this was in line with previous policies, particularly the New Economic Policy (NEP). “I have received many visits by Malay nongovernmental organisations representing various sectors and industries who raised concern that the new economic model will be too open to the extent that it reduces opportunities for bumiputra entrepreneurs,” he said. Speaking to reporters after opening a forum at Sekolah Kebangsaan Langgar on Saturday, he said the Government would give due consideration to all quarters in whatever policy. (22 February, The Star) Bank Negara’s reserves at RM322.1 bln as at Feb 12: Bank Negara Malaysia’s international reserves decreased marginally to RM322.1 billion (US$96.9 billion) as at February 12 from RM332.2 billion (US$97 billion) as at January 29. The reserves position is sufficient to finance nine months of retained imports and is 4.1 times the shortterm external debt, the central bank said in a statement on Friday. The gross international reserves comprised foreign currency reserves of US$87.3 billion, IMF Reserves position (US$400 million), special drawing rights (US$2.1 billion), gold (US$1.3 billion) and other reserve assets (US$5.8 billion). Bank Negara’s assets and liabilities stood at RM363.953 billion. (19 February, Bernama Online) Government to further develop aerospace industry: The Government will further develop the aerospace industry in preparation for the high-income economic era, says Deputy Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin. He said the industry has the potential to generate more revenue and stimulate economic growth. The industry’s investment value swelled by 300 per cent to RM991.6 million in 2008 from RM113.3 million in 2006, marking a giant leap in cumulative investments, he said. The industry, which created 50,000 jobs in 2008, is poised to grow at 11 per cent every year, he told reporters after chairing a meeting of the cabinet committee specially set up to study impartment aspects of human capital development for the New Economic Model era. (19 February, Bernama Online) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 2 LOCAL TEMPATAN RM100 mln to give more housing for poor this year: The state government will build more houses for the poor this year with the RM100 million allocated by Rural & Regional Development Ministry under the Housing Assistance Programme. Chief Minister Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman said a total of 2,500 houses will be built in 2010 which is nearly 1,000 units more than the 1,165 built last year. He stressed on the urgency of completing poverty eradication projects under the Ninth Malaysia Plan (9MP) which ends this year and programmes under the National Key Result Areas which aim to improve the quality of living among the poor. (24 February, New Sabah Times) KKIP can expect RM5.4bil foreign investment: Musa: Four major foreign investors are expected to invest about RM5.4 billion in the Kota Kinabalu Industrial Park (KKIP) in the next three years. Chief Minister Datuk Seri Musa Aman said the investors, from the United States, Italy, Germany and Finland, are interested to invest in kaca solar (solar glass panels). At the moment, the matter is still being negotiated between the group of investors and the KKIP to purchase 300 acres at the industrial park, he said. “This is very encouraging as Malaysia is facing increasingly tough competition with neighbouring countries for foreign investments,” he said at the KKIP Riang Ria Gong Xi Fa Cai-cumofficial launching of the Salut Commercial Centre and KKIP Sdn Bhd’s website, Sunday. (22 February, Daily Express) Sabah mohon peruntukan RM200j daripada Pusat aspal lebuh raya Sapulut-Kalabakan: Kerajaan negeri melalui Jabatan Kerja Raya (JKR) Sabah telah memohon peruntukan sebanyak RM200 juta daripada Kerajaan Pusat bagi membiayai projek pengaspalan lebuh raya Sapulut-Kalabakan, yang dijangka akan dilaksanakan dalam Rancangan Malaysia ke-10 (RMK10). Pengarah JKR Sabah Ir. John Anthony berkata, cadangan untuk mengaspal jalan berkenaan telah dimasukkan dalam RMK-10 dan 1 – 28 February 2010 diharap peruntukan untuk tujuan itu dapat dipertimbangkan. “Kita jangka kelulusan untuk projek pengaspalan itu diperolehi tahun ini,” katanya kepada pemberita, di sini (Kota Kinabalu), kelmarin. (12 Februari, New Sabah Times) Sabah government urged to create more jobs for locals: The Sabah and Labuan Consumer Movement (Cash) has called on the state government to focus on creating more job opportunities for the locals. Pointing out that employment for locals as one of the main thrusts of the Sabah Development Corridor (SDC), Cash said this would reduce the number of Sabahans seeking jobs in Peninsular Malaysia. Its president, Datuk Patrick Sindu, said although SDC was successfully transforming Sabah into a regional gateway for trade, investment and tourism, there was still much room for improvement in respect of job opportunities. (17 February, Bernama Online) Pelan pembangunan berterusan akan dilaksana di Kinabatangan, kata Bung Moktar: Pelan pembangunan secara berterusan terus dilaksanakan di daerah ini, Ahli Parlimen Kinabatangan, Datuk Bung Moktar Radin. Beliau berkata ia akan diselaraskan bersama Pejabat Daerah Kinabatangan dan Pejabat Parlimen Kinabatangan demi kepentingan rakyat di kawasan berkenaan. “Pelan pembangunan ini meliputi kemudahan asas seperti jalan raya, bekalan air bersih dan bekalan elektrik serta kemudahan lain,” katanya kepada pemberita selepas menyaksikan Majlis Angkat Sumpah Ahli-Ahli Majlis Daerah Kinabatangan bagi di Dewan Sri Lamag, pagi Khamis. (19 Februari, New Sabah Times) 20,000 low-cost houses needed: Hajiji: At least 20,000 low-cost houses are needed in Sabah over the next five years if the State’s perennial problem of squatters is to be addressed. Local Government and Housing Minister, Datuk Hajiji Noor, said this number of houses, which would also shelter thousands of families under the low-income bracket, was proposed to the Federal Government for implementation under the 10th Malaysia Plan. “The demand for affordable housing is acute in major towns, including Tawau and Sandakan, apart from Kota Kinabalu. (7 February, Daily Express) Tawau getting RM35mil health centre under 10MP: The Health Ministry will set up a Health Clinic Type 2 costing RM35 million in this township under the Tenth Malaysia Plan (10MP). Health Minister Datuk Seri Liow Tiong Lai said the clinic carrying polyclinic status would be built on a 15-acre site and accommodate up to 700 outpatients. A suitable site is being identified for the project. Liow was speaking after he officiated the opening of a Klinik 1Malaysia at Bandar Sri Indah (BSI) at Mile 10, Jalan Apas, Monday. He hoped the clinic would ease the burden of the Tawau General Hospital. (2 February, Daily Express) 500 more housing units in Pekan Muhibbah: Another 500 units of houses under the Housing Programme for the People (PPR) will be constructed at Pekan Muhibbah in Rancangan Sungai Manila off Mile 12 Jalan Labuk, Sandakan. “The National Housing Department has given the approval for the project and the people in this constituency are thankful to the Department for providing housing to them,” Chief Minister Datuk Seri Musa Haji Aman told reporters after visiting the newly completed PPR in Gum Gum on Sunday. Musa said the houses under the PPR are built for the people especially those who have no homes or whose homes are dilapidated or have no land to build houses. (8 February, New Sabah Times) Jalan baru: penantian 5,000 penduduk berakhir: Penantian lebih 5,000 penduduk dari 10 buah kampung di pedalaman daerah ini untuk menggunakan jalan yang sempurna bakal berakhir apabila projek menaik taraf tiga jalan utama di Kampung Sungai Eloi dekat sini, siap hujung tahun ini. Ahli Dewan Undangan Negeri (ADUN) Pitas, Datuk Bolkiah Ismail berkata, pembinaan jalan tersebut yang sudah pun bermula melibatkan kos sebanyak RM21 juta. Beliau yang juga Pembantu Menteri Pelancongan, Kebudayaan dan Alam Sekitar Sabah berkata, sebelum ini semua laluan tersebut berada dalam keadaan daif, tidak selesa dan merbahaya. (22 Februari, Utusan Malaysia) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 3 SELECTED FACTS AND FIGURES FAKTA MUTAKHIR CONSUMER PRICE INDEX Consumer Price Index ( 2005 = 100) ( % Change ) Jan 2008 / 2007 2009/2008 Malaysia Peninsular Malaysia Sabah Sarawak 5.4 5.4 6.0 6.0 0.6 0.5 1.7 0.2 2010/2009 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.3 (Source: 24 February, Department of Statistics Malaysia) JAPAN GDP GROWTH RATE (Source: 12 February, http://www.tradingeconomics.com/) GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT / GROSS NATIONAL INCOME Gross Domestic Product / Gross National Income Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Current Prices (RM Million) Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Constant 2000 Prices (RM Million) GDP Growth Rate Constant 2000: Prices (%) Gross National Income (GNI): Current Prices (RM Million) Per Capita GNI: Current Prices (RM) 2008p 2009p 3 Quarter 2009p 4 Quarter 738,677 173,256 184,617 528,311 134,162 137,112 4.6 -1.2 4.5 714,970 171,678 n.a 25,784 24,131 n.a rd th (Source: 24 February, Department of Statistics Malaysia) 1 – 28 February 2010 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 4 AUSTRALIA GDP GROWTH RATE (Source: 12 February, Tradingeconomics) MALAYSIA EXTERNAL TRADE 2009-2010 External Trade (RM Million) Total Exports Total Imports Balance of Trade Jan-Dec 2009p 553,295 434,940 118,355 January 2009p 2010 52,447 39,516 12,932 38,270 30,161 8,109 (Source: 28 February, Department of Statistics Malaysia) SINGAPORE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DEC 1998-DEC 2009 4.5 4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.9 3.4 3.2 3 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.7 1 0.5 0 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 (Source: 27 February, http://www.mom.gov.sg) 1 – 28 February 2010 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 5