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Chapter 7 Analysis of a Tariff This chapter begins the analysis of government policies that limit imports, by examining the tariff—a government tax on imports. The chapter has two major purposes. - First, the analysis shows the effects of a tariff when the importing country is small, so that its import policies have no effect on world prices. - Second, the analysis of a large importing country— one whose policies can affect world prices—shows that a large country can use a tariff to lower the price that it pays foreigners for its imports. A tariff could be either a specific (per unit) tariff -t dollars per unit of imports or ad valorem tariff or percentage tariff. Effect of tariff on a small economy 1 We use supply and demand analysis. Since foreign exporters do not change the price that they charge for the product, the domestic price of the imported product rises by the amount of the tariff. Domestic producers competing with these imports can also raise their domestic prices as the domestic price of imports rises. Domestic producers gain when the government imposes a tariff on competing imports. They get a higher price for their products, they produce and sell a larger quantity (a movement along the domestic supply curve), and they receive more producer surplus. Raise Domestic consumers of the product are also affected by the imposition of the tariff. They must pay a higher price (for both imported and domestically produced products), they reduce the quantity that they buy and consume (a movement along the domestic demand curve), and they suffer a loss of consumer surplus. The government also collects tariff revenue, equal to the tariff rate per unit imported times the quantity that is 2 imported with the tariff in place (less than the free trade imports quantity). We thus have two domestic winners (domestic producers and the national government) and one domestic loser (domestic consumers) because of the imposition of a tariff. We can evaluate the net effect on the whole country, if we have some way of comparing winners and losers. As we did beginning in Chapter 2, we can, for instance, use the one-dollar-one-vote metric.i.e. Every dollar of gain or loss is just as important as every dollar of gain or loss, regardless of who the gainers or losers are. Part of what consumers lose is matched by the gain to domestic producers, and another part is matched by the revenue gain to the government. Is there a net gain or loss overall: Consider Fig 7.4 (modified as will be shown in class). The diagram represents a 10% ad valorem tariff of $10 dollar per unit tariff. 3 Free Trade With Tariff Gain/loss CS e+a+b+f+c+d e+f -(a+b+c+d) PS g a+g a Tariff - C c Revenue Total a+b+c+d+e+f a+c+e+f+g -(b+d) +g Therefore there is an additional amount that consumers lose and that is not a gain to the other groups. This is the net national loss or deadweight loss from a tariff (for a small country). In the national market graph this loss is two triangles b+d and as one triangle in the import graph. Numerically we can calculate the loss/gain Consumers loose a+b+c+d = -$45m Producers gain a = $21m Tariff Revenue c =$18m -------------------------------------------Net National loss b + d = $6m 4 If we look at the national market graph, we can see why these are deadweight losses. The consumption effect of the tariff is the loss of consumer surplus for those consumers who are squeezed out of the market because the tariff “artificially” raises the domestic price, even though foreigners remain willing to sell products to the importing country at the lower world price. The production effect of the tariff is the loss from using high-cost domestic production to replace lower-cost imports (available to the country at the unchanged world price). The high production cost is shown by the height of the supply curve, for each of the extra units produced because of the tariff. Large Economy The analysis is affected in important ways if the importing country is a large country, one that has monopsony power in world markets. A large country can gain from the termsof-trade effect when it imposes a tariff. E.g. US placing tariffs on imports of autos. The tariff reduces the amount 5 that the country wants to import, so foreign exporters lower their price (a movement along the foreign supply-ofexports curve). See figure 7.5 Impose a $6 dollar tariff on imports. The tariff drives a wedge between import demand and export supply, so the price to the import buyers exceeds the price received by foreign exporters by the amount of the tariff. . Domestic buyers pay For the large importing country, the imposition of the tariff causes a triangle of national loss (comparable to the one shown for the small country) but also a rectangle of national gain because the price paid to foreign exporters is lowered, for the units that the country continues to import. Effect: CS reduces by a+b+c+d PS increases by a Tariff Revenue c +e Importing country looses b +d Who really pays the tariff? 6 Domestic consumers pay c Foreign producers pay e because of lower export price. The net effect on the importing country depends on which of on whether e > b + d. For a suitably small tariff, the rectangle is larger, so the importing country has a net gain from imposing a tariff However a very high tariff might prohibitive. From the supply of exports a tariff that would lead to 0 exports i.e. foreign producers receiving less than $225 would lead exports to 0. A prohibitive tariff would cause a net national loss, because the rectangle would disappear. It is possible to determine the country’s optimal tariff—the tariff rate that makes the net gain to the importing country as large as possible. The optimal tariff rate is inversely related to the price elasticity of foreign supply of the country’s imports. The more inelastic foreign supply of our imports the higher the optimal tariff. We conclude by pointing out that the optimal tariff causes a net loss to the whole world. The loss to the foreign 7 exporting country is larger than the net gain to the importing country. And a country trying to impose an optimal tariff risks retaliation by the foreign countries hurt by the country’s tariff. 8 9