Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
CHAPTER 2 WHAT IS MONEY? The emphasis in these questions is on various definitions of the money supply. Certain theoretical concepts related to the functions of money are also examined. The notion that inflation is a tax on money is also emphasized and a list of the costs of inflation is provided and discussed. The chapter also discusses the principal historical regimes in Canadian economic history such as the Gold Standard and Bimetallism. PROBLEMS 1. M1 M2 M2+ M3 = = = = 1,000 + 3,000 + 10,000 = 14,000 14,000 + 12,000 = 26,000 26,000 + 6,000 = 32,000 26,000 + 9,000 = 35,000 2. Yes, because it is part of the currency outside banks' component of M1. 3. A rough calculation suggests that 5% inflation annually will increase the price level by 30% in 6 years (actually its 34% via the compounding effect to be studied in chapter 5) so that a consumer will need about $1.30 six years from now to buy $1 worth of today’s goods and services, or 1/1.3=.77 .This means that $1 six years from now will be worth only about 77% of what its worth today (actually closer to 75% when compounding is factored in). For the 14 year case, the answer is 5% times 14 which is 98% with compounding so that purchasing power will have been halved. 4. Yes, it is. If a monetary economy operates and there are n commodities (including money), the number of possible transactions is n-1, since each commodity can be traded for itself and money. Under a barter system, it can be shown that the number of transactions would be ½[n(n-1)]. Take a numerical example: if n=3, then, under a monetary system, there are 2 possible transactions (2-1); in a barter system there are 1/2(32)=3. Therefore, a barter arrangement is more inefficient in that it increases the number of transactions made in an economy and its costs. The differences become larger the larger the number of commodities in an economy. 5. The answer requires that one examine table 2.2. Simply put, M1+ and M1++ include financial assets NOT included in M1. In particular, deposits at trusts and credit unions of the chequable variety are included in M1+ while M1++ includes deposits of the non-chequable variety at these same institutions. 6. Seigniorage is the “profit” made from the issue of money. It is generally assumed that money is essentially costless to produce. Increases in the money supply are inflationary and, therefore, reduce the purchasing power of money. Hence, 6 seigniorage can be thought of as the “tax” rate on the purchasing power of money, that is, inflation (), times the amount being taxed, or the purchasing power of money which is measured as real balances (i.e., M/P, where M is the money supply and P is the price level. This can be expressed in equation form as follows: Seigniorage = (M/P) DISCUSSION QUESTIONS 1. 2. a. The card is the medium of exchange because it is the physical device used to settle all transactions while credits in the computerized system is the medium of account. b. Since all prices continue to be quoted in dollars, the dollar is the unit of account. c. It is clearly a monetary economy since a medium of exchange and a unit of account both exist. One of the problems is the cost of running such a complicated computerized system. Is it more efficient, given the present technology, than a conventional monetary system? What about small businesses that might not find it economical to link up with the network? Habit persistence is also a problem as there are many individuals who would continue to want to use cash instead of a card. What the statement means is that the M2 less M1 component of the money supply rose by $12 million while M1 fell by $5 million. The net change to M2 is thus 125=$7 million. For example, it is possible that individuals sold, say, $12 million worth of Canada Savings Bonds and placed the proceeds in their savings account. At the same time, say, because its near Christmas time, currency withdrawals might have totalled $5 million thereby reducing M1. As we shall see later in the text, there is also a multiplier effect to be considered, but we can ignore this issue for now. 3. Banks must keep reserves to cover day-to-day cash needs of the public, as well as to cover cheques written on accounts by other banks. Banks, therefore, will keep reserves even if not legally required to do so. Also, the Bank of Canada will require banks to maintain at least a zero balance for clearers; otherwise, the clearers will incur substantial penalties for negative balances. 4. No. One of the spurs to financial innovations were the high inflation rates of the late 1970s and early 1980s. This stimulated, world-wide, a search for alternatives to cash and non-interest bearing checking accounts, or accounts whose returns were regulated in some fashion. Finally, the elimination of capital controls means that cross-border shopping for financial instruments also becomes possible. 5. The effect of the annual rush on RRSPs would be smoothed out in seasonally adjusted figures to the extent that it is predictable. Postal strikes are unpredictable and are not seasonal events. Some adjustment might be made in seasonally adjusted data to reflect the effects of a postal strike on currency, although these 7 effects have become less important with, for example, the introduction of automatic tellers for cash withdrawals or bill payments. 6. The answer to this question can be found by reading section 2.5. The government generates revenue from printing money, which allows it to purchase commodities whose value greatly exceeds the costs of creating money in the first place. Inflation also implies that more cash is held since it costs more money over time to purchase the same quantity of goods and services. Since holding money (i.e., cash) incurs an opportunity cost, the necessity of having to carry more money to finance a given level of spending is equivalent to a tax on money. 7. The following is one example of the re-distributive impact of inflation. If you believe that an inflationary policy permits the current generation to enjoy greater wealth (and, therefore, consumption) via an increase in government debt, then chances are that this debt will have to be paid off by future generations either through still higher inflation (with all the costs attendant to this outcome) or, most likely, via higher taxes. 8. Answers, of course, will vary but many economists would agree that items 1, 7 and 8 have the greatest social costs. Upsetting the creditor-debtor relationship affects the efficiency of capital markets; the volatility of inflation affects the costs of making economic decisions; and the impact of unemployment is felt throughout society potentially through higher taxes and social unrest. 9. We shall return to this topic in chapter 26 (see, especially, Economics Focus 26.2). It is difficult to think of many “benefits” from inflation but one should perhaps make a distinction between low and high inflation. Existing studies reveal that inflation rates of 10% or less do not seem to harm economic growth while inflation rates than exceed 30% have harmful effects on growth. Some “benefits” from zero inflation Some costs of zero inflation Price stability protects the value of Some price variation is essential to keep assets individuals and businesses searching for the best price-quality/quantity combination for goods and services Wage growth can focus on Price stability may come at the expense productivity improvements of higher unemployment – lower economic growth, or both Prevents governments and central History has few experiences with zero banks from using “surprise” inflation inflation for long periods of time to stimulate economic activity 10. The article assumes that, by monopolizing the note issue, governments can use the printing press to print money to finance their spending. As we saw in chapter 1, inflation is really a phenomenon of the post WWII era when governments around the world took over central banks. With the stagflation of the 1970s and 1980s, 8 emphasis turned toward providing central banks with more autonomy as well as specifying targets for inflation. There is little evidence, though this point is somewhat controversial, that the issue of notes by private banks for example, produces more price stability. We return to this topic in chapter 19. 9 CANSIM QUESTION The Table below reproduces the relevant data from Attah-Mensah and Nott’s article, Table 1 as well as the calculations based on the data from CANSIM. The data are available from the publisher. Note that Attah-Mensah and Nott’s calculations use quarterly data and calculate the growth rates using fourth quarter to fourth quarter percent changes. In CANSIM download the data at the annual frequency and choose end for the frequency conversion. Attah-Mensah Nott 1986 1993 1994 -90 10.7 8.2 7.0 5.6 8.2 7.0 0.9 -4.0 -2.4 1995 4.4 19962001 NA 2.0 0.0 NA NA CANSIM 1986-90 1993 1994 1995 11.85 8.9 6.5 4.5 19962001 6.6 6.7 9.7 8.5 2.1 3.0 -3.0 2.4 0.50 9.0 6.0 The first line is M2++, the second is M1+ and the third is M1++. The differences are small and due to the use of annual as opposed to quarterly data so there is an extra bit of averaging. The correlations between percent changes in these monetary aggregates and inflation suggest a slight preference for M1++ (correlation of 65% in the 1986-1999 period) with the correlation between inflation and M2++ at 56% and the one between M1+ and inflation at –2%. Figures for the 1996-2001 period are annual averages.The figure below (ends in 1999) plots the annual growth rates of the 3 monetary aggregates and inflation. 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 86 88 90 92 inflation M2++ 94 96 98 M1+ M1++ 10 00