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University of Texas, Pan American Spring 2015 Probability and Statistics (Math 4339.02) Prerequisite Math 1470 (Calculus II) with a Grade of C or better is prerequisite for this course. Textbook to be followed Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 9th edition by Ronald E. Walpole, Raymond H. Myers, Sharon L. Myers and Keying Ye, published by Prentice Hall. Instructor Dr. Santanu Chakraborty Office: MAGC 3.814, Phone: 665-2313, e-mail: [email protected] Office Hours: 10:40 a.m. to 11:40 a.m. on MWF and 9:30 to 10:30 a.m. on TR in MAGC 3.814. Syllabus Chapters 1 through 8 will be covered. Calculator A basic scientific calculator, that will add, subtract, multiply, divide, compute factorials and raise numbers to powers, is required. You will be allowed to use a calculator on all exams and quizzes. Under no circumstances, you can use wireless devices like cell-phones. Attendance, response and conduct in the class A student frequently absent in the class will be marked and would be advised to drop out from the class. If a student is absent more than three times during the course, he/she will have to provide valid reasons for being so. Attendance will be considered to be very important as this might be used as a criterion for border-line cases after the final exam. There will be 5 bonus points for excellent attendance. Those who will make good responses in the class will be marked and will be at an advantage while the instructor grades them. Good responses will also be vital for border-line cases. If you have any difficulty in understanding the book or the lecture, bring it to the notice of the instructor. The instructor always encourages personal communications if the students are in difficulty. Arriving late or leaving early is not desirable. Those who regularly come late or leave early will be marked. They will be at a disadvantage when the instructor considers border-line cases. Tests There will be 4 tests and a final. The Final Exam is comprehensive. The date for the Final exam is not negotiable. If a student is satisfied with the grade after the four tests and the home works, he/she may skip the final. Home Works The Home Works have to be submitted together at the end. The deadline is 5th of May. The home works are supposed to help in doing well in tests. Evaluation Name of the Exam First test Second test Third test Fourth test Home-works Final Exam. Total Tentative Date February 10 March 5 April 7 April 30 May 5 May 14 Marks 50 50 50 50 50 50 300 Grade Scale A: 270 - 300, B: 240 - 269, C: 210 - 239, D: 180 - 209, F: Below 180 (fail). Falling short of a particular grade No requests of extra credit will be entertained after the Final examination even if a particular student falls short of the desired grade. Make-up Policy If a student has a valid reason for missing a test with documental evidence, then he/she will be allowed to take a make up test. However, this will be allowed only once during the course. If a student misses two or more tests, he/she will be dropped. Student Learning Outcomes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Have the basic ideas regarding what is the difference between a population and a sample and will be able to identify which is a representative sample and which is not. Understand the difference between Statistics and Probability. Write down the sample space for given experiments and compute probabilities and conditional probabilities using the appropriate formulas (addition rule, multiplication rule etc.) Understand the basic difference between discrete and continuous probability distributions and will understand the concepts of probability mass function in the discrete cas and the probability density function in the continuous case. Expectations and variances for various probability distributions (discrete or continuous). Know the important discrete probability distributions and their important properties and will be able to calculate the expectations and variances for these distributions. Know the important continuous probability distributions and their important properties and be able to calculate the expectations and variances for these distributions. Calculate the probability density functions for functions of continuous random variables - both in the univariate and bivariate scenario. Calculate moments and moment generating functions for important discrete and continuous probability distributions. Online Teaching Evaluations Mandatory Course Evaluation Period (April 15 – May 6). Students are required to complete an ONLINE evaluation of this course, accessed through your UTPA account (https://my.utpa.edu/); you will be contacted through email with further instructions on the evaluation process. The evaluation window closes at 11:59 pm on May 6th, the last day of classes for the fall semester. Students who complete their evaluations by May 6th will have priority access to their grades. Disability Statement Students with disabilities are encouraged to contact the Disability Services Office for a confidential discussion of their individual needs for academic accommodation. It is the policy of the University of Texas-Pan American to provide flexible and individualized accommodation to students with documented disabilities that may affect their ability to fully participate in course activities or to meet course requirements. To receive accommodation services, students must be registered with the Disability Services office (DS), University Center # UC 108 (on the first floor), 665-7005, [email protected]. The Director of Disabilities is Christine StuartCarruthers, 665-5375, [email protected]. Lesson Plan for MATH 4339.02 Spring 2015 January 20 (Tuesday): Chapter 1, sections 1.1 – 1.7 January 22 (Thursday): Chapter 2, section 2.1 – 2.3 January 27 (Tuesday): Chapter 2, sections 2.4 – 2.6 January 29 (Thursday): Chapter 2, section 2.7, problems February 3 (Tuesday): Chapter 2, problems February 5 (Thursday): Review for Test I February 10 (Tuesday): Test I February 12 (Thursday): Chapter 3, sections 3.1 – 3.3 February 17 (Tuesday): Chapter 3, sections 3.4, problems February 19 (Thursday): Chapter 3, problems, sections 4.1 – 4.2 February 24 (Tuesday): Chapter 4, sections 4.3 – 4.4, problems February 26 (Thursday): Chapter 4, problems March 3 (Tuesday): Review for Test II March 5 (Thursday): Test II March 10 (Tuesday): Chapter 5, sections 5.1 – 5.5 March 12 (Thursday): Chapter 5, problems March 24 (Tuesday): Chapter 6, sections 6.1 – 6.5 March 26 (Thursday): Chapter 6, sections 6.6 – 6.10 March 31 (Tuesday): Chapter 6, problems April 2 (Thursday): Review for Test III April 7 (Tuesday): Test III April 9 (Thursday): Chapter 7, sections 7.1 – 7.3 April 14 (Tuesday): Chapter 7, problems April 16 (Thursday): Chapter 8, sections 8.1 – 8.4 April 21 (Tuesday): Chapter 8, sections 8.5 – 8.8 April 23 (Thursday): Chapter 8, problems April 28 (Tuesday): Review for Test IV. April 30 (Thursday): Test IV May 5 (Tuesday): Review for the Final May 14 (Thursday): Comprehensive Final Exam from 8:00 to 9:45 a.m.