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PROJECT INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) CONCEPT STAGE Project Name Region Sector Project ID Global Supplemental ID GEF Focal Area Borrower(s) Implementing Agency Environment Category Safeguard Classification Date PID Prepared Estimated Date of Appraisal Authorization Estimated Date of Board Approval Report No.: AB1321 POST CHERNOBYL RECOVERY PROJECT EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA Forestry (50%);District heating and energy efficiency services (50%); P078303 P087667 B-Biodiversity GOVERMENT OF BELARUS [ ] A [X] B [ ] C [ ] FI [ ] TBD (to be determined) [ ] S1 [X] S2 [ ] S3 [ ] SF [ ] TBD (to be determined) February 2, 2005 November 22, 2005 March 21, 2006 1. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement Impact of Chernobyl accident on Belarus. The Chernobyl accident has key significance in Belarus, with environmental as well as economic, human and fiscal consequences. After the explosion at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in 1986, about 20 percent of the radioactive fallout landed on Belarusian soil, contaminating, although to different degree, almost 23 percent of its territory that was occupied by 20% of its population and affecting approximately 3,600 settlements. Radioactive contamination of the environment led to elevated radionuclide levels in local agricultural and forest products and to radiation exposure of general public. About 2,560 km2 of agricultural land was removed from use and another 1,720 km2 of forests were affected. The most contaminated area, about 1,700 km2, in the Bragin, Khoiniki and Narovlya districts of the Gomel oblast, was declared an exclusion zone from which all persons were evacuated and all land taken out of economic activity. Another 4,500 km2 were declared a resettlement zone whose inhabitants were allowed to resettle in territories which were considered less contaminated by radionuclides. This resulted in the resettlement of 137,000 people out of a population of 2.5 million then living in the contaminated territories. Still, as of January 1, 2001, 1.6 million people in Belarus live in areas where levels of radioactive contamination are well above natural preaccident background levels. In this situation, it becomes increasingly important to help local people to reduce their exposure to radionuclides, revitalize their economy and incomes, and improve their living conditions, while remaining in harmony with natural environment which is recovering both from pre- and post accident anthropogenic impacts. Legacy. The legacy of the Chernobyl accident continues to have an effect on the country in the following ways: a) an undeserved overall stigma on the country, and especially the southern countryside; b) stagnation in development in the affected regions; c) d) e) f) continued, albeit at lower levels, radioactive contamination in foods and forestry products; human health problems, mainly stemming from initial exposure; continued social and economic hardship of the displaced people; a dramatic increase in wildlife in the exclusion zone and adjoining areas, causing problems such as attacks of rabid wolves on people and cattle, and destruction of crops by boars. Government strategy. A Program to Overcome the Consequences of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant Accident for 2001-2005 and up to 2010 was approved by the Government in 2001. It includes minimizing the collective radiation dose of the population, production of clean agricultural products, protective and rehabilitative activities, and establishment of radiation monitoring systems. Recently the Government has increased its attention to issues related to increasing incomes and well being of local people through sustainable economic development, and the development and application of relevant knowledge on safe products and healthy behavior. In the Country Assistance Strategy and other dialogue with the Bank, the Government has indicated that support for Post Chernobyl Recovery is among its highest priorities and it was on this basis that the current CAS included this project even in the low-case lending scenario. The Government has welcomed two recent World Bank studies: The Belarus Chernobyl Review and the Review of Environment and Natural Resource Management, and has acted on several of the recommendations of these studies. Status of Project Concept. The review of the 2002-2004 CAS led to a decision for the World Bank and the Government to restart preparation work on the Post Chernobyl Recovery Project, based on the findings of the Bank’s Chernobyl Review Study. The Government indicated that it wished to focus the proposed project on government investments in the project area in the areas of agriculture, forestry, energy, water supply, sanitation, and other infrastructure. These sectors are part of an existing large, multi-faceted government program for the districts that have been most affected by the Chernobyl accident. The government currently lacks the financing to fully fund these activities, although even a Bank project will not be able to fully fill the funding gap. In early December, 2004, the Government appointed an Inter-ministerial Working Group for the Preparation of the Post Chernobyl Recovery Project. It was agreed that the project should focus on post-Chernobyl recovery, that it should have the strong ownership and commitment of the Government, that it should have a design that facilitates rapid preparation, and that it should be economically viable. The Bank made an initial investigation of project support for agriculture, forestry, optimizing the provision of heat, water, and sanitation. From this review, it was decided that the project scope should be limited to two main components, forest enterprise and optimizing the provision of heat. The current CAS envisages a lending operation of US$ 45 million of IBRD loan funds, but the size of the loan will be partly determined by the need to keep the project results-oriented in ways which are consistent with a prioritization arising from technical, economic, environmental, institutional and other analyses. Forest Enterprise. The project area has extensive forests which can be safely utilized for wood products (i.e., in areas with less than 15 curie of Cs-137 per sq. km.). These forests represent a significant asset that can provide the basis for increased employment and economic growth. In some of the affected districts, current timber and thinning operations are below the annual growth increments due to a shortage of financing. Investments that enable government forestry enterprises to increase harvesting (consistent with good silvacultural practice) and associated processing into lumber would not only provide a direct source of local employment and income but would also improve the value of the standing timber and improve forest condition (i.e., reduced fire risk, improved wildlife habitat). Use of modern highly automated technologies will additionally enable reduction of worker exposure. Forest management and initial processing is operated by state-run entities called leskhozes, which are unlikely to be privatized in the current policy context. On the other hand, the government has already initiated steps to arrange for independent certification of all its forests throughout the country by the end of 2006, which will help provide continued access of Belarusian wood to EU markets and help ensure that the leskhozes will be subject to sustainable, transparent, and otherwise sound management. The Forest Ministry already has subdivided the various functions of each leskhoz into separate operations of game management, logging, and wood processing, and steps toward further financial and management autonomy may be feasible. Furthermore, leskhozes have prepared business plans to compete for limited amounts of domestically financed preferential credit. This experience may help shape the design of arrangements to allocate project financing to leskhozes competitively in ways that would help ensure effective business management. In addition to support through leskhozes, the project may be able to stimulate labor intensive wood processing enterprises such as furniture within the private sector (perhaps with technical assistance support under the project itself and links to EBRD-supported microfinancing, or small enterprise financing from EBRD or the IFC). Optimizing Provision of Heat. The Government requested assistance in connecting individual houses to the existing gas pipelines as a measure to avoid the burning of contaminated wood in individual house stoves. The request includes connection of a total of about 12,000 residential houses and the extension of around 335 kilometers of the tertiary pipeline. The government also requested the upgrade of heat and electricity supply facilities in the rayon centers and in health and social sector institutions in the affected areas. The upgrading of the heating system is necessary in the regions visited, given the severe weather conditions during winters and the deteriorated state of energy infrastructure due to years of lack of maintenance or replacement. Districts visited expressed their wish, and reflected the wishes of the population, to be connected to the gas pipeline. Ninety nine percent of all gas consumed comes from Russia and gas has a 60% share in Belarus’ fuel balance. The extensive forest and wood industry waste resources in the affected area provide an opportunity for their use in heat supply (from areas with limited contamination) provided measures to mitigate radioactive exposure are adopted. Technology for such mitigation exists and the centralization of utilization of wood for heating purposes will increase the success of managing the impact from flue gases and ash disposal, sources of potential radioactive exposure. Finally, the utilization of these resources will contribute to the area’s economic revitalization and to Belarus’s overall objective to reduce dependence on imported fuels. The Bank will need to further assess the economic viability of financing gasification compared to alternative sources of heat, and to take into account international radiation safety standards with regard to wood burning boilers in contaminated areas. 2. Proposed objective(s) The proposed project objective would be “to revitalize selected districts most affected by the Chernobyl accident by improving local people’s incomes and living conditions.” Project outcomes would include: increased forest-based employment and household income, and improved access to provision of heat in ways which are less at risk of radionuclide contamination. The project will be supported by the World Bank, donor and Belarusian Government contributions. It may include support from the Global Environment Facility as a blended operation with the above objective serving as the global environmental objective, consistent with the GEF Strategic Priority of “mainstreaming biodiversity in production landscapes and sectors”. If GEF support proceeds, it would entail improved management of biodiversity conservation in a portion of the globally significant Southern Polesie wetlands and adjacent mixed forest ecosystems affected by the Chernobyl accident, providing replicable models for areas elsewhere which had suffered from radioactive fall-out or had been abandoned for any other reason. The project may also provide carbon sequestration benefits stemming from managed wetlands reversion and reduced forest fire risk. GEF support for the heat supply component will also be investigated during preparation. 3. Preliminary description The five-year project could comprise selected activities from among the following categories: Forest Enterprise. Increasing the capacity for wood harvesting and processing in order to better utilize forest resources for employment and income generation in environmentally sound and safe ways, thus benefiting local people. Optimizing Provision of Heat . Improving the heating conditions in houses and linking them to a gas-based heating system, thereby reducing the exposure to radionuclides. This might also include reducing exposure by retrofitting existing wood burning boilers and increasing safe utilization of wood resources by converting large institutional boilers that need replacement to wood burning boilers. Supporting Activities. In addition to these activities the project design would need to address various support activities, with collaborative support from the International Atomic Energy Agency in some cases. These activities include the need for advice to the Government on how to harmonize its national radiation safety standards with the international ones because current inconsistencies, especially among Belarus’ neighbors, limit and complicate international trade, and furthermore because some national standards need updating to reflect current international knowledge and consistent logic about exposure risk from various radiation sources. It also includes the need for radiation monitoring and communication to increase the knowledge of and trust in clean forest production options and market opportunities. It might also include support for analysis (e.g., financial accounts of forestry and utility enterprises) to better understand implications of existing policies, and advice on policy reform efforts (e.g. tariffs) that have been initiated. 4. Safeguard policies that might apply Environmental assessment and forests safeguard policies are likely to apply. The project will have a positive environmental impact by increasing the country’s financial and institutional capacity to improve environmental management generally, as well as to reduce exposure of local people to harmful radiation. No significant adverse environmental impacts are foreseen. An environmental assessment undertaken during project preparation will include an outline of any precautionary and curative measures needed to mitigate, minimize and compensate for special risks related to radiation contamination. Close collaboration with the International Atomic Energy Agency during Bank missions and as a co-financier is supplying the Bank with the special technical oversight required to address the issues associated with radiation contamination. Bank-financing of industrial-scale commercial harvesting operations would trigger the Bank Forest Policy (OP 4.36) and the project would be consistent with the policy because the government is already taking the necessary steps to ensure that the forests to be harvested are certified under an independent forest certification system, acceptable to the Bank. A PHRD grant is financing a study to align Belarus’s standards for biomass burning boilers with those of the EU. 5. Tentative financing Source: BORROWER/RECIPIENT INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT - ASSOCIATED IBRD FUND TO BE DETERMINED ($m.) 7 45 Total 6. Contact point Contact: Jessica Mott Title: Sr. Natural Resources Econ. Tel: (202) 458-5607 Fax: (202) 614-0857 Email: [email protected] 4 2 58