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Economics 1: Macroeconomic Principles Handout 1: Notes Ch. 1 - Ch. 4 1. Economics Definition –Incentives –Scarcity –Human Behavior / Social Science 2. Economic Questions •What gets produced? •In what quantities? •How are goods and services produced? •When are goods and services produced? •Where are goods and services produced? •Who consumes the goods and services? 3. Factors of Production •Natural Resources •Labor •Physical Capital •Human Capital •Entrepreneurship 4. Analytical Approaches •Positive (What is?) •Normative (What Ought to be?) 5. Examples •Economic Growth in Mexico, China, Japan, United States •Economic Growth in Europe, Africa •Traffic Congestion •Universal Health Care 6. Economic Way of Thinking •Assumptions •Ceteris Paribus •Thinking “at the margin” •Rationality—self-interest seeking behavior 7. Macroeconomics •Explains Growth –What are the important variables and factors to consider when understanding a nation’s economy and its growth? •Explains economic fluctuations •Helps make business and individual decisions by helping to predict economic changes 8. Chapter 2: Key principles in formulating economic ideas and models •Scarcity •Opportunity Costs defines tradeoffs •Marginal Benefit •Marginal Cost •Production Possibilities Frontier •Diminishing Returns •Nominal Value •Real Value •Inflation •Choices (voluntary) are made in small steps (marginally, “at the margin”) •Incentives influence how we make choices (“voluntary” includes the impact of incentives) 9. Other Ideas •Voluntary tradeoffs make for win-win transactions and induces efficiency •Markets do not always work effectively because incentives are not always aligned, or symmetric, in exchanges—market intervention is sometimes warranted. Macro Ideas: •Income = Expenditure = Value of Production •Living Standards rise with Productivity •Inflation occurs when money is less scarce than goods and services •Unemployment results from market failures or from efficient transitions—some unemployment is healthy, and other is not. 10. Economic Classifications: –Philosophy •What is: Positive •What ought to be: Normative –Activities •Observation and Measurement •Model Building •Testing –What can go wrong: •Cause-and-Effect identification problems •Fallacy of Composition •Post Hoc Fallacy 1 11. Production Possibilities Frontiers •Tradeoffs in production due to scarcity •Efficiency •Comparative Advantages •Absolute Advantages 12. Demand •The term demand refers to the entire relationship between the quantity demanded and the price of a good, other things remaining the same. Demand is described by both the demand schedule and the demand curve. 13. Examples of Demand –The demand for MP3 files is the relationship between the price of MP3s and the quantity of MP3s demanded, holding all other influences on the quantity of MP3 files bought constant. –Similarly, the demand for MP3 players is the relationship between the price of MP3 players and the quantity of MP3 players demanded, holding all other influences on the quantity of MP3 files bought constant. 14. Supply •The term supply refers to the entire relationship between the quantity supplied and the price of a good, other things remaining the same. Supply is described by both the supply schedule and the supply curve. 15. Examples of Supply –The supply of MP3 files is the relationship between the price of MP3 files and the quantity of MP3 files supplied, holding all other influences on the quantity of MP3 files sold constant. –Similarly, the supply of MP3 players is the relationship between the price of MP3 players and the quantity of MP3 players supplied, holding all other influences on the quantity of MP3 files sold constant. 16. The Buying Decision –The quantity of MP3 Players that people plan to buy depends on: •The price of a MP3 Player •The prices of related good (such as tapes, portable CD players, and CDs) •Disposable Income •Expected future prices •Population interested in MP3 Players –To begin to learn how these factors influence demand, you will look at the law of demand. 17. Law of Demand •The law of demand states that other things remaining the same, the higher the price of a good, the smaller is the quantity demanded of that good. •Why? For two reasons. •If the price of a good rises, the opportunity cost of using that good rises, so people buy less of that good and more of some substitute goods. This is a substitution effect. •If the price of a good rises, real income falls, so people buy less of all goods including the good whose price has risen. This is a income effect. •The law of demand can be illustrated by a demand schedule or a demand curve. •A demand schedule lists the quantities demanded at each price, holding constant all other influences on buying plans. •A demand curve graphs the quantity demanded at each price holding constant all other influences on buying plans. •The demand curve can be interpreted as a willingness to pay curve. •It tells us the highest price that people are willing to pay for a given quantity of the good Summary of Influences on Demand –The factors that influence buyers' plans cause either a: •movement along the demand curve •shift of the demand curve –A change in the price of a good, with everything else remaining the same, brings a movement along the demand curve and a change in the quantity demanded. –A change in any other influence on buying plans, except the price of the good, brings a shift of the demand curve and a change in demand. 18. Law of Demand Examples •If the price of a movie ticket rises, other things remaining the same, the quantity of movie tickets that people plan to buy decreases. 2 •If the price of a PC falls, other things •The supply curve can be interpreted as a remaining the same, the quantity of PCs that people plan to buy increases. minimum supply price curve. •It tells us the lowest price that firms are willing to accept for supplying a given quantity of the good. 19. The Selling Decision –The quantity of MP3 Players that firms plan to sell depends on: •The price of a MP3 Player •The prices of the factors of production used to make MP3 Players •The prices of related goods (such as tapes, portable CD players, and CDs) •Expected future prices •The number of suppliers •Technology –You are going to learn how these factors influence supply. To begin, you will look at the law of supply. 20. Law of Supply •The law of supply states that other things remaining the same, higher prices for a good lead to greater quantity supplied of that good. Supply –A supply schedule lists the quantities supplied at each different price when all other influences on the amount producers plan to sell remain the same. –A supply curve shows the relationship between the quantity supplied of a good and its price, holding constant all other influences on producers' planned sales. A supply curve is plotted in a graph that measures the quantity supplied of the good on the x-axis, and the price of the good on the y-axis. –Other things remaining the same, the higher the price of a good, the greater is the quantity supplied of that good. –Why? –If the quantity produced of a good (↑) increases, then, the opportunity cost of producing that good rises. And firms are willing to sell more of a good only if its price rises to cover the opportunity cost of producing it. •The law of supply can be illustrated by a supply schedule or a supply curve. •A supply schedule lists the quantities supplied at each price, holding constant all other influences on selling plans. Supply Curve 21. Change in Supply A change in the quantity supplied at each and every price is called a change in supply. It is illustrated as a shift in the supply curve. An increase in supply is shown by a rightward shift in the supply curve and a decrease in supply is shown by a leftward shift in the supply curve. [Remember, increase = rightward shift and decrease = leftward shift. An increase in supply is not an upward shift in the supply curve. What looks like an upward shift on a graph is actually a leftward shift and is a decrease in supply.] A change in the quantity supplied refers to the change in the quantity of a good that firms plan to sell in a market resulting from price changes—holding all other influences on selling plans remain the same. A change in the quantity supplied is illustrated by movement along the supply curve. –Four key influences on a firm’s selling plans are: 1. Number of firms that produce a good 2. Prices of other goods 3. Prices of factors of production 4. Technology –When any of these factors change, there is a change in supply. –A change in supply is shown by a new supply schedule or by a new supply curve, i.e. a shift in the supply curve. –The graph opposite summarizes the effects of these factors. Summary of Influences on Supply –The factors that influence sellers’ plans cause either •A movement along the supply curve, or •A shift of the supply curve. –A change in the price of a good, with everything else remaining the same, brings a movement along the supply curve and a change in the quantity supplied. –A change in any other influence on selling plans except the price of the good brings a shift of the supply curve and a change in supply. 3 22. Price Determination •You will cover two topics in your study of price determination: •Price as a regulator •Equilibrium (equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity) 23. Price as a regulator –The price of a good regulates the quantities demanded and supplied. –The higher the price of a good, other things remaining the same, the smaller is the quantity demanded and the greater is the quantity supplied for that good. –The lower the price of a good, other things remaining the same, the greater is the quantity demanded and the smaller is the quantity supplied for that good. –If the price is too high, there is a surplus of goods and if the price is too low, there is a shortage of goods. –If there is a shortage of a good, the price rises, and if there is a surplus of a good, the price falls. –When there is neither a shortage nor a surplus of a good, the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied and the price does not change. –This price is then the equilibrium price representing the quantity demanded and supplied. The equilibrium quantity is the quantity that is bought and sold. –If demand increases, both the price and quantity increase. –If demand decreases, both the price and the quantity decrease. Effects on Equilibrium from Change in 26. Changes in Supply –A change in the supply for Walkmans can result from a change in any of the following: •The price of a factor of production, such as the wage rate of the labor that produces Walkmans •The price of a substitute in production to Walkmans, such as a car tape deck •The number of firms that make Walkmans •The technology used to produce Walkmans –If supply increases, the price falls and quantity increases. –If supply decreases, the price rises and the quantity decreases. 27. Equilibrium Changes –If both demand and supply increase, the quantity increases but the price can rise, fall, or remain unchanged. –If both demand and supply decrease, the quantity decreases but the price can rise, fall, or remain unchanged. –If demand increases and supply decreases, the price rises but the quantity can increase, decrease, or remain unchanged. –If demand decreases and supply increases, the price falls but the quantity can increase, decrease, or remain unchanged. 24. Equilibrium •You will learn how to predict changes in prices and quantities by studying the effects of: •A change in demand •A change in supply •A change in both demand and supply Effects on Equilibrium from Change in 25. Changes in Demand –A change in the demand for Walkmans can result from a change in any of the following: •The price of a substitute for a Walkman, such as a portable CD player •The price of a complement to a Walkman, such as an audio tape •Income •Population 4