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Gross Domestic Product : The First Quarter of 2002 (PRELIMINARY) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 5.7 percent in the first quarter of 2002 compared with the same period of the previous year. The major contributors to the increase in GDP in the first quarter were the sustained increases in construction investment and private consumption. In addition to this, equipment investment and exports both shifted to an upturn. On the production side, agriculture, forestry & fishing industry production increased 7.2 percent. Production from animal husbandry and fishery rose while the cultivation of vegetables and fruit dropped. Manufacturing industry production rose 3.5 percent, led by the increase in construction materials, electrical equipment for household use, communications equipment, and motor vehicles, which more than offset a decline in ship-building and industrial machinery. The production of information and communication equipment manufacturing sector increased 4.7 percent. Construction industry production rose 8.9 percent, which was mainly due to the increase in building construction, notably of apartments, shopping centers, and schools. Services industry production rose 7.6 percent in accordance with the growth in the communications, and finance & insurance, and in the community, social & personal services subsectors. -1- The contribution ratio of manufacturing industry to GDP climbed from the 18.7 percent of the previous quarter to 21.4 percent. That of services industry rose from 50.8 percent to 60.1 percent, while that of the construction industry fell from 21.8 percent to 9.5 percent. On the demand side, private consumption expenditures increased 8.4 percent. Household spending on durables, such as air-conditioners, refrigerators, cell phones and motor vehicles, increased as did that on services such as communications, medical treatment, and entertainment. Fixed investment increased 6.5 percent. Construction investment increased 10.1 percent and equipment investment shifted to an upturn, rising 3.2 percent. Goods exports, in volume terms, increased 2.6 percent. While ship-building, steel, and industrial machinery exports decreased, those of semi-conductors, electrical equipment for household use, communications equipment, and motor vehicles, all increased. Exports of goods and services rose 2.1 percent. While the contribution ratio of domestic demand to final demand declined from the 114.1 percent of the previous quarter to 85.4 percent, that of exports rose from the -14.1 percent of the previous quarter to 14.6 percent. Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 7.1 percent, outpacing GDP growth due to an improvement of the terms of trade. -2- Growth Rates by Kind of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure1) (at 1995 constant prices) unit : % 2001p 2000 1/4 Gross Domestic Product 1/4 2/4 2002p 3/4 4/4 연간 3.7 3.0 5.7 7 7.2 3.5 7.7 8.9 7.6 - 8.1 8.4 5.5 6.5 10.1 3.2 2.1 2.6 6.3 3.9 13.1 3.7 2.9 1..9 Agriculture, forestry & fishing Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water Construction Services 4.8 22.9 19.2 -7.0 12.4 -4.1 4.5 7.5 2.4 3.9 3.5 2.2 4.7 1.5 4.0 1.3 -1.7 4.3 7.6 3.8 1.5 2.1 6.0 9.5 4.7 1.4 1.7 5.7 5.6 4.1 Final consumption expenditure ( Private ) ( Government ) Gross fixed capital formation ( Construction ) ( Machinery & equipment ) Exports of goods & services ( Merchandise ) Imports of goods & services ( Merchandise ) 10.2 11.9 0.5 22.8 -6.3 64.1 26.9 31.2 31.6 35.4 1.2 1.5 -0.7 -4.0 1.5 -8.4 9.0 8.7 0.2 -0.1 3.5 4.1 -0.1 -4.8 1.1 -11.2 0.7 -0.1 -7.2 -9.2 4.3 4.8 1.0 -3.1 8.2 -15.7 -4.1 -5.4 -5.5 -7.9 5.6 6.6 0.3 4.9 10.7 -3.1 -1.1 -1.1 1.1 -0.7 3.7 4.2 0.2 -1.7 5.8 -9.8 1.0 0.4 -2.8 -4.5 5.6 0.5 0.7 -0.4 3.0 1.0 Gross Domestic Income 1/4 7.1 Notes: 1) Percentage change over previous year. 2) p : preliminary. Seasonally adjusted real GDP in the first quarter of 2002 increased 1.8 percent compared with the previous quarter. On the production side, electricity, gas & water, services, and manufacturing industry all increased, while the agriculture, forestry & fishing industry saw a decrease compared with the pervious quarter. On the demand side, consumption, investment, and exports all, expanded compared with the previous quarter. The increase was especially pronounced for exports, imports, and equipment investment largely. Real gross domestic income (GDI) rose 4.8 percent due to the improvement in the terms of trade. -3- Growth Rates by Kind of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure1) (at 1995 constant prices, S.A.) unit : % 2.5 -1.2 1.2 0.3 1.3 1.6 2002p 1/4 2/4r 3/41.8 Agriculture, forestry & fishing Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water Construction Services 1.1 6.0 1.5 -2.8 1.5 0.6 -3.8 1.5 -1.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 3.1 4.7 0.9 0.5 -0.8 -1.1 1.1 1.1 -0.2 1.4 1.0 2.9 1.4 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.4 1.6 -3.3 1.1 5.1 0.7 3.0 Final consumption expenditure ( Private ) ( Government ) Gross fixed capital formation ( Construction ) ( Machinery & equipment ) Exports of goods & services ( Merchandise ) Imports of goods & services ( Merchandise ) -0.1 0.0 -0.7 -2.1 -4.7 0.8 5.4 6.5 4.3 4.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 -2.8 2.3 -8.0 -1.0 -1.8 -3.8 -3.9 0.5 0.7 -0.5 2.0 2.5 1.3 2.8 2.4 -0.2 -0.3 2.5 2.8 0.3 -1.5 1.6 -5.2 -5.8 -6.4 -7.0 -9.0 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.8 -4.7 0.4 0.3 5.4 5.6 1.8 2.1 0.0 3.3 1.4 5.7 1.6 2.7 3.5 3.5 2.6 2.3 4.6 4.5 2.4 7.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.1 1.8 -3.0 3.0 -1.0 0.8 1.7 4.8 2000 3/4 Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Income 2001 4/4 Notes: 1) Percentage change compared to the previous quarter. 2) p : preliminary. -4- 1/4 2/4 p 3/4 4/4