Download Natural disasters include earthquakes, floods

NATURAL DISASTERS
DEFINITION: Susceptibilities to periodic natural disasters; redundancies within the
supply chain infrastructure to mitigate the impact of a natural disaster; ability of general
infrastructure to recover from a natural disaster; history and pattern of natural disasters;
government, police, emergency services, military preparedness (training, equipment,
communications, command and control) for response to natural disasters; historical affect
upon supply chain of similar disasters; probability of civil unrest developing after a
natural disaster; probability of political unrest or government turnover after a natural
disaster.
GUIDANCE: Natural disasters include earthquakes, floods, monsoons, hurricanes,
tornadoes, tsunami, volcanoes, droughts, wildfires, electrical storms, epidemics –
variances in severity taken into account in questions
Does any part of this country lie within a major earthquake or volcanic zone? [Refer
to risk map for answer]
___ No
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone, but not areas in which this country’s
supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ XYes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
[1.25/7 points]
Does this country lie within a monsoon, cyclone or tropical storm path? [Refer to risk
map for answer]
___ No
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone, but not areas in which this country’s
supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
_X__ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
[1.25/7 points]
Is this country prone to droughts? [Refer to risk map for answer]
___ No
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone, but not areas in which this country’s
supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected
__X_ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
[0.5/7 points]
Is this country prone to wildfires? [Refer to risk map for answer]
___ No
__ _ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a low risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
_ X __ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a medium risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone, but not areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
___ Yes, parts of this country fall in a high risk zone. These are areas in which this
country’s supply chain would likely be affected.
[0.75/7 points]
Does this country suffer from natural hazards that impact supply chain on an
annual basis? (ie. severe winters in Russia, United States, Canada, Ukraine, etc) that
don’t necessarily qualify as natural disasters
_ __ No
___ Yes, but the country know how to prepare for it annually and has figured out a way
to keep things moving for the most part
_ x -flooding__ Yes, and this country has done a moderate job in preparing each year.
Limited delays and disruptions can be expected.
___ Yes, and this country is not capable of making appropriate adjustments to keep the
supply chain moving. Significant and extended delays and disruptions should be
expected.
[0.5/7 points]
How prepared is the government to deal with natural disasters?
___Well prepared – strong command and control, communication network, training and
equipment to advanced to deal with natural disaster, government/security can exercise
control over civil unrest, advanced medical facilities, training, transportation and
equipment to deal with a natural disaster, capable of quick response
___Moderately prepared – government structures in place, training and equipment
adequate to deal with natural disaster, but command and control is sketchy and
government/security will likely have a difficult time in controlling civil unrest, adequate
medical facilities, training, equipment, transportation and communication network to deal
with natural disaster, response time is average
__x_ Ill prepared – decision-making authority non-existent, little to no control over civil
unrest following natural disaster; command and control weak, officers are either running
to save themselves or among the first to loot following a natural disaster, inadequate
medical facilities, training, transportation and equipment to deal with a natural disaster
[1/7 points]
How resilient is the national supply chain infrastructure to natural disasters? (focus
is on availability and proximity of primary and alternate logistics to mitigate impact of
natural disaster and keep the supply chain moving)
___Country has complete redundancies in infrastructure network (air, rail, sea and truck)
to ensure minimal to zero delays in supply chain due to natural disaster
___Country has adequate redundancies in infrastructure network – at least two alternate
modes of transport to ship goods in and out and within country.
_x__Country has minimal redundancy, relies almost exclusively on primary
infrastructure to transport goods
[1/7 points]
What’s the level of predictive and early warning capabilities for natural disasters in
this country? ie. emergency broadcast system, sirens, tsunami alert center, etc.
___ Advanced – has resources, technological skill and good track record in detecting
past natural disasters
___ Fairly advanced – has resources, but not a stellar track record in past natural
disasters
__x_ Has one in the nascent stages, heavily dependent on outside support
___ No system in place
[0.5/7 points]
What’s the likelihood that the government will become the casualty of a natural
disaster and the country experiences a government turnover?
___ Very unlikely - Government and security apparatus stable enough to contain civil
unrest and political opposition
_x__ Small chance – Security apparatus may have its act together to contain public
protest, but a natural disaster could give the opposition a fair opportunity to threaten the
government’s political standing
___ Moderate chance – Likelihood of civil unrest and strength of political opposition
could throw the government into crisis mode
___ High chance – This is a highly unstable government system in which turnovers occur
frequently. Fallout from a natural disaster would almost certainly kick the government
out of power.
[0.25/7 points]