Download The Future of Marine Animal Populations

The Future of Marine Animal Populations
Synthesis plan
Updated Version: July 2008
I. Overarching themes
a.
Mission
FMAP attempts to describe and synthesize globally changing patterns of species abundance,
distribution, and diversity, and to model the effects of fishing, climate change and other key variables
on those patterns. This work is done across ocean realms and with an emphasis on understanding past
changes and predicting future scenarios.
b.
Outcomes
During the synthesis phase (2008-2010) these questions will be addressed within three topical synthesis
streams:
(1) DIVERSITY: Cross-taxa biodiversity patterns in the ocean (Lead: Boris Worm)
(2) DISTRIBUTION: Animal distribution and movements (Lead: Ian Jonsen)
(3) ABUNDANCE: Long-term trends in animal abundance and ocean ecosystems (Lead: Heike Lotze).
These streams are not strictly separate, but will focus on distinct data sources, and emphasize different
patterns. Ultimately, their findings will be combined in the Grand Synthesis products (see Fig. 1). Within
each stream we aim to synthesize what is known, and how that knowledge has grown over the lifetime
of the Census, contrasting it with the yet unknown and unknowable. Where possible we will
increasingly focus on the question, how observed patterns and trends in marine animal distribution,
abundance and diversity may change in the future, using different scenarios for changes in fishing and
climate in particular. As FMAP has done successfully in the past, we will perform syntheses analyses
across species groups, ranging from plankton to whales, and across ocean realms, from estuaries to
the open ocean. Our overarching goal is to develop a coherent picture of the dynamic changes in marine
animal distribution, abundance and diversity, in the past, today, and projected into the future given a range
of global change scenarios.
c.
Outputs
We aim to produce a solid body of (i) peer-reviewed Synthesis Papers that synthesize our scientific
findings over the last 10 years, (ii) Modeling ‘Toolboxes’ that enable others to continue these
explorations, and (iii) Static Maps as well as Animated Visualizations aimed at a general audience
(possible outlets: Google Oceans, National Geographic). To achieve these synthesis goals, we are
developing three major FMAP Synthesis streams, with different modules focusing on key species groups,
ocean realms or objectives (see Fig. 1). An overall synthesis paper across the three streams will be the
final FMAP Project Synthesis.
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Figure 1. Synthesis streams and some major products according to the FMAP Synthesis Plan.
II. Synthesis management
a.
Lead synthesis writer
Boris Worm, with Ian Jonsen and Heike Lotze
b.
FMAP synthesis team and individual responsibilities for project synthesis
Name
Boris Worm, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Ian Jonsen, Bedford Institute of
Oceanography, Dartmouth
Heike Lotze, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Zoey Zahorodny, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Daniel Ricard, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Justin Breen, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Wade Blanchard, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Derek Tittensor, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Greg Breed, Dalhousie and
UCSC, Santa Cruz
Camilo Mora, Dalhousie and
UCSD/SIO, La Jolla
Marta Coll, Dalhousie
University, Halifax
Contact
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
07/July/2008
Responsibilities
Overall synthesis coordination
Lead Stream (I): Biodiversity
Lead Stream (II): Movement
Collaboration with TOPP
Lead Stream (III): Abundance
Collaboration with HMAP
FMAP Office
Synthesis Manager
Data management
Collaboration with OBIS
IT support, FMAP Website
Statistical and analytical
support
Cross-cutting synthesis
products: Species Richness
Cross-cutting synthesis
products: Traffic Patterns
Cross-cutting synthesis
products: Changing Oceans
Cross-cutting synthesis
products: HMAP-FMAP
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III. Synthesis Products
a.
Contributed Synthesis Volume
FMAP will submit its contribution to the Project Synthesis Volume (McIntyre Book) in December 2009. The
proposed chapter outline is as follows:
1. The Known (Status of discipline prior to Census)
Historical perspective of discipline/realm/tool/taxonomic groups/key questions
1.1. Biodiversity patterns in the ocean
- the blue map
- species lists and water samples
- ocean cruises and fishing fleets
- Figure
1.2. The study of animal movement and distribution prior to satellite tagging
- animal observation and tracking in the ocean
- mathematical and analytical efforts to model movement
- Figure
1.3. Temporal trends in ocean changes
- short-term fluctuations in climate and oceanography
- evolutionary changes in ocean life
- ocean life in the anthropocene
- Figure
2. From Unknown to Known (Evolution of discipline during the Census)
What were the major gaps (geographic, taxonomic, technical etc.)?
Approaches taken to closing gaps (including new tools and opportunities)
Findings (including major discoveries, surprises, new research directions)
Ramifications (scientific, governmental, policy, health, political, others?)
New questions (emerging issues over the life of the Census)
2.1. Finding large-scale biodiversity patterns in the ocean
- analyzing and overlaying global data sets
- explaining biodiversity patterns and drivers
- reaching general conclusions with meta-analysis
- Photo/graph/model
2.2. Analyzing animal distribution and movement
- advancing tagging technology to track animal movements
- developing state-space models to analyze animal behavior and distribution
- Photo/graph/model
2.3. Unraveling long-term changes in the ocean
- combining multi-disciplinary data to gain long-term trends
- analyzing the magnitude, drivers and consequences of change
- projecting future scenarios
- Photo/graph/model
3. The Currently Unknown (Remaining gaps)
Remaining questions (what are some of the key questions that remain
unanswered)
3.1. Missing species: what’s under the radar?
3.2. Future ocean changes: climate change and human pressures
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- animal foraging and migration patterns in a changing environment
- species range shifts, population extinctions and recoveries
- diversity shifts and ocean ecosystem functions
4. How Can we Move From Unknowable to Knowable (Novel approaches to resolve the currently
“impossible”)
Current limits to knowledge
Why we need to push the limits (what we stand to learn and why we cannot afford to
accept
the unknowable)
Ideas to move the goalposts (dream cruises or technology, etc.)
Blueprint for the future (beyond 2010)
4.1. Missing data and the problem of data access
4.2. Advancing tag technology, modeling capacity and networked tracking and
collaboration (OTN)
4.3. Protecting biodiversity hot- and coldspots as reference sites and insurance
4.4. Improving ecological and environmental forecasting in order to make future predictions
Clark et al. 2001, analog to climate research)
5. Conclusions (Major findings and major gaps, how to move forward)
Including practical suggestions on how knowledge/understanding might be moved
from here.
(see
forward
5.1. Connecting global ocean studies
5.2. Facing the future: an IPCC for the ocean?
b.
Project-Specific Products
Synthesis Stream I. Global patterns of marine biodiversity
Lead: Boris Worm
Collaborations with OBIS, CenSeam, CReefs, CMarZ, NAGISA, and others if possible
The goal is to overlay spatial diversity patterns for different species group, searching for local hotspots
and coldspots, regional overlap between different groups and global spatial gradients in marine diversity.
We will also attempt to contrast species richness patterns in the ocean with those described on land. The
following marine groups will be treated in detail:
a. Large predators (Lead: Boris Worm): Boris Worm and Derek Tittensor will focus on global diversity
patterns and range distributions of large pelagic fish (tuna, billfish), Kristin Kaschner on marine mammals,
and Luis Lucifora, and Veronica Garcia on sharks, rays and chimaeras. The goals are to develop global
spatial diversity patterns for all pelagic groups, and to standardize these efforts across groups so that we
can overlay maps for a combined analysis of pelagic hotspots and gradients of diversity in the global
ocean. These efforts will then be expanded to include other realms listed under b) to e).
b. Coral reefs (Lead: Camilo Mora): This project will focus on synthesizing data on the current status of
coral reefs, their diversity, and potential drivers of their decline. Camilo is now based at Scripps to
facilitate collaboration with CReefs. Julia Baum (also now at Scripps) and Jana McPherson will work on
the recently compiled Pacific Reefs Fish data base to analyze species range distributions and extinction
risks in reef fish assemblages.
c. Deep Sea (Lead: Derek Tittensor): Mapping global patterns of diversity in the deep-sea is particularly
challenging due to the sparseness of the available data, and the inaccessibility of this environment. FMAP
and CenSeam are collaborating on analyzing the diversity and distribution of deep-sea and seamount
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corals, the factors underlying those distributions, and the statistical approaches for such data-poor
systems.
d. Plankton (Lead: Boris Worm): Boris Worm and Daniel Boyce will analyze global patterns of
phytoplankton and foraminifera, as well as integrating data on large gelatinous plankton. Increased
collaboration with CMarZ is being pursued to ensure cross-fertilization of ideas and data sharing..
e. Coastal waters (Lead: Heike Lotze): Heike Lotze will contribute diversity patterns from estuaries and
coastal seas, and Allison Schmidt from nearshore vegetated habitats. Towards this goal we will
collaborate with NaGISA in the Changing Oceans Synthesis Group.
f. Unknown diversity (Lead: Derek Tittensor: Camilo Mora and Derek Tittensor will use existing
biogeographical data (in collaboration with Edward vanBerghe, OBIS) to assess the known and unknown
of total species richness, the completeness of taxonomic inventories worldwide, and their suitability to
construct or adjust global-scale patterns in marine diversity.
Synthesis Stream II. Spatial distribution and movements of tagged animals
Lead: Ian Jonsen
Collaborations: TOPP, OTN, and POST
The goal of this stream is to synthesize the movement behavior and dynamic patterns of spatial
distribution of vertebrate predators in the ocean over time scales ranging from days to years. We will
integrate oceanographic information with electronic tracking data to understand how marine predators
interact with their environment and to predict how environmental change may affect these interactions. In
addition to gaining mechanistic knowledge of movement behaviors and patterns, we will create maps of
species’ seasonal distributions, inferred from the tracking data that will contribute to project stream II.
a. Synthesis of developed modeling tools (Lead: Ian Jonsen): Ian Jonsen, Greg Breed and Salvador
Jorgensen (TOPP) will continue to work on modeling methods, originally developed for Argos satellite
data, by expanding the toolbox to include methods for analyzing light-based geolocation data and for
incorporating oceanographic data directly into behavioral analyses. Joanna Mills-Flemming will develop
alternate estimation approaches and model selection methods that will provide important flexibility for
fitting behavioral models to multiple species. These modeling approaches will be synthesized in an edited
volume and combined in a freely distributed software package for data holders.
b. Atlantic Ocean (Lead: Greg Breed): The modeling tools developed under module (a) will be applied to
better understand species’ behaviors, environmental interactions, roles in the marine ecosystem,
responses to climate change and fisheries interactions. Greg Breed will focus on grey seal, Mike James,
Ian Jonsen, and Trevor Davies on leatherback turtle.
c. Pacific Ocean (Lead: Ian Jonsen): Ian Jonsen and Greg Breed have initiated work with TOPP
researchers to synthesize our understanding of the migratory and foraging behaviors of Pacific pelagic
species such as white and salmon sharks, elephant seals and leatherback turtles. This work will be done
in collaboration with TOPP researchers (B. Block, D. Costa, S. Jorgensen).
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Synthesis Stream III: Long-term trends in marine animal populations and ocean ecosystems
Lead: Heike Lotze
Collaboration with HMAP, CReefs, NaGISA, ArcOD, GoMA, and others if possible
The goal of Stream III is to synthesize long-term trends in the abundance, distribution, and diversity of
marine animals to add a deeper time dimension to spatial diversity patterns (Stream I) and short-term
animal movements (Stream II). These trends will be compared across species (including fish, birds,
mammals, and reptiles) and realms (including estuaries, coastal waters, continental shelves, and open
ocean). A second focus lies on analyzing the importance of and interaction among major underlying
anthropogenic (e.g., fishing, habitat loss) and natural (e.g., climate) drivers to evaluate current and
potential future trends in marine biodiversity. Finally, we will develop a modeling framework to analyze the
consequences of biodiversity changes for food-web structure and functioning today and in the future.
a. Long-term trends in abundance, distribution and diversity across realms (Lead Heike Lotze): We will
synthesize long-term trends in depletion and recovery of animal abundance, shifts in spatial distribution
and range, and changes in species diversity. Trends will be compared across species (e.g. fish, birds,
mammals, and reptiles) and ocean realms (from estuaries, coastal waters, continental shelves, to the
open ocean) to derive a general picture of long-term changes in the ocean. Long-term abundance and
diversity trends will be synthesized from available studies within FMAP (Heike Lotze, Boris Worm), from
other Census and cross-cutting projects (with HMAP, CReefs, NaGISA, ArcOD, GoMA, and others), as
well as third parties. Trends in distribution and range shifts will be analyzed using time-series data
combined with spatial modeling for tuna and billfish (Derek Tittensor), demersal fish (Dan Ricard), sharks
(Francesco Ferretti, Christine Ward-Paige), and complemented with available published studies. The
results will be synthesized in two main synthesis products: A toolbox paper will describe the multiple
approaches of reconstructing long-term trends and how to compare results across species and studies. A
review paper will then synthesize the temporal changes in marine animal abundance, distribution, and
diversity and how these differ across ocean realms. Past trends will be used to inform future projections.
b. Changing oceans: underlying drivers of change (Lead: Heike Lotze, Camilo Mora, Boris Worm): The
studies on long-term trends will be complemented by analyses of the underlying drivers of observed
changes. This will include anthropogenic and natural drivers to identify the relative importance of and
interactions among exploitation, habitat change, pollution, climate variability and other forcing factors in
changing species abundance, distribution, and diversity. Because drivers differ among ocean realms, we
aim at comparing results across estuaries and coastal waters (Heike Lotze, Allison Schmidt, with NaGISA,
Stephanie Boudreau), coral reefs (Camilo Mora, Jana McPherson, with CReefs), continental shelves
(Coilin Minto, Boris Worm), open ocean (Dan Boyce, Kristin Kaschner, Boris Worm), and possibly polar
regions (with ArcOD). Camilo Mora will also contribute results on the importance of proximate versus
ultimate human drivers in explaining changes in reef-fish communities. A synthesis across all communities
is expected to reveal how abundance, distribution, and diversity patterns in the ocean have been changed
through multiple human and natural impacts, which is an essential prerequisite to develop scenarios for
potential future changes. The effects of projected climate change scenarios will be evaluated.
c. Changing oceans: consequences of biodiversity changes for marine ecosystems (Lead: Marta Coll): To
evaluate the consequences of biodiversity changes on the structure and functioning of marine
ecosystems, we will reconstruct past and present food-web models and analyze changes in emerging
properties over time. These will be compared with empirical results (IIIa). Different modeling approaches,
including stochastic Niche models and tropho-dynamic Ecopath & Ecosim models, will be compared to
develop a general methodological framework (toolbox). Next, we will use the underlying trends and drivers
(IIIa & b) to forecast trends into the future under different fisheries, management, and climate change
scenarios.
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c.
Synthesis product overview for Scientific Audiences and General Public (Target
Scientific Journals, if already identified are indicated in italics)
Outputs
For Scientific Audiences
STREAM I
A review paper on the total number of species in the ocean (known
and unknown) (Proceedings of the Royal Society)
A data synthesis paper on the distribution of biodiversity across taxa,
and its environmental drivers
A review paper on the world’s marine biodiversity hotspots and
coldspots, and their role for conservation (Ecology Letters)
A “modeling toolbox” for the analysis of species richness and
distribution patterns and hotspots
STREAM II
A “toolbox” paper on modeling animal behavior in a dynamic ocean
A synthesis paper on the oceanographic basis of marine predator
movement patterns
A review paper on methods for analysis of electronic tracking data
A paper on ontogenetic shifts in foraging and migratory behaviors of
leatherback turtles
A “toolbox” paper on a Bayesian approach to modeling light-based
geolocation data
STREAM III
A “toolbox” paper comparing different approaches to estimate longterm abundance trends (Trends in Ecology and Evolution)
A synthesis paper on long-term changes in marine animal
abundance, distribution, and diversity in the ocean
A synthesis paper on ‘Changing Ocean’ – anthropogenic and natural
drivers of diversity changes in the ocean
A paper on the ecosystem consequences of long-term diversity
changes in the ocean
A “modeling toolbox’ for the reconstruction and analysis of ecosystem
models (Ecosystems)
ACROSS STREAMS
Grand Synthesis Paper: The Future of Marine Animal Populations
(Nature)
FMAP Project Synthesis Chapter: McIntyre Book
For the General Public
Animated maps that visualize dynamic changes in species richness
and occurrence, animal distribution and movements, and abundance
for a general audience, past, present and future
Animated projections of how animals will dynamically respond to
changing ocean temperature fields and circulation patterns
A dynamic web tool that tracks the known and unknown of marine
species richness from the beginning of the Census to this day
A popular science article on the state of the world’s oceans, and what
we learned from studying the past for the future
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Lead author & Deadline
Camilo Mora (Oct 2009)
Derek Tittensor (Oct 2009)
Boris Worm, Pat Halpin
(Nov 2009)
Derek Tittensor
(Mar 2009)
Ian Jonsen, Greg Breed (Jul
2009)
Ian Jonsen, Barbara Block (Dec
2009)
Greg Breed (Oct 2009)
Trevor Davies, Mike James (Sep
2009)
S. Jorgensen, Ian Jonsen (May
2009)
Heike Lotze, Boris Worm (Feb
2009)
Heike Lotze et al. (Aug 2009)
Heike Lotze, Camilo Mora, Boris
Worm (Oct 2009)
Marta Coll et al. (Nov 2009)
Marta Coll et al. (Apr 2009)
FMAP Synthesis Team
(Fall 2009)
FMAP Synthesis Team
(Dec 2009)
FMAP Synthesis Team
With Google Oceans
National Geographic
Census Synthesis Group
Ian Jonsen
Derek Tittensor
Edward Van Berghe
Heike Lotze
Boris Worm
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d.
Cross-Project Synthesis Products
FMAP is leading five cross-cutting synthesis topics, two of which have been merged into one proposal that
has recently been funded by the Synthesis Group. FMAP is further contributing to two more synthesis
topics, led by NaGISA and SYNDEEP (CheSS, CoMarge, CenSeam), respectively.
Type of Product
Leaders
Diversity Topics
1. Estimates of unknown species
Derek Tittensor,
Edward
Vanden
Berghe
2. Trends in diversity past to future
Heike Lotze,
Boris Worm,
Andy Rosenberg
Distribution Topics
3. Geography of biodiversity hotspots Boris Worm,
(and coldspots).
Pat Halpin
4. The oceanographic basis of marine
predator movements
5. Fresh estimate of changes in size
distribution of animals
Ian Jonsen,
Barbara Block
Abundance Topics
Boris Worm
Funding
Synthesis
Group
FMAP
HMAP
Synthesis
Group
Synthesis
Group
Remarks
FMAP-OBIS synthesis
effort
underway
FMAP-HMAP synthesis
effort
underway
FMAP-M&V synthesis
effort
underway
FMAP-TOPP
synthesis effort
underway
FMAP,
NCEAS (1)
FMAP-NCEAS
collaboration
underway
Cross-cutting Topics: Diversity+Distribution+Abundance
6. “Deeper than light” – life where Eva
Ramirez- Synthesis
FMAP-SYNDEEP
Group
sunlight is absent.
Llodra
collaboration:
FMAP contact: Derek
Tittensor
Synthesis
7. “Changing Oceans” – relative role of LissandroFMAP-NaGISA
group
fisheries, habitat change, climate Benedetti-Cecchi
collaboration:
variability etc.
Ann Knowlton
FMAP contact: Camilo
Mora
Notes: (1) NCEAS is the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (www.nceas.ucsb.edu),
This synthesis effort will take place in collaboration with an existing NCEAS working group led by Boris
Worm and Ray Hilborn (U. Washington).
IV. Visualization and Mapping
We are planning to work closely with the M&V Team to optimize our mapping and visualization output. Pat
Halpin from M&V is co-leading the cross-cutting work on species hotspots and will be involved with the
work on traffic patterns. Two FMAP Synthesis Team members are attending the October 2008 mapping
and visualization workshop. As one of our outreach efforts, we are planning to contribute data layers to
Google Oceans or National Geographic that visualize both patterns of diversity, their dynamic changes
(e.g. with seasonal or long-term climate change), animal distribution patterns from tracks, and long-term
changes in abundance and range size, where possible. We have done this before with static maps (most
recently in New Scientist, April 2008, ‘Depth of Ignorance’), but it will be an exciting opportunity to animate
these patterns in order to visualize dynamic changes, as they have occurred, are occurring, or are
projected to occur in the future. Visualization and mapping will be coordinated by the FMAP Synthesis
Team, as follows:
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Name
M&V
Responsibilities
Coordination: Species richness maps, climate projections
Coordination: Movement models and visualizations
Coordination: Abundance and diversity trends past to future
Education and Outreach
Data management and liason to OBIS, M&V
IT support
Species range modeling and mapping
Species movement mapping
Mapping of environmental and human drivers, visualization of
effects on biodiversity
Visualizing ecosystem changes past to future
Boris Worm
Ian Jonsen
Heike Lotze
Zoey Zahorodney
Daniel Ricard
Justin Breen
Derek Tittensor
Greg Breed
Camilo Mora
Marta Coll
V. Synthesis timelines 2008-2010
Dates
29 February 2008
Items
Estimating global species richness: meeting I
(Videoconference)
20-22 March 2008
FMAP-TOPP synthesis planning meeting,
Pacific Grove, CA
March 2008
Writing and submission of Letters of Intent for
Synthesis Group
19-22 April 2008
Second FMAP-HMAP synthesis meeting on
Trends in Diversity and
FMAP-NCEAS planning meeting on Estimating
Changes in Size Spectra, Santa Barbara, CA
CenSeam Data Analysis Working Group
Workshop, Sunshine Coast , Australia
Draft Review: Sloan proposal for FMAP
renewal 2008-10
Checking, documenting and merging of FMAP
databases for OBIS
Submit Sloan proposal for FMAP renewal
2008-2010
12-16 May 2008
May 2008
May-December 2008
15 July 2008
August 2008
Estimating global species richness: meeting II
(Videoconference)
13-15 September 2008
Cross-Project Workshop: SYNDEEP-I: towards
a first global synthesis of biodiversity,
biogeography and function in the deep sea.
07/July/2008
Leaders or Contacts
Derek Tittensor
Camilo Mora
Edward vanden
Berghe
Barbara Block
Ian Jonsen
Sal Jorgensen
Derek Tittensor
Camilo Mora
Edward vanden
Berghe
Boris Worm
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze
Andy Rosenberg
Ray Hilborn
CenSeam with Derek
Tittensor for FMAP
SC members
Daniel Ricard
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze
Ian Jonsen
Derek Tittensor
Camilo Mora
Edward vanden
Berghe
Eva Ramirez Llodra,
Derek Tittensor for
FMAP
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Dates
September 2008
2-4 October 2008
Items
Workshop on Habitat Heterogeneity, Scripps,
La Jolla, CA
Third FMAP-HMAP synthesis meeting on
Trends in Diversity, Halifax, NS
October 2008
Mapping & Visualization workshop
November 2008
SYNDEEP-II: towards a first global synthesis
of biodiversity, biogeography and function in
the deep sea.
World Conference on Marine Biodiversity –
FMAP session: ‘Assessing the consequences
of large-scale biodiversity change’, Valencia,
Spain
November 2008
November 2008
First FMAP–TOPP synthesis meeting on
Marine Predator Movements, Monterey CA
December 2008
Data analysis meeting: ‘Changing Oceans’
Synthesis Group
10-14 December 2008
FMAP-NCEAS analysis meeting on Estimating
Changes in Size Spectra
January 2009
Estimating global species richness: meeting III
(Videoconference)
January 2009
1-5 February 2009
FMAP database is merged with OBIS
CoML Synthesis Workshop - Writers meeting,
including SYNDEEP-III, Long Beach, CA
Submitting Toolbox paper Stream IIIa
(Abundance Trends)
Submitting Toolbox paper Stream I (estimating
biodiversity)
Submitting Toolbox paper Stream IIIc
(ecosystem modeling)
Writing meeting: Global hot- and coldspots:
Duke University Marine Lab
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
April 2009
May 2009
Second FMAP-TOPP synthesis meeting on
Marine Predator Movements, Monterey CA
May 2009
Submitting Toolbox paper Stream II (Bayesian
approaches)
07/July/2008
Leaders or Contacts
Lisa Levin, Camilo
Mora for FMAP
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze
Andy Rosenberg
Marta Coll
Pat Halpin, with Derek
Tittensor and Greg
Breed for FMAP
Eva Ramirez Llodra,
with Derek Tittensor for
FMAP
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze
With FMAP Team
Ian Jonsen
Barbara Block
Greg Breed
Mike James
Lissandro BenedettiCecchi
Ann Knowlton
Camilo Mora
Boris Worm
Ray Hilborn
Simon Jennings
Derek Tittensor
Camilo Mora
Edward vanden
Berghe
Daniel Ricard
Eva Ramirez Llodra,
FMAP Synthesis Team
Heike Lotze
Boris Worm
Derek Tittensor
Boris Worm
Marta Coll
Heike Lotze
Pat Halpin
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze
Derek Tittensor
Ian Jonsen
Barbara Block
Greg Breed
Mike James
Sal Jorgensen
Ian Jonsen
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Dates
June 2009
Items
Writing meeting: Total species richness
White Point, NS
July 2009
Submitting Toolbox paper Stream II
(movement models)
Submission of drafts of synthesis products
where FMAP is involved to Synthesis Group
Submitting Synthesis paper Stream IIIa (longterm trends)
Provide information for Google Oceans and
National Geographic Maps
Submitting Synthesis paper Stream II
(ontogenetic shifts in animal movement)
Third FMAP-TOPP synthesis meeting on
Marine Predator Movements, Halifax, NS
August 2009
August 2009
August 2009
September 2009
October 2009
October 2009
October 2009
October 2009
October 2009
November 2009
November 2009
November 2009
December 2009
December 2009
Spring 2010
Spring 2010
Summer 2010
Summer 2010
4-7 October 2010
Fall 2010
Submitting Review paper Stream I (total
number of species in the ocean)
Submitting Synthesis paper Stream I
(biodiversity patterns across taxa)
Submitting Review paper Stream II (analysis of
electronic tracking data)
Submitting Synthesis paper Stream IIIb
“Changing oceans” (drivers of change)
Submitting synthesis paper Stream I
(biodiversity hotspots and coldspots)
Submitting paper Stream IIIc (ecosystem
consequences of diversity changes)
Update and finalize project methodologies to
be submitted to the Census secretariat
Submission of FMAP contribution to the CoML
2010 Report & Final Synthesis papers
Submitting Synthesis paper Stream II
(oceanographic basis of marine predator
movement)
Final checking updating of FMAP records in
OBIS database
Work on mapping and visualization of the three
FMAP stream activities
Work on FMAP outreach products and popular
science articles
Finalize FMAP contributions to “Grand Finale”
Census “Grand Finale” in London
Finalizing work on FMAP outreach products
and popular science articles, essays
07/July/2008
Leaders or Contacts
Derek Tittensor
Camilo Mora
Edward vanden
Berghe
Ian Jonsen
Greg Breed
Boris Worm
Heike Lotze et al.
Boris Worm
Daniel Ricard
Trevor Davies
Mike James
Ian Jonsen
Barbara Block
Greg Breed
Mike James
Camilo Mora
Derek Tittensor
Greg Breed
Heike Lotze
Camilo Mora
Boris Worm
Boris Worm
Pat Halpin
Marta Coll
Heike Lotze
FMAP Synthesis Team
FMAP Synthesis Team
Ian Jonsen
Barbara Block
Daniel Ricard
FMAP Synthesis Team
FMAP Synthesis Team
FMAP Synthesis Team
FMAP Synthesis Team
FMAP Synthesis Team
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