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Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability 4/11/12 Geometry Lesson Plans Section 7-8: Geometric Probability 4/11/12 Warm-up (15 mins) Practice Workbook: Practice 7-6, # 15 – 23 Practice 7-7, # 15 – 20 Find area of shaded segments. Round your answer to the nearest tenth. p.1 Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability 4/11/12 p.2 Homework Review (10 mins) – ask for any questions on homework Homework (H) p. 397 # 1 - 11, 17 – 19, 22, 23, 25, 27, 32, 35 Homework (R) p. 397 # 1 - 11, 17 – 19, 22, 25, 26, 27, 28, 35 Statement of Objectives (5 mins) The student will be able to use area models to find probabilities of events. Teacher Input (50 mins) Probability: favorable outcomes possible outcomes If you had a six-sided number cube, what is the probability of rolling the following? a. 4 (1/6) b. an odd number (1/2) c. 2 or 5 (1/3) d. a prime number (1/2) Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability 4/11/12 p.3 Geometric Probability: model that uses points to represent outcomes; uses the ratio of the favorable length, area, volume, etc. to the entire length, area or volume. Finding Probability Using Segments If a points of segments (line or time, etc.) represent outcomes, then: P(event) = length of favorable segment length of entire segment Example 1: Segments A point on segment AB below is selected at random. What is the probability that it is a point on segment CD? P( CD ) = 4 2 = 40% 10 5 Example 2: Segments Example 3: Time Ashley’s bus runs every 25 minutes. If she arrives at her bus stop at a random time, what is the probability that she will have to wait no more than 10 minutes for the bus? Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability 4/11/12 p.4 P(no more than 10 mins) = 10/25 = 2/5 = 40% Example 4: Time Finding Probability Using Area If points of a region represent equally likely outcomes, you can find probabilities by comparing areas: P(event) = area of favorable region area of entire region Elizabeth Pawelka Example 5: Area Geometric Probability 4/11/12 p.5 Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability 4/11/12 p.6 Example 6: Area - Dartboard Assuming a dart you throw will land somewhere on this 1-ft square dartboard, what is the probability of hitting the blue, yellow, and red areas? The radii of the concentric circles are 1, 2, and 3 inches. P(blue) = P(yellow) = P(red) = P(blue) = area of blue = π(12) π ≈ 0.022 or 2.2% area of square 122 144 P(yellow) = area of yellow = π(22) - π(12) 4π - π = 3π ≈ 0.065 or 6.5% area of square 122 144 144 P(red) = area of red = π(32) - π(22) 9π - 4π = 5π ≈ 0.109 or 10.9% area of square 122 144 144 Example 7: Area – Coin Toss Carnival Game of Coin Toss: To win, you must toss a quarter so it lands completely in the circle as 15 shown below. The circle has a 1 inch radius. The quarter has a inch radius. Given that the coin 32 could land anywhere in the 8 inch square, what is the probability of winning? P(winning) = area of 17/32 in circle (1 inch minus 15/32) = π(17/32)2 ≈ 0.014 or 1.4% area of square 82 Elizabeth Pawelka Geometric Probability Closure (5 mins) Today you learned to use area models to find probabilities of events. Tomorrow we’ll review for the test on Friday. Homework (H) p. 404, # 1 – 9, 15 – 21, 23 – 25, 40 - 42 Homework (R) p. 404, # 1 – 6, 15 – 18, 20, 21, 23 - 25 4/11/12 p.7