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What’s Wrong with the Right A Social Democratic Response to the Neo-Liberals at Home and the Neo-Conservatives Abroad An Address to the Centre for Independent Studies By Kevin Rudd MP Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs, Trade and International Security Sydney 16 November 2006 Precisely 30 years ago, in November 1976, the Centre for Independent Studies published a set of three lectures by Professor Friedrich Hayek. This publication followed Hayek’s month-long lecture tour of Australia in OctoberNovember that year, which had about it all the trappings of a Royal Tour - meetings with Prime Minister Fraser, Deputy Prime Minister Anthony, Queensland Premier BjelkePetersen, Chief Justice Barwick, Secretary of the Treasury Stone, the Reserve Bank Governor, numerous captains of industry, as well as the leading lights of the academy. Notwithstanding the title of the lecture series “Social Justice, Socialism and Democracy”, Professor Hayek’s published itinerary did not seem to be exactly awash with the actual subject matter of his series – the political left. I presume this was because Hayek had concluded 30 years before that we were the problem – not the solution. A pity because maybe we could both have learned by looking beyond the entrenched stereotypes of the time: in Hayek’s case that the centre-left was somehow still wedded to the state socialism, planning and ownership of a quarter of a century before; in our case, that Hayek had nothing useful to say about the operation of the market. Well I’m sure, in the collective absence of the left, Hayek’s meeting with Joh Bjelke-Petersen would instead have been a truly Scottish Enlightenment experience for the Anglo-Austrian nobel laureate. For the record, when Hayek visited my own university, the Australian National University, on that tour, I neither attended nor protested. Young Labor had not yet consigned me to the road to serfdom. More importantly, Hayek’s ANU lecture was on 19 October that year: Mao had just died, the Gang of Four were being purged and the end of the Cultural Revolution Kevin Rudd MP Page: 1 was in sight, heralding the beginning of something new for the Middle Kingdom. We first year Sinologues were therefore otherwise intellectually engaged with a revolution of a different type. No quarter was given in Hayek’s systematic assault on the left during his Australian tour. It was consistent with what he had written previously since the publication of the Road to Serfdom in 1944. His first lecture was confrontingly entitled: “The Atavism of Social Justice”.1 Hayek’s opening sentence and salvo was as follows: “To discover the means of what is called ‘social justice’ has been one of my many chief preoccupations for more than ten years. I have failed in this endeavour – or, rather, have reached the conclusion that, with reference to a society of free men, the phrase has no meaning whatsoever.”2 Here Hayek echoes his broader polemic of the same year entitled: “The Mirage of Social Justice”3 where he compares the widespread belief in social justice to the former “universal belief in witches or the philosopher’s stone”.4 Hayek’s polemic against the left was an axiomatic component of his advocacy of a radical, neo-liberal alternative – one which argued the absolute centrality of the market; a role for the state as a protector of that market but little else besides; and apocalyptic warnings that any political interference with the integrity (even ‘sanctity’) of the market would place the entire national project on the “slippery slope” to totalitarianism. Over the intervening 30 years, Hayek has had a profound effect on the politics, public policy and even foreign policy of much of the collective West. In 1976, Margaret Thatcher was still Leader of the Opposition and Hayekian neo-liberalism was a minority intellectual sect. By the time Thatcher left office in 1991, Hayekian thought had become British public policy orthodoxy. Through Milton Friedman, the Hayekian project was further entrenched in Reagan’s America. Hayek and the intellectual system he represents also moved from the margins to the mainstream of the Australian academy and bureaucracy – both in the manner in which intellectual and public policy questions are framed and in the substance of the answers given. My purpose tonight is to state that the time has come to reflect on the impact of the Hayekian economic revolution on Australian politics, society and the environment – together with Australian engagement with the international order. Specifically I want to re-examine three things: First, Hayek’s core philosophical claims on the role of an unfettered market and the regulatory state; Friedrich Hayek, “Social Justice, Socialism and Democracy”, The Atavism of Social Justice (Centre for Independent Studies: Occasional Paper No 2, 1979) 2 Hayek, Atavism, 3. 3 Friedrich Hayek, “The Mirage of Social Justice”, Law, Legislation and Liberty: Volume 2. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1978) 4 Hayek, Law Vol II, xii. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 2 of 1 19 Second, how Social Democrats respond to Hayekian market fundamentalism with a coherent narrative – retaining support for market disciplines while not jettisoning a commitment to social justice; and Third, how market fundamentalism has split the political right down the middle along the traditional fault lines of conservatives versus liberals and how this in turn provides Labor with fresh political and policy opportunities for the future. Tensions within the right have come to the surface in a number of policy areas in recent times, including the impact of industrial relations changes on the family; the failure to respond effectively to global climate change; as well as the abject failure of the American and Australian neo-cons over Iraq. All three of these topics nonetheless go to the heart of a major philosophical divide within the political right – between conservatives on the one hand and radicals on the other. Furthermore, in the most relevant and recent touchstone debates on industrial relations, global warming and Iraq, the radicals have won and won consistently. But, as the market fundamentalists have prevailed with Workchoices and Kyoto and the neocons with Iraq, Australians are feeling decidedly uneasy that, free of Senate restraint, John Howard’s political project has gone a bridge too far. This therefore presents a rich policy and political opportunity for Australian social democrats to restore the balance and once again reclaim the centre ground. Hayek’s Neo-Liberalism It is important to state clearly the essential elements of the Hayekian orthodoxy. Hayek’s political philosophy is premised on a stark view of human nature that social democrats find confronting. In his Australian lecture, “The Atavism of Social Justice”, Hayek argues that the altruistic feelings human beings had for one another in small tribes in primal society are rendered redundant by the impersonal demands imposed on human beings in more complex societies through prices determined in the market. Hayek states: “When I pass from the morals of the hunting band in which man spent most of his history, to the morals which made possible the market order of the open society, I am jumping over a long intermediate stage…From it date those codifications of ethics which became embodied in the teachings of the mono-theistic religions”.5 Hayek’s utilitarian view of religion (confirmed elsewhere in his writings) may shock some who have become religious handmaidens to the neo-liberal agenda. Hayek states explicitly that “general altruism, however, is a meaningless conception. Nobody can effectively care for other people as such; the responsibilities we assume must always be particular”.6 And if that was not sufficiently clear, Hayek elsewhere states that the retention of primitive altruistic values impedes market efficiency: 5 Hayek, Atavism, 7-8 . Friedrich Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty (London: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1960), 78-79. Kevin Rudd, MP 6 Page: 3 of 19 “As an example, continued obedience to the command to treat all men as neighbours would have prevented the growth of an extended order (i.e. societies within markets). For those now living within (this) order, they gain from not treating one another as neighbours but by applying in their interactions the rules of the extended (i.e. market) order…instead of the rules of solidarity and altruism”.7 Hayek argues that human beings’ altruism is a hangover from their primitive tribal experience, reinforced by religion, and must be purged if we are to optimise our individual liberty through rational self-centred participation in the market. He concedes this is difficult because “…it is more probable that many of the moral feelings they acquired have not merely been culturally transmitted by teaching or imitation, but have become innate or genetically determined”.8 Hayek does not believe we should be passive about such outdated moral codes. Enter Hayek the unrepentant social engineer: “Rational behaviour is not a premise of economic theory, though it is often presented as such. The basic contention of theory is rather that competition will make it necessary for people to act rationally in order to maintain themselves. Competition is as much a method for breeding certain types of mind as anything else…”9 In other words, Hayek sees the market not just as a natural expression of a pre-existing selfinterested human nature – but as a mechanism for actually developing the “selfish gene” and liberating it from outdated moral constraints focussed on the wellbeing of others. For fear that anyone accuses me of overstating this absolute dichotomy in Hayekian thought, Hayek states with clarion clarity in “The Atavism of Social Justice”: “These are kinds of obligations which are essential to the cohesion of a small group, but which are irreconcilable with the order, the productivity, and the peace of a great society of free men.”10 Here is a critical difference with Adam Smith, from whom social democrats in part draw their inspiration. Smith concluded that human beings were, in their nature, both selfregarding and other-regarding and that political economy should reflect both these concerns. Hayek also recognises the existence of both natures but concludes one is primitive, the other modern; that the primitive must yield to the modern; and that part of the purpose of the market is to re-engineer primitive altruism out of the human condition altogether. I would suggest that Christian enthusiasts for the neo-liberal agenda should reflect carefully on where Professor Hayek may be taking them on this count. Having established the values parameters within which Hayek’s paradigm is constructed, the centrepiece of his intellectual system operates around the idea of the market as an internally regulated system that maximises individual liberty. Hayek argues that the market creates a “spontaneous order” whose “equilibrium is set up from within”. Hayek expressly 7 Friedrich Hayek, The Fatal Conceit: Errors of Socialism (London: Routledge, 1988) Hayek, Atavism, 5 9 Friedrich Hayek, “The Political Order of a Free People”, Law, Legislation and Liberty Volume III (London: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1973) 10 Hayek, Atavism, 13. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 4 of 19 8 refers to the market as “a game” – specifically the game of “catallaxy” (taken from the Greek word “to barter”) – and argues that like any game “it is a contest played according to rules and decided by superior skill, strength or good fortune.”11 Critically, Hayek concludes that “the game” is the only determinant of a just allocation of resources – as opposed to any other external governmental invention. In other words, “justice” can only be validly determined by the market. Hayek goes further. Not only is it the market that determines the fairness of the outcome for each player, Hayek argues that it is immaterial whether players have unequal opportunities to participate in the game in the first place: “It is not a valid objection to such a game…that the initial prospects for different individuals, although they are all improved by playing that game, are very far from being the same.”12 In other words, social justice, whether it is taken maximally to mean equality of outcome, or more minimalistically to mean equality of opportunity, has absolutely no place in the Hayekian scheme. The latter in particular is of great significance to social democrats, who reject equality of outcome but embrace equality of opportunity as a valid expression of equity. The only “equality” in which Hayek is interested is what he describes as “equality before the law” (i.e. the rules of the game) which he elsewhere interprets narrowly as the criminal law, the law of contract and laws for maintaining the integrity of the market. When, therefore, I describe Hayek’s neo-liberalism as market fundamentalism, I do so with these explicit considerations in mind. Hayek’s Road to Serfdom contains his analysis of how states fail to protect the market, thereby reducing the realisation of liberty for their citizens, and imperilling the same citizens with the certain destination of totalitarianism. In Hayek’s moral universe, socialism in all its forms is the principal threat to liberty because, however well-intentioned a social justice intervention in the market might be, the “spontaneous, self-generating order” of the market is damaged and, as a result, liberty is impaired. This is Hayek’s doctrine of the slippery slope: “…if one starts unsystematically to interfere with the spontaneous order there is no practicable halting point and…it is therefore necessary to choose between alternative systems”.13 Or put more colourfully in the same text: “If you do not mend your principles, you will go to the devil.”14 The principal function of government in all of this is to establish, defend and maintain the market. In this sense, Hayek’s market, unlike Smith’s, should be detached from politics. In many respects, it is conceived of as being above politics (as Hayek’s later and extraordinary ruminations on democracy demonstrate). In Hayek’s “spontaneous, self-generating order” that is the market, he concludes that “the particular function of government is somewhat like a maintenance squad of a factory…” – i.e. protecting the market, but little else besides.15 So what does Hayek exclude from the market domain? Hayek, like Smith, does concede the existence of public goods – but offers no definition of their proper scope other than to say “there are certain goods which are necessary to a society and cannot be provided by the 11 Hayek, Atavism, 7. Hayek, Atavism, 11. 13 Friedrich Hayek, “Rules and Order”, Law, Legislation and Liberty Volume I (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1973): 58. 14 Hayek, Law Vol I, 58. 15 Hayek, Law Vol I, 47. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 5 of 19 12 market”.16 Smith’s list of public goods includes education. Hayek’s does not. This exclusion is consistent with Hayek’s hostility to equality of opportunity as noted above and represents another critical distinction for social democrats between Smith’s tradition and Hayek’s tradition of the market economy. On welfare, Hayek does concede as a public good a minimum provision of food, clothing and shelter for the destitute. A much more complex exclusion from Hayek’s spontaneous, self-generating market-based order is the family. Hayek makes a clear-cut distinction between the morality that governs all external relationships (ie the market and the market alone) and the family (where there are undefined “natural” ties). Hayek’s conceptual problem is that he cannot simply decree that one order of relationships be quarantined from the impersonal disciplines and dislocations of the market. Hayek recognises the critical contributions that family life makes to the wider society: “Among the greatest assets which a society can use…are the different moral, intellectual and material gifts parents can pass on to their children – and often will acquire, create or preserve only in order to be able to pass on to their children.”17 But Hayek fails to answer why these values are any less primitive than the general altruism towards the wider tribal group that he seeks to expunge through the social engineering processes unleashed by the market. It appears, therefore, to be little more than an ex-cathedra pronouncement, driven by an entirely understandable personal and political necessity, but utterly incapable of execution. As I have stated elsewhere, an unrestrained market is an unsentimental force that is capable of sweeping away all that impedes its progress – and that includes the commodification and marginalisation of all human relationships, including family relations. This fundamental contradiction of the Hayekian system is also of profound interest to social democrats – particularly in the context of the debate on the future of the industrial relations system. A final problem in the Hayekian order is the problem of the political order in general and democracy in particular. Hayek’s third essay in his 1976 Australian Lecture Series, delivered to the Institute of Public Affairs in Sydney, is entitled “Whither Democracy?” A shocking element of Hayek’s overall schema is that liberty is guaranteed more by the market than by democracy itself. Hayek states: “I must confess to preferring non-democratic government under the law to unlimited (and therefore essentially lawless) democratic government.”18 Hayek argues that the critical law in question is that which protects the integrity of the market. And the problem with an unlimited legislature, uninhibited by convention or constitution, is that “it is bound to become egalitarian” which brings into immediate focus “the fundamental immorality of all egalitarianism”.19 In Hayek’s view, that “immorality” lies in the predisposition of democratic legislatures to distort the market by favouring one group over another. 16 Hayek, Constitution, 223. Hayek, Atavism, 11. 18 Friedrich Hayek, “Wither Democracy?” Social Justice, Socialism and Democracy, (Centre for Independent Studies: Occasional Paper No 2, 1979): 35. 19 Hayek, Social Justice, 39. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 6 of 19 17 Hayek’s solution is to create two legislatures – one for administration, the other for legislation that affects the operation of the market. Hayek further recommends extraordinary qualifications for the type of person who could be elected to the latter body and to render it “immune from any pressure of special interests” so that “any special or discriminating order it issued would be invalid”.20 Obviously Professor Hayek had not been specifically briefed on the credo of the Australian Country (later National) Party when he met Deputy Prime Minister Anthony in 1976. A Social Democratic Critique of Hayek Social democrats have a range of objections to the market fundamentalism of the Hayekian system – a system which represents a radical departure from the schema expounded by Adam Smith two centuries before in the Wealth of Nations and the Theory of Moral Sentiments. Hayek in general seeks to silence the “market-tempering” devices alive in Smith, as well as the ultimate political constraints expressed in the theories of representative democracy that we find in Locke and Mill. Hayek is in every sense, therefore, a radical – but a radical nonetheless whose philosophical system continues to drive much of the intellectual and policy software of the Howard Government, together with the bureaucracy that serves it. Social democrats identify at least seven sets of problems with Hayek’s overarching schema. First, social democrats reject Hayek’s a priori assertion that altruism is a primitive value which can and should be purged from human consciousness. Social democrats accept the Smithian view that human beings are equally self-regarding and other-regarding and, as noted above, both should be reflected in a social democratic political economy. To the selfregarding values of liberty, security and prosperity should be added other-regarding values of equity, solidarity and sustainability. Properly constructed, these latter values are also market-enhancing rather than market-detracting. Furthermore, this spread of values embraces social democratic concepts of both negative and positive liberty – not just the absence of coercion of the individual but equally creating the opportunity for the individual to participate fully in economic, social and political life. Second, social democrats do not share Hayek’s belief that the only fair allocation of resources is what is determined by the “the game” of the market as driven by a random cocktail of strength, skill and luck. Social democrats (consistent with Catholic social teaching) a priori believe that all human beings possess an equal and intrinsic dignity and therefore a value beyond that which a market may apportion to them. Third, social democrats do not accept the mutual incompatibility of liberty and equity as argued in the Hayekian market order. If by equity we mean equality of opportunity rather than equality of outcome, equity does no violence to market competition. Furthermore, if education and training become the engine room for equity in the social democratic project, this investment in human capital will enhance market performance by enhancing total factor productivity. 20 Hayek, Social Justice, 42. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 7 of 19 Fourth, social democrats, consistent with Smith’s more expansive definition of public goods, argue that education, health and the environment fall properly within the definition of that which markets will, of themselves, fail to provide effectively. The manner in which these public goods are delivered is a separate matter. A cocktail of private and public delivery modes may be appropriate, depending on the relative cost-effectiveness in the physical delivery of the public goods in question. Fifth, social democrats do not accept that critical family, community and broader social relationships can be insulated from the market simply through philosophical decree. Social democrats also believe that these human relationships are critical incubators of social capital – without which market performance is impeded and human life often becomes meaningless. For these reasons, families deserve higher legal and institutional protections (particularly in the labour market) than Hayek is prepared to countenance. Sixth, Hayek’s technocratic concept of politics is unsustainable. The idea that markets should be kept free from the discretionary, political domain is fanciful. The task of politics is to craft constituencies through policy leadership capable of delivering long-term market-friendly reform – reform tempered by social responsibility. Hawke and Keating did this for 13 years. Howard has done little by comparison. But the proposed Hayekian cop-out, which would place the defence of the market beyond politics and leave it in the hands of a glorious council of the great and the good, is completely off the planet. Finally, tempering the market with the interventions outlined above within the categories of market failure, public goods and the preservation of social capital do not place social democrats on Hayek’s “slippery slope” heading towards totalitarianism. In fact, on this argument, Hayek is already hoist with his own petard. It will be recalled that Hayek had already accepted the concept of minimal welfare. In a famous exchange with Keynes in June 1944, just after the publication of the Road to Serfdom, Keynes wrote to Hayek in the following terms: "You admit ... that it is a question of knowing where to draw the line. You agree that the line has to be drawn somewhere, and that the logical extreme is not possible. But you give us no guidance whatsoever as to where to draw it… As soon as you admit that the extreme is not possible ... you are, on your own argument done for, since you are trying to persuade us that so soon as one moves an inch in the planned direction you are necessarily launched on the slippery path which will lead you in due course over the precipice."21 Hayek appears never to have replied. Hayek’s writings in 1944 and later deliberately conflate market-enhancing forms of social democracy on the one hand with state socialism, state planning and mandatory state ownership on the other. There is no empirical evidence of a slippery slope between the limited market interventions of a social democracy and the totalitarian destination that lies ahead for all on the centre-left – according to the full-blown Hayekian apocalypse. In fact, the post-war trend embodied within the centre-left across western countries has been almost entirely in the reverse direction – with Attleean forms of socialism yielding to the Blairite enabling state that is characteristic of much of modern social democracy. 21 Quoted in Lord Robert Skidelsky, The Road to Serfdom Revisited. Manhattan Institute. Hayek Lecture. 14 June 2006. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 8 of 19 Furthermore, Hayek remains oblivious to the fact that social democrats are ultimately shaped by Smith (among others) rather than Marx. Social democrats have always respected and accepted the creativity, the efficiency and the wealth-generating capacity of markets. But social democrats, unlike Hayek’s neo-liberals, have never been blinded by free market fundamentalism. Social democrats, by contrast, have always recognised a positive role for the state in performing functions the market cannot – and in preventing market capitalism from tearing itself apart through the destructive social and political forces it is capable of unleashing from time to time. Economic history is replete with examples of Hayek’s “spontaneous, self-regulating order” not working as well as it might, with the resulting requirement that governments (often social democratic ones) are required to rescue capitalism from itself. For these reasons, social democrats maintain a robust support for the market economy – but one shaped by the tradition of Smith, Keynes and Samuelson, rather than Hayek, Friedman and the fundamentalists. We also maintain that social justice is an essential component of the social democratic project – both as an investment in positive liberty for all and, consequentially, as an investment in human capital capable of enhancing the market economy. For Labor, this provides a rich policy terrain for the future within the framework of a distinctive, coherent, social democratic narrative about Australia’s future – one which credibly embraces the dual themes of a strong economy and a fair society and one which therefore, in the eyes of the Australian people, restores the balance. Divisions within the Right Hayek’s world view is not only challenged by social democrats. It is also challenged by many within the centre-right including both conservatives and social (or “small l”) liberals. I have documented this split within the right in the November 2006 edition of The Monthly in an essay entitled “Howard’s Brutopia”. I do not intend to traverse those arguments in detail again here. Hayek’s attack on conservatism is explicitly documented in his 1960 chapter entitled “Why I am not a Conservative”. 22 Hayek says the only common plank between liberals and conservatives was a common opposition to fascism and communism. Take that away, however, and there is little by way of a common program. Hayek accuses conservatives of being constrained by ill-defined, sentimental “tradition” while having no fundamental commitment to the central organising principle of the market: “…they lack the faith in the spontaneous forces of adjustment which makes the liberal accept changes without apprehension…it is indeed part of the liberal attitude to assume that, especially in the economic field, the self-regulating forces of the market will somehow bring about the required adjustments to new conditions, although no-one can foretell how they will do this in a particular instance”.23 Against Hayek’s measure, Robert Gordon Menzies was an abject failure for his broad embrace of both old fashioned, high Tory conservatism as well as a classical liberalism 22 Hayek, Constitution Hayek, Constitution Kevin Rudd, MP 23 Page: 9 of 19 considerably less doctrinaire than the Hayekian variant. Menzies’ boast near the end of his long prime ministership was scarcely the stuff of Hayekian zealotry. Menzies said: “We have greatly aided social justice, we have shown that industrial progress is not to be based on the poverty or despair of those who cannot compete. After fourteen consecutive years …we can point to …achievements in industrial justice and peace, in social services, in a growingly successful attack upon poverty in widely distributed rising standards of housing and living generally that can be matched by very few counties in the world.”24 Commenting on the competition within the Liberal Party for the Menzian legacy, Petro Georgiou, a “small l” liberal, has argued recently: “…Menzies’ legacy has been distorted by some who have attacked the concept of social justice he constantly advanced…Menzies’ philosophical legacy was that Australian liberalism is a broad church. Within that church are two fundamental arches. Under one arch reside the market, free enterprise, opportunity and incentive. Under the other arch shelter stability, security, social justice and equity. The cornerstone of the arches is the state. The state supports a free market society at the same time as it upholds its obligation to the weak, the sick and the unfortunate”.25 Georgiou goes on to concede the obvious – that the moderate stream, the social justice stream, of the Liberal Party has now become virtually extinct. Menzies spoke of social justice. Georgiou speaks of social justice. When has John Howard ever spoken of social justice? It is simply not part of his Hayekian intellectual architecture – and John Howard is the intellectual creature of Friedrich Hayek. These divisions are not simply internal to the Liberal Party. They are rife between the National Party and the Liberal Party. Between Family First and both the Liberals and the Nationals. As well as between the independents and all of the above. The dividing line within the right is clear and irreconcilable: it is between Hayekian market fundamentalism and those on the right who are seeking to protect families, rural communities or community life in general from the ruthless, impersonal logic of an unconstrained market. Of these various fault-lines, the most significant by far is the family – a major battleground for the 2007 election given the prospective impact of the Workchoices legislation on Australian family life. Divisions within the right are now greater than at any time since the debilitating divisions of the late 1980s and early 1990s. The critical factor is however that these divisions are not simply the product of isolated, idiosyncratic disagreements but rather the product of a longterm structural cleavage within the right on how to deal with the free market fundamentalism of Friedrich Hayek. Once again, these divisions provide rich opportunities for Labor. The Question of the Family, Family Life and Family Values 24 Petro Georgiou. 2006. Address to the Murray Hill Society of the University of Adelaide, October 4 2006. Ibid Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 25 10 of 19 A key dilemma within Hayek’s neo-liberal system is the role of the family. Hayek concedes that the family is a unique vehicle through which “moral, intellectual and material gifts” can be passed from parents to their children. Hayek’s challenge is threefold. First, what “moral” gift is useful for our children given the amorality of the market order where rational selfinterest alone is to prevail? Second, as noted above, what separates the moral worth of family relationships from the other “atavistic” relationships of the primitive group that Hayek argues we should be rid of because they impede the market? Third, and most critically, what system does Hayek construct to prevent family values being cannibalized by market values through the inexorable processes of commodification? Hayek’s solution to the latter challenge is simply to declare that the family and the market belong to different “orders” – a private order for the family and the “extended” order of the “open society” or “great society” of the market. But this is formalistic nonsense given that Hayek’s fundamental concern is individual liberty and the same individuals who are participants in family life are active in the market. Is it seriously contended that behaviours in one sphere do not affect behaviours in the other? As David McKnight has noted: “Hayek recognized this paradoxical inconsistency and proposed that we must simply learn ‘to live simultaneously within different kinds of orders according to different rules’ – those of the market and that of the family. We must be ruthlessly self-interested in the market and sweetly caring in the family, greedy at work, selfless at home.”26 In Australia, changes in labour market laws and practice are increasingly rendering it impossible to separate these two domains – to the extent that they ever were separable. Barbara Pocock’s recent study entitled The Labour Market Ate My Babies seeks to analyse the impact of what she describes as the “re-commodification” 27 of labour in Australia on the quality and sustainability of family life. Through comprehensive qualitative analysis, Pocock surveys the impact of the hours now worked by parents on the relational health of young people. The rapid commodification of care (both for children, the aged and the infirm) is creating new behaviours that are weakening family and other social relationships. The driver of these changes is time: longer working hours; less predictable working hours (thereby reducing the capacity to plan family and community activities); more ‘anti-social’ hours worked; less flexibility from work for emergency family care; and overall an environment where bargaining rights in the workplace for family-friendly work time are reduced for many workers. For example: 26 The number of Australian employees working overtime has increased from 33.6 per cent in 1997 to 37.3 per cent in 2003; The number of employees working excessive hours (i.e. 50 hours per week) has increased from 15 per cent in 1979 to 20 per cent in 2000; Employees working unsociable hours (i.e. 7pm to 7am or weekends) has increased from 56 per cent to 64 per cent in 2000; and 45 per cent of women now work part-time, making Australia the international standout case in the developed world.28 David McKnight, Beyond Left and Right ( Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 2005), 72. Pocock, Barbara. The Labour Market Ate My Babies: Work, Children and a Sustainable Future. (Sydney: The Federation Press: 2006) 5. 28 Pocock, 54-56. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 11 of 19 27 Keith Windschuttle has argued that, while all this may be occurring, it does not matter because greater economic prosperity has been the consequence and a range of family-related data taken over the last decade indicates all is well with the world. I do not dispute the data he has deployed for his argument. But I note, at the same time, that he has not chosen to deploy data such as that contained in research by the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National University on the measurable impact on child welfare arising from unsocial working hours by parents. I also note that the rapidly escalating rate of childhood obesity is omitted, despite the impact of fast-food in a time-poor environment for stressed working families.29 In particular, I note that none of the data Windschuttle refers to is capable of capturing the impact of the most radical changes to Australia’s labour laws we’ve seen in a century that only came into being in March 2006. I would therefore strongly caution Windschuttle against any premature declaration of victory as the accelerating process of change in the Australian workplace has barely begun. In the meantime, I would be interested in Windschuttle’s repudiation of the alarming qualitative survey data contained in Pocock’s September 2006 study. The other critique from Windschuttle is that the analysis on which I have relied is driven by radical, left-wing feminism. I think Windschuttle needs to widen his circle of friends and enemies. Windschuttle should read for example (from a demonstrably non-left perspective) works such as Anne Mannes’s Motherhood – How Should We Care For Our Children where she points to “the colonization of our life world by the values of the market” including parents who now find themselves speed reading bed-time stories to their children, the “McDonaldsization” of childhood and the industrialisation of childcare. Deep social changes, such as the commodification of care, are under way as a direct product of the neo-liberal economic project which Windschuttle apparently unquestioningly champions. The open question is: where and when will its full costs be manifest and who will bear them? The dilemma for the political right is that, in John Howard’s Australia, it’s not supposed to be like that. The white picket fence and all it stands for is supposed to be enhanced, not undermined, by Hayek’s economic revolution. And, for a political party that trumpets family values, the impact of the quality and quantity of time that families have together as a direct consequence of Howard’s industrial relations revolution is now a matter of great personal and therefore political importance. Climate Change and Market Failure A second area where the government’s neo-liberal orthodoxy has failed to deliver an effective policy response to date is climate change. Hayek’s writings exhibit total confidence about the absence of environmental impediments to growth and assume that if ever any arose, the market’s spontaneous, self-regulating mechanism would take effect. In Hayek’s final work The Fatal Conceit – The Errors of Socialism published in 1988, he states: “In any case, there is no danger whatsoever that, in any foreseeable future with which we are concerned, the population of the world as a whole will outgrow its raw material resources, and 29 Australian Bureau of Statistics. National Health Survey: Summary of Results. 2004-05, ABS 4364.0 Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 12 of 19 every reason to assume that inherent forces will stop such a process long before that could happen.”30 So confident was Hayek of the market mechanism, he proclaimed in the same text that “… it will perhaps not be long before even Antarctica will enable thousands of miners to earn an ample livelihood.”31 This approach contrasts directly with the recently released Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change commissioned by the British Government. Stern concludes that: “Climate change is a public good: those who fail to pay for it cannot be excluded from enjoying its benefits… markets do not automatically provide the right type and quantity of public goods, because in the absence of public policy, there are limited or no returns to private investors for doing so… Thus, climate change is an example of market failure involving externalities and public goods… All in all it must be regarded as market failure on the greatest scale the world has ever seen.”32 Here we face a clash of two conceptual systems: Hayek believing the market will rectify of its own accord; Stern arguing public goods and market failure. Furthermore, these different philosophical conceptualisations have dictated radically different policy responses: neoliberal Australia and America embracing an almost exclusively market-based response (in the form of the Asia-Pacific Partnership or AP6); Stern arguing that “human induced climate change is an externality, one that is not ‘corrected’ through any institution or market, unless policy intervenes.”33 A core policy objective under the latter approach (and reflected under the terms of the existing Kyoto Protocol) is the establishment of emissions targets for mitigating greenhouse gases – the central cause of climate change. Once targets are determined by public policy decision, it is then possible to deploy market mechanisms within the framework of an emissions trading scheme to reward financially the better and punish the worst greenhouse gas emitters. Such a scheme is not possible, however, unless governments act both to establish a target and then to establish and regulate the market that will give effect to that target. Countries that ratify Kyoto and accept the national emissions targets agreed within that regime, are also then entitled through the Clean Redevelopment Mechanism, to give effect to their greenhouse gas emissions targets by investing in emission reduction projects in developing countries. At present Australia is effectively excluded from this market because we are not within that regime as one of only two developed countries not to ratify Kyoto. A second greenhouse gas mitigation measure involves greater investment in research and development in relevant new technologies. This is in part embraced by the AP6 proposal. But the yawning chasm between Kyoto and AP6 is that Kyoto’s explicit public policy objective is “the stabilisation of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system” – an objective outlined in Article 2 of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. It is given effect 30 Hayek, Fatal, 125. Hayek, Fatal, 45. 32 Nicholas Stern, Stern Review on the economics of climate change (London: Government of the United Kingdom, 2006): 25. 33 Stern Review, 24. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 13 of 19 31 by the binding national obligations entered into under Annex 1 in which states agree to limit greenhouse gas emissions by a specific amount within the first commitment period (2008 – 2012). By contrast, the AP6 Charter has no such binding targets, only non-binding aspirational greenhouse “gas intensity targets” (as opposed to absolute emission targets); and seeks only to encourage technology investment and transfer within the sector. On a public policy question as critical as global warming, the hold of the Hayekian neo-liberal model, under which the market is held to be ultimately self-regulating, is clear for all to see. Foreign Policy, the Neo-Conservatives and Iraq If Friedreich Hayek’s neo-liberalism casts a long shadow over the Howard Government’s approach to both industrial relations and climate change, the same can also be said about the neo-conservatives and their influence over the recent direction of Australian foreign policy. Neo-liberalism within domestic policy and neo-conservativism within foreign policy make strange ideological bedfellows. This is not just a challenge of terminology and taxonomy. It is also a challenge which derives from radically different approaches to what might be described as ‘social engineering’ by the state. As noted above, Hayekian neo-liberals are notoriously sceptical, critical and dismissive of efforts by the state to construct anything more elaborate than a domestic, market-based order. In contrast, the neo-conservatives have exhibited great optimism about what a unipolar state (that is, the United States) can achieve by unilateral military and political intervention in the political order. Within the ranks of the Republican Administration, therefore, we have seen these conflicting tendencies at work: characteristic Republican pessimism about the prospects of social engineering on the home front; uncharacteristic Republican optimism (at least at the outset of Iraq) about the prospect of radical social engineering on the international front. Beyond the heady world of think tanks, neo-conservativism was given its first formal articulation as a national security doctrine for the United States in the National Security Strategy of the United States of America released in September 2002. As Owen Harries, former editor of The National Interest and more recently of the CIS, stated in his 2003 Boyer Lectures: “This document… is without a doubt, the most important statement about American foreign policy, not just since the terrorist attack, and not just since the end of the Cold War, but since the enunciation of the Truman Doctrine in 1947 for it spelled out how the United States intends to use its hegemonic power.”34 Harries’ second Boyer Lecture, entitled Taking on Utopia eloquently outlines the four key elements of what has become a revolutionary document in the evolution of US national security policy. First, it is a strategy that seeks to assert American values, not just interests. It states that it will “use this moment of opportunity to extend the benefits of freedom across the globe… and will actively work to bring the hope of democracy, development, free markets and free trade to every corner of the Owen Harries. “Taking on Utopia”, ABC Boyer Lectures, 23 November 2003: 3. Kevin Rudd, MP 34 Page: 14 of 19 world”. This strategy commits the United States to creating a balance of power that enables “all nations and all societies to choose for themselves the rewards and challenges of political and economic liberty”. As Harries noted, American power was to become the instrument by which Fukuyama’s End of History (that is, liberal democracy and liberal capitalism) was to be realised across the world. Second, the 2002 US National Security Strategy is unequivocal in its assertion that US military power will be used as a core instrument in the creation of this new order. Third, the 2002 US National Security Strategy represents the formal abandonment of deterrence, after 55 years as the core American strategic doctrine for dealing with America’s enemies. In its place, America would pursue a doctrine of pre-emptive, and where necessary preventative, war. Fourth, this was a unilateral strategy. It was not developed conjointly with allies. And, where necessary, it will be implemented unilaterally. Of these four principles, the most controversial element of this strategy was unilateral preemption and a preparedness to bring about democratic regime change as a result of preemption. This approach was based on the logic that the international behaviour of states was driven in large part by the domestic character of those states, in which case any effective strategy aimed at changing the behaviour of such states might well require the removal of the regime itself. Liberal democracies, it was argued, rather than authoritarian dictatorships, were less likely to create national security problems for the United States. They were also, it was argued, less likely to provide safe havens for terrorists. Furthermore, the expansion of democracy, albeit by force of arms, had the added benefit of being for the betterment of all mankind as democracy was man’s natural state. For these reasons, the Bush Doctrine has been variously described as ‘muscular Wilsonianism’, ‘Wilsonianism on steroids’, or simply ‘Wilsonianism with boots on’. The Bush Doctrine, as articulated in the 2002 US National Security Strategy, is anchored in these dual principles of military pre-emption and democratic enlargement. It represents a radical departure from the US foreign policy mainstream. Previous Republican administrations have tended to be ‘realist’, whereby the United States was primarily concerned with the preservation of strategic stability with a balance of power, without any excessive regard for the internal affairs of other states. Previous Democratic administrations tended to be a combination of both realist and liberal-internationalist, with a pre-disposition to use multilateral machinery wherever possible to resolve political and economic disputes. Not only was neo-conservatism a radical departure for the US foreign policy establishment, it was an even greater radical departure for the Australian foreign policy establishment. Let’s be absolutely clear-cut on this: the neo-conservative foreign policy agenda developed in the United States was not forced on Australia. Prime Minister Howard and Foreign Minister Downer willingly embraced it. Then they willingly applied it when it came to the decision to invade Iraq. They embraced it as fully consenting adults and, in so doing, made one of the most reckless decisions in the history of post-war Australian foreign policy. There is already a substantial literature in the United States as to why neo-conservatism has failed. The most public case of neo-conservative apostasy so far has been that of Francis Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 15 of 19 Fukuyama. Fukuyama’s 2006 book After the Neo-Cons is in part a post-facto rationalisation of his earlier advocacy of the project and in part his mea culpa. There are a number of core reasons why the neo-conservative project has collapsed. The first goes to the heart of preemptive and preventative war. The justification for such wars lies in irrefutable evidence of imminent or likely attack. As demonstrated by the Iraqi debacle over stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons and the claimed resuscitation of Iraq’s nuclear program, accumulating irrefutable evidence, notwithstanding the formidable national security assets at the disposal of the Untied States, is a difficult task. Second there is the question of legitimacy. In part this rests on the UN Charter, the UN Security Council and the broader fabric of international law. In part, it rests on the collective position of US allies. The fact that neither the US nor the UK could get the UN Security Council or NATO on board with the invasion of Iraq created a legitimacy problem from the outset. A failure to implement international legal obligations under the Geneva Convention for the proper protection of the civilian population of Iraq and prisoners of war after the invasion compounded the coalition’s legitimacy deficit. Third, the proposition that democracy can be delivered through the barrel of a gun flies in the face of centuries of political history. Fukuyama’s recantation challenges the universality of the American experience in general and the particular belief “that democracy was the default regime to which societies would revert once dictatorships were removed”.35 Fukuyama’s summary of the American democratic dilemma is eloquent: “Toqueville says that the march of equality is providential and that democracy lies at everyone’s future. But there is a great difference between his assertion of a broad, centurieslong historical trend towards democracy and a belief that a stable democracy can be established at any place and any time.”36 Even more remote is the prospect that the armed removal of an authoritarian regime, its forcible replacement by an ostensibly democratic regime and then, by some invisible hand or democratic domino theory, to succeed in rolling out the democracy project across the wider Middle East in its wake. A final factor in the failure of neo-conservativism in Iraq has been a conspicuous failure of nation-building. The literature on the absence of post-invasion planning for Iraq is already immense. The disjuncture between the United States as a formidable war-fighting machine on the one hand and its systemic incapacity to plan for the peace on the other, is now well documented. Bob Woodward’s most recent book State of Denial illustrates this point with the reported exchange between former Defence Secretary Rumsfeld and the first United States post-war civilian administrator of Iraq, General Jay Garner.37 Only a few weeks before the war was to begin, Garner was worried about the amount of money he would need for the reconstruction.38 Garner went to see Rumsfeld with options for the reconstruction of Iraq, saying that it would cost billions of dollars. According to Bob Woodward, Rumsfeld said "Well, if you think we're spending any of our money on that, you're wrong… we're not doing that. 35 Francis Fukuyama, After the Neo-Cons: America at the Cross-Roads. (London: Profile Books: 2006): 31. Ibid. 37 Bob Woodward, State of Denial. (New York: Simon and Schuster: 2006) 38 Peter Hartcher, “Proud in his bullet-proof best”. Sydney Morning Herald: 10 November 2006. Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 36 16 of 19 They're going to spend their money rebuilding their country." In other words, "we only do demolitions. We don't do nation-building”.39 What relevance, if any, does Hayekian neo-liberalism have to the neo-conservative agenda on foreign policy – notwithstanding their radically different perspectives on state-driven social engineering? This is a complex question. To some extent, the explicit championing of political and economic liberty as a cardinal principle of the 2002 US National Security Strategy is not without relevance. Similarly, Hayek’s generally recognised contempt for large parts of the post-war international architecture – including the UN – would not have placed neoliberals in defence of Iraqi sovereignty. Furthermore, Hayek was also explicitly critical of the realism of EH Carr, the founder of the modern discipline of international relations theory, in his famous attack in the concluding chapter of the Road to Serfdom. Hayek’s combined contempt, therefore, for both liberal institutionalism on the one hand and 20th century realism on the other, may well have made him an ideal candidate for the neo-cons overall foreign policy project. Hayek died, however, at about the time that the current neoconservative wave was getting underway in the early 1990s. And despite my reservations about Hayek on many scores, I still find it difficult to see Hayek embracing armed regime change with any particular enthusiasm. The key remaining question concerning American and Australia neo-conservatism is how it came about that Australia embraced this enterprise in the first place. Once again, it’s worthwhile to return to Owen Harries’ Boyer Lectures. The last of these 2003 Lectures was entitled Punching Above Our Weight in which Harries traces the three dominant traditions of Australian foreign policy – the Menzies realist tradition; the Evatt liberal-internationalist tradition and what he describes as the ‘Spender/Casey/Keating’ tradition of Asian regionalism. On this score, Harries’ foreign policy schema is similar to our own. The Federal Platform of the Australian Labor Party states that Labor foreign policy is based on three pillars: our alliance with the United States; our membership of the United Nations; and our policy of comprehensive engagement with Asia. We have argued that, in Australia’s geo-strategic circumstances, together with our broader international obligations, an appropriate foreign policy for Australia is one which is drawn from all three pillars. Harries, in his Boyer Lecture, arrives at a similar conclusion. He states that: “concentrating these three traditions (that is realism, liberal internationalism and regionalism), the question is not which one of them is right or the right one for Australia to adopt in perpetuity, but what balance or mix of them is appropriate at any given time, as circumstances, and the priorities of our interests, change.”40 The problem for Australia was that the neo-conservative enterprise in general and the Iraq expedition in particular represented such a radical departure, not just from the American foreign policy tradition, but from our own as well. Harries’ opposition to neo-conservativism and the Iraq war was stated explicitly in that Boyer Lecture at a time when it was not entirely 39 Ibid. Owen Harries, “Punching Above our Weight”. The Boyer Lectures. 21 December 2003 Kevin Rudd, MP 40 Page: 17 of 19 fashionable to do so. His reasons are well argued and consistent with his lifelong ‘realist’ tradition as a foreign policy analyst and, from time to time, practitioner. Labor also opposed the Iraq war for a range of reasons. Some overlapped with Harries. Others did not. Labor posed realist questions about the likely impact of the invasion of Iraq on the global terrorist threat. On that score, our concerns were vindicated. But Labor also raised other questions about the international legality and legitimacy of violating the provisions of the UN Charter. In Evatt’s tradition, we have deep concerns, from a national interest perspective, about being party to a precedent that says the unilateral violation of the territorial integrity of another state is now an accepted norm in international behaviour. In a continuing age of Pax Americana, it may be fine and dandy, particularly for US allies. But if Pax Americana passes away during the first half of the current century, we may rue the day when we violated the rules of the current international order, thereby setting precedents for others. I am entirely conscious of the emerging international legal doctrine on the Responsibility to Protect. But the invasion of Iraq in March of 2003 was neither conceived nor defended under the rubric of any doctrine of international humanitarian intervention. The implications for Australia of having participated in this folly have been significant. We now find ourselves indefinitely in Iraq without a mission statement. We have now become a greater terrorist target than would otherwise have been the case. And our Prime Minister has traduced our foreign policy into becoming a Kabuki play of key lines and themes: ‘stay the course’ or ‘cut and run’. In the battle for ideas on foreign policy, the Government has been found wanting because of its all-too-ready acceptance of a doctrine of global military pre-emption and armed democratic enlargement. For the Australian people, neo-conservatism and Iraq have been a radical experiment which has put Australia’s national interests at unnecessary risk. There is therefore, I believe, an appetite across the country to restore the balance and to return to the mainstream traditions of Australian foreign policy. This means a return to the three pillars of our foreign policy – the US alliance, our membership of the UN and a continued policy of comprehensive engagement with Asia. America remains an overwhelming force for good in the world and we intend to work closely with America in the future in pursuit of our common interests within the Asia Pacific region. These traditions – the three pillars of Australian foreign policy - have served us well in the past. They are traditions which will continue to serve us well in the future. Conclusion It is often the habit of those on the political right to quote George Orwell to those on the political left – as a seer from within our own camp on the dangers of an all-powerful state which the right believe to be so beloved by all within the left. In a little known review of two publications back in April 1944, George Orwell wrote: "Taken together, these two books give grounds for dismay. The first of them is an eloquent defence of laissez-faire capitalism; the other is an even more vehement denunciation of it. They cover to some extent the same ground, they frequently quote the same authorities, and they Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 18 of 19 even start out with the same premise, since each of them assumes that Western civilization depends on the sanctity of the individual. Yet each writer is convinced that the other’s policy leads directly to slavery, and the alarming thing is that they may both be right.”41 The first of the books was of course Hayek’s Road to Serfdom; the second, long forgotten, by K. Zillacus, entitled The Mirror of the Past. Interestingly, Orwell went on to say of Hayek: “In the negative part of Professor Hayek’s thesis there is a great deal of truth. It cannot be said too often - at any rate, it is not being said nearly often enough - that collectivism is not inherently democratic…But he does not see, or will not admit, that a return to ‘free’ competition means for the great mass of people a tyranny probably worse, because more irresponsible, than that of the State.”42 Orwell overstates the case against Hayek. But I believe the centre of gravity of Australian politics has always had about it a deep scepticism about fundamentalist ideologies of either the right or the left. Australians are concerned about the impact of market fundamentalism (as articulated through John Howard’s industrial relations revolution) on Australian family life – in part their living standards, in part their working conditions, but in large measure the ability of families to spend sufficient time together. Australians are also concerned about the Howard Government’s failure to identify climate change earlier as a classic case of market failure and the critical need, therefore, for government intervention in defence of a universal public good. Similarly, Australians are deeply concerned about the cost and implications of blindly following the neo-conservative, foreign policy folly that has been the invasion and occupation of Iraq. All three are critical touchstones in the battle for ideas that ultimately shape Australian public policy. All three also represent radical departures from the Australian political mainstream. All three are seen as a bridge too far by the Australian people. Which is why the season is ripe in Australian politics to restore the balance and reclaim the centre ground. George Orwell. “The Road to Serfdom by F.A. Hayek, The Mirror of the Past by K. Zilliacus”. Observer, 9 April 1944. Ibid Kevin Rudd, MP Page: 19 of 19 41 42