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Practice Test 2 –Bus 2023 Directions: For each question find the answer that is the best solution provided. There is only one correct answer. 1. Statistical studies in which researchers do not control variables of interest are a. b. c. d. ANSWER: experimental studies uncontrolled experimental studies not of any value observational studies d 2. Statistical studies in which researchers control variables of interest are a. experimental studies b. control observational studies c. non experimental studies d. observational studies ANSWER: a 3. A portion of the population selected to represent the population is called a. statistical inference b. descriptive statistics c. a census d. a sample ANSWER: d 4. In a sample of 800 students in a university, 160, or 20%, are Business majors. Based on the above information, the school's paper reported that "20% of all the students at the university are Business majors." This report is an example of a. a sample b. a population c. statistical inference d. descriptive statistics ANSWER: c 5. Six hundred residents of a city are polled to obtain information on voting intentions in an upcoming city election. The six hundred residents in this study is an example of a(n) a. census b. sample c. observation d. population ANSWER: b 1 6. Since a sample is a subset of the population, a percentage that is calculated from the sample data a. is always smaller than the corresponding percentage from the population b. is always larger than the corresponding percentage from the population c. must be equal to the corresponding percentage from the population d. can be larger, smaller, or equal to the corresponding percentage from the population ANSWER: d 7. A tabular method that can be used to summarize the data on two variables simultaneously is called a. simultaneous equations b. a crosstabulation c. a histogram d. a dot plot ANSWER: b Exhibit 2-4 A survey of 400 college seniors resulted in the following crosstabulation regarding their undergraduate major and whether or not they plan to go to graduate school. Undergraduate Major Graduate School Business Engineering Others Total Yes 35 42 63 140 No 91 104 65 260 Total 126 146 128 400 8. Refer to Exhibit 2-4. What percentage of the students does not plan to go to graduate school? a. b. c. d. ANSWER: 280 520 65 32 c 9. Refer to Exhibit 2-4. What percentage of the students' undergraduate major is engineering? a. b. c. d. ANSWER: 292 520 65 36.5 d 2 10. Refer to Exhibit 2-4. Of those students who are majoring in business, what percentage plans to go to graduate school? a. 27.78 b. 8.75 c. 70 d. 72.22 ANSWER: a 11. Refer to Exhibit 2-4. Among the students who plan to go to graduate school, what percentage indicated "Other" majors? a. b. c. d. ANSWER: 15.75 45 54 35 b 12. The purpose of statistical inference is to provide information about the a. sample based upon information contained in the population b. population based upon information contained in the sample c. population based upon information contained in the population d. mean of the sample based upon the mean of the population ANSWER: b 13. A simple random sample of size n from a finite population of size N is a sample selected such that each possible sample of size a. N has the same probability of being selected b. n has a probability of 0.5 of being selected c. n has a probability of 0.1 of being selected d. n has the same probability of being selected ANSWER: d 14. A simple random sample from an infinite population is a sample selected such that a. each element selected comes from the same population b. each element is selected independently c. each element selected comes from the same population and each element is selected independently d. the probability of being selected changes ANSWER: c 3 15. Stratified random sampling is a method of selecting a sample in which a. the sample is first divided into groups, and then random samples are taken from each group b. various strata are selected from the sample c. the population is first divided into groups, and then random samples are drawn from each group d. None of the alternative ANSWERS is correct. ANSWER: c 16. Cluster sampling is a. a nonprobability sampling method b. the same as convenience sampling c. a probability sampling method d. None of the alternative ANSWERS is correct. ANSWER: c 17. Convenience sampling is an example of a. probabilistic sampling b. stratified sampling c. a nonprobability sampling technique d. cluster sampling ANSWER: c 18. Which of the following is an example of a nonprobability sampling technique? a. simple random sampling b. stratified random sampling c. cluster sampling d. judgment sampling ANSWER: d 19. The range of probability is a. any value larger than zero b. any value between minus infinity to plus infinity c. zero to one d. any value between -1 to 1 ANSWER: c 20. Any process that generates well-defined outcomes is a. an event b. an experiment c. a sample point d. None of the other answers is correct. ANSWER: b 4 21. In statistical experiments, each time the experiment is repeated a. the same outcome must occur b. the same outcome can not occur again c. a different outcome may occur d. None of the other answers is correct. ANSWER: c 22. The collection of all possible sample points in an experiment is a. the sample space b. a sample point c. an experiment d. the population ANSWER: a 23. An experiment consists of tossing 4 coins successively. The number of sample points in this experiment is a. 16 b. 8 c. 4 d. 2 ANSWER: a 24. A lottery is conducted using three urns. Each urn contains chips numbered from 0 to 9. One chip is selected at random from each urn. The total number of sample points in the sample space is a. 30 b. 100 c. 729 d. 1,000 ANSWER: d 25. Of five letters (A, B, C, D, and E), two letters are to be selected at random. How many possible selections are there? a. 20 b. 7 c. 5! d. 10 ANSWER: d 26. The “Top Three” at a racetrack consists of picking the correct order of the first three horses in a race. If there are 10 horses in a particular race, how many “Top Three” outcomes are there? a. 302,400 b. 720 c. 1,814,400 d. 10 5 ANSWER: b 27. The probability assigned to each experimental outcome must be a. any value larger than zero b. smaller than zero c. one d. between zero and one ANSWER: d 28. An experiment consists of four outcomes with P(E1) = 0.2, P(E2) = 0.3, and P(E3) = 0.4. The probability of outcome E4 is a. 0.500 b. 0.024 c. 0.100 d. 0.900 ANSWER: c 29. Given that event E has a probability of 0.25, the probability of the complement of event E a. cannot be determined with the above information b. can have any value between zero and one c. must be 0.75 d. is 0.25 ANSWER: c Recall that P(A) = 1-P(Ac). So we get 0.25 = 1 - P(Ac) P(Ac) = 0.75 The symbol shows the a. union of events b. intersection of events c. sum of the probabilities of events d. sample space ANSWER: a 30. 31. The union of events A and B is the event containing a. all the sample points common to both A and B b. all the sample points belonging to A or B c. all the sample points belonging to A or B or both d. all the sample points belonging to A or B, but not both ANSWER: c If P(A) = 0.38, P(B) = 0.83, and P(A B) = 0.57; then P(A B) = a. 1.21 b. 0.64 c. 0.78 d. 1.78 ANSWER: b Recall that P(A B) = P(A)+P(B)- P(A B) = 0.38+ 0.83 -0.57 = 0.64 32. 6 If P(A) = 0.62, P(B) = 0.47, and P(A B) = 0.88; then P(A B) = a. 0.2914 b. 1.9700 c. 0.6700 d. 0.2100 ANSWER: d Recall that P(A B) = P(A)+P(B)- P(A B) = 0.62+0.47-0.88 = 0.21 33. If P(A) = 0.85, P(A B) = 0.72, and P(A B) = 0.66, then P(B) = a. 0.15 b. 0.53 c. 0.28 d. 0.15 ANSWER: b Solve this the same as above…but for B 34. 35. Two events are mutually exclusive if a. the probability of their intersection is 1 b. they have no sample points in common c. the probability of their intersection is 0.5 d. the probability of their intersection is 1 and they have no sample points in common 36. The multiplication law is potentially helpful when we are interested in computing the probability of a. mutually exclusive events b. the intersection of two events c. the union of two events d. None of the other answers is correct. ANSWER: b If P(A) = 0.80, P(B) = 0.65, and P(A B) = 0.78, then P(BA) = a. 0.6700 b. 0.8375 c. 0.9750 d. Not enough information is given to answer this question. ANSWER: b Recall P(BA) = P(A B) / P(A) = 0.67 / 0.80 = 0.8375 37. 38. If two events are independent, then a. they must be mutually exclusive b. the sum of their probabilities must be equal to one c. the probability of their intersection must be zero d. None of the other answers is correct. ANSWER: d 7 39. If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.38 and P(B) = 0.55, then P(A|B) = a. 0.209 b. 0.000 c. 0.550 d. None of the other answers is correct. ANSWER: d Recall that if A and B are independent that P(A|B) = P(A) = 0.38 40. If X and Y are mutually exclusive events with P(X) = 0.295, P(Y) = 0.32, then P(X|Y) = a. 0.0944 b. 0.6150 c. 1.0000 d. 0.0000 ANSWER: d Recall that if the events are mutually exclusive that P(X Y) = 0 So we find that P(X|Y) = P(X Y) / P(Y) = 0 / 0.32 = 0 8 Short Answer: Answer all of the following questions. Make sure to show all work. Solutions with no work will receive no credit. 1. The SAT math scores of a sample of business school students and their genders are shown below. SAT Math Scores Gender Less than 400 400 up to 600 600 and more Total Female 24 168 48 240 Male 40 96 24 160 Total 64 264 72 400 a. How many students scored less than 400? b. How many students were female? c. Of the male students, how many scored 600 or more? d. Compute row percentages and comment on any relationship that may exist between SAT math scores and gender of the individuals. e. Compute column percentages. ANSWERS: a. 64 – This is simply the column total for less than 64 b. 240 – This is simply the row total for female c. 24 – So now we only look at the row for males and see how many scored greater than 600. d. To do this we only divide each rows values by their respective row total. SAT Math Scores Gender Less than 400 400 up to 600 Female 24/240 = 10% 168/240=70% 48/240=20% 100% Male 40/160=25% 100% 96/160=60% 600 and more 24/160=15% Total From the above percentages it can be noted that the largest percentages of both genders' SAT scores are in the 400 to 600 range. However, 70% of females and only 60% of males have SAT scores in this range. Also it can be noted that 10% of females' SAT scores are under 400, whereas, 25% of males' SAT scores fall in this category. 9 e. Do the same thing but for columns SAT Math Scores Gender Less than 400 400 up to 600 600 and more Female 37.5% 63.6% 66.7% Male 62.5% 36.4% 33.3% Total 100% 100% 100% If we look at the scores this way we can see that females were 2:1 when scoring 600 or more and almost that same ratio for 400-600. 10 2. A market research firm has conducted a study to determine consumer preference for a new package design for a particular product. The consumers, ages were also noted. Package Design Age A B C Total Under 25 18 18 29 65 25 – 40 18 12 5 35 Total 36 30 34 100 a. b. c. d. Which package design was most preferred overall? What percent of those participating in the study preferred package A? What percent of those under 25 years of age preferred package A? What percent of those aged 25 - 40 preferred package A? e. Is the preference for package A the same for both age groups? ANSWERS: a. Design A because it had the highest number of purchases. b. 36 out of a 100 total or 36% c. So now we only look at the under 25 row and we find that it was (18/65)*100=27.7% d. Do the same thing, but for 25-40 or (18/35)*100=51.4% e. No, although both groups have the 18 people who prefer Design A, the percentage of those in the “Under 25” age group who prefer Design A is smaller than that of the “25 – 40” age group (27.7% vs. 51.4%). 11 3. All the employees of ABC Company are assigned ID numbers. The ID number consists of the first letter of an employee’s last name, followed by four numbers. a. How many possible different ID numbers are there? b. How many possible different ID numbers are there for employees whose last name starts with an “A”? ANSWERS: a. So we simply use the counting rule here. We have 5 spaces with 26 possible outcomes for the first one (A-Z) and 10 numbers (0-9) for the last four. So we get: n1*n2*n3*n4*n5 = 26*10*10*10*10 = 26 * 104 = 260,000 b. We can use the same rule, but now there is only one possible outcome for n1 and we see that our expression becomes 1*n2*n3*n4*n5 = 1*10*10*10*10 = 1 * 104 = 10,000 12 4. The sales records of a real estate agency show the following sales over the past 200 days: Number of Number Houses Sold of Days a. b. c. d. e. f. 0 60 1 80 2 40 3 16 4 4 How many sample points are there? Assign probabilities to the sample points and show their values. What is the probability that the agency will not sell any houses in a given day? What is the probability of selling at least 2 houses? What is the probability of selling 1 or 2 houses? What is the probability of selling less than 3 houses? ANSWERS: a. 5 for the total number of possible houses sold { 0,1,2,3,4 } b. Number of Houses Sold Probability c. d. e. f. 0 0.30 1 0.40 2 0.20 3 0.08 4 0.02 This is P(0) = 0.3 This is all the values greater than and including 2 = P (X ≥ 2) = P(2) + P(3) + P(4) = 0.20 + 0.08+ 0.02 = 0.3 This is the probability of P(1) + P(2) = 0.4+ 0.2 =0.6 The probability of selling less than three houses is the same as 1- P(X≥3) by the complement rule. This is easier to calculate = 1-P(3) + P(4) = 1 – 0.08 – 0.02 = 0.9 You can also add up the first directly P(0) + P(1) + P(2) = 0.90 13 5. Assume two events A and B are mutually exclusive and, furthermore, P(A) = 0.2 and P(B) = 0.4. a. Find P(A B). b. Find P(A B). c. Find P(AB). ANSWERS: a. If the events are mutually exclusive by definition the intersection does not exist so P(A B) = 0 b. P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) = 0.40 + 0.20 = 0.6 c. P(AB) = P(A B) / (B) = 0 / 0.40 = 0 14 6. You are given the following information on Events A, B, C, and D. P(A) = .4 P(B) = .2 P(C) = .1 a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. P(A D) = .6 P(AB) = .3 P(A C) = .04 P(A D) = .03 Compute P(D). Compute P(A B). Compute P(AC). Compute the probability of the complement of C. Are A and B mutually exclusive? Explain your answer. Are A and B independent? Explain your answer. Are A and C mutually exclusive? Explain your answer. Are A and C independent? Explain your answer. ANSWERS: a. Recall that P(A D) = P(A) + P(D) - P(A D) P(D) = P(A D) - P(A) + P(A D) = 0.60 – 0.40 + 0.03 = 0.23 b. Recall that P(AB) = P(A B) / P (B) P(A B) = P(AB)*P(B) 0.30*0.20 = 0.06 c. P(AC) = P(A C) / P (C) = 0.04 / 0.10 = 0.4 d. P(Cc) = 1 – P(C) = 1 – 0.10 = 0.9 e. No, P(AB) 0. Since this is the case we know that P(A B) 0. So since the intersection is not equal to 0, A and B cannot be mutually exclusive. f. No, P(AB) P(A) which is what is required for independence. g. No, P(A C) 0 h. Yes, P(AC) = P(A). Both are equal to 0.40 which means that event C does not influence the outcome of event A. This is what it means to be independent. 15