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AP Macroeconomics Course Review 6 1. Aggregate supply shocks resulting from an oil embargo imposed by OPEC nations and worldwide crop failures helped to bring about higher inflation and higher unemployment rates. The economy, with rising prices and decreased output, is referred to as “stagflation.” Using an AD and SRAS model, draw a new SRAS curve that will represent the change caused by stagflation. LRAS Price Level SRAS GDPr 2. Using the AS/AD graphs below and economic analysis illustrate and explain the short-run and long-run economic affects of unanticipated inflation rates. Short-run AS/AD LRAS Long-run AS/AD SRAS LRAS SRAS PL1 PL1 AD1 AD FE FE+2% FE SR:______________________________________________________________ LR:______________________________________________________________ LRAS AS1 AS2 P3 P2 Z Y X AD2 P1 W AD1 Q1 Qp Q2 3. Using the above model, if there is demand-pull inflation then in the short-run the new equilibrium is at point _____, with price level at _____ and real output at ___. Using the above model, in the long-run nominal wages will rise so the AS curve will shift from _____________________. The equilibrium will be at point _____ with the price level at ________ and real output at ________. Using the previous model, now assume that the economy is initially in equilibrium at point W, where AD1 and AS1 intersect. If there is cost-push inflation, then in the short-run the new equilibrium is at point ______ with the price level at ______ and real output at _______. If the government tries to counter the cost-push inflation with expansionary monetary and fiscal policy, then AD will shift from _______________. With the price level becoming ________ and real output ________. If government does not counter the cost-push inflation, the price level will eventually move to _________ and real output to _________ as the recession reduces nominal wages and shifts the aggregate supply curve from ____________. 4. The following table gives data on the public debt and the GDP for selected periods from 1961-2000. Data for the public debt and the GDP are in billions of dollars. Calculate the ratio of the public debt to GDP expressed as a percentage of GDP. Year 1986 1991 1995 1997 2000 Debt $2120.1 $3599.0 $4921.0 $5369.7 $5629.0 GDP $4268.6 $5671.8 $7265.4 $8083.4 $9962.7 Debt/GDP ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ Year 1 2 3 4 5 Price Index 100 110 120 130 140 5. Refer to the above table. What would be the inflation rate from Years 1-2, Years 2-3, and Years 3-4, respectively? __________________________________________________________________ 6. Assume that a person saves $50,000 and earns 5 percent annual interest. If the marginal tax rate is 36 percent, then the after-tax interest earning will be __________________________________ 7. Assume that a person saves $50,000 and earns 9 percent annual interest. If the marginal tax rate is 40 percent, then the after-tax interest rate will be __________________________________ 8. Using the graph below, what factor(s) might have caused a shift from SRPC 1 to SRPC2? __________________ __________________ Inflation Rate __________________ SRPC2 SRPC1 Unemployment Rate LRPC 8 6 4 SRPC 2 2 4 6 8 9. Using the above graph, draw a SRPC and a LRPC if the expected inflation rate is 4 percent and the natural unemployment rate is 6 percent. Then explain the shortrun changes due to the following situations: a. Slower growth in AD causes a recession. _________________________________________________________________ b. The inflation rate increases. _________________________________________________________________ c. The natural unemployment rate increase. __________________________________________________________________ 12 LRPC Y3 9 6 Y2 X3 Y1 X2 3 X1 Z2 PC3 Z1 PC2 PC1 0 3 6 9 12 10. Using the above model, suppose you begin at point X1 and an assumption is made that nominal wages are set on the original expectation that a 3% rate of inflation will continue in the economy. If an increase in AD reduces the unemployment rate from 6% to 3%, then the actual rate of inflation will move to _____________. The higher product prices will lift profits of firms and they will hire more workers; thus in the short run the economy will temporarily move to point _____________. 11. If workers demand and receive higher wages to compensate for the loss of purchasing power from higher than expected inflation, then business profits will fall from previous levels and firms will reduce employment; therefore, the unemployment rate will move from point _________ to ___________. The shortrun Phillips Curve has shifted from __________ to _____________.