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Restructuring of the Bulgarian sector of electrical engineering Dr. Rumen Atanasov Bulgarian Association of Electrical Engineering and Electronics Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania and Slovakia – Comparison of industrial transition models CCMI Conference, Sofia, 6-7 October 2008 The Sector of the El. Eng. and Electronics Employed in the ELECTRA sector as % of the employed in industry share in WGDP and EE sector 22% 21% EU 21% 19% USA 30% 7% Japan 12,3% China 11% China 11,7% USA 8,2% EU 8,0% 18% % in WGDP Japan % in EE sector The leading sector after WW2 The basis of the technology development in the last 60 years It is the leading European industry The most important for the Bulgarian industry, defines the technological level of the whole machining industry. 07/10/08 bassel 2 The Electrical Engineering in Bulgaria has a long history The roots 1878/79 – first electrical lighting system; facilities for telegraph network delivered by SIEMENS 1888/99 – first electrified factories, collieries 1900/02 – first hydroelectric PS with 7 kV transmission line; first thermal PS; tramway in Sofia starts to roll 1909/19 – regular import of bulbs & utility material from Austria. SIEMENS wins tender for first 3000 posts distribution telephone exchange; permanent representation agencies of SIEMENS-SCHUCKERT for HV technique and SIEMENS-RHEINIGER for medical equipment 1920/35 – “Bulgarian Ltd Company for electricity-SIEMENS” inaugurated; regular import of radio receivers; first X-ray device imported; production start of small electric motors, dynamos, transformers, lighting fixtures, cables, bulbs, switchgear; first 320 kVA transformer 1934/45 – construction of automatic telephone exchanges; high-frequency installations; repair workshops for radio sets, telephone and telegraph appliances, el. motors, transformers, heating devices 07/10/08 bassel 3 Subsectors included (acc. NACE codes) 29.41 Manufacture of portable hand held power tools 29.71 Manufacture of electric domestic appliances 31.1 Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers 31.2 Manufacture of electricity distribution and control apparatus 31.3 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable 31.4 Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries 31.5 Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps 31.61 Manufacture of electrical equipment for engines and vehicles 33.3 Manufacture of industrial process control equipment Subsectors not included Office technique, computers and other electronic facilities Communication technique 07/10/08 bassel 4 Development in Bulgaria after WW2 Specialists obtaining higher education in Germany, Italy, France, Czechoslovakia available Administrated market of the former Soviet Union orientated development Natural way of development without ill-founded political solutions Presence of some subsectors (electric motors, transformers, cables, batteries) on the free markets Intensive development of specific subsectors in the eighties, licenses from leading companies State monopoly on export and import; sales of manufacturers used to be prerogative of the state Exorbitant industrial development 07/10/08 bassel 5 The period after 1990 Disappearance of administrated markets: internal and COMECON Suspension of supply sources of raw materials, components and elements Drastic decrease in production, closure of enterprises Former state-owned factories performed social functions maintaining redundant personnel Difficult access to capital – as a result loss also of free markets Liberalization of the trade Establishment of many small and micro enterprises, initially in the field of services 1997 - Start of privatization of the big state-owned factories Different forms of privatization, in many cases owners without ideas about development of the factory – profiting from assets only Restructuring – ownership, markets, products, management 07/10/08 bassel 6 Now 100% private industry The former state-owned enterprises of the electrical engineering industry are utilizing only 30-35% of their previous capacity. Some of them are not-existing anymore. In the last years – new technologies, new equipment (usually second hand). Personnel is optimized. During the last 3-4 years, a process to discover “real owners” of the factories is running A great number of newly established (after 1990) SMEs; new technology, new facilities In the last 5-6 years – investment into new production sites & buildings, new equipment even into some of the former state-owned factories The sector comprises about 590 enterprises, 350 of them – actively operating; 20 are large (more than 300 wplcs), the rest – small and medium Labor force in the sector – about 20 000 employees Restructuring still not completed, clusters – in highly introductory phase 07/10/08 bassel 7 The most important for the sector - FDIs USD m 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2005 2006 Companies 85; Private persons 124 07/10/08 bassel 8 Factories of important foreign investors (former state-owned factories) ABB: MV&LV switchgear; 250 wplcs HYUNDAI HEAVY IND.: power trafos, tap-changers; 600 wplcs SCHNEIDER: LV breakers (the old one) SPARKY: el. hand tools; 1300 wplcs SET: PCBs; 280 wplcs MHT: magnetic heads; 200 wplcs DZU-VIDEOTON: small household appl’s, el.mech. devices; 650 wplcs NAYDEN KIROV: LV installation products; 300 wplcs AROS QUALITY: small trafos; 290 wplcs 07/10/08 bassel 9 Factories of important foreign investors (green field projects) ABB: 2 factories; LV, 150 workers.; now 3th LV/MV, 600 wplcs, start May 2009; 4th planned LIEBHERR: fridges, 1500 wplcs; R&D center, 30 eng. SCHNEIDER: new (2nd) factory, LV breakers, 800 wplcs EPIQ: PCB assembling; 2000 wplcs MELEXIS: PCB assembling; 200 wplcs FESTO: sensors for automation; 200 wplcs SIEMENS: HV measurement transformers ARKOMAT: automotive wire harnesses, 600 wplcs NURSAN: automotive wire harnesses CURTIS: el. motor-control for forklifts; 140 wplcs 07/10/08 bassel 10 The success stories of FDI The sector had a good reputation amongst global leaders: with the start of privatization SIEMENS, ABB, SCHNEIDER, EPIQ, SPARKY, HYUNDAI (well knowing the sector) came to Bulgaria and bought up the state-owned factories Subsequently, a series of green field projects were realized and were successfully developed For the last years - $137 million FDI. This is a very small amount against the background of the total FDI in this country. However, production FDI drive into the country new products and respective markets, new technologies, new management, new industrial mentality Production FDIs are generating a new industry of sub-suppliers in the region, natural clusters Some new, very large and important industrial areas have been stimulated and established in our country In general – all FDIs in new production enterprises are success stories. And yet why? 07/10/08 bassel 11 FINANCIAL STABILITY Currency board since 1997 The Central Bank does not act as a lender to government and commercial banks The exchange rate to foreign reserve currency (EURO) is strictly fixed, 1 € = 1,95583 BGN The Central Bank will issue only one unit of local currency for each unit of foreign reserve currency it has in its vaults The country has not the ability to set monetary policy according to domestic considerations POLITICAL STABILITY NATO member country since April 2004 EU member country since January 2007 All political parties support NATO and EU membership No ethnical problems 07/10/08 bassel 12 4 FAVORABLE INVESTMENT CLIMATE Corporate Tax: 10% Manufacturing companies in high-unemployment municipalities: 0% EU TECHNICAL LEGISLATION IN FORCE Transposed directives: LVD, EMC, R&TTE, ATEX, Machinery, lifts, gas appliances, simple pressure vessels, pressure equipment, toys, NAWI, refrigeration appliances, hot water boilers, noise emission, etc. WEEE (effective from 01.07.06); RoHS (effective from 01.01.07); Batteries (since 2005) Transitional period - Directives on medical devices Most enterprises ISO9000 certified by TUV, SGS, LR, BVQi 07/10/08 bassel 13 17 WELL EDUCATED AND HIGHLY SKILLED LABOR FORCE 43 Universities; 45 000 graduates (BA or MA) annually 350 vocational technical colleges, 65 000 graduates annually 30 000 Bulgarian students in foreign countries THE LOWEST PRICE LEVEL IN EU !!! 07/10/08 bassel 14 13 Price Level Indices 2005 (%) 100 EU Average 76 Slovenia Estonia 64 Hungary 64 60 Poland Czech Rep. 58 Slovakia 58 57 Latvia 55 Lithuania 53 Romania Bulgaria 43 Annual average gross wages, EE sector BG, EUR 2400 2200 2000 el.eng. electronics 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 2003 07/10/08 bassel 2004 2005 2006 15 15 Monthly emoluments in electrical engineering sector, large cities, EUR, 2006 Position Gross salary Total cost Low-skilled worker 110 136 Skilled worker 190 to 300 236 to 372 Engineer (MSc) 330 to 450 409 to 558 Manager 400 to 500 496 to 620 07/10/08 bassel 16 Productivity rises, but still too unsatisfactory Produced/employed (BGN/empl.) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 1999 07/10/08 2000 2001 bassel 2002 2003 2004 2005 17 Labor productivity in 2006 – GDP per employee on PPP basis as a percentage of the EU–27 average Top 5 states Country 07/10/08 % of the EU-27 average Bottom 5 states Country % of the EU-27 average Luxembourg 183.3 Poland 61.5 Belgium 134.9 Lithuania 58.5 Ireland 132.1 Latvia 52.8 France 125.2 Romania 38.3 Austria 121.1 Bulgaria 35.3 bassel 18 Important el. eng. sub-sectors Power equipment (transformers, switchgear) Motors, generators, alternators Cables and wires Batteries, start and traction LV apparatus, building installation products Control, measurement and automation devices and systems Industrial electronics, PCBs, electronic modules and systems Automotive parts Lighting fixtures Optical devices Household appliances Sub suppliers (plastics, metal parts, ceramics etc.) 07/10/08 bassel 19 Production and export, EUR m 800 production export 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 07/10/08 bassel 20 Production of electric motors, batteries, switchgear €m 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 motors, transformers 07/10/08 bassel 2004 2005 batteries 2006 2007 switchgear 21 Export of assembled PCBs, € m 80 70 80 60 50 52 40 41,9 30 33,2 20 25,2 10 0 17,3 8,2 7,7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 07/10/08 bassel 22 Production of electrical household appliances, pcs 400 000 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 2001 2002 2003 fridges 07/10/08 2004 2005 2006 geysers bassel 23 Import of electrical household appliances, pcs 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 2002 refrigerators 07/10/08 2004 2003 washing machines bassel 2005 vacuum cleaners 24 Human resources Proportion of the population aged 25–64 with completed secondary education 80 70 60 50 EU27 EU15 BG 40 30 20 10 0 2000 07/10/08 2001 2002 2003 bassel 2004 2005 2006 25 Proportion of the population aged 25–64 with higher education 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 07/10/08 2001 2002 2003 bassel 2004 2005 2005 EU25 2005 EU15 26 University graduates in science and technology per 1,000 population in the age group 20–29 14 12 10 8 EU27 BG 6 4 2 0 1999 07/10/08 2000 2001 2002 bassel 2003 2004 2005 27 Lifelong learning – proportion of the population aged 25–64 involved in training and education 12 10 8 EU27 EU15 BG 6 4 2 0 2001 07/10/08 2002 2003 2004 bassel 2005 2006 28 Number of graduates in electrical engineering subjects, 2005 There are 5 technical universities and 65 vocational schools with el. eng. & electronic disciplines Subject Bachelor Master Total Mech. engineering 247 0 130 263 113 24 34 106 360 24 164 369 El. engineering El. devices El. installation 07/10/08 bassel 29 State economic strategy According to “STRATEGIC TRENDS OF BULGARIAN ECONOMY”, published July 2007 by the Ministry of Economy and Energy: DELOITTE’S SURVEY - most perspective sectors and competitive advantages in Bulgaria are: IT, outsourcing, electrical engineering and electronics; UNCTAD’S SURVEY 2007/2008 - electrical engineering and electronics is most perspective industrial sector for investments in Bulgaria Sector strategy A “National Strategy for the Development of the Electrical Engineering Industry in Bulgaria up to 2013” was jointly elaborated with the Ministry of Economy and Energy. Yearly Action plans. 07/10/08 bassel 30 R&D expenditures in ELECTRA (% of the GVA) Japan 24% USA 17% EU 11% R&D expenditures, % of GDP China 0% n.a. ? 2,5 2 EU15 1,5 EU27 1 BG 0,5 0 2000 07/10/08 2001 bassel 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 31 Bulgarian National Innovation Policy NIF - Projects financed by NIF Session Projects Submitted Projects Selected Success Rate % Agreed Subsidy ( BGN m) Average Value of the Financed Project ( BGN) 1st session 118 43 36 6,7 156 000 2nd session 120 67 56 8,3 124 000 3rd session 146 108 74 16,6 154 000 4th session 168 102 61 16,9 166 000 Projects’ leading sectors ICT - 26.5 % electronics and electrical eng. - 15.7 % biotechnologies & food industry - 13.7 % mechanical eng. & metal processing - 10.7 % 07/10/08 bassel 32 Other instruments to promote innovations Voucher scheme; Techno-starter scheme; Tax incentive scheme; Loan guarantee scheme; Venture capital scheme 07/10/08 bassel 33 But !? R&D % GDP Share of business for R&D 07/10/08 Lisbon 2010 BG 2003 Nat’l Str. 2006 Nat’l Str. 2010 3 0,43 0,45 0,51 67 22 18,8 23 bassel 34 Social Dialogue Sector councils for social collaboration with the Ministry of Economy and Energy Law on health preserving and safe conditions of work, including a separate system for social dialogue at national, sector, regional, company level Two trade-union partners of the Association. A collective labor agreement is signed for the EE-industry between the sector organizations of employers (NCEEB) and the trade unions Very strange!. The dialogue between employers and trade unions is far more spontaneous and constructive than between business and the state administration. 07/10/08 29/02/08 bassel nceeb 35 Thank you for your kind attention 07/10/08 22/04/08 bassel nceeb 36