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EXAM I ECON 3900 SPRING 2006 NAME (PRINT): ____________________________ Part I – 30% 1) Simply Fill out the tables below a) (10%) Employment Unemployed LFPR Unemployment Rate Labor Force Adult Population 24000000 3000000 75% 11.1% 27,000,000 36,000,000 b) (20%) Please keep the level of precision to 1/1000 Year 1 2 3 4 5 Px Py Price Index w* = 0.70 w=0.30 use year 5 as base year 10 11 12 13 15 20 17 20 25 20 0.787879 Inflation N/A 0.775758 -0.01538 0.872727 0.125 1.006061 0.152778 1 -0.00602 Part II (30% - 6% for each part) 1) Economy in the Long-Run Assume the following information: Factor Endowments: L = 250,000, K=10,000 Production technology is described by the following function: Y(L,K)= (L^0.5) * (K^0.5) Consumption Function is: C = 10000 + 0.70 * ( Y – T ) Investment Function is: I = 7000 – 500 * r Government Spending is G = 5000 Taxes are T = 10000 a) What is the level of output (Recall the economy is in the long-run): 50,000 b) What is the interest rate? 10% c) What if T is reduced to 5000? What will the output and interest rate levels be then? Y = 50,000 r = 7% d) What if both, T and G are set to zero, what will the interest rate be then? 4% e) What is the MPS in this economy? 0.3 Part III 1) True/False (explain) (30% - 10% each part) a) If Autonomous consumption is made a function of the interest rate (for instance, if the consumption function in part II were to change to C = 11000 – 100*r + 0.7 * ( Y – T ) then the marginal propensity to save will increase. FALSE, autonomous component of the consumption function is independent of the current income. MPS measures the fraction of the change in income that will be directed into saving, and thus is unaffected. Mathematically, the introduction of the interest rate does not impact the induced component of consumption, and the MPC stays unchanged. Unless you could change the MPC, MPS remains unchanged. b) Some argue that the US savings rate is dropping into negative range. If the savings rate turns negative the MPS must become negative also. FALSE. The savings rate can turn negative because the income drops or autonomous consumption increases, and hence MPS need not be affected at all. Furthermore, in order for our model to produce an outcome, we must have MPS>0. c) Even when capital purchases are financed with cash, interest rate should be considered as an important cost of capital, while another important cost components is the economic depreciation. TRUE. Interest rate acts as the opportunity cost of invested funds and in the case of cash financing, it is the implicit cost component. In addition to the interest rate, another cost component is the change in the market value, i.e. economic depreciation. 2) Short answer – Please provide a brief (2-5 sentence answer) (10% ) a) In 2002 the growth in the Gross Domestic Investment spending returned to positive levels in the US, yet employment growth remained negative throughout 2002 and all the way into the late Summer of 2003. Does that imply that the Gross Domestic Investment Spending is not impacting job growth, or can there be another explanation behind this paradox, perhaps in the data itself? This is primarily due to the fact that the Gross Domestic Investment includes residential housing investment. During the course of 2001-03 the sharp drop in the interest rates stimulated growth in the housing investment, but housing investment does not provide favorable ground for long term employment growth. In the short-run, it does support employment growth in construction employment, but long-term possibilities are limited. It is the investment into the productive capital by businesses that leads to employment growth, and during this time period the growth in this type of investment was persistently negative. One main component of that is the investment into non-residential structures which did not return to positive growth until the end of the summer of 2003. In fact, shortly after the return to positive growth in this investment spending, positive employment growth returned. Extra Credit (2% if you get it right, -1% if you attempt and get it wrong): In the context of the Classical theory the government spending/taxation has no impact on the long-run outcome. Yet, there is clearly a place for the government in the economy even in the context of the Classical theory. Could you please state two examples of when government spending will impact the long-run equilibrium? Education Infrastructure You could have also mentioned various public goods, provision of institutional support in the economy, correction for externalities….