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Journal of Babylon University/Pure and Applied Sciences/ No.(3)/ Vol.(19): 2011
On Equivalent (Super/Sub) Martingale Measure
Boushra Youssif Hussein
Dept. of Mathematics, College of Education ,AL-Qadisiya University
Abstract
In this paper we proved if we have two process, Z and Z′ such that Z′ is super martingale and Z is
sub-martingale, we can find a measure Q equivalent to given measure P such that there exist an other process
Z* lying between them (Z ≤Z*≤ Z′) and Z* is martingale with respect to measure Q and {Ft}.Also we proved
under these condition there exist a corresponding between the set of all equivalent measure and the set of all
convex functional.
'
'
الخالصة
Q نستطيع إن نجد قياس مكافئ, مارتنجل جزئيZ مارتنجل أعظم وZ بحيثZ,Z في هذا البحث إذا كان لدينا عمليتين
{ وأيضا برهنا تحتFt} وQ مارتنجل بالنسبة إلى القياسZ* وZ ≤Z*≤ Z' تقع بينهماZ* بحيث توجد عملية أخرىP إلى قياس معلوم
.هذه الشروط وجود تقابل بين مجموعة كل القياسات المكافئة ومجموعة كل الداليات المحدبة
1.Introduction
A probability space is a triple (,F,P) where is non-empty set, F is -field and P is
probability measure.[N, R.Ash ]. The function Z: R is called random variables, if Z is
measurable function.[ R.Ash]
A stochastic process is a collection of random variables Z={Z(t) :t I}
[ F]
A stochastic process Z={Z(t) : Ft : t I} is said adopted to the filtration { Ft}t I if Z(t) is
Ft –measurable random variables [ R.Ash]
We say that the measure Q equivalent to P iff they have the same null set
i.e.
Q(A)=0 P(A) =0 .
A process Z′ is said to be super- martingale with respect to Q and adapted to
{ F t} if P{ Z′(t) | F s} ≤ Z′(s), and we say that Z is a sub-martingale if P{Z(t) | F s} ≥ Z(s),
ts.
A process Z is said to be martingale if P{Z(t) | F s}=Z(t) , t s.
Let X be a set of all random variables on (,F,P)with norm topology .
And X+={xX: p(x 0) =1 and p(x0)=0}
If we have a, b are real numbers, we denote
a+=( max (0,a))
a- =(- min (0,a))
We consider t T, T [0, T] be a filtration, and let
Z′ (t) = ( Z1′(t),…,Z′k(t))
Z (t) = (Z1(t),…, Z k(t))
are two K-dimensional positive process, which are adapted to { Ft}tT, and
E (Zk2(t) , E(Z′k2(t) tT and K=1,…..,k .
We assume that Z, Z′ and the filtration {Ft}tT are right continuous .
2.Multi-Free lunch:we start this section by the following definition:-
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Definition (2.1),[F ]:
A simple trading strategy is a pair (H,H′ )of non-negative and non-decreasing kdimensional processes such that 0≤t0≤…≤tN=T for which (H(t,w), H (t,w)) is constant over
[tn-1,tn) n=1,…,N.
We assume:
(1) (H, H ) is a dapted to { Ft}tT , and
(2) E((Hk Z′k)2(t))< ∞ , E(( Hk Zk)2(t))< ∞ tT and K=1,2,…,k
(3) Z1(t)= Z′1 (t)=1 , tT.
Definition (2.2),[R.C ]:
A simple strategy (H, H ) is self-financing if
n=1,…, N we have:
(H (tn)-H (tn-1)) Z (tn) ≤ (( H (tn) - H (tn-1)) Z (tn)
The set of all self-financing simple strategy is denoted by .
Let M={xX: (H- H )+(T). Z (T)- (H- H )-(T).Z (T) ≥ x for some (H, H )}
And :MR defined by:
(x)=inf{ Lim {Hα(0)Z(0)- H α (0)Z(0)}
where (H, H ), (Hα- H α )+(T). Z′ (T)- (H- H )-(T).Z(T) ≥xα and xαx
Definition (2.3),[J,W]:
Let (,F, P) be a probability space. A multi-free lunch is a net (x, m) in XM
such that:
(1) xx*X+.
(2) a net (H, H α ) such that (H- H α )(T)≥x
and (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )-(T)Z(T)X+.
(3) (m)=inf {{(H(0)Z(0)- H α (0) Z′ (0)} ≤ 0.
Proposition (2.4):
Let (,F,P) be a probability space, then M is convex cone and is convex
functional.
Proof:
Let x,yM
(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)≥ x
(J- J )+(T) Z′ (T)- (J- J )- (T)Z(T)≥y
for some (H, H )
for some (J, J )
By additive
[(H- H ) +(T) + (J- J )+(T)] Z′ (T)- [(H- H )- (T) + (J- J )- (T)]Z(T) ≥ x+y
[max {0,(H- H )(T)}+max{0,(J- J )(T)}] Z′ (T)-[(-min{0,(H- H )}+(-min{0,(JJ )(T)})]Z(T) ≥ x+y
Then [max {0,(H- H )(T)+ (J- J )}] Z′ (T)- [(-min {0, (H- H ) + (J- J ) (T))] Z (T) ≥x+y
and ((H- H ) (T) + (J- J ))+ Z′ (T)-((H- H ) +(J- J ))- (T)Z(T)≥x+y
also ((H+J)-( H + J ))+(T) Z′ (T)- ((H+J)-( H + J ))-(T)Z(T)≥x+y
therefore (- θ )+(T) Z′ (T)- (- θ )-(T)Z(T)≥x+y
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Journal of Babylon University/Pure and Applied Sciences/ No.(3)/ Vol.(19): 2011
where =H+J , θ = H + J
Thus x+yM.
Let >0, xM
Then there exist (H, H ) such that (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)≥ x
[(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)]= (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)
= max {0, H- H } Z′ (T) - (-min {0, H- H }Z(T)
=max {0, H- H } Z′ (T) - (-min {0, H- H } Z (T)
= (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T).
Since (H, H )
then [(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)]= (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T).
Also (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T) ≥x.
therefore xM
Thus M is convex cone.
Now, to prove is convex functional.
Let x, yM
Then (H, H ) , (J, J ) such that (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)≥ x
(J- J )+(T) Z′ (T)- (J- J )- (T)Z(T)≥y
α
(x)=inf { Lim {(H(0)Z(0)- H (0) Z′ (0))}}
(y)=inf{ Lim {(J(0)Z(0)- J α (0) Z′ (0))}}
then [(H- H )+(T)+ (J- J )+(T)] Z′ (T)-[ (H- H )- (T)+(J- J )- (T)]Z(T)≥x+y
then ((H+J)-( H + J ))+(T) Z′ (T)- ((H+J)-( H + J ))-(T)Z(T)≥x+y
then (x+y)= inf{ Lim {((H+J)(0)Z(0)-( H α + J α )(0) Z′ (0))}}
= inf{ Lim {H(0)Z(0)+J(0)Z(0)- H α (0) Z′ (0)- J α (0) Z′ (0)}}
= inf{ Lim {H(0)Z(0)- H α (0) Z′ (0)}}+ inf{ Lim {J(0)Z(0)- J α (0) Z′ (0)}}
=(x) +(y).
Let 0≤≤1, let xM.
x (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)
for some (H, H )
+
(1-)y (1-)(J- J ) (T) Z′ (T)-(1-) (J- J ) (T)Z(T) for some (J, J )
x+(1-)y(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)+(1-)(J- J )+(T) Z′ (T)-(1-) (J- J )(T)Z(T)
[ (H- H )++(J- J )+](T) Z′ (T)-[(1-)((H- H )--(J- J )-](T)Z(T)
((H+J)-( H + J ))+(T) Z′ (T)-(1-)(( H+J)-( H + J ))-(T)Z(T).
Then (x+(1-)y)= inf{ Lim { (H+J)(0)Z(0)- (1-) ( H J ) α (0) Z′ (0)}}
inf{ Lim {((H +J)(0)Z(0)- (1-) ( H + J )(0) Z′ (0))}}
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Lim
inf{
{(H(0)Z(0)
)( H (0)Z (0) (1 ) J (0) Z (0)}}
inf{ Lim {(H(0)Z(0)- H
+J(0)Z(0)-
(0)Z(0))}+inf{
Lim
(1-
{(1-)(J(0)Z(0)-
J α (0) Z (0))}}
(x)+ (1- ) (y) .
3. Main Results
In this section we start by the following theorem:
Theorem (3.1):
Let (,F,P) be a probability space , then (M,) is a non-multi free lunch if there
exist a
Probability measure Q equivalent to P and a process Z* satisfying Z′ Z* Z such that Z′
is super- martingale and Z is sub-martingale.
Proof:
Let Q be a probability measure equivalent to P and let Z* with Z′ Z* Z, such that Z is
super- martingale and Z′ sub- martingale with respect to Q and { F t}.
To prove (M,) is non-multi free lunch,
let mM
there exist (H, H ) such that:
(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T) m,
since Z′ Z* Z and (H, H ) is self financing and non-decreasing,
then EQ[(H(tn)-H(tn-1))Z*(tn)-( H (tn)- H (tn-1)) Z*(tn)| F t n 1 ]
EQ[(H(tn)-H(tn-1))Z(tn)-( H (tn)- H (tn-1)) Z (tn)| F
t n 1
] 0 n=1,2,…,N.
Moreover EQ[(H(tn)-H(tn-1))Z (tn)-( H (tn)- H (tn-1) Z (tn))] 0
and EQ[(H(tn)-H(tn-1))Z*(tn)| F t n 1 ))] EQ[( H (tn)- H (tn-1) )Z*(tn)| F
*
then EQ[(H- H )(tn) Z*(tn)| F
*
t n 1
)] EQ[(H- H )(tn-1) Z*(tn)| F
t n 1
t n 1
)]
)]
(H- H )(tn-1) Z*(tn-1).
By iteration
EQ[(H- H )(T) Z*(T)] (H- H )(0) Z*(0)
H(0) Z*(0)- H (0) Z*(0)
Since
(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T) {(H- H )+(T) Z*(T)- (H- H )- (T)}Z*(T).
We have
EQ[(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)] H(0)Z(0)- H (0) Z (0).
Since
(H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)X+ ,
then EQ[H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T)] > 0
Thus H(0)Z(0)- H (0) Z′ (0) > 0
This implies that, there is no-multi free-lunch.
The converse of above proposition is not true, see [ W]
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Journal of Babylon University/Pure and Applied Sciences/ No.(3)/ Vol.(19): 2011
Theorem (3.2):
Let (,F,P) be a probability space. Let EQ be denote the expectation operator
associated to the (super/ sub) martingale measure Q. Then there exists one-to-one
correspondence between the set of such expectation operators and the set of convex
functional such that M=.
Proof:
Let be a convex functional such that M=.
Let Q: F R defined by
Q (B) = (IB) BF
[B]
By positively of , Q is positive.
Suppose Z0= Z′ 0 =1
Q () = (I) =1
[B]
Since is continuous, then by Riesz representation theorem, there exist random variables
X such that:
(x)=E(x) , for each xX.
dQ
Q(B)=E(IB) for each BF and
= is square integrable [ D]
dp
It remains to show that, there exists a process Z* with Z′ Z* Z such that Z is a sub
martingale and Z′ is super martingale with respect to Q and {Ft}.
Suppose
Z*k (t,w)=Sup{EQ(H0(T)- H 0 (T))| Ft} for K=1,…,k , for each w.
Z*k (t,w)=inf{EQ(-H0(T)- H 0 (T))| Ft} for K=k+1,…,s , for each w.
then
Z*k (t) Zk(t) for K=1,…,k t [0,T]
Assume there exist t[0,T] and BFt such that P(B) > 0 and Z (t,w) > Z*(t,w) , for
each wB.
then (H, H ) such that EQ( Z*k (t)IB)>EQ(-[H0(T)- H 0 (T)](IB))
Suppose ((, θ ) with 0(T) =H0 (T). Z′ (T) ,
(k- θ k )(T)=0 in all other cases.
EQ((0- θ 0 )(T)IB) > 0
EQ((- θ )+(T) Z′ (T)-(- θ )-(T) Z(T) IB)> 0
Which contradict the fact that
EQ((- θ )+(T) Z′ (T)-(- θ )-(T) Z(T)) [(- θ )+(T) Z′ (T)-(- θ )-(T) Z(T) IB] 0
Hence Z′ (t) > Z*(t) for each t.
Hence Z* lies between Z and Z′.
Moreover, we must have:
EQ( Z*k (s) Ft) EQ( Z k (s) Ft)
for each K=k+1,…,s ,
For each s > t
Since
EQ( Z k (s) Ft) Z k (t)
[R.Ash]
and
Z k (t) < Z*k (t)
So that EQ( Z*k (s) Ft) Z*k (t) K=k+1,…,s.
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Also,
EQ( Z*k (s) Ft) EQ(Z′ k(t) Ft) Z′ k(s),
This implies EQ( Z*k (s) Ft) Z′ k(s)
K=1,…,k.
Zk (t) EQ( Z*k (s) Ft)) Z k (t),
since
Z′ k(t) Z*k (t) Z k (t)
then EQ( Z*k (s) Ft)= Z*k (t)
So Z* is martingale with respect to Q and { Ft}
Conversely,
Let Q be a probability measure equivalent to P and Z′ Z* Z such that Z* is a martingale
with respect o Q.
Define : XR be (x)=EQ(x) for each xX
=EP(x) for each xX.
Since is square integrable ,then
is continuous.
Since is positive, and Q equivalent measure to P
then is positive.
Since E is linear functional
then is linear functional
so that is convex functional.
It remains to prove M=.
Let mM such that Q(m)=EQ(m)
so there exist (H, H ) such that (H- H )+(T) Z′ (T)- (H- H )- (T)Z(T) m
EQ[(H- H )(tn-1) Z(tn-1)-(H- H )(tn-1) Z′ (tn-1) F t n 1 )]=EQ[(H- H )(tn) Z(tn)-(H- H )(tn) Z′
(tn) F t n 1 )]
Since
EQ[(H- H )(tn) Z(tn)-(H- H )(tn) Z′ (tn) F t n 1 ] =( H- H )(tn-1) Z(tn-1)-(H- H )(tn-1) Z′ (tn-1).
Iterating this equality yields:
EQ [(H- H )(T) Z(T)-(H- H )(T) Z′ (T)]= (H- H )(0) Z(0)-(H- H )(0) Z′ (0)
EQ(m)= (H- H )(0) Z(0)-(H- H )(0) Z′ (0)
Since (m)= (H- H )(0) Z(0)-(H- H )(0) Z′ (0)
Then EQ(m)=(m)
T hen Q(m)=(m) for each mM.
Proposition (3.3):
Let (,F,P) be a probability space and let Z′ be super-martingale, Z is submartingale with respect to Q=P, with E(2) < , then there exist a martingale Z* with
respect to { Ft} and Q such that Z′ Z* Z.
Proof:
Suppose that Z is super martingale and Z is sub martingale with respect to { Ft} and Q.
Then EQ(Z′ (tn) F t n 1 ) Z (tn-1) ,and EQ(Z(tn) F t n 1 ) Z(tn-1)
Assume
Dn={ t 1n ,…, t nn } where t 1n =0 and t nn =T
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Journal of Babylon University/Pure and Applied Sciences/ No.(3)/ Vol.(19): 2011
We have Dn is increasing sequence of finite subset of [0,T].
Suppose that DnD
then D[0,T] {Since [0,T] is complete closed in R}
Suppose that Yn:DnR such that Z′ ( t in )Yn( t in )Z( t in ) for each i=1,…,n.
For each tD, let Y(t):XR such that Yn(t)Y(t) then Z′ (t)Y(t)Z(t)
To prove that Y(t) is martingale.
E(Z′ (tn) F t n 1 ) E(Y(tn) F t n 1 )E(Z(tn) F t n 1 ) ……………………(1)
E(Z′ (tn-1) F t n 1 ) E(Y(tn-1) F t n 1 )E(Z(tn-1) F t n 1 ) …………………(2)
E(Z′ (tn)- Z′ (tn-1) F t n 1 ) E(Y(tn)- Y(tn-1) F t n 1 )E(Z(tn)- Z(tn-1) F t n 1 )
Since Z′ is super martingale then E(Z′ (tn)- Z (tn-1) F t n 1 ) 0
0 E(Y(tn)- Y(tn-1) F t n 1 ) E(Z(tn)- Z(tn-1) F t n 1 )
Since Z is sub-martingale
So that E(Z(tn)- Z(tn-1) F t n 1 )0
Then 0 E(Y(tn)- Y(tn-1) F t n 1 )0
E(Y(tn)- Y(tn-1) F t n 1 )=0
Y ( t in ) is martingale as t in t
Hence, Z′ (t)Y(t)Z(t).
If tD then Z*(t)=Y(t)
If tD , we can take Z*(t)=Lim inf {Y(s)}.
st,s>t,sD
*
Thus, Z is martingale with respect to Q and -field { Ft} lying between Z and Z`.
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