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Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Density Function (pdf) Satya Mandal, KU September 18, 2013 Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF ”As far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not certain; and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to reality.” - Albert Einstein Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Goals ◮ ◮ ◮ In Lesson 4, Discrete Random Variables were discussed. In §5.1, Continuous Random Variables will be defined. Mainly, probability density function will be discussed. There is no homework on this section. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Continuous Random Variables ◮ ◮ A continuous random variable was defined as a random variable X that can assume any value on an interval. Examples: height, weight, volume, time. The Probability distribution of a Discrete Random Variable was given by the probability function p(x). Probability distribution of a continuous random variable defined and behaves in a different manner than a discrete random variable. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Probability Density Function (pdf) Let X be a continuous random variable on a sample space S. The probability distribution of X is defined as follows: ◮ There is a function f (x), of real numbers x, associated to X to be called the probability density function, (abbreviated as ”pdf”) of X . The pdf f (x) of X must satisfy the following two properties: ◮ ◮ ◮ f (x) is always non-negative (i.e f (x) ≥ 0 for all x). The total area under the graph of y = f (x) and above the x−axis is one. For any two real numbers a ≤ b (also for a = −∞ and b = ∞) the probability that X will be between a and b is given by the area under the graph of y = f (x), above the x−axis and between the vertical lines x = a and x = b. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Continued ◮ ◮ Geometrically, the condition f (x) ≥ 0 for all x means that the graph of the function y = f (x) always lies on or above the x-axis. Notationally, the last statement is: P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = the area of the region under the graph of y = f (x), above x − axis, between the vertical lines x = a and x = b. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Continued ◮ Further, the same area = P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = P(a ≤ X < b) = P(a < X ≤ b) = P(a < X < b). ◮ ◮ So, given a pdf f (x) of a random variable X , probability computation boils down to computation of area under the graph y = f (x). Review Animation 5.1.1 for examples of pdf and probability. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF A Contrast ◮ In contrast to discrete random variable, for any real number a, P(X = a) = 0 ◮ This is because P(X = a) = P(a ≤ X ≤ a) = (area of the line x = a, from x −axis upto the pdf ) = 0. Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF mean µ and standard deviation σ Let X be a continuous random variable. ◮ A formal definition of mean µ and variance σ 2 , of a continuous random variable X , involves some knowledge of Calculus (integration). For this course, a formal definition will not be necessary. ◮ As in the case of discrete random variables, the mean µ of X the represents the average value of X . ◮ The standard deviation σ of X is a measure of variability of X . Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Some well known continuous random variables Among the most well known continuous random variables are: ◮ The Normal random variable will be discussed extensively. Two parameters, µ and σ determine the pdf y = f (x) of such a variable. (Review Animation 5.1.2) ◮ The T-random variable will be discussed in lesson 7. (Review Animation 5.1.3) ◮ The Chi Square (χ2 ) random variable will be discussed in lesson 7. (Review Animation 5.1.4) Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens Preview Continuous Random Variable and PDF Continued ◮ The pdf of the Uniform(0,1) is given by 1 if 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 f (x) = 0 otherwise ◮ Similarly, for any two numbers a < b the Uniform(a, b) is given by 1 if 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 b−a f (x) = 0 otherwise ◮ Review Animation 5.1.5 Also review, Animation 5.1.6 for exponential random variable. ◮ Satya Mandal, KU Lesson 5: Continuous Random Variables §5.1 Probability Dens