Download Country Risk Service Sudan Updater Brochure

Brochure
More information from http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/2101389/
Country Risk Service Sudan Updater
Description:
The rating remains weighed down by an external debt stock mostly in arrears. The overvalued exchange rate
serves to inflate the dollar value of GDP, meaning that external debt as a proportion of GDP is falling, but in
reality there is little sign of Sudan being willing or able to meet its obligations in full. A reduction in oil transit
fees paid to Sudan by South Sudan (the subject of ongoing negotiations) would further undermine Sudan's
financial position, potentially forcing it to contract more external loans, and any refusal to agree a deal could
lead to another cessation of South Sudanese exports.
The authorities will probably try to keep the official exchange rate at around its existing, unrealistic level, in
the hope that higher oil prices will boost foreign reserves. But the parallel exchange rate will continue to
depreciate, and given high inflation, renewed political uncertainty in South Sudan and the possibility of
sharply lower transit fees, the currency will remain under pressure in 2016-17.
The banking sector continues to be affected by international sanctions. Levels of non-performing loans have
eased, but could rise again because of future devaluations of the Sudanese pound and sluggish economic
growth (notably in 2016). Devaluations could also reduce the sector's capital-adequacy ratio.
Contents:
Country Risk Service Sudan Updater
Risk assessment
Sovereign risk
Currency risk
Banking sector risk
Political risk
Economic structure risk
Definitions
Sovereign risk
Currency risk
Banking sector risk
Political risk
Economic structure risk
Overall country risk
Central scenario for 2016-20: Political stability
The Economist Intelligence Unit's coverage of Sudan and South Sudan
Central scenario for 2016-20: Election watch
Central scenario for 2016-20: International relations
Central scenario for 2016-20: Policy trends
Central scenario for 2016-20: Fiscal policy
Central scenario for 2016-20: Monetary policy
Central scenario for 2016-20: Economic growth
Central scenario for 2016-20: Inflation
Central scenario for 2016-20: Exchange rates
Central scenario for 2016-20: External sector
Key risk indicators
Ratings summary
Quarterly indicators
International assumptions summary
Economic structure
Public finances
Exchange rates, interest rates and prices
Financial sector
Current account
International liquidity
Foreign payment and liquidity indicators
External trade
External financing requirement
External debt stock
External debt service
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