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Expert Group Meeting on Emerging ICT Development and Opportunities for Enhancing Cooperation for Regional Connectivity
UNESCAP
22‐24 November 2010
Bangkok, Thailand
The Optimal Deployment of Broadband in Asia: Thailand’s “meaningful broadband” model Dr. Craig Warren Smith,
Founder of Digital Divide Institute
Chulalongkorn University
In Thailand, a new model for bridging the digital divide could have far‐reaching Implications throughout Asia and the rest of the developing World. ‐‐‐ Andrew Harris, Telecommunications Analyst, Economist Intelligence Unit, Nov. 4, 2010 Purpose of my talk
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What is Meaningful Broadband? Optimal benefits of broadband in Thailand
Our four‐part MBR process Five domains of innovation
ƒ Proposal to UNESCAP: A Model for Optimal Deployment of Broadband in Asia What is Meaningful Broadband (MBB) ? ƒ
MBB is a “broadband ecosystem” in which high‐speed bandwidth travels from backbone, to “Last Mile,” to devices, to apps to produce desirable impacts on citizens, enterprises, communities and governments. What is Meaningful Broadband (MBB) ? ƒ MBB closes the Digital Divide by being usable, affordable and empowering to mass markets. Optimal benefits of broadband for Thailand
Which way for Thailand? FACTOR (2015)
BAU
(Business As Usual)
MB
Penetration Rate (age 13+)
+37% population
+17% households
(Meaningful Broadband)
+84% population
+74% households
GDP Boost
+0.90%
up to 3.5%
Gini 0.48
Inequality*
Workforce Development
High/low 1:65
‐17% of KEI**
Gini 0.35
High/low 1:47
+14% of KEI **
Microfinance Growth +12%
+320%
Productivity Growth
+7 (in rankings)
+18 (in rankings)
Investments Impacts
+$3 billion +$9 billion
R&D Impacts
0.26% of GDP 1.5% of GDP Impact of Stimulus II +0.80% of GDP +2.3% of GDP Our four‐part MBR process
ƒ MBR 1.0: Vision of the Optimal Role of Broadband for the Nation
ƒ MBR 2.0: Costs and Benefits of Broadband for the Nation
ƒ MBR 3.0: Roadmap for Meaningful Broadband
ƒ MBR 4.0: Working Groups (government, business and academia)
Five Domains of Innovations
Proposal to UNESCAP: Digital Divide Institute proposes to UNESCAP and its member countries the following three projects for 2011‐2012 ƒ Project One: A white paper and seminar: Mapping Asia’s Broadband Future: Scenarios for 2015
and 2020
We will use the following table to predict how Asia as a whole will be transformed by broadband based on a) business as usual (BAU) or based on our model of Meaningful Broadband (MB) FACTOR (2015)
Penetration Rate (age 13+)
GDP Boost
Inequality*
Workforce Development
Microfinance Growth Productivity Growth
Investments Impacts
R&D Impacts
Impact of Stimulus II BAU
(Business As Usual)
MB
(Meaningful Broadband)
Proposal to UNESCAP: ƒ Project Two: An MOP (middle of pyramid) strategy for Asia
ƒ Project Three: Inviting small, low‐income and vulnerable
nations into the MB process
Thank you