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Powered by NOOZZ.COM Volume II—Issue 21 11-17 July, 2010 EGYPT WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW Market Performance Highlight of the Week EGX 30 Index 15-07-2010 EGX 30 Index 8500 7500 Close Open 6,049.19 6,080.01 6500 High 6,114.57 5500 Low 5,957.10 4500 Prev. Close 6,026.87 %Chg Yr. H 0.37 7,693.46 Yr. L 5,814.24 Egypt June core annual inflation rises to 6.70 pct Egypt's core annual inflation rose to 6.70 percent in the year to June from 6.69 percent in May, the central bank said on Sunday. Egypt customs revenue up 6.6 pct in year to June Egyptian customs revenue rose to 15.03 billion Egyptian pounds ($2.6 billion) in the fiscal year that ended on June 30, the daily al-Alam al-Yom said on Wednesday, citing Finance Minister Youssef Boutros-Ghali. That would equate to a rise of 6.6 percent, as an economist with an Egyptian investment bank said the government collected duties of 14.10 billion pounds for 2008-09. Egypt's EGPC signs $2 bln loan State-owned Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC) has signed a $2 billion, 58month debt financing that will be used for export finance, bankers close to the deal said. The syndicated loan, which is one of the biggest for an Egyptian borrower, was oversubscribed and lenders were scaled back accordingly, the bankers added. J.P. Morgan and National Bank of Egypt arranged the deal, which pays a margin of 275 basis points (bps) over LIBOR and is secured on Naptha and crude exports. Egyptian Pound (EGP) per: Exchange Rates Sector Indices Construction 5.696 7.367 8.717 6.570 5.419 800.91 Orascom Construction Industries (OCI), Egypt's biggest listed firm by market cap, said on Wednesday it bought Dutch storage tank owner and operator MICRO Chemie as part of an expansion into Europe. Analysts said the purchase would complement Orascom's acquisition of the fertilizer and melamine units of Dutch chemical group DSM last month. "The (MICRO Chemie) acquisition does not move the earnings needle, but adds pipeline control," Nomura analyst Chet Riley said in a note. Orascom, a conglomerate with interests in construction and the fertilizer industry, declined to reveal the price, but said the purchase would enable it to ship to France, Germany and the Netherlands via the Rhine river. GDR/EDR Weekly Trading Egypt Business Headlines U.S Dollar Euro Pound Sterling Japanese Yen Swiss Franc Egypt OCI expands Europe Operations with terminal buy -0.92 6 5.5 5 Financial Serv. USD/EGP 16-07-2010 2,634.70 1.26 Interest Rates Price US$ %Chg CIB (1:1) EFG-Hermes (1:2) 11.20 -9.96 9.55 -5.44 Lecico (1:1) 3.00 0.00 Palm Hills (1:5) 3.90 -22.00 OCI (1:2) OT (1:5) 40.00 4.33 -0.99 -0.91 Suez Cement (1:1) 6.40 3.22 Telecom Egypt (1:5) 14.67 6.45 Price EGP % Chg 15.54 -1.52 GDRs on LSE EDR on CASE Orascom DH (10:1) 1M 3M 6M LIBOR (USD) 0.34 0.52 0.73 1.13 SAIBOR 0.35 0.73 0.85 1.03 AEIBOR 0.88 1.13 1.38 1.63 KIBOR 1.81 2.34 2.48 2.72 CAIBOR 8.60 8.85 8.99 9.29 UPCOMING EVENTS World LNG Summit Venue: Barcelona Date: 29 November - 2 December 2010 Organiser: CWC Money Market Statistics Latest Date 91 day T-Bill Y 182 day T-Bill Y 10.301 14/07/10 10.433 14/07/10 364 day T-Bill Y 10.795 14/07/10 Overnight Interbank 8.270 13/07/10 CBE Disc Rate 8.500 02/08/09 Manufacturing 1,686.85 2.53 Services 12M Financial Modelling in the Oil & Gas Industry Venue: Copthorne Tara Hotel, Scarsdale Place, Kensington, London, UK Date: 22-23 November 2010 Organiser: SMI Conferences 39.44 -9.35 Retail/Wholesale 241.87 8.04 Powered by NOOZZ.COM Volume II—Issue 21 11-17 July, 2010 EGYPT WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW Regional Indices Bahrain 1,392.13 Commodities Buy/Bid Sell/Ask 76.490 76.510 Gold 1,190.150 1,191.150 Silver 17.790 17.870 Platinum 1,509.000 1,519.000 Palladium 446.780 453.780 Brent Crude Bullish Stock Bank of America Corp. AVI Biopharma Genworth Fin. Last TP 13.98 22.38 1.81 13.46 3.75 19.08 Bearish Stock Raptor Networks Century Alum. Int’l Bus. Machines Corp. Last TP 0.22 9.03 128.03 N/A 14.42 143.93 CCFC Team Director: Dr. Eskandar Tooma Program Manager: Aliaa Bassiouny Program Executive: Ghada El Eraqi Research Associate: Diana George Research Associate: Yasmin Aboul Dahab For more Information regarding CCFC Services contact us on: +(202) 2615-3441/3469/3472 or [email protected] World Indices DJIA 1.89 Kuwait 6,512.70 1.27 Oman 6,217.78 -0.21 Saudi Arabia 6,120.04 -1.29 Dubai 1,520.20 1.35 Qatar 6,963.53 0.77 Regional Business Headlines Israel inflation falls to 2.4 pct in June, near three-year low Israel's consumer price index rose 2.4 percent in June; the lowest level of inflation since October 2007 and easing from 3.0 percent inflation in May although analysts blamed the drop on technical issues. It is within an official target range of 1 to 3 percent. The index rose 0.3 percent month-on-month in June, largely in line with forecasts and decelerating from a 0.4 percent rise in May. Easing inflation pressures, and an uncertain economic recovery, prompted the Bank of Israel to keep its short-term lending rate at 1.5 percent in June for a third straight month. Jordan's Jan-May trade deficit widens to $3 bln Jordan's trade deficit widened 11.5 percent to 2.126 billion dinars ($2.99 bln) from January to May, against the same period in 2009, due to a higher bill for imported Saudi oil, official data showed on Thursday. Imports rose 7.2 percent in January-May from a year earlier to 4.141 billion due to rises in oil prices and consumption, data from the Department of Statistics showed. Oman trade surplus widens to $2.73 bln in Jan-Feb Gulf oil producer Oman's foreign trade surplus increased sevenfold to 1.051 billion rials ($2.73 billion) in the first two months of this year compared to a year ago due to higher oil exports income, data showed on Wednesday. World Business Headlines NY Fed manufacturing growth slows sharply in July A gauge of manufacturing in New York State plunged in July by much more than expected as employment worsened, the New York Federal Reserve said in a report on Thursday. The New York Fed's "Empire State" general business conditions index fell almost 15 points to 5.08 in July from 19.57 in June. July's reading was the lowest since December, 2009. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a July reading of 18.50. Employment gauges fell sharply. The index for the number of employees declined to 7.94 in July from 12.35 in June. Italy Central Bank sees GDP +1 pct in 2010, 2011 Italy's economy will expand by around 1 percent this year and post the same modest growth in 2011, raising its 2010 forecast from a 0.7 percent estimate made in January. In its quarterly economic bulletin the Bank of Italy said the improved outlook for this year reflected a marked acceleration in world trade which had driven the 0.4 percent rise in Italian GDP in the first quarter. Second quarter growth in the euro zone's third largest economy will rise "at a similar rate as in the first," the bulletin said. UK Q1 productivity +1.3 pct y-o-y, highest since Q4 2007 The productivity of workers in Britain rose for a second consecutive quarter in the first three months of this year. Output per worker was 0.6 percent higher than the fourth quarter of last year. It was 1.3 percent higher than the same quarter a year ago -- the first positive reading for two years and the highest since the fourth quarter of 2007. 10,097.90 -0.98 Nasdaq 1,803.48 -0.62 S&P50 1,064.88 -1.21 DAX 6,040.27 -0.41 CAC 40 3,500.16 -1.52 FTSE 100 5,158.85 0.50 Disclaimer: This newsletter has been prepared by Citadel Capital Financial Center staff and undergraduate students at the American University in Cairo. This review is based on information available to the public. This review is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. The information and opinions in this review were prepared by Noozz from sources we believe to be reliable and information available to the public. Noozz and CCFC makes no guarantee or warranty to the accuracy and thoroughness of the information mentioned in this review and accepts no responsibility or liability for losses or damages incurred as a result of opinions formed and decisions made based on information presented in this review. Noozz and CCFC does not undertake to advise you of changes in opinion or information.