Download indonesian economy and renewable energy development

KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
INDONESIAN ECONOMY AND
RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
23 May 2016
BdaUKU STATISTIK
2
Global Economic Power Shifts to Asia Pacific
2014
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
2050
Source: Will the Shift in Global Economic Power continue? The World in 2050, PWC
Many countries in Asia and the Pacific will experience rapid economic growth towards 2050
3 Indonesia is predicted to become the fourth largest economy in 2050
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Ranking PDB/GDP 2014, 2030 dan 2050
2014
2030
2050
1.
China
1.
China
1.
China
2.
United States
2.
United States
2.
India
3.
India
3.
India
3.
United States
4.
Japan
4.
Japan
4.
Indonesia
5.
Germany
5.
Indonesia
5.
Brazil
6.
Russia
6.
Brazil
6.
Mexico
7.
Brazil
7.
Russia
7.
Japan
8.
France
8.
Germany
8.
Russia
9.
Indonesia
9.
Mexico
9.
Nigeria
10.
United Kingdom
10.
United Kingdom
10.
Germany
Source: IMF estimates for 2014, PwC projections for 2030 and 2050
4
Imagining Indonesia 2045
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Population 321 millions,
number 5 in the world
Electricity access for all
GDP Indonesia, rank 4
globally, USD 12,210
billions
Food and energy security
Infrastructure reaches all
parts of Indonesia
Regional and global
growth centre
Indonesian professionals in the
regional and global market
Clean energy for all
5
Towards Indonesia 2045: Our Challenge
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
“Indonesia shifts from the economy based on natural resource exploitation to
a high-productive and innovative-led economy”
Keys to achieve this are:
1. Growth are distributed well across all parts of Indonesia
2. Infrastructure and connectivity support growth and development
3. Innovation and technology in the utilization of natural resources
4. Qualified human resources for global competition.
5. Food security and energy resilience across the nation
Prerequisite: Bureaucracy reform, law enforcement, corruption eradication
6
The Paradox
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Indonesia turned into an oil importing countries since 2003
Thsd
bpd
1,800
Oil production
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
Import
Oil Exporting Era
800
600
400
Oil consumption
200
0
Thn
“Cadangan terbukti minyak bumi dikhawatirkan akan habis dalam
10-13 tahun.” ~ RPJMN 2015-2019, 7 Januari 2015 ~
Sumber: IEA dan EIA/AS
Trap of comfort zone:
• No oil and gas exploration
• No infrastructure developed
• No renewable energy
• No energy efficiency
• Subsidy is given to fossil fuel
7
Priority in Energy Development
• Law on Energy (UU 30/2007) and Government Regulation on
National Energy Policy (PP 79/2014):
a) Maximizing use of renewable energy;
b) Minimizing utilization of oil;
c) Optimizing utilization of natural gas and new energy; and
d) Use coal as drive of national energy reserve
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
8
Indonesia’s Renewable Energy Potential
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Potential
Installed
Capacity
Utilization
29,544 MW
1,438.5 MW
5%
Hydro
75,000 MW
5,024.2 MW
7%
Bioenergy
32,654 MW
1,671 MW
5.1%
Solar
523,579 MW
(4.8 kWh/m²/day)
78.5 MW
0.01%
113,545 MW
3.1 MW
0.003%
Energy Type
Geothermal
Wind
(3 – 6 m/s)
Ocean Wave
17,989 MW
0.3 MW
0.002%
Total
801,311 MW
8,215.6 MW
1%
Source : National Energy Plan (Draft)
9
National Energy Mix in 2025 and 2050
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
BREAKTHROUGH IN RENEWABLE ENERGY
DEVELOPMENT
Government’s Commitment and Incentives to Accelerate
11 RE Development
Regulation Prioritizing
Renewable Energy
Incentives Promoting
Energy Conservation
Energy Resilience
Fund
Rural
Electrification
Commitment
& Incentives
Simplification
of Licensing
Process
Fiscal incentives
Promoting
technology and
human resources
Incentives and
subsidy on Tariff
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
12
35,000 MW Electricity Program
35,000 MW
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
PLN : 5,000 MW
IPP : 25,000 MW
Target for
2019:
8,800 MW for
the 35,000 MW
Program to
come from
Renewable
Energy
13
Program Indonesia Terang (1)
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
PLN telah hadir di 86% desa di Indonesia
Desa tempat PLN telah hadir
12.659 desa yg belum sepenuhnya menikmati listrik 2.519 desa diantaranya masih gelap gulita
Sumber: Pendataan Potensi Desa/Kelurahan 2014, Badan Pusat Statistik
14
Program Indonesia Terang (2)
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Meningkatkan Elektrifikasi 86% menjadi 97% di tahun 2019
Tujuan desa berlistrik pada 2019
ENERGY RESILIENCE FUND (DKE)
15
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
LEGAL BASIS:
• Law 30/2007 on Energy
• Government Regulation No. 79/2014 on National Energy Policy
A pool of funds specifically established to support the Government of Indonesia’s target in achieving the National Energy
Mix and Energy Resiliency as mandated by Law 30/2007 and GR 79/2014
Utilization
Source of Fund
• Fossil Depletion
Premium (oil, gas, coal)
• Premium from Fossil
Fuel Consumption
ENERGY RESILIENCE
FUND
• Premium from
Business Entities
operating in
Conventional Energy
• Grant
Energy resilience: availability, access, affordability, social
and environmental sustainability
•
Renewable Energy based
Electricity in Remote Areas
•
Diversification of Energy
Supply
•
Incentives for Renewable
Energy & Energy Eficiency
Business
•
Energy Conservation
•
Capaity building, R&D incl.
Pilot Project
•
Strategic Petroleum
Reserves*
•
Fuel Price Buffer
16
CENTER OF EXCELLENCE FOR CLEAN ENERGY
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
CoE is an integrated center for research , development and utilization of research results ,
as well as the implementation and facilitation of clean energy investments .
Diffusion and
adaptation of clean
technologies
Capacity
development
Facilitation on
investment
Innovation and
breakthrough in CE
implementation
Facilitation global
and international
partnership
17
CoE links to “MISSION INNOVATION”
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
Indonesia promotes this global initiative of
technology innovation for the development
and deployment of clean energy . This
initiative was announced at COP21 in Paris
Revolution of Clean Energy Technology
Innovation
•
2 fold increase in clean energy
research and development.
•
Transparency, collaboration and
dissemination information of
research and development efforts.
•
Plurilateral agreement to push the
market barriers of clean energy
goods and services.
•
Build capacity worldwide to
harmonize technical standards
provision and maintenance of clean
energy .
18
Energy Patriot and Energy Facilitator (PETA)
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
19
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
WHAT CAN WE DO AND CONTRIBUTE?
KEMENTERIAN ENERGI
& SUMBER DAYA MINERAL
THANK YOU
BdaUKU STATISTIK