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Population Terms Demography: the study of population data Overpopulation: when resources cannot support the pop Density: how many per area Countries are displayed by size of population rather than land area. Countries named have at least 50 million people. World Population Clusters 66% clustered in four regions: 1. East Asia 25% (China, Japan, S. Korea, Taiwan) 2. South Asia 20% (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh) 3. Europe (concentrated in cities) 4. North America (megalopolis of “Bowash”) Ecumene: portion of Earth’s surface inhabitable for people We occupy less than 20% of Earth’s surface Density Arithmetic Density Physiological Density Arithmetic Density: The total number of people / area of land measured in km² or mi² Physiological (Agricultural) Density: # of people per unit of arable land (suitable for agriculture) EGYPT Arithmetic Density= 192 people/ sq.mi. Physiological Density= 6,682 people/sq. mi. Egypt’s arable lands are along the Nile River Valley. Moving away from the river a few blocks, the land becomes sandy and wind-sculpted. Egypt’s population distribution is closely linked to the proximity of water. In the north, the population clusters along the Mediterranean and in the interior, along the banks of the Nile River. (2004) World Pop Growth: birth rate (b) − death rate (d) = rate of natural increase (r) Population Characteristics Crude Birth Rate: Births in a year 1000 people Crude Death Rate :Deaths in a year 1000 people Natural Increase: % growth of pop in a year DOES NOT INCLUDE MIGRATION Population Characteristics Doubling Time: # of years to double… Doubling = 70/x x = % change 10% change…doubling is 70/10= 7 years Population Characteristics Total Fertility Rate (TFR): # of births per women of childbearing age TFR of 2.1 = “ZPG” (zero pop growth) Infant Mortality Rate: # of deaths under age 1 1000 live births Population Characteristics Life Expectancy: # of years to live Life Expectancy at Birth (2003) Men Women US 74 80 Japan 78 85 Nepal 59 58 Kenya 46 46 France 76 83 A Population Bomb? Thomas Malthus (1766-1834) - “father” of pop geo - stated pop grows faster than resources - lower CBR or global famine, war, disease “Neo-Malthusians” 1. Pop “explosion” due to medical revolution 2. “stripping” world of resources Paul Ehrlich (1960s) warned of pop bomb in 1970s Critics of Malthus: “Cornucopians” cultural “possibilism” 2. Technology 1. More people = more consumers, more creativity “Cornucopian” S-curve DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL DTM: change in pop. due to industrialization; better economy = less kids! (designed for W. Europe) DTM- Stage 1 High CBR Agricultural High Death Rate Epidemics Stationary growth…no country today DTM- Stage 2 High Birth Rate Declining Death Rate agricultural improvements medicine High growth Today: poor undeveloped; Sub-Saharan African DTM- Stage 3 Declining Birth Rate wealth education; contraceptives Low Death Rate Slowing down Today: Mexico, South Africa, China DTM- Stage 4 Low Birth Rate women in workforce Low Death Rate Stationary Growth highly industrialized: U.S., U.K., France Stage 5? Pop “Implosion” Dependency Ratio: # of people non workers (aged 0-14 /65+) relative to workers (15-64). Population Pyramids “Age-Sex” stage in DTM gives country’s pop structure Less Developed (Periphery) Developing (Mexico, Brazil China) Developed (Core) Rapid Growth stage 2 of DTM Large # of young, less older Slow Growth stage 4 of DTM “Aging population” less young NO GROWTH End of stage 4/stage 5 Pop Pyramids Of U.S. Cities How many points for this essay? Epidemiological Transition Model Stages of the “medical revolution” Pestilence and Famine 2. Receding Pandemics 3. Degenerative and Man-Made Diseases 1. Pro-growth Policies Pro-natal policies Communism USSR China: Mao Zedong (“every mouth to feed comes w/ 2 hands”) Singapore’s National Niiiiiiiiiiight! Europe NOW tax breaks, cash to have kids Restrictive Policies China: “One-child” policy - male preference for kids = many baby girls aborted or abandoned Solutions to Pop Growth Empowerment of Women Education Changing cultural norms to value girls Birth Control Policies