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Urbanizzazione e sicurezza alimentare: alcuni dati sulle tendenze europee Ciro Gardi, Claudio Bosco, Ezio Rusco 7-8 maggio 2009 Centro Congressi Palazzo delle Stelline Corso Magenta, 71 Milano EUROPEAN COMMISSION JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE Institute for Environment and Sustainability Land Management and Natural Hazard Unit Soil Action Food scarcity?? Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop ‹#› Agricultural productivity in EU Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop ‹#› Cereals production in Europe is until now, more or less stable, but there are several question marks for the future Wheat production EU 27 • shrinking of agricultural land 160000 140000 • climate change • competition with bioenergy crops • the energy incognita (fertilizers, pesticides, etc.) Cereald yield (1000 t) (soil sealing, soil degradation processes) 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Soil sealing in EU Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop ‹#› Urbanization in EU 25 1990-2000 10000 8000 More than 8,000 Km2 of agricultural land have been lost between 1990 and 2000 (like the area of the Umbria region) Km2 6000 4000 2000 0 Agricultural land Natural and seminatural land Other land uses Soil sealing in EU Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop ‹#› Losses of agricultural area Relative losses of agricultural area 250000 3 200000 2.5 % Ha 2 150000 1.5 100000 1 50000 0.5 0 0 AT BE CZ DE EE ES FR GR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL PL PT RO SI SK AT BE CZ DE EE ES FR GR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL PL PT RO SI SK Agricultural productivity loss Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop ‹#› Losses of agricultural productivity potential 1600000 1400000 t of wheat 1200000 1000000 The global agricultural productivity loss (EU 20) it has been estimated in 4.5 milions of tonnes of wheat 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 AT BE CZ DE EE ES FR GR HU IE IT LT LU LV NL PL PT RO SI SK Which soils have been lost? Ispra, 12-14 May 2009 – IRIS Workshop The evaluations presented are based on the avearage productivity of the Nuts 2 units (e.g. italian regions) Next step of this research will be the evaluation of the specific productivity potential, based on: • soil type • landform • climate ‹#› joint research centre Thank you for your attention! European Commission http://eusoils.jrc.it/