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Mobile Multimedia Awards & Showcase Mobile Business Opportunity John Mahoney Chief Operating Officer Brainstorm Agenda 1. Background 2. What applications will there be in the future? 3. Why develop these? 4. What technologies will enable these? About Brainstorm... • Over 10 years technical and operational experience with large scale, transaction processing systems. • We develop, host and manage, cost-effective, high quality Mobile Internet applications. • First to develop SMS based information services in 1995 (for BT Cellnet). • Created first DTI web site in 1995. Also web site for British Chamber of Commerce and BSI. • Devised, and hosted ‘Global Class Room’ for Henley Management College early 1990’s. Amongst first electronic ‘distance learning programme’. Internet - Future Million Subscribers Mobile Internet 800 600 PC Access 400 200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year Changing Sources of User Revenue ARPU Content and Value Added Services Transport and Connectivity 2G Based on data from UMTS forum - October 2000 2.5G 3G Time Mobile Wireless and the Internet • By 2003*, more mobile terminals will access the Internet than PCs • Mobile access extends Internet reach/usage. • Mobility drives new applications and services. * Source: Dataquest/ Gartner Group The Generation Gap Generation: 1G Analogue networks 2G Digital networks (GSM) 2.5G General Packet Radio Service (GPRS) 3G Universal Mobile Telecommunications System - IP based network 4G 802.11b, bluetooth, satellites + 3G + 2.5G Basic Elements Fixed Network Operator e.g. BT Mobile Switching Centre 00’s Base Station Systems (cell sites) 000’s Basic Elements Fixed Network Operator e.g. BT Mobile Switching Centre 00’s Base Station Systems (cell sites) 000’s WWW Mobile Facts - GSM • GSM introduced 1994 • Global standard (largely) • Supports voice, data, text messaging • 20k plus cell sites in UK • Over 560 operators in 142 countries • Over 400 million users and expected to rise to 700+ million by end 2003 • 40m mobiles in UK • Circa £10bn investment in UK so far • £23bn committed on licenses alone for 3G Changing Sources of User Revenue ARPU Content and Value Added Services Transport and Connectivity 2G Based on data from UMTS forum - October 2000 2.5G 3G Time The Value Stack Content Aggregation Applications KPN Hosting 12 steps to deliver mobile content … Infrastructure ISPs Mobile Portals Mobile Operators MVNO Mobile Devices Distribution Customers AOL Content Value Technologies 3G Mobile Operators PTTs 2.5G ISPs Service Providers 2G wASP ISPs ISPs Content Portals Content Portals Content PTTs Mobile Operators Equipment Vendors wASP Portals PTTs wASP Service Providers Fixed Hosting Content Equipment Vendors ASPs Equipment Vendors Mobile Operators Equipment Vendors ISPs PTTs Value Applications of the Future Some BLUE SKY ideas: • accurate real-time speech to text • automatic analysis of electrocardiograms and blood tests • real-time language translation • intelligent computerised personal assistants • ubiquitous access to the world’s knowledge bases • enhanced vision and hearing through implants • ability to download your memory / personality Applications of the Future Some sectors to look at: • Finance and banking • Entertainment • Publications and Media • Gaming • Retailing • Life Style How are we going to do all this? Communication Technologies UMTS(3G) Product developments Multimedia GPRS EDGE HSCSD WAP SMS 802.11b GSM Data Analogue Voice 1985 Bluetooth GSM Voice Time 1994 2000 2002 Today 2005 Mobile Facts - SMS • Allows text messages to be sent and received between all UK network’s mobiles anywhere in the world. • Supports 160 characters. • Single charge regardless of geography (c.12p per message) • Immune to congestion. • Confirmation of delivery available. • Supports data transfer (ring tones and logos etc) • Store and forward capability • Discrete Mobile Facts - WAP WAP allows true Mobile-Internet convergence. It manages the constraints of limited bandwidth, delay and less powerful terminal - CPU, memory, screen size and power consumption. It’s an open standard designed especially for mobiles to display Internet/Intranet information . Supported by over 75% of the world’s leading mobile manufactures. Internet pages need to be written in WML (Wireless Mark-up Language). Internet content and service ‘information’ delivered via a variety of transmission services. Mobile Facts - Bluetooth Bluetooth is a standard for the wireless transmission of data between devices by the use of short range radio waves Bluetooth uses Globally regulated radio spectrum at 2.4GHz. Range of 10 meters. 721Kbit/s max data rate. Mobile devices require specific Bluetooth receivers either as an attachment or built-in. Available 2001 (limited supply) Bluetooth got its name from the 10th Century Viking King Harald Bluetooth! Mobile Facts - GPRS GSM GPRS It’s an overlay onto today’s existing mobile phone network, using existing base stations User can logon to a range of data networks and servers e.g. Corporate LAN, ISP, e-mail provider, etc Internationally agreed standard. An asymmetric IP PDN (Packet Data Network). Connected to other packet data networks High speed 171kbps (in theory) On line all the time*. Third Party Data Network Company Corporate LANs Internet SP (WWW) GPRS – The Evolution to Mobile Packet Data 1. Circuit Switched Data Data Bursts Circuit Switched Call duration (Billable) Call established • Costly - except for file transfers • Vulnerable - session lost if call dropped • Slow - 9.6kbit/s @ radio interface, 7.2kbit/s achievable Call terminated GPRS – The Evolution to Mobile Packet Data Circuit Switched Packet Switched Data GPRS • Shared channel - lowest cost but variable delay • Retained session - potentially for long periods : “always on line” • With compression, typically 64kbit/s peak rate service perceived GPRS Data Transmission Speeds CS = Coding Schemes Raw data rates in Kbit/s: Timeslots: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 CS1 9 18 27 36 45 54 63 72 CS2 13 27 40 54 67 80 94 107 CS3 16 31 47 62 78 94 109 125 CS4 21 43 64 86 107 124 150 171 • assumes error free channel, and excludes overheads How will Users Connect? GPRS Terminal Devices for the Mobile Office? GPRS Terminal Devices for the Mobile Office? Handset Office worker on the move – the Killer Ap. GPRS - Applications GPRS bearer service will enable applications in the following segment areas: Telemetry Messaging e-mail Access to the World Wide Web Job Scheduling and Despatch Vehicle Location Services Information services E-commerce WAP vs GPRS GPRS is not a competitor to WAP. GPRS can be used as a bearer for WAP. GPRS alone does not facilitate the access to the Internet. It is best compared to a means of delivery in desktop terms. WAP Gateway's and Browsers are still required to deliver the content. Mobile Facts – UMTS (3G) UMTS is........ ........Universal Mobile Telephone System • Currently in development phase • Expected around 2002 (limited coverage) • Operates at 2.1GHz • 2Mbits and above data rates with global roaming • Allows multimedia and video • Applications on the move ! What is new with 3G? • Devices – Screen size, storage capability – Multi-media – Video (stills and clips) – Music (download, store and play) • Increased speed – File download / WEB browsing – Improved mobile internet experience – Graphics, speed, shopping experience • Improved personalisation UK 3G Mobile Plans • Launch Services will include a number of exciting and compelling products and applications based on core capabilities e.g • Video clips • Postcards • Mobile office products – intranet access – fast e mail download – fast file download – group working • Find and guide services • Mobile Music • Advertising • m-commerce Increasing Data Rates UMTS photo web GPRS ISDN e-mail PSTN photo web report photo web e-mail GSM video clip report e-mail 0 report photo web 10 sec video clip video clip report photo 1 min video clip report 10 min Transmission Time video clip 1 hour Application Fit High throughput Interactive Multi-Media GPRS Streamed Video HSCSD Low throughput Slow-scan Video UMTS File/ Image Transfer WWW Browsing LAN Access E-mail M-Commerce GSM Info Services Telemetry Consistent throughput Bursty throughput The Future … Sites for Research 1. www.ayg.com 2. www.computer.org 3. www.mformobile.com 4. www.mobileinfo.com 5. www.mobilestreams.com 6. www.wap.com 7. www.wirelessinanutshell.com 8. The Age of Spiritual Machines – Ray Kurzweil Mobile Multimedia Awards & Showcase Mobile Business Opportunity John Mahoney Brainstorm London School of Economics Thank you! [email protected]